Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Reve
Nominal GDP Growth (Y-o-Y) 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 12%
Electrical Goods Inflation
Construction GVA as percentage of GDP 6% 6% 7% 7% 7%
CGEL % share in ECD peers 39% 39% 39% 39% 39%
CGEL % share in Lighting peers 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
Standalone Other Income as % of Revenue 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Consolidated Revenue as % of Standalone Revenue 100.41% 100.41% 100.41% 100.41% 100.41%
Ex
Raw Materials 22% 22% 22% 22% 22%
Purchase of Traded Goods 48% 48% 48% 48% 48%
Consolidated Purchase of Traded Goods 48% 48% 48% 48% 48%
Increase/Decrease in Stocks -1% -1% -1% -1% -1%
Employee Costs 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Employee Costs Y-o-Y Growth 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
Freight as % of Revenue 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Packing Materials as % of Revenue 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
After Sales & Promotion as % of Revenue 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
39% 39% 39% 39% 39% 39%
34% 34% 34% 34% 34% 34%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
100.41% 100.41% 100.41% 100.41% 100.41% 100.41%
Expense Based Assumptions
22% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22%
48% 48% 48% 48% 48% 48%
48% 48% 48% 48% 48% 48%
-1% -1% -1% -1% -1% -1%
7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
70% 70% 70% 70% 70% 70%
171.92 171.92 171.92 777.18 879.81 996.90
Other Assumptions
10.7275 10.7275 10.7275 42.91 42.91 42.91
25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
76 76 76 76 76 76
55 55 55 55 55 55
37 37 37 37 37 37
1% 1% 1% 1%
14.03% 14.03% 14.03% 14.03%
Based on the estimates given by the RBI & the World Bank & assuming an average inflation of 5%
The management hasn't indicated any spike in hiring/ substantial wage increases. Hence we believe the growth in
employee costs would be identical
Advertising Expenses Reduced for FY21 due to COVID. However we expect normalcy to return from FY22 & hence the
average growth in advertising expenses would be similar to that in the last 3 years
1055.45 959.71 938.19 1126.31 1203.89 1037.83 1030.31 1206.88 1346.84 1075.79
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1055.45 959.71 938.19 1126.31 1203.89 1037.83 1030.31 1206.88 1346.84 1075.79
275.19 143.46 236.02 256.19 340.89 133.05 301.62 280.93 261.59 231.01
522.97 464.57 430.79 520.22 544.73 500.77 456.70 556.42 642.91 528.12
-65.29 60.59 -39.10 -6.06 -71.35 107.26 -55.09 -4.11 2.83 -26.48
68.57 69.93 74.18 69.97 71.83 67.53 76.02 76.50 81.98 81.00
3.15 3.16 3.22 3.08 3.10 3.23 3.26 3.30 5.78 6.39
124.61 100.46 119.83 121.52 150.53 105.30 124.99 128.60 165.47 132.63
126.25 117.54 113.25 161.39 164.16 120.69 122.81 165.24 186.28 123.12
9.69 3.53 6.62 10.91 8.84 9.83 12.38 17.21 17.32 12.24
135.94 121.07 119.87 172.30 173.00 130.52 135.19 182.45 203.60 135.36
16.14 15.70 15.83 16.07 15.21 15.04 15.03 14.32 14.99 8.71
119.80 105.37 104.04 156.23 157.79 115.48 120.16 168.13 188.61 126.65
