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© Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
DOI: 10.1089/dia.2020.0524
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10-16-2020 Revision R1
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REVIEW
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1)
Biomedical Informatics Consultants LLC
Potomac MD 20854
Tel: 301-983-8088
Diabetes Technology and Therapeutics
drodbard@comcast.net
Keywords
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Abbreviations
period of time
Gmax Amplitude of a post-prandial glucose excursion
Tmax Time interval between onset of meal and maximum prandial glucose excursion
(Gmax)
Word count:
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The Ambulatory Glucose Profile (AGP) and the frequency distribution for glucose by ranges
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are well established as standard methods for display, analysis and interpretation of
glucose data arising from self-monitoring, continuous glucose monitoring and automated
insulin delivery systems. In the present review we consider several refinements that may
further improve the utility of the AGP. These include: 1) Display of the AGP together with
information regarding dietary intake, medication administration (e.g., insulin), glucose
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Introduction
The Ambulatory Glucose Profile (AGP) is now well established for analysis of Continuous
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Glucose Monitoring data (1-13) both for clinical and research purposes. The AGP is also
applicable to Self- Monitoring-of-Blood-Glucose (SMBG) data and was originally introduced
for that purpose (1). It was based on the principles underlying Exploratory Data Analysis
(EDA) of Tukey (6), as applied previously to glucose data using a discrete set of the 8 time
points commonly used for SMBG (5). Construction of separate AGPs for different days of
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the week was proposed in 1988 (7). The display of a simplified frequency distribution for
glucose in terms of discrete categories from Very Low to Very High was proposed in 2009
(14) (rather than as a histogram for glucose on a continuous linear scale), and is generally
presented as part of or together with the AGP in the form of a stacked bar chart (13,14).
Many articles have appeared to assist clinicians in the use and interpretation of the AGP
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(13-20) . There have been several consensus conferences and other collaborative efforts to
select which statistics should accompany the AGP and glucose distribution (8,9,21-25).
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th
and averaged, with display of data points, a series of percentiles (usually 5 though
95th), or data points and percentiles superimposed.
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a. Meals. It is important to show the time of onset of meals and ideally their duration
as well. It would also be desirable to display the amounts and nature of foodstuffs
consumed during the meal at least in semi-quantitative terms or in terms of
carbohydrates, fat, protein, fiber, and calories when such data are available (26-
28). If accurate dietary composition data are available, one can use a color-coded
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estimates, and greatly facilitates the identification of the times of onset and offset,
duration, and maximal levels.
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3. Detailed Analysis of postprandial glucose excursions by type of meal: The AGP shows
glucose elevations following the usual times for the major meals. However, the
resolution of the post-prandial excursions is usually limited because meals are
consumed at different times on different days and the pre-meal (baseline) glucose also
varies considerably from day to day. When data are pooled from multiple days (or from
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multiple subjects), these two factors result in shifting along the horizontal (time axis)
and vertical (glucose axis) directions, respectively. Accordingly we recommend that the
post-prandial segments of the glucose vs time curves be “normalized” by: 1)
synchronization with respect to the time of onset of the meals, and b) subtraction of
the premeal baseline glucose to show only the excursion above baseline. In some
cases, it may be strongly desirable to make an additional correction for the slope of
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glucose versus time at the onset of the meal. This makes it possible to analyze glucose
excursions for the major meals and snacks. Individual glucose values may be show as
discrete dots or connected with line segments. Pooled data from multiple days can be
summarized using selected percentiles (e.g., 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles), shading
the area between the 25th and 75th percentiles, and (optionally) showing the individual
glucose data points. If data from multiple days are superimposed, then it is usually best
to dispense with line segments between consecutive data points.
It would be helpful to show the frequency distributions of the timing of onset of meals
(either as a histogram or as a Box chart parallel to the time axis). Similarly, when
accurate data for administration of a meal-related insulin bolus and also for the time of
onset of the meal, it is helpful to show this as a histogram shown in immediate
proximity to the display of the prandial excursion.
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of time (e.g. 2, 3, or 4 hours) (35,36); g) other metrics to describe the shape of the
prandial excursions such as half-times (t1/2) for the upstrokes and downstrokes of
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prandial excursions; h) time lag between onset of the meal and the first readily
detectable rise in plasma glucose. These normalized post-prandial excursion patterns
for a specified time interval (e.g., 4 hours following the median time of onset of given
type of meal) can be superimposed on the full 24-hour AGP, together with graphical
representations of several of the above descriptive metrics. The average glycemic
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patterns following each of the three major meals can be obtained. One can test for
heterogeneity of peak shapes for any one type of meal, compare the patterns from the
three types of major meals to determine if they can all be characterized by a single
pattern or shape with individual magnitudes, or whether a different pattern must be
used for one or another meal type.
