Experiment Situation we want to study

Event A possible outcome

a head, a tail
Sample Space
Collection of all possible outcomes.

Experiment: Tossing a coin Experiment: Tossing 2 coins

P(heads) = P(2 heads) =
Sample space S = {H,T} Sample space S = {HH,HT, TH, TT}

Marginal probability = Classic probability = event / sample space

Experiment: Tossing 2 coins

P(2 heads) = 25%
Sample space S = {HH,HT, TH, TT}
N ( total number of cards ~ deck) = 52 Fair condition Find the probability of drawin
Find the probability of drawing the ace of hearts? N ( total number of cards ~ d
# aces of hearts = 1
P(ace of hearts) = 1.92% # aces = 4

Find the probability of drawing a black card?

N ( total number of cards ~ deck) = 52 Fair condition

# black cards = 26

P(a black card) = 50%

Find the probability of drawing an ace?
N ( total number of cards ~ deck) = 52 Fair condition

# aces = 4
P( 1 ace) = 7.69%
N = # of cards ~52 N = 51
P( 1st black card) 13 spades 50% P( 2nd black card) 25 black cards
13 clubs
26 black cards 49%

P(3rd black card) = N = 50 48%

24 black cards

P(4th black card) = N = 49 47% P(5th black card) = N = 48

23 black cards 22 black cards

Answer ( Multiply all probabilities) 2.531%

Sample : Selecting a woman and then selecting a man Product rule

Sample: Selecting a woman or patient younger than 15 years old Addition rule
25 black cards

46%
22 black cards
Addition rule
A deck of 52 cards
I am going to draw 2 cards at random, assuming fair conditions
what is the probability of randomly selecting the ace of hearts or the King of diamonds?

P(ace of hearts) = 0.019231

P(king of diamonds) = 0.019231

Answer 4%

A deck of 52 cards Blackjack

I am going to draw 2 cards at random, assuming fair conditions
what is the probability of randomly selecting an ace or a King?

P( 1 ace) = 0.076923
P( 1 king) = 0.076923

Answer 15%

A deck of 52 cards
I am going to draw 2 cards at random, assuming fair conditions
what is the probability of randomly selecting an ace or a black card?

P( 1 ace) = 0.076923
P( 1 black card) = 0.5 (includes the ace of clubs and the ace of spades)
P(2 black aces) = 0.038462

Answer 54%
 Decimal %
a) P(X <= 24) 0.39 39%
b) P(X >= 40) 0.015 2%
c)
P(B ) = P( under 30) P( A ꓵ B )
P(A l B) =
P(A) = P(not yet 20) P(B)

P(under 30) = 0.68

P(A l B) = 0.187 18.7%
P( A ꓵ B ) = 0.127

d)
P(B ) = P( 35 yrs or older) P( A ꓵ B )
P(A l B) =
P(A) = P(under 40 ) P(B)

P(35 yrs or older) = 0.1

P(A l B) = 0.850 85.0%
P( A ꓵ B ) = 0.085
a) 0.387
b) 0.494
c)

P(B) = P(pr source govt program) P( A ꓵ B ) P(A l B) = 0.6984

P(A l B) =
P(A) = P(it is Medicare) P(B)

P(B) = P(pr source govt program) 0.494

P( A ꓵ B ) 0.345
69.84%
a) AND question (both)

P(47 year old woman uninsured) =

P(59 year old man uninsured) =

R// 0.015129

Answer = Respuesta

b)

P( not having insurance ) = 0.123

P( having insurance) =

P(47 year old woman having insurance)

P(59 year old having insurance) =

Answer 0.769129

c)
Answer 2.815306E-05
0.00002815
woman uninsured) = 0.123
man uninsured) = 0.123

1.51%

nsurance ) = 0.123
0.877

woman having insurance) = 0.877

having insurance) = 0.877

77%

0.003%