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
119.80 105.37 104.04 156.23 157.79 115.48 120.16 168.13 188.61 126.65
39.53 34.57 34.54 53.01 53.52 38.57 40.49 26.46 66.01 15.38
80.27 70.80 69.50 103.22 104.27 76.91 79.67 141.67 122.60 111.27
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
80.27 70.80 69.50 103.22 104.27 76.91 79.67 141.67 122.60 111.27
125.35 125.35 125.35 125.36 125.36 125.36 125.38 125.38 125.40 125.41
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1.28 1.13 1.11 1.65 1.66 1.23 1.27 2.26 1.96 1.78
1.28 1.13 1.11 1.64 1.66 1.22 1.26 2.25 1.94 1.76
1.28 1.13 1.11 1.65 1.66 1.23 1.27 2.26 1.96 1.78
1.28 1.13 1.11 1.64 1.66 1.22 1.26 2.25 1.94 1.76
Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21
1,030.31 1,206.88 1,346.84 1,075.79 1,071.29 1,026.34 720.1 1,213.19 1,348.17 1,522.05
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1,030.31 1,206.88 1,346.84 1,075.79 1,071.29 1,026.34 720.1 1,213.19 1,348.17 1,522.05
301.62 280.93 261.59 231.01 216.41 270.45 71.17 255.8 303.19 356.15
456.7 556.42 642.91 528.12 520.2 525.93 289.28 536.58 673.44 820.7
-55.09 -4.11 2.83 -26.48 -7.65 -94.99 125.32 20.94 -61.02 -124.31
76.02 76.5 81.98 81 77.36 70.61 72 79.65 92.93 92
3.26 3.3 5.78 6.39 6.42 8.2 7.99 7.66 6.88 7.16
124.99 130.07 165.61 132.85 128.29 113.13 61.13 128.97 139.58 149.53
122.81 163.77 186.14 122.9 130.26 133.01 93.21 183.59 193.17 220.82
12.38 16.96 17.3 12.25 17.54 11.96 18.58 16.68 19.89 20.6
135.19 180.73 203.44 135.15 147.8 144.97 111.79 200.27 213.06 241.42
15.03 14.32 14.99 8.71 8.72 8.25 10.78 11.13 10.56 10.44
120.16 166.41 188.45 126.44 139.08 136.72 101.01 189.14 202.5 230.98
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
120.16 166.41 188.45 126.44 139.08 136.72 101.01 189.14 202.5 230.98
40.49 25.87 66.01 15.56 -21.89 34.62 26.21 47.46 51.41 -18.1
79.67 140.54 122.44 110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
79.67 140.54 122.44 110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
79.67 140.54 122.44 110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08
125.38 125.4 125.4 125.41 125.45 125.46 125.46 125.47 125.48 125.54
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1.27 2.24 1.95 1.77 2.57 1.63 1.19 2.26 2.41 3.97
1.26 2.23 1.94 1.76 2.55 1.62 1.18 2.24 2.39 3.94
1.27 2.24 1.95 1.77 2.57 1.63 1.19 2.26 2.41 3.97
1.26 2.23 1.94 1.76 2.55 1.62 1.18 2.24 2.39 3.94
Profit & Loss (in Rs. Crores)
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18
Revenues
Net Sales/Income from operations 100% 100% 100%
As % of Standalone Sales 100% 100% 100%
Other Operating Income -- -- --
Other Income 0.97% 0.73% 0.95%
Expenditure
Consumption of Raw Materials 22.75% 28.32% 12.82%
Purchase of Traded Goods 46.19% 45.25% 48.25%
Increase/Decrease in Stocks -0.54% -5.93% 10.34%
Employees Cost 6.21% 5.97% 6.51%
Other Expenses 10.79% 12.50% 10.15%
Exceptional Items -- --
Minority Interest -- -- --
Share Of P/L Of Associates -- -- --
Profit & Loss (in Rs. Crores)
Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% 101% 101% 102% 100%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1.20% 1.41% 1.28% 1.14% 1.64% 1.17% 2.58% 1.37% 1.48% 1.35%
