Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Group Project
Presented to the Subject in
B-ECON002 (Managerial Economics)
Allied Business Department
College of Business Administration and Accountancy
De La Salle University - Dasmariñas
Dasmariñas, Cavite
November 2021
De La Salle University – Dasmariñas
INTRODUCTION
the market leader in Singapore and has expanded its operations in Asia to include nations such
as Malaysia and Thailand, with the Gardenia chain of bakeries in the Philippines being the most
recent addition. Because of the widespread recognition over the years, Gardenia is now the most
widely distributed loaf brand in the Philippines, reaching many sections around the country.
white, wheat, and health breads, flavored loaves, pandesal, muffins, and even toasts. Since then,
the brand has been renowned for its flavor, freshness, softness, aroma, and nutritional content.
(Graduateway, 2017). They have successfully established itself as the industry leader in bread,
and its product line has grown and evolved through time. Today, it creates a wide range of baked
goods to meet the desires of its clients. One of them is the famous Classic White Bread, which
is cholesterol-free, bromate-free, zero trans-fat, and vitamin and mineral enriched bread,
Gardenia White Classic Bread, as consumers perceive, has a great taste, freshness, oven-
baked aroma, softness, and nutritional value that can all be credited to its technologically
advanced bread manufacturing factory and modern baking method. It soon became the leading
bread brand in its class, despite having almost no advertising when it was initially introduced–
thanks to its customers, who buy the product and spread the word about it to their family and
friends. It captures the loyalty of its clients by naturally coming to mind whenever they think of
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buying a loaf of bread. Aside from being generic, the modest loaf has made its way to every
Filipino family's table for the past 13 years (Sun.Star Cebu, 2011).
Filipinos are certainly into bread and pastry products. They can eat bread any time of
the day. Be it breakfast, lunch, dinner, and even merienda, bread has been part of their meals.
Apart from rice, it has also become their alternative for carbohydrates to fill in their stomachs.
In an article written by Philippine Star (2011), Filipinos' love for bread is truly incomparable.
In that same report, the country's innovative and health-conscious bread maker, Gardenia, has
also provided many reasons consumers love their bread. First on the list is the Gardenia White
Classic Bread, ideal for making the perfect pambaon for students.
However, consumers of all generations consume bread, but there are significant
variances in how they acquire it depending on their age. To be effective in their marketing and
selling methods, bread manufacturers must first understand how people think about and shop
for bread, including the Baby Boomer and Generation X consumers (Hanes, 2020).
Those who are born following World War II are known as the "Baby Boomer
Generation." The term "baby boomer" was derived from a phenomenon known as the baby
boom. After the World War, there was a surge in birth rates, resulting in a boom. Although there
is considerable fluctuation depending on the birth years of this generation, the 1946–1964 period
Generation X, on the other hand, are those who were born in the years between the mid-
1960s and the early-1980s. They are sometimes called the "forgotten middle child" because
their birth years fall between the baby boomers and millennials, which was the time where the
In terms of buying bread, while younger generations spend more time in the grocery
store thinking about what brand they will purchase, baby boomers are more likely to stick with
what they know and grab for recognized brands or types of bread. Since they do not change
their bread preference based on other food trends, they are more ambivalent toward clean
labeling because this generation does not understand it very well. They are the kind of
consumers who tend to buy what specific brands they are only familiar with and purchase them
Similarly, Generation X does not shop based on the bread's appearances. They are more
concerned with evaluating and exploring which bread is the best to purchase and at what price.