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4. Analysis by Day of the Week. Many methods have been used to display differences in
glucose patterns between different days of the week. The simplest is show the mean ±
1 SD or ± 1 sem or 95% confidence interval for mean glucose by day of the week. A
second approach is to show the Box plot (consisting of the 0 th-, 25th-, 50th-, 75th-, and
100th percentiles) by day of the week (5). A third approach is to show the glucose
distribution by times in categories or ranges, also by day of week (14). Another is to
show the AGPs constructed separately for each day of the week (7). We previously
proposed to analyze a CGM record of four-weeks duration, showing the median
glucose by time of day for each of the days of the week individually, together with the
median glucose for all days of the week combined (16). One can then examine the
correlations of the glucose patterns for any one day of the week with the overall
pattern for all days, to identify days that are consistent (or inconsistent) with the
typical pattern. By calculating the pairwise correlation coefficients for the 21 possible
pairs of the 7 days of the week, one can identify days with similar or distinct patterns
(16). A cross-correlation analysis can be useful to evaluate time delays (horizontal
shifts) in the glucose patterns from day to day or by day of the week.
Sandig et al. used two alternative approaches to compare glucose patterns for
weekdays and weekends (defined as Friday 6 PM to Sunday 11:59 PM (37). They
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th th th
compared the 10 , 50 and 90 percentiles of glucose vs time of day for a group of
subjects on weekdays vs weekends. The AGPs for weekends and weekdays showed
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places an undue emphasis on the much larger variation seen in the hyperglycemic
region. Accordingly, it should be helpful to use a nonlinear scale in order to expand or
stretch the glucose scale in the hypoglycemic region while compressing it in the
hyperglycemic region (38). A simple, standard approach, well known to most scientists
and clinicians, is the use of a logarithmic scale, i.e, a “semi-log” graph.
Comment: Alternative scales could also be used: a) A “root” transformation of glucose,
(e.g., the cube-root of glucose (G1/3) or the fourth-root of glucose (G1/4), and similar
functions of glucose could be used to expand the glucose scale in the hypoglycemic
range; or b) one can stretch the scale for glucose by a factor of 2 for glucose levels
below 100 mg/dL while compressing it by a factor of two in the range above 200
mg/dL. Similarly, one can expand the scale by another factor of 2 for glucose values
below 50 mg/dL while compressing the scale by another factor of two for glucose
levels above 400 mg/dL. The logarithmic scale provides simplicity and is likely to be
easier to use than several short ranges for glucose with abrupt changes in scaling
factor. The log scale can be applied equally whether expressing glucose levels in terms
of mg/dL or mmol/L. People with difficulty using or understanding a logarithmic scale
might still prefer use of linear segments with abrupt changes in the scaling factor at
arbitrary places along the scale, e.g., at 50, 100, 200 and 400 mg/dL. A different set of
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breaks in the scale might be preferable when glucose is expressed as mmol/L, e.g. 3.0,
6.0, 12.0 and potentially 24.0 mmol/L.
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6. Choice of timescale: A midnight-to-midnight time scale for the AGP has nearly always
been used. In a few studies, e.g., in studies examining hybrid closed loop for periods
less than 24 hours, shorter time scales have been used. One can also examine the AGP
over 24-hour periods starting at times other than midnight (e.g., 6 AM or 7 AM) to
examine a typical daily pattern. When examining glucose changes in the late evening -
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overnight - early morning periods, it may be desirable to display the AGP using a Noon-
to-Noon times scale. It may also be helpful to use a 48-hour time period for display: a
48-hour time interval was previously used to display motor activity and food
consumption in studies of circadian rhythms in animals.
7. Display of individual glucose values: It can be helpful to show individual glucose data
points by time of day (5,7). This approach may help identify outliers. This will show
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data density -- and allows one to identify outliers and glucose values corresponding to
severe hypo- or hyperglycemia. When using an interactive display, one can select an
individual point to generate a pop-up window showing the time and glucose values,
and any associated information.
8. Methods to compare AGPs from people receiving different forms of therapy, devices,
or other kinds of interventions. The AGP has facilitated the comparison of patterns in
people receiving different forms of therapy, e.g. hybrid closed loop vs predictive low
glucose suspend vs sensor augmented pump. It is customary to superimpose displays
of the AGP using different colors or shading to distinguish groups of subjects receiving
different forms of intervention or treatment, typically showing the 25 th, 50th, and 75th
percentiles. One can examine the differences in mean or median for glucose by time of
day for two treatment groups (39). Alternatively, one can characterize differences in
times-in-ranges within- or between-subjects either for the full 24-hour period or for
several narrow time windows spread throughout the day (37,40).