29.27% 23.28% 19.42% 21.47% 20.20% 26.35% 9.88% 21.08% 22.49% 23.40%
44.33% 46.10% 47.73% 49.09% 48.56% 51.24% 40.17% 44.23% 49.95% 53.92%
-5.35% -0.34% 0.21% -2.46% -0.71% -9.26% 17.40% 1.73% -4.53% -8.17%
7.38% 6.34% 6.09% 7.53% 7.22% 6.88% 10.00% 6.57% 6.89% 6.04%
12.13% 10.78% 12.30% 12.35% 11.98% 11.02% 8.49% 10.63% 10.35% 9.82%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Profit & Loss (in Rs. Crores) Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16
Approximate Perce
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17
CGEL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Havells 92% 92% 96% 96% 96% 96% 97% 97% 97%
Bajaj 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99% 99%
V-Guard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Approximate Perce
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17
CGEL 31% 31% 28% 28% 28% 28% 31% 31% 31%
Havells 40% 40% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14%
Bajaj 23% 23% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
V-Guard 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
ECD Reven
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17
CGEL 558.29 690.32 803.64 638.12 637.36 771.60 727.21 661.24 646.41
Havells 256.27 281.17 302.73 299.72 310.82 352.96 343.57 328.21 363.00
Bajaj 493.59 584.22 467.06 562.50 454.16 416.38 446.13 625.78 444.10
V-Guard 211.72 183.04 169.91 230.42 211.83 211.98 198.20
Sum Total 1785.15 1683.39 1572.24 1771.36 1728.74 1827.21 1651.72
Lighting Rev
Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17
CGEL 317.20 251.87 251.56 304.55 328.24 298.47 291.78
Havells 190.63 188.73 195.72 222.26 255.51 244.08 269.96
Bajaj 207.58 250.00 201.85 185.06 225.78 316.70 224.76
V-Guard
Surya
Sum Total 715.41 690.60 649.13 711.87 809.53 859.26 786.49
Net Sales/In 414.15 510.07 569.9 493.2 457.13 623.26 559.53 559.92 523.52
Other Operat 2.13 3.23 2.78 1.9 2.45 -- -- -- --
Total Income 416.28 513.3 572.68 495.1 459.58 623.26 559.53 559.92 523.52
tal Revenue of the Selected Listed Companies (in Rs. Crores)
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20
1,126.31 1,203.89 1,037.83 1,030.31 1,206.88 1,346.84 1,075.79 1,071.29 1,018.05 713.17
2,534.90 2,596.34 2,190.99 2,523.81 2,754.77 2,716.88 2,232.65 2,273.29 2,217.44 1,483.40
1,598.44 1,139.93 1,599.81 2,164.49 1,775.18 1,300.69 1,095.65 1,283.86 1,300.66 608.29
658.61 642.42 604.5 601.31 745.78 706.65 623.27 631.89 541.14 408
5,918.26 5,582.58 5,433.13 6,319.92 6,482.61 6,071.06 5,027.36 5,260.33 5,077.29 3,212.86
40.17%
ECD Revenues (in Rs. Crores)
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20
776.03 863.79 744.64 739.25 865.94 1011.61 808.03 804.65 764.66 557.70
468.10 496.77 419.21 482.89 527.08 627.96 516.04 525.43 512.52 333.10
622.73 393.23 551.87 746.66 612.37 654.85 551.62 646.38 654.84 343.06
249.35 242.90 228.56 227.36 281.98 266.92 235.42 238.68 204.40 154.42
2116.20 1996.69 1944.29 2196.16 2287.36 2561.34 2111.11 2215.13 2136.41 1388.28
0.34017757
Lighting Revenues (in Rs. Crores)
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20
