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A – study design, B – data collection, C – statistical analysis, D – interpretation of data, E – manuscript preparation, F – literature review, G – sourcing of funding
ABSTRACT
Background: Appendicitis is the most common abdominal emergency in the pediatric population. The clini-
cal features of appendicitis in children are usually atypical, leading to misdiagnosis in 19–57% of preschool age
children, which can result in complications. Thus, scoring systems are used to estimate the risk of appendicitis
based on symptomatology and laboratory results.
Aim of the study: The aims of this study were to analyze the conformance of the Pediatric Appendicitis Score
(PAS), the Pediatric Appendicitis Risk Calculator (pARC), and the Alvarado score as screening tools for appen-
dicitis in children attending a public hospital emergency department.
Material and methods: The inclusion criteria were all children aged < 14 years who presented with symp-
toms of appendicitis and were confirmed to have appendicitis either by imaging or surgery. The exclusion cri-
teria were incomplete medical records. Data was collected retrospectively from medical records. Data analysis
included examination of the proportion and distribution of data, and statistical analysis in the form of the
Kappa conformance test.
Results: The result of the conformance test between the PAS and the Alvarado score was 75%, but the Kappa
conformance value between them was only 46.8κ although statistically significant (p value = 0.013). The con-
formance test between the PAS and the pARC was 50%, but the Kappa conformance value was only 19.4κ and
not statistically significant (p value = 0.143). The conformance test between the Alvarado score and the pARC
was 55%, but the Kappa conformance value was 13.5κ and not statistically significant (p value = 0.492).
Conclusions: The PAS has advantages over other appendicitis screening questionnaires with greatest conform-
ance between PAS and Alvarado.
Keywords: Conformance test, acute appendicitis, PAS, pARC, Alvarado
– Yes 1 (5%)
Pain When Walking
– No 19 (95%)
– Yes 8 (40%)
Rovsing’s Sign
– No 12 (60%)
– > 5
Figure 1. Flow diagram
appendicitis
likely 16 (80%)
– 5 appendicitis
The data extracted from each medical record was PAS Interpretation
possible 3 (15%)
used to provide an estimation of risk of acute appendi- – < 5
citis in the three diagnostic scoring systems. The PAS appendicitis
unlikely 1 (5%)
was found to have the highest true positive rate, with
a positive predictive value of 80% when compared to – 76–90%
(Moder-
the gold standard of diagnostic imaging and/or surgery. ate–High) 6 (30%)
The Alvarado score had a positive predictive value of – 51–75%
55%, and the pARC had a positive predictive value of pARC Interpreta- (Moderate) 8 (40%)
tion – 26–50%
only 30% (Table 2). (Moderate) 1 (5%)
Conformance testing was performed to compare – 16–25%
the Alvarado Score and the pARC to the PAS scoring (Moderate) 4 (20%)
– 6–15% (Low) 1 (5%)
system which had the highest positive predictive value.
The result of the conformance test between the PAS – 7–8 appendici-
tis probable 11 (55%)
and the Alvarado score was 75%, but according to the Alvarado – 5–6 appendici-
Kappa conformance statistical test, the Kappa conform- Interpretation tis possible 6 (30%)
ance value between the two scores was only 46.8κ and – 1–4 appendici-
tis unlikely 3 (15%)
statistically significant (p value = 0.013). The result of
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“Kappa” conformance test between three acute appendicitis scoring systems... 7
and laboratory results to stratify risk of appendiceal (2020) which found that the sensitivity of the Alva-
pathology, thereby reducing the rate of imaging studies, rado scoring system was 84.1%, compared with 39.8%
unnecessary hospital admissions, and negative appen- for the pARC (3).
dectomies (14, 22). However, the accuracy of the dif- The conformance between the PAS and the Alva-
ferent scoring systems in identifying children at low rado score was 75%. However, according to the Kappa
or high risk for appendicitis also depends on the pri- conformance statistical test, the Kappa conformance
mary clinicians and their use remains unclear as most value between the two scoring systems was only 46.8κ
of the scoring systems do not consider variation in dura- and statistically significant (p value = 0.013). These
tion from symptom onset. The signs and symptoms of results are similar to findings of a study by Pogorelić
patients with acute appendicitis may vary and all symp- et al. (2015) who found that there was no significant
toms might not be present at the time of admission. difference between Alvarado score (sensitivity, 89%;
Thus, it is important to note the duration of signs and specificity, 59%; positive predictive value, 93.1%) and
symptoms, and this should be considered when utiliz- PAS (sensitivity, 86%; specificity, 50%; positive predic-
ing clinical scoring systems in the diagnostic workup tive value, 90.1%)(31).
for appendicitis (30).
Our study found that PAS has a positive predictive Limitation
value of 80% when compared with the gold standard This research has never been done before, hence
diagnostics, which is in agreement with research by El- there is no comparable data. Our data are limited by
Shamy et al. (2017), who found a conformity value of small sample size despite we have taken the entire sam-
84% (15). The Alvarado score had a positive predictive ple from our hospital.
value of 55%, similar to the study by Chung et al. (2019)
who reported a positive predictive value of 65.7% (9).
The pARC showed a positive predictive value of only Conclusion
30%. This contradicts findings in a study by Gudjon- In conclusion, considering the three scoring sys-
sdottir et al. (2020) that found that 88% of cases with tems analyzed for use in the diagnosis of appendicitis
appendicitis and complicated appendicitis scored as in children, we have found that the PAS has an advan-
high risk on pARC scoring (3). tage over the others with 46.8κ conformance with the
The conformance between the Alvarado score and Alvarado scoring system and 19.4κ conformance with
the pARC was 55%, but according to the Kappa con- the pARC scoring system. From the analysis conducted
formance statistical test, the Kappa conformance value here, the author recommends the use of the PAS and
between the two scoring systems was only 13.5κ and Alvarado scoring systems in screening for appendicitis
not statistically significant (p value = 0.492). These in children due to the evidence based medicine behind
results are similar to those by Gudjonsdottir et al. the questionnaires and ease of use.
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Sources of funding:
The research was funded by the authors.
Conflicts of interests:
The authors report that there were no conflicts of interest.
Correspondence address:
Felicia
Depati Hamzah Regional Public Hospital, Received: 27.08.2020
Pangkalpinang, Indonesia Reviewed: 20.09.2020
E-mail: feliciacia28@gmail.com Accepted: 28.09.2020