Discussion
Since its introduction in 1987 (1) for SMBG and since 2008 as it has been applied to CGM
(2-4), the AGP has proven to be extremely useful to patients, physicians, other members of
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the health care team, and to researchers. Numerous variations have been utilized in the
ensuing years. The AGP is almost always accompanied by the now-ubiquitous frequency
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distribution for glucose values in multiple segments of glucose (14) and several associated
’statistics’ (8-17, 21-25). The present report summarizes a number of proposals for
improvement of the effectiveness and informativeness of the AGP, some that had been
presented years ago (e.g., log scale (38), display of data points (5,7), risks or rates of hypo-
and hyperglycemia (9,17), analysis by day of the week (7)), and some relatively recently
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(e.g., normalizing and synchronizing prandial excursions (28,33) The ability to visualize
glucose patterns simultaneously with the major factors controlling plasma glucose levels
(e.g., dietary intake (26-28, 33-34), medications (especially insulin)(29-32), and physical
activity/exercise (33,34)) can enhance the effectiveness of the AGP.
We will now discuss several questions regarding these potential enhancements to the
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AGP:
1) Who is the intended Target Audience? To whom would these additional features
be of interest and assistance? In principle, several of these enhanced features could be of
interest to many or most of the current users of the AGP, including patients and their
families and health care professionals engaged in the care of people with diabetes.
However, not all users will be interested in all of the enhancements. If people are
experiencing difficulties achieving their goals for adequate control of prandial glucose
excursions, then a detailed analysis of the postprandial period (with synchronization and
correction for premeal glucose) might be of highest priority. For people experiencing hypo-
or hyperglycemia, simple displays of %TBR (using both <70 and <54 mg/dL), and %TAR
(using both >180 and >250 mg/dL) by time of day might be of most interest.
Some people have difficulty understanding non-linear scales while others may find that
use of a “semi-log” scale for glucose is immediately helpful because it makes it easier to
see and to analyze glucose values in the hypoglycemic range.
Features that would be adopted may vary for every patient and HCP, and may change as
the patient’s ‘chief complaint’ or principal clinical problem changes over a period of time.
2. How can these features be implemented in practice? These kinds of features would
need to be made available instantly and effortlessly if they are to be used by extremely
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time-pressed care givers. It would be desirable to incorporate these features into the
software provided by manufacturers of CGM sensors and of insulin pumps, closed-loop
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systems, connected pens, fitness-trackers, and ‘apps’ to eliminate barriers that would arise
if it were necessary to employ a separate program or ‘app’. Alternatively, they could be
incorporated into centralized systems for data integration.
There are multiple options that could be used for graphs, tables, statistics, layout and
format of output, use of colors and icons, on-screen instructions and advice, and aids to
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interpretation and education. It would be important to optimize these displays using the
principles and practice of usability laboratories and cognitive laboratories, to evaluate the
extent to which additional information is desired, being provided, understood, and utilized
(41). Such evaluations might also consider the nature and extent of user training that
might be desirable to obtain maximal benefit from the use of these enhanced features.
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3. Would an enhanced AGP become too complex for people to use? The currently
well-established AGP can be difficult to comprehend for many users. Will the addition of
several additional types of information (insulin and other medications, dietary intake, and
physical activity) make the system so complex that it becomes intimidating? Do the
‘enhancements’ result in a level of complexity that becomes intimidating or
insurmountable? Could analyses and displays of this degree of ‘sophistication’ be utilized
in a practical manner during a brief patient-physician encounter? These are legitimate
concerns.
First, To the extent that we are modifying or adding a few graphs to the AGP report, users
who are already comfortable and experienced with the interpretation of graphs should be
able to absorb the information rather quickly. Some of these graphics may be useful for
education of the patient, the patient’s family, personal caregivers, and healthcare
providers. For instance, the simple display of %TBR and %TAR vs time of day may provide
insights that are not readily appreciated even when the 5th, 10th, 90th and 95th percentiles
for glucose are displayed.
