GOLIS UNIVESITY

WORK OUT EXAMPLES

1. The following data have been noted from the census department.
YEAR POPULATION
1940 8000
1950 12000
1960 17000
1970 22500

 Find the probable population in the year 1980, 1990 and 2000. By
a) Arithmetic increase Method
b) Geometrical increase method.
2. Population of a town as obtained from the census report is as follows.
Years 1941 1951 1961 1971
Population 242 485 770 1090
(In thousands)
 Estimate the
population of the town in the year 1981, 1991 & 2001 by
a) Arithmetic increase method
b) Geometrical increase method
c) Incremental increase method
3. The census figure of a city shows population as follows
 Present population 50000
 Before one decade 47100
 Before two decades 43500
 Before three decades 41000
 Work out the probable population after one, two and three decades using arithmetic
increase and geometric increase method
4. The Annual Growth Rate of a town in Ethiopia is 3.5%. Assuming the present
population of the town (in 2010) is 4500, what would be the population in 2025?
5. The following data shows the variation in population of a town from 1944 to 2004.
Estimate the population of the city in the year 2014 and 2019 by arithmetic and
geometric increase methods.

Year 1944 1954 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004

Population 40185 4452 60395 7561 98886 124230 158800
2 4
6. For a town
having population of 60,000 estimate average daily demand of water. Assume
industrial use 10%, institutional & commercial use 15 %, and public use 5% and
livestock 10% of domestic demand. Take per capita consumption of 50 l/day and
leakage to be 5%.
7. Calculate the water requirements for a community that will reach a population of
120,000 at the design year. The estimated municipal water demand for the community
 GOLIS UNIVESITY
WORK OUT EXAMPLES

is 300 l/c/d. Calculate the fire flow, design capacity of the water treatment plant, and
design capacity of the water distribution system. Use NBFU formula for fire flow.

Solutions
1. Year: 1940 950 960 970
Population: 8000 12, 000 17, 000 22, 500
Increase in
Population: 4,000 5,000 5, 5000
Average 4000+ 5, 000+ 5, 000 = 14, 5000 = 4, 833

Increase: 3 3
Probable popn in various decades shall be as flows
Year Population

 1980 22,500 + 1* 4833= 27, 333

 1990 22,500 + 2*4833 = 32,166
 2000 22,500 + 3*4833 = 36,999
2. Year Population Increase in popn Percentage increase in popn

1940 8,000 -------- ------------

1950 12,000 4,000 (4000/8000)*100=50%
1960 17,000 5,000 (500/12000)*100=41.7%
1970 22,500 5,500 (5,500/17,000)*100= 32.4%
Total: 14,500 124.1%
Average per Decay: 4,833 = 14,500/3 41.37%=124.1%/3
The popn at the end of various decades shall be as follows:

Year Expected popn

 1980 22,500 + (41.37/100) 22,500 = 22,500 (1+41.37/100) =31,808

 1990 22,500 (1 + 41.37/100)2= 44,967
 2000 22,500 (1 + 41.37/100)3= 63,570
 GOLIS UNIVESITY
WORK OUT EXAMPLES

Storage
Pipe I Pipe II
Treatment
Source LLP HLP
Plant

Pipe III

Distribution system