The main reason is that Gen Xers have children at home and need to buy more bread to feed
their whole household. They also want to ensure that the bread they buy will satisfy their
In a report by Canivel of Philippine Daily Inquirer (2020), it was said that Gardenia
Bakeries had been forced to cut down its production due to the enhanced community quarantine
being implemented. The Gardenia marketing and sales manager, Nestor Constancia, also told
the Inquirer over the phone that the company could not keep up with the demand. When they
are delivered to supermarkets, products are quickly sold out. They could not even reach 50% of
their total capacity and were experiencing workforce constraints because of the pandemic. It
was also mentioned that the other bread factories all over the country have the same dilemma
By conducting this study, the researchers aim to determine the demand estimation of
Gardenia White Classic Bread in this time of the pandemic. The study will cover two
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generations - Baby Boomers and Generation X, with the Cavite area as the research locale. The
researchers will also aim to see how the dependent and independent variables will affect the
2. To determine the factors that significantly affect quantity demanded for Gardenia
3. To determine the demand estimation for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread.
As the study aims to determine the relationship between the quantity demanded for
Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread, and the independent variables, the researchers formed the
following hypothesis:
H0: There is no relationship between the intercept, and independent variables and the
METHODOLOGY
Research Design
The study utilized a quantitative, descriptive study research design. The quantitative
approach is used as the researchers gathered numerical data through a structured survey sent to
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target respondents. The data gathered through a quantitative study may be used to describe the
sample chosen and provide a conclusive and objective answer to the research questions (Bhatia,
2018). The descriptive study is designed to describe the characteristics of a certain population
and phenomenon, focusing on answering questions for what, when, and how rather than for
why. Quantitative, descriptive research was used in the study with the goal to describe the
demographic profile and the factors that significantly affect their demand for Gardenia.
Additionally, the study aimed to determine the underlying linear relationship between the
Sampling Procedures
The population of the study with a total number of 100, are individuals who belong to
the age generations Gen X (aged 45-56 years old), and Baby Boomers (aged 57-75 years old),
currently residing in different areas in Cavite. The researchers used the Modal Instance
Sampling method, and focused on the specific individuals from the said age generations that
meet the criteria to investigate the thoughts and actions of the best possible variables that the
study requires.
For data gathering purposes, the researchers made use of a survey questionnaire through
google forms. It is a two-part questionnaire containing questions about demographic profile and
buying habits, respectively. Due to the nature of some of the questions, the researchers have
included a notice at the beginning of the survey to inform the respondents that the pooled result
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will remain confidential, and that they are in no way forced to participate in the survey. The
questionnaires were sent to the participants individually, through an online platform such as
Data Analysis
The study used multiple linear regression analysis for the data analysis. This is used to
estimate the relationship between the dependent variable and multiple independent variables.
The data gathered and encoded in Microsoft Excel is analyzed through the Data Analytics tools
found in the application. Descriptive statistics, coefficients, significance, p-value, r square, and
other variables are generated which are then used to formulate the regression equation.
Moreover, the generated values are also used to calculate the elasticities of demand including
Table 1 details the demographic profile of the respondents including location, age,
gender, civil status, education (years of schooling), occupation, and household size.
Table 2 shows the demand relation information gathered from the respondents. Data on
price per loaf, quantity of loaf (per month), price of substitutes, and price of complements are
Regression Model Showing the Effect of the Independent Variable to the Quantity Demanded
A multiple regression analysis was applied to measure the effects of the independent
variables to the quantity demanded for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread resulting to the
Qd = F – P + PS – PC + M
The model shows the relationship between the dependent variable and the explanatory
variables used in the study. It shows the effects of each independent variable in determining the
value of the quantity demanded for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread.
The coefficient value for the independent variable, price per loaf, is -0.027. This
conforms to the Law of Demand which states that price and the quantity demanded for a product
have an inverse relationship with each other. As price increases by 1 peso per loaf, the quantity
demanded for Gardenia White Loaf Bread will decrease by 0.027 per loaf.
The price of the substitute good has a coefficient value of 0.0195. A positive value
indicates that there is a positive relationship between the quantity demanded of the respondents
and the price of substitute good. As price of substitute increase by 1 peso per loaf, the quantity
demanded for Gardenia White Loaf Bread will increase by 0.0195 per loaf.