350.28 340.10 293.19 291.06 340.94 335.23 267.76 266.64 253.39 155.47
348.12 323.89 273.32 314.84 343.66 323.75 266.04 270.89 264.23 152.41
315.16 223.02 312.99 423.46 347.30 264.46 222.77 261.04 264.45 123.93
1013.56 887.01 879.50 1029.37 1031.90 923.43 756.58 798.57 782.08 431.81
Chart Title
8.2
8
f(x) = 1.63717312803245 x − 17.5030397309435
7.8 R² = 0.811404511281546
7.6
7.4
7.2
6.8
15.15 15.2 15.25 15.3 15.35 15.4 15.45 15.5 15.55 15.6
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20
658.61 642.42 604.5 601.31 745.78 706.65 623.27 631.89 541.14 408
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
658.61 642.42 604.5 601.31 745.78 706.65 623.27 631.89 541.14 408
0.0527441
Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21
1,198.39 1,323.13 1,515.26
2,459.49 3,175.20 3,339.21
1,217.71 1,500.14 1,258.47
623.01 835.04 855.2
5,498.60 6,833.51 6,968.14
Vol P
1 100 5
2 101 5
3 102.01 5
4 103.0301 5
5 104.0604 5
6 105.101 5
7 106.152 5
5 500 500
5.2 505 525.2
5.408 510.05 551.6701
5.62432 515.1505 579.4743
5.849293 520.302 608.6798
6.083265 525.505 639.3572
6.326595 530.7601 671.5808 0
Construction GVA at Current Prices Total Lighting Revenue of Peers LN(GVA) LN(Ind_Rev)
Q1FY17 273538 715.41 12.51919574 6.572852134643
Q2FY17 262498 690.60 12.4780002 6.537562983989
Q3FY17 274360 649.13 12.52219763 6.475639505705
Q4FY17 270473 711.87 12.50792905 6.567889098473
Q1FY18 288043 809.53 12.57086476 6.696456861164
Q2FY18 281258 859.26 12.54702806 6.756066091654
Q3FY18 306395 786.49 12.63263063 6.667580655842
Q4FY18 324718 1013.56 12.69071162 6.921220874321
Q1FY19 325930 887.01 12.69443646 6.78785463639
Q2FY19 315553 879.50 12.66208148 6.779354809
Q3FY19 346559 1029.37 12.75580763 6.936702919234
Q4FY19 361754 1031.90 12.79872027 6.939155700151
Q1FY20 351017 923.43 12.76859108 6.8280982063
Q2FY20 318342 756.58 12.6708816 6.628805952097
Q3FY20 334189 798.57 12.7194619 6.68282027266
Q4FY20 365090 782.08 12.80789948 6.661953663877
Q1FY21 169670 431.81 12.04161033 6.067990703464
Q2FY21 290115 762.04 12.5780329 6.635998560376
Q3FY21 366437 920.31 12.81158145 6.824709474741
Q4FY21 455826 929.81 13.0298668 6.834975588907
Q1FY22 268328.86 613.20
Q2FY22 326095.12 830.31
Q3FY22 439121.17 1052.18
Q4FY22 456910.64 931.40
Q1FY23 350616.38 749.04
Q2FY23 426097.63 1014.26
Q3FY23 491815.71 1143.39
Q4FY23 511739.92 1012.14
FY24 1976099.29999174 4230.24
FY25 2193470.22299083 4566.39
FY26 2434751.94751983 4929.25
Log-Log Regression
7.2
7
f(x) = 0.863723670764129 x − 4.22760791516166
R² = 0.72239767167925
6.8
6.6
6.4
6.2
5.8
5.6
11.8 12 12.2 12.4 12.6 12.8 13
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8499398047
R Square 0.7223976717
Adjusted R Square 0.7069753201
Standard Error 0.1075004517
Observations 20
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.541310331851 0.5413103 46.840955 2.0974051E-06
Residual 18 0.208014248048 0.0115563
Total 19 0.749324579898
0.027641
0.013597
0.022647
113.8917 129.9373
189.6885 216.4128
189.6885 216.4128
616.6206 698.6838
879.8069 996.8963
Profit & Loss (in Rs. Crores) Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17
