Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Actual
INR in crores FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Revenue 11,023.97 12,423.93 13,573.89 16,656.00 20,159.99 18,849.31
Revenue Growth 12.70% 9.26% 22.71% 21.04% -6.50%
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Employee benefit expenses 665.89 731.19 828.05 1149.79 1432.15 1539.35
% of sales 6.04% 5.89% 6.10% 6.90% 7.10% 8.17%
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Optimistic
Base
Worse
Forecast
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
21081.07 23577.07 26368.59 29490.63 32982.32
11.84% 11.84% 11.84% 11.84% 11.84%
0 0 0 0 0
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
1.75% 1.75% 1.75% 1.75% 1.75%
2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40% 2.40%
5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%
8.50% 8.50% 8.50% 8.50% 8.50%
Actual
INR in crores FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
actual
INR in crores FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 277.33 360.05 358.76 730.02
actual Forecast
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25
FY24 2,120.56
FY23 1,896.07
FY22 1,695.34
FY21 1,431.93
Actual
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
INR in crores
Property,plant & equipment 1,802.85 2,083.15 2,391.11 3,080.40
Depreciation & amortisation expense 178.59 262.19 316.82 373.60 441.71
Capex 18.11 -8.86 315.69 263.19
-76.46
3186.84 3623.67 4052.72 4532.56 5069.21 5669.41
-101.73
-544.01 -645.74 -722.19 -807.70 -903.33 -1010.29
-120.00 -100.00 -80.00 -60.0
-221.97 -101.73 -76.46 -85.51 -95.63 -106.95
Change in wc
-106.95 FY25
-95.63 FY24
-85.51 FY23
-76.46 FY22
-101.73 FY21
-100.00 -80.00 -60.00 -40.00 -20.00 0.00
Cash flow
Actual
INR in crores FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 360.05 358.76 730.02 1,289.33 1,287.79
debt 11,349.00
40,770.50
TVS monthly
Date TVS motors NIFTY 500 returns
4/1/2015 225.30 6749.65
5/1/2015 227.69 6959.85 1.06%
6/1/2015 234.46 6897.20 2.97%
7/1/2015 228.60 7106.20 -2.50%
8/1/2015 214.82 6669.35 -6.03%
% total equity to 9/1/2015 220.97 6646.10 2.86%
capital 10/1/2015 255.02 6750.95 15.41%
Net debt to 11/1/2015 294.88 6686.10 15.63%
72% capital
12/1/2015 278.36 6724.75 -5.60%
1/1/2016 280.71 6339.45 0.85%
2/1/2016 257.56 5829.95 -8.25%
3/1/2016 311.14 6452.15 20.80%
4/1/2016 309.88 6588.55 -0.40%
5/1/2016 275.82 6804.00 -10.99%
6/1/2016 299.90 6980.80 8.73%
7/1/2016 282.70 7330.00 -5.74%
8/1/2016 315.94 7490.65 11.76%
9/1/2016 354.50 7394.85 12.21%
10/1/2016 392.44 7494.10 10.70%
362.50 7079.40 -7.63%
11/1/2016
12/1/2016 350.41 6982.80 -3.33%
1/1/2017 375.39 7379.30 7.13%
2/1/2017 416.70 7709.10 11.00%
3/1/2017 418.74 7995.05 0.49%
4/1/2017 483.54 8214.30 15.47%
5/1/2017 524.78 8350.95 8.53%
6/1/2017 535.40 8331.60 2.02%
7/1/2017 567.48 8793.30 5.99%
8/1/2017 588.54 8694.95 3.71%
9/1/2017 640.55 8600.00 8.84%
10/1/2017 705.13 9153.60 10.08%
11/1/2017 698.31 9154.50 -0.97%
12/1/2017 753.47 9490.65 7.90%
1/1/2018 681.22 9697.90 -9.59%
2/1/2018 665.73 9261.90 -2.27%
3/1/2018 605.45 8912.10 -9.05%
4/1/2018 653.76 9496.50 7.98%
5/1/2018 575.34 9315.35 -11.99%
6/1/2018 541.55 9162.45 -5.87%
7/1/2018 506.04 9650.60 -6.56%
8/1/2018 557.71 9992.00 10.21%
9/1/2018 548.60 9116.00 -1.63%
10/1/2018 533.51 8753.45 -2.75%
11/1/2018 548.08 9109.15 2.73%
12/1/2018 561.70 9170.00 2.48%
1/1/2019 491.64 9003.85 -12.47%
2/1/2019 445.38 8955.95 -9.41%
3/1/2019 463.03 9663.70 3.96%
4/1/2019 485.40 9664.30 4.83%
5/1/2019 472.63 9805.05 -2.63%
6/1/2019 422.24 9657.95 -10.66%
7/1/2019 362.93 9044.95 -14.05%
8/1/2019 348.04 8977.55 -4.10%
9/1/2019 416.13 9340.90 19.56%
10/1/2019 479.88 9689.65 15.32%
11/1/2019 470.61 9813.65 -1.93%
12/1/2019 461.93 9872.55 -1.84%
1/1/2020 460.55 9861.45 -0.30%
2/1/2020 429.64 9236.05 -6.71%
3/1/2020 294.77 6996.75 -31.39%
4/1/2020 326.48 8012.90 10.76%
NIFTY500 monthly
returns
3.11%
-0.90%
3.03%
-6.15%
-0.35%
1.58%
-0.96%
0.58%
-5.73%
-8.04%
10.67%
2.11%
3.27%
2.60%
5.00%
2.19%
-1.28%
1.34%
-5.53%
-1.36%
5.68%
4.47%
3.71%
2.74%
1.66%
-0.23%
5.54%
-1.12%
-1.09%
6.44%
0.01%
3.67%
2.18%
-4.50%
-3.78%
6.56%
-1.91%
-1.64%
5.33%
3.54%
-8.77%
-3.98%
4.06%
0.67%
-1.81%
-0.53%
7.90%
0.01%
1.46%
-1.50%
-6.35%
-0.75%
4.05%
3.73%
1.28%
0.60%
-0.11%
-6.34%
-24.25%
14.52%
DCF Valuation
WACC 9.90%
terminal growth 3.32%
Actual
INR in crores FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
Net cash flow 677.76 521.38 1,253.75 1,234.05
Discount factor
Present value
Growth
G
r
o
w
t
h
Ratio Analysis
actual Forecast
valuation ratios
CURRENT ASSETS
Inventories 931.29 882.6 1,161.86
Trade receivables 414.47 490.84 701.81
Loans - - -
Cash and cash equivalents 25.26 49.17 47.12
bank balances 2.46 4.4 4.14
other financial assets 27.26 34.25 16.88
Current tax assets 69.06 29.04 3.06
other Current assets 642.22 561.71 499.4
Total current assets 2112.02 2052.01 2434.27
Total assets 4780.24 5146.05 6127.96
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Borrowings 464.78 390.58 740.85
Lease liabilities - - -
Trade payables 1,525.21 1,626.52 1,953.69
other payables 24.83 28.12 32.56
other financial liabilities 143.79 241.95 130.32
Provisions for employee benefits 16.59 31.54 39.45
warranty 22.95 26.96 23.46
other current liabilities 229.07 278.89 288.29
Total current liabilities 2,427.22 2,624.56 3,208.62
Total liabilities 4,780.24 5,146.05 6,127.96
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20