The coefficient value for the independent variable, price of complement good, is -
0.0199. It indicates that for every increase of the price of complement goods, there will be a
resulting decrease in the quantity demanded of consumers for Gardenia Classic White Loaf
Bread, and vice versa. Therefore, as price increases by 1 peso per loaf, the quantity demanded
for Gardenia White Loaf Bread will decrease by 0.0199 per loaf.
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The coefficient value for the independent variable, income, is 3.32E-06. A positive value
indicates a positive relationship between income and quantity demanded of respondents, hence,
Gardenia White Loaf Bread is a normal good. As income increase by 1 peso, the quantity
demanded for Gardenia White Loaf Bread will increase by 0.00000332 per loaf.
T-Statistics measures the probability that results of the study occurred by chance. The
data analysis has a confidence level of 95% and a significance level of 5% therefore, the critical
value is 1.96. Table 3 shows the value of the t-stat for the independent variables used in the
regression model. The variables price per loaf, price of substitute, price of complement, and
income have a t-stat value of –0.91, 3.72, -1.55, and 1.05, respectively. The value of the t-stats
for variables price of substitute and income have exceeded the critical value therefore, the null
hypothesis for the two variables will be rejected. It can be concluded that the relationship
between price of substitute and quantity demand, and income and quantity demand are
statistically significant.
The P-value of the variables are statistically significant if values are less than 0.05. In
the results of the study, price of complement, having a p value of 0.003, is highly significant.
The results have an implication that the price of complement adds a substantial contribution in
Table 4 shows that the R-square of the model is at 0.174 which means that 17.4% of the
Subtracting 0.174 to 1 is equals to 0.826 which is equivalent to 82.6% of the variation that is
not explained and is cause by other factors not included in the model.
The standard error of a model is a measure of the precision of the model in making
predictions or estimates in the value of the quantity demanded for Gardenia White Loaf Bread.
The smaller the values, the higher the accuracy of the prediction, the closer the values are to the
regression line. On average, the estimates of the quantity demanded for Gardenia White Loaf
The Significance F of the model determines if your linear regression model fits the data
which means that the overall significance of the regression model is highly significant.
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Variable Elasticity
Price 0.47
Price of Substitute 0.23
Price of Complement 0.42
Income 0.04
(mean) / Quantity demanded (mean)). The coefficient of the price per loaf is -0.027093497, its
mean is 67.685, and the mean of quantity demanded which is 3.87. The computation yielded
0.47, which means Gardenia White Loaf Bread has an inelastic demand, having an elasticity
less than one. As price increases by 1%, the quantity demanded for Gardenia White Loaf Bread
To compute for cross price elasticity for the substitute, the following formula is used:
Price of Substitute (coefficient) * (Price of substitute (mean) / Quantity (mean)). The coefficient
of the price of substitute is 0.0195269697, its mean is 82.43, and the mean of quantity demanded
per loaf is 3.87. The computation resulted in an elasticity with a value of 0.23. This implies that
as price of substitutes per loaf increases by 1%, the quantity demanded for Gardenia White Loaf
To compute for cross price elasticity for the complement, the following formula is used:
coefficient of the price of complement is -0.019927385, its mean is 44.32, and the mean of
quantity demanded per loaf is 3.87.The computation resulted in elasticity with a value of 0.42.
This implies that as the price of complement per loaf increases by 1%, the quantity demanded
Income Elasticity
(Income (mean) / Quantity(mean)). The coefficient of income is 0.00000332, its mean is 51300
and the mean of quantity demanded is 3.87. The computation yielded 0.04 and this positive
value of elasticity means that Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread is a normal good. If income
will increase by 1%, the quantity demanded per loaf for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread
Summary
the market leader in Singapore and has expanded its operations in Asia to include nations such
as Malaysia and Thailand, with the Gardenia chain of bakeries in the Philippines being the most
recent addition. Because of the widespread recognition over the years, Gardenia is now the most
widely distributed loaf brand in the Philippines, reaching many sections around the country.