Revenues
ECD Revenues 803.64 638.12 637.36 771.60 727.21 661.24
Y-o-Y Growth -10% 4%
Lighting Revenue 317.20 251.87 251.56 304.55 328.24 298.47
Y-o-Y Growth 3% 19%
Net Sales/Income from operations 1,120.84 889.99 888.92 1,076.15 1,055.45 959.71
Y-o-Y Growth -- -- -- -- -6% 8%
Other Operating Income
Total Income From Operations 1,120.84 889.99 888.92 1,076.15 1,055.45 959.71
Other Income 0.15 4.15 5.04 6.88 9.69 3.53
Total Income 1,120.99 894.14 893.96 1,083.03 1,065.14 963.24
Expenditure
Consumption of Raw Materials 245.95 150.68 190.81 231.69 275.19 143.46
Purchase of Traded Goods 546.52 411.60 434.59 542.16 522.97 464.57
Increase/Decrease in Stocks -21.04 52.33 -17.68 -32.76 -65.29 60.59
Employees Cost 47.34 49.84 59.49 68.51 68.57 69.93
Other Expenses 147.09 128.17 122.41 127.99 124.61 100.46
EBITDA 155.13 101.52 104.34 145.44 139.09 124.23
EBITDA Margin 14% 11% 12% 13% 13% 13%
Depreciation 2.8 2.72 2.63 2.89 3.15 3.16
P/L Before Other Inc. , Int., Excpt. Items & Tax 152.33 98.80 101.71 142.55 135.94 121.07
EBIT 152.33 98.8 101.71 142.55 135.94 121.07
EBIT Margin 14% 11% 11% 13% 13% 13%
Interest 14.68 16.06 16.24 15.26 16.14 15.7
P/L Before Exceptional Items & Tax 137.65 82.74 85.47 127.29 119.8 105.37
Exceptional Items 0 0.45 0 2.07 0 0
PBT 137.65 82.29 85.47 125.22 119.8 105.37
Tax 45.71 27.33 28.11 38.78 39.53 34.57
PAT 91.94 54.96 57.36 86.44 80.27 70.80
Prior Year Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0 0
Extra Ordinary Items 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Profit/(Loss) For the Period 91.94 54.96 57.36 86.44 80.27 70.8
Equity Share Capital 125.35 125.35 125.35 125.35 125.35 125.35
Reserves Excluding Revaluation Reserves -- -- -- -- -- --
Equity Dividend Rate (%) -- -- -- -- -- --
EPS Before Extra Ordinary
Basic EPS 1.47 0.88 0.92 1.38 1.28 1.13
Diluted EPS 1.47 0.88 0.91 1.38 1.28 1.13
EPS After Extra Ordinary
Basic EPS 1.47 0.88 0.92 1.38 1.28 1.13
Diluted EPS 1.47 0.88 0.91 1.38 1.28 1.13
Profit & Loss (in Rs. Crores)
Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20
646.41 776.03 863.79 744.64 739.25 865.94 1011.61 808.03 804.65 764.66
1% 1% 19% 13% 14% 12% 17% 9% 9% -12%
291.78 350.28 340.10 293.19 291.06 340.94 335.23 267.76 266.64 253.39
16% 15% 4% -2% 0% -3% -1% -9% -8% -26%
938.19 1,126.31 1,203.89 1,037.83 1,030.31 1,206.88 1,346.84 1,075.79 1,071.29 1,018.05
6% 5% 14% 8% 10% 7% 12% 4% 4% -16%
938.19 1,126.31 1,203.89 1,037.83 1,030.31 1,206.88 1,346.84 1,075.79 1,071.29 1,018.05
6.62 10.91 8.84 9.83 12.38 17.21 17.32 12.24 17.39 11.92
944.81 1,137.22 1,212.73 1,047.66 1,042.69 1,224.09 1,364.16 1,088.03 1,088.68 1,029.97
236.02 256.19 340.89 133.05 301.62 280.93 261.59 231.01 216.41 270.45
430.79 520.22 544.73 500.77 456.70 556.42 642.91 528.12 520.20 520.62
-39.10 -6.06 -71.35 107.26 -55.09 -4.11 2.83 -26.48 -7.65 -94.99
74.18 69.97 71.83 67.53 76.02 76.50 81.98 81.00 77.36 70.61
119.83 121.52 150.53 105.30 124.99 128.60 165.47 132.63 128.11 112.93
123.09 175.38 176.10 133.75 138.45 185.75 209.38 141.75 154.25 150.35
13% 15% 15% 13% 13% 15% 15% 13% 14% 15%
3.22 3.08 3.1 3.23 3.26 3.3 5.78 6.39 6.42 8.2