Second, the software that generates graphs and statistics for the enhanced AGP can also
provide a basic level of interpretation, as some programs for CGM sensors and insulin
pumps do currently, e.g., identifying and prioritizing the major problems (15, 16, 42) and
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identifying “best days” and “worst days”. Much of the interpretation can be done by
computer as soon as the data become available, so that useful results can be available at
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of the outputs can and should be customizable. One can introduce new features in a
sequential manner as the users gain more experience. Some features can be selected a
priori by default or by personal choice, e.g. a) options to use a logarithmic or other
nonlinear scale for glucose, or b) to display the original glucose data points, percentiles, or
both superimposed – and whether to allow the user to rotate through these three types of
display interactively. Some aspects of the analysis can be presented only when there is an
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interesting and potentially clinically-relevant finding to display, e.g., whether some days of
the week have similar patterns for glucose by time of day while other days have
consistently distinct patterns (7,9,16)
4. Will the input data be sufficiently available, accurate, and reliable to be useful?
Glucose data are now generally quite accurate and often very abundant. Insulin data are
reliable if captured from an insulin pump or a connected pen. Physical activity data can be
accurate and reliable if captured from a pedometer or accelerometer, or from an array of
multiple accelerometers (34), e.g., using sensors on arms, legs, and trunk. It remains to be
seen what percentage of the time a person will wear these sensors and how this depends
on their degree of motivation. Data regarding diet are often unavailable and have been
notoriously unreliable except in the content of research studies. However, some non-
invasive passive methods may permit sensitive detection of eating behaviors (43), and
these can be complimented with automated methods for analysis of photographs of food
obtained both before and after the meal (44) or by use of bar-code readers for individual
packaged foods. The relative availability, accuracy, and importance of different types of
dietary data is likely to improve, perhaps in conjunction with automated insulin delivery
systems.
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5. Is there a need for Scoring Systems in addition to the AGP and the frequency
distribution of glucose by ranges? Should the multi-stream data be used to generate one
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or more scores to evaluate the quality of glycemic control? Multiple scoring systems to
evaluate an overall quality of glycemic control have been proposed. (45-59). Some are
based on the original glucose values without need for calculation of intermediary metrics:
Schlichtkrull’s M (or MR) (48), BGRI and its two subcomponents (LBGI and HBGI)(49,50),
IGC and its two subcomponents (Hypoglycemia Index and Hyperglycemia Index) (15),
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GRADE and its three subcomponents for hypo-, eu- and hyperglycemia (51). Others are
based on use of between 2 and 5 intermediary scores or metrics: summations of scores for
mean glucose, variability, hypoglycemia, hyperglycemia, and adequacy of data (45), Q-
Score (54), the Glycemic Pentagon (53) and its revised version, the Comprehensive
Glucose Pentagon (CGP) (55), and the Personal Glycemic State (PGS) (56). In view of the
mathematical complexity of some of the scoring systems (especially those based on the
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original glucose data), there has been a marked trend toward use of %TIR as the principal
score for quality of glycemic control (21-25,57,58). [Interestingly, %TAR has a slightly
higher correlation and greater range of linearity with mean glucose and A1C than does
%TIR] (57,58).] It is essential to combine information from at least two metrics – one that
reflects mean glucose level (A1C, mean glucose, %TIR, or %TAR)] and one that reflects
hypoglycemia (%TBR [T <70 mg/dL and/or T<54 mg/dL], LBGI, GRADEHYPOGLYCEMIA, Hypoglycemia
Index).(58,59) The relationship of risk of hypoglycemia (or its proxys) to mean glucose (or
A1C) is an ideal way to compare alternative modalities of therapy. (45, 60, 61)
Leelarathna et al. (62) proposed a scoring system combing three metrics (%TIR, TBR, SD)
based on expert opinion and illustrative cases. It remains to be seen to what extent this
improves upon the use of just two input metrics (45,60,61), and whether scoring systems
utilizing 5 metrics (45,46,52-56) can improve upon scores that use only two or three
metrics. Scores, and changes in scores, may be most helpful in identifying situations where
a drill-down with additional analyses would be important to the care of an individual
patient.
We expect that at least a few of the enhancements to the AGP discussed in this review will
prove to be useful to patients and health care professionals. Some users may need
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instructional materials to help them maximize the utility of the available information.
Others may rely progressively on automated artificial intelligence systems for
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interpretation of the data. These approaches can be used to make comparisons of the
quality of glycemic control for a person at different points in time. It will be usually be
informative to provide a comparison of any one person with a reference group (2,51,53-
55), expressed in terms of percentiles. This will make it possible to provide guidance such
as “When compared to other people with similar clinical characteristics, this patient ranks
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in the [specified percentile] in terms of risk of hypoglycemia”, rather than a “raw score”
such as %TBR or a numerical score on an unfamiliar parameter (e.g., LBGI,
GRADEHYPOGLYCEMIA, Hypoglycemia Index).