Today, it creates a wide range of baked goods to meet the desires of its clients. One of them is
De La Salle University – Dasmariñas
the famous Classic White Bread, which is cholesterol-free, bromate-free, zero trans-fat, and
The researchers aim to evaluate and explain the current performance of Demand
Estimation for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread among the Baby Boomers, and Generation
X in Cavite. The researchers have gathered one hundred (100) respondents, and the Modal
Instance Sampling method was used, which allowed the researchers to focus on the specific
individuals from the said age generations to investigate the thoughts and actions of the best
possible variables that the study requires. For data gathering purposes, the researchers made use
profile, and buying habits for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread, respectively. The
questionnaire was made in Google Forms and distributed to the participants individually
through the messaging application, Facebook Messenger. The data gathered from the survey
was analyzed and interpreted in Microsoft Excel, using the Regression Analysis to quickly and
efficiently gather the raw data and to sort out the data needed in the analysis.
The results from the data gathering show that the respondents’ preferred white loaf bread
brand aside from Gardenia, is Pinoy Tasty, followed by Marby’s and then Tiffany’s. As the
result of the preferred cut of the loaf, the respondents’ main choice is classic regular slice
followed by the thick slice. The study also revealed that the respondents’ most preferred product
to purchase alongside loaf bread is cheese, followed by butter, and the least is chocolate spread.
were extracted to form the linear equation that describes the relationship between quantity
demanded (response variable) and the independent variables consisting of the price per loaf,
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price of substitute, price of complement, and household income. The intercept determines the
are generated to determine which of the variables are significant. Price of complement, having
a p value of 0.003, is highly significant. The results have an implication that the price of
variation can only be explained by 17.4%, which is the coefficient of determination of the study.
Substitute/Price of Complement/ Income) (mean)). The equation for price elasticity per loaf
resulted to 0.47 which suggests that Gardenia White Loaf Bread has an inelastic demand. For
income elasticity, the resulting value is 0.04 which means that Gardenia White Loaf Bread is a
normal good. On the other hand, the value of the cross-price elasticity for the substitute is 0.42
Conclusion
In this study, the researchers aimed to estimate the demand for Gardenia Classic White
Loaf Bread. They used stratified random sampling in gathering data and multiple linear
regression for calculating the values. A regression model was also employed to determine the
impact of independent variables on the quantity demand for the said good. Results revealed that
there is a relationship between the intercept and independent variables and the quantity demand
The findings showed that consumers have an inelastic demand for the Gardenia Classic
White Loaf Bread. Even though its price increases, the quantity demanded is not much
decreasing. This also applies to the price of complementary goods since they are consumed
together. Based on the results, if its price will increase by 1 peso, the quantity demanded will
only decrease by 0.23%. While complementary goods have an inverse demand and price
relationship, the price of the substitute goods, on the other hand, has a direct demand and price
relationship. It means that an increase in its price will also increase the quantity demand of
consumers. Similarly, it has the same effect on the income. When the income of the respondents
increases, the quantity demanded for the good also increases. For that reason, the Gardenia
Among the substitute goods given, Pinoy Tasty is the most preferred as most of the
respondents chose it when looking for other brands of loaf bread. It is because Filipinos have
known this brand for its cheap price and Pinoy taste. When it comes to complementary good,
cheese had been the most selected of the respondents. This implication shows that older
generations, specifically the Baby Boomers and Gen Xers, pick cheese as the best association
with loaf bread. In addition, most respondents prefer the regular slice when purchasing Gardenia
As the study is limited to gathering data from those belonging in Generation X and Baby
Boomers, ages 45-75, and those currently residing in Cavite, Philippines, the researchers
recommend to widening the scope of the study to other generations and locations. This may
provide more insights on the demand estimates for Gardenia White Loaf Bread as respondents
References:
Canivel, R. S. C. (2020, March 28). No more bread? company forced to limit production.
INQUIRER.net. Retrieved November 6, 2021, from
https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1249728/no-more-bread-company-forced-to-limit-
production
Desiderio, L. (2021, October 2). No change in prices of Pinoy Bread Products. Philstar.com.