119.87 172.30 173.00 130.52 135.19 182.45 203.60 135.36 147.83 142.15
119.87 172.3 173 130.52 135.19 182.45 203.6 135.36 147.83 142.15
13% 15% 14% 12% 13% 15% 15% 12% 14% 14%
15.83 16.07 15.21 15.04 15.03 14.32 14.99 8.71 8.72 8.25
104.04 156.23 157.79 115.48 120.16 168.13 188.61 126.65 139.11 133.9
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
104.04 156.23 157.79 115.48 120.16 168.13 188.61 126.65 139.11 133.9
34.54 53.01 53.52 38.57 40.49 26.46 66.01 15.38 -21.91 34.09
69.50 103.22 104.27 76.91 79.67 141.67 122.60 111.27 161.02 99.81
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69.5 103.22 104.27 76.91 79.67 141.67 122.6 111.27 161.02 99.81
125.35 125.36 125.36 125.36 125.38 125.38 125.4 125.41 125.45 125.46
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
1.11 1.65 1.66 1.23 1.27 2.26 1.96 1.78 2.57 1.59
1.11 1.64 1.66 1.22 1.26 2.25 1.94 1.76 2.55 1.58
1.11 1.65 1.66 1.23 1.27 2.26 1.96 1.78 2.57 1.59
1.11 1.64 1.66 1.22 1.26 2.25 1.94 1.76 2.55 1.58
Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22
557.70 937.14 1034.69 1184.93 789.96 1031.19 1188.00 1334.61 926.61 1209.57
-45% 16% 29% 55% 42% 10% 15% 13% 17% 17%
155.47 261.25 288.44 330.33 208.49 282.31 357.74 316.68 254.67 344.85
-54% -2% 8% 30% 34% 8% 24% -4% 22% 22%
713.17 1,198.39 1,323.13 1,515.26 998.45 1313.50 1545.74 1651.29 1181.28 1554.41
-47% 11% 24% 49% 40% 10% 17% 9% 18% 18%
713.17 1,198.39 1,323.13 1,515.26 998.45 1313.50 1545.74 1651.29 1181.28 1554.41
18.76 16.66 19.87 20.34 10.52 13.84 16.29 17.40 12.45 16.38
731.93 1,215.05 1,343.00 1,535.60 1008.97 1327.34 1562.04 1668.69 1193.73 1570.80
71.17 255.80 303.19 355.28 217.65 286.33 336.96 359.96 257.51 338.85
284.86 527.35 653.46 817.53 477.64 628.36 739.46 789.95 565.11 743.61
125.32 20.94 -61.02 -123.44 -11.76 -15.47 -18.21 -19.45 -13.92 -18.31
72.00 79.65 92.93 92.00 66.30 87.21 102.63 109.64 78.44 103.21
61.00 128.79 139.39 149.06 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
117.58 202.52 215.05 245.17 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
16% 17% 16% 16% #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
7.99 7.66 6.88 7.16
109.59 194.86 208.17 238.01 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
109.59 194.86 208.17 238.01 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
15% 16% 16% 15% #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
10.78 11.13 10.56 10.44
98.81 183.73 197.61 227.57 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
0 0 0 0
98.81 183.73 197.61 227.57 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
25.1 46.65 50.18 -18.95 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
73.71 137.08 147.43 246.52 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
73.71 137.08 147.43 246.52 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
125.46 125.47 125.48 125.54
-- -- -- --
-- -- -- --
1393.50 1565.47
17% 17%
388.75 344.13
9% 9%
1782.26 1909.60
15% 16%
1782.26 1909.60
18.78 20.13
1801.04 1929.73
388.51 416.27
852.61 913.53
-21.00 -22.50
118.34 126.79
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
#NAME? #NAME?