One can expect that there will be need for customization for different situations and
continuing exploration and experimentation to optimize each of the many complementary
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Conclusion
Several methods have been proposed for enhancement of the Ambulatory Glucose Profile
– perhaps most importantly the combination of glucose data with data regarding
medications (especially insulin), dietary intake, and physical activity. Possibilities for
improved graphic displays include display of %TBR and %TAR by time of day, nonlinear
scales (log scales) for glucose, display of glucose data points together with the series of
percentiles, use of limits for the time-of-day axis other than midnight-to-midnight, display
of insulin not only in terms of dose and time administered but also in terms of expected
plasma insulin levels and pharmacodynamic (glucose disposal) activities. One can utilize
statistical criteria to identify days of the week with similar or markedly dissimilar patterns
by time of day provided that sufficient data are available. Several of these approaches
should be suitable for incorporation into software for analysis of data obtained from CGM,
insulin pumps and closed loop systems, for use by patients and healthcare professionals.
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Acknowledgements
The author thanks several colleagues for many helpful suggestions regarding use, display
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and modifications of the AGP. Development of the original AGP was primarily a
collaborative effort with Roger Mazze. Figure 1 is based in part on collaboration with Dr.
Howard Wolpert, Jie Xue, and Xuanyao He, of Eli Lilly & Co., and Sara Krugman of
Healthmade Design. Jie Xue developed software for display of the AGP showing percentiles
and glucose data points alone or combined including the ability to interactively display
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date, time, glucose levels, and ancillary information for any datapoint. The smoothing
algorithm for percentiles in the original AGP were developed by David Lucido.
Funding
Disclosures: None.
Prior presentations:
Rodbard D. New Enhancements to the Ambulatory Glucose Profile, in ATTD 2017, Paris,
Abstract 137, Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics Feb 2017.A-56.
http://doi.org/10.1089/dia.2017.2525.abstracts
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10. Carlson AL, Mullen DM, Bergenstal RM. Clinical Use of Continuous Glucose Monitoring
in Adults with Type 2 Diabetes. Diabetes Technol Ther. 2017 May;19(S2):S4-S11. doi:
This paper has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication, but has yet to undergo copyediting and proof correction. The final published version may differ from this proof.
10.1089/dia.2017.0024.PMID: 28541137
11. Mullen DM, Bergenstal R, Criego A, Arnold KC, Goland R, Richter S. Time Savings Using
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Table Legend
1. Show multiple factors with major effects on glucose levels by time of day,
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5. Display glucose levels using a nonlinear scale (e.g., semi-log scale) to expand the
hypoglycemic region and compress the hyperglycemic region.
This paper has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication, but has yet to undergo copyediting and proof correction. The final published version may differ from this proof.
6. Provide options to examine 24-hour periods starting at times other than midnight
(e.g. 6 AM) or utilize 48 hour displays to facilitate analysis of the overnight period.
7. Enable interactive analysis to display the date, time, glucose value, and ancillary
data for individual data points.
8. Methods to compare AGPs from persons or groups receiving different forms of
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9. Show multiple factors with major effects on glucose levels by time of day,
Diabetes Technology and Therapeutics
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Combine or merge the displays of post-prandial excursions with the overall 24-hour
AGP.
This paper has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication, but has yet to undergo copyediting and proof correction. The final published version may differ from this proof.
12. Analyze patterns by day of the week, with separate AGP for each day of week.
Identify days of week with similar patterns and those with distinct patterns using
objective criteria.
13. Display glucose levels using a nonlinear scale (e.g., semi-log scale) to expand the
hypoglycemic region and compress the hyperglycemic region.
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14. Provide options to examine 24-hour periods starting at times other than midnight
(e.g. 6 AM) or utilize 48 hour displays to facilitate analysis of the overnight period.
15. Enable interactive analysis to display the date, time, glucose value, and ancillary
data for individual data points.
16. Methods to compare AGPs from persons or groups receiving different forms of
therapy or other interventions.
Diabetes Technology and Therapeutics
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Diabetes Technology and Therapeutics
current: The Ambulatory Glucose Profile: Opportunities for Enhancement previous: The Ambulatory Glucose-, Insulin-, Physical Activity- Profile (AGIP): Proposals for Refinement (DOI: 10.1089/dia.2020.0524)
This paper has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication, but has yet to undergo copyediting and proof correction. The final published version may differ from this proof.
Page 27 of 27
glucose disposal.
with model-based simulations of insulin pharmacodynamic activity in terms of rate of
Figure 1. Display of Glucose, Insulin, Meals, and Physical Activity by time of day for one
person for one day (schematic drawing). Insulin bolus dose and timing are shown together
27