Retrieved November 6, 2021, from
https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2021/10/03/2131412/no-change-prices-pinoy-bread-
products
Philstar.com. (n.d.). Filipinos' love for bread. Philstar.com. Retrieved November 6, 2021, from
https://www.philstar.com/cebu-lifestyle/2011/08/09/714567/filipinos-love-bread.
Sunstar. (2021, August 21). Experiencing delicious with gardenia. Sunstar. Retrieved
November 6, 2021, from
https://www.sunstar.com.ph/article/1904816/Cebu/Lifestyle/Experiencing-delicious-
with-Gardenia.
The baby boomer generation-birth years, characteristics, and history. FamilySearch Blog.
(2020, December 29). Retrieved November 6, 2021, from
https://www.familysearch.org/en/blog/the-baby-boomer-generation-birth-years-
characteristics-and-history.
APPENDIX
Survey Questionnaire
Title: Demand Estimation for Gardenia Classic White Loaf Bread in Cavite: A Case of Baby
Demographic Profile
1. Name (Optional)
2. Place of Residence
• Bacoor
• Cavite City
• Dasmariñas
• General Trias
• Imus
• Tanza
• Trece Martires
• Other:
3. Gender
• Male
• Female
4. Age
5. Civil Status
• Married
• Single
• Widowed
6. Number of Members in the Household
7. Occupation
• Employed
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• Unemployed
• Self-Employed
8. Estimated Monthly Household Income
9. Highest Educational Attainment
Buying Habits
1. At what price do you normally purchase a whole pack of Gardenia White Loaf Bread?
(example: 70)
2. How many packs do you purchase in a month? (state in numerical figure, example: 3)
3. What type of Classic White loaf bread do you usually purchase from Gardenia?
• Classic White Bread-Regular Slice
• Classic White Bread-Thick Slice
4. If you do not wish to eat Gardenia Classic White loaf bread, from what other brands do
you purchase white loaf bread, and at what price for a whole loaf of bread?
• Marby’s
• Pinoy Tasty
• Tiffany’s
5. What other food items do you purchase along with Gardenia Classic White Loaf
Bread, and at what price?
• Butter
• Cheese
• Chocolate Spread
De La Salle University – Dasmariñas
APPENDIX TABLES
Mean 3.87
Standard Error 0.196769362
Median 4
Mode 4
Standard Deviation 1.96769362
Sample Variance 3.871818182
Kurtosis 2.902556884
Skewness 1.313276187
Range 11
Minimum 1
Maximum 12
Sum 387
Count 100
Price/loaf
Mean 67.685
Standard Error 0.690727
Median 67
Mode 65
Standard Deviation 6.907269995
Sample Variance 47.71037879
Kurtosis 3.714451266
Skewness 0.131222354
Range 50
Minimum 40
Maximum 90
Sum 6768.5
Count 100
Price of Substitute
Mean 82.43
Standard Error 4.095951561
Median 70
Mode 100
Standard
Deviation 40.95951561
Sample Variance 1677.681919
Kurtosis 2.297814431
Skewness 1.598535897
Range 180
Minimum 20
Maximum 200
Sum 8243
Count 100
Price of Complement
Mean 44.32
Standard Error 1.498408583
Median 40
Mode 35
Standard
Deviation 14.98408583
Sample Variance 224.5228283
Kurtosis 2.787403021
Skewness 1.540734989
Range 80
Minimum 20
Maximum 100
Sum 4432
Count 100
Mean 51300
Standard Error 6173.821
Median 35000
Mode 30000
Standard Deviation 61738.21
Sample Variance 3.81E+09
Kurtosis 28.99544
Skewness 4.66258
Range 495000
Minimum 5000
Maximum 500000
Sum 5130000
Count 100
Appendix 5: Descriptive Statistics for the Variable of the Monthly Household Income
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Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.416562497
R Square 0.173524314
Adjusted R Square 0.138725337
Standard Error 1.826115795
Observations 100
Appendix 6: Regression Statistics
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F