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Revenues
ECD Revenues 3214 3395 3756 4362 5116 5908
Y-o-Y Growth 6% 11% 16% 17% 15%
Lighting Revenues 1265 1125 1047 1170 1338 1438
Y-o-Y Growth -11% -7% 12% 14% 8%
Net Sales/Income from operations 4479 4520 4804 5532 6454 7347
Y-o-Y Growth 1% 6% 15% 17% 14%
Other Operating Income
Total Income From Operations 4479 4520 4804 5532 6454 7347
Other Income 48 59 76 58 68 77
Total Income 4527 4579 4879 5590 6522 7424
Expenditure
Consumption of Raw Materials 1056 979 986 1201 1401 1602
Purchase of Traded Goods 2059 2217 2320 2637 3076 3502
Increase/Decrease in Stocks -23 -126 -39 -65 -76 -87
Employees Cost 292 311 337 364 393 424
Other Expenses 511 540 479 596 688 777
EBITDA 632 658 796 857 1040 1206
EBITDA Margin 14% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16%
Depreciation 13 27 30 34 42 51
EBIT 619 631 767 823 998 1156
EBIT Margin 14% 14% 16% 15% 15% 16%
Interest 60 41 43 43 43 43
P/L Before Exceptional Items & Tax 560 591 724 780 955 1113
Exceptional Items
PBT 560 591 724 780 955 1113
Tax 158 94 107 194 230 278
PAT 401 496 617 586 725 835
Prior Year Adjustments
Extra Ordinary Items
Net Profit/(Loss) For the Period 401 496 617 586 725 835
Minority Interest
Share Of P/L Of Associates
Net P/L After M.I & Associates 401 496 617 586 725 835
Equity Share Capital 125 125 125 125 125 125
Reserves Excl Revaluation Reserves -- -- -- -- -- --
Equity Dividend Rate (%) -- -- -- 55% 55% 55%
Basic EPS 2 2 -- 1 2 2
Diluted EPS 2 2 -- 1 2 2
Basic EPS 2 2 -- 1 2 2
Diluted EPS 2 2 -- 1 2 2
FY25 FY26
6823 7880
15% 15%
1553 1676
8% 8%
8376 9556
14% 14%
8376 9556
88 101
8464 9657
1826 2083
3992 4555
-99 -113
458 495
880 997
1407 1640
17% 17%
60 72
1346 1568
16% 16%
43 43
1304 1525
1304 1525
326 381
978 1144
978 1144
978 1144
125 125
--
55% 55%
2
2
2
2
Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19
808.025869 804.645919 770.883974 563.1182 948.71458 1054.26894 1190.2431 793.220504 1035.44537 1192.903
9% 9% -11% -44% 17% 31% 54% 41% 9% 13%
267.764131 266.644081 255.456026 156.9818 264.47542 293.90106 331.8069 209.347085 283.470422 359.216881
-9% -8% -25% -53% -1% 10% 30% 33% 7% 22%
1,075.79 1,071.29 1,026.34 720.1 1,213.19 1,348.17 1,522.05 1002.567589 1318.915791 1552.119882
4% 4% -15% -47% 13% 26% 48% 39% 9% 15%
1,075.79 1,071.29 1,026.34 720.10 1,213.19 1,348.17 1,522.05 1,002.57 1,318.92 1,552.12
12.25 17.54 11.96 18.58 16.68 19.89 20.6 10.52 13.84 16.29
1,088.04 1,088.83 1,038.30 738.68 1,229.87 1,368.06 1,542.65 1,013.09 1,332.76 1,568.41
231.01 216.41 270.45 71.17 255.8 303.19 356.15 217.6513549 286.3286347 336.9558314
528.12 520.2 525.93 289.28 536.58 673.44 820.7 477.8803496 628.6697738 739.8280178
-26.48 -7.65 -94.99 125.32 20.94 -61.02 -124.31 -11.7630439 -15.4747316 -18.2108962
81 77.36 70.61 72 79.65 92.93 92 66.29521253 87.2138733 102.634594
132.85 128.29 113.13 61.13 128.97 139.58 149.53 149.02 149.02 149.02
141.54 154.22 153.17 119.78 207.93 219.94 248.58 114.01 197.00 258.18
13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 16% 16% 11% 15% 16%
6.39 6.42 8.2 7.99 7.66 6.88 7.16 8.615366193 8.615366193 8.615366193
135.15 147.80 144.97 111.79 200.27 213.06 241.42 105.39 188.39 249.57
12% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 10% 14% 16%
8.71 8.72 8.25 10.78 11.13 10.56 10.44 10.7275 10.7275 10.7275
126.44 139.08 136.72 101.01 189.14 202.50 230.98 94.66 177.66 238.84
126.44 139.08 136.72 101.01 189.14 202.50 230.98 94.66 177.66 238.84
15.56 -21.89 34.62 26.21 47.46 51.41 -18.1 23.66617 44.414941 59.710423
110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08 71.00 133.24 179.13
110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08 70.9985107 133.244823 179.131269
110.88 160.97 102.1 74.8 141.68 151.09 249.08 70.9985107 133.244823 179.131269
125.41 125.45 125.46 125.46 125.47 125.48 125.54
-- -- -- -- -- -- --
-- -- -- -- -- -- --
Intangible Assets
Gross Block 10.10 10.87 12.14 12.35 13.27 14.35 15.57
Deductions -0.02
Accumulated amortisation 3.93 5.68 7.64 9.53 10.55 11.53 12.55
Deductions -0.02
Net Block 6.17 5.19 4.50 2.82 2.72 2.81 3.03
460.41 545.45
0.00 0.00
264.29 334.84
0.00 0.00
196.11 210.62
10.86 10.86
206.97 221.48
74.55 85.05
1% 1%
59.35 70.54
14.03% 14.03%
16.98 18.57
13.64 14.85
3.33 3.73
1.40 1.60
1.09 1.20
60 72
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) FY22E FY23E FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E FY28E
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Net Income 586 725 835 978 1144
+ Depreciation & Amortization 34 42 51 60 72
- CapEx -50 -59 -67 -76 -87
- Net change in working capital -199 -57 -55 -64 -73
+ interest(1-tax rate) 32 32 32 32 32
FCFF 404 683 796 930 1088 1394 1786
Discount Rate 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Discount Factor 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Present Value of FCFF 363 552 577 607 638 734 845
Terminal Value
Final Year Cash Flow 3758
Perpetual Growth Rate 4.50%
Cost of Capital 11%
Terminal Value 57929
Present Value of Terminal Value 22141
15.00%
10.00%
f(x) = 0.743030009547689 x + 0.00311913304653154
R² = 0.153085548406297 5.00%
0.00%
-10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
-20.00%
gression Statistics
0.3912614834
0.1530855484
0.1498029343
0.0415265633
260
df SS MS F Significance F
1 0.080420420226 0.08042 46.63526 6.1058422E-11
258 0.444909508455 0.001724
259 0.525329928681
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
0.003119133 0.002592231143 1.203262 0.229978 -0.0019854921 0.0082237582 -0.0019854921
0.7430300095 0.108805080877 6.829001 6.106E-11 0.52877089346 0.9572891256 0.5287708935
Upper 95.0%
0.0082237582
0.9572891256
Risk Free 6.14%
MRP 7%
Beta 0.743
Cost of Equity 11.3410%
WACC 11.28%