30 30

32 32
37 37
43 mean
44 (n+1)/2 median
49
39.1666667
71
88
91
110 median
mean
52.3346425

-59.5
-27.5 12 mean 0
-13.5 13 median 32
-1.5 1 mode 46
0.5 2 variance 58
4.5 6 standard deviation 60
19.5 45 64
20.5 23 79
26.5 24 80
30.5 21 86
0 23 90
24 595
59.5 11
 9/27/2022
Median( measures something in the middle) Q1
4.9 6.3
Quartile
1(n+1)/4

(X-M) (X-M)^2 Q1
SEARCH STD DEV 0 -56.8 3226.24 45 67
21 -35.8 1281.64
32 -24.8 615.04
35 -21.8 475.24
47 -9.8 96.04
50 -6.8 46.24 Q1
66 9.2 84.64 Q2
97 40.2 1616.04 Q3
105 48.2 2323.24
115 58.2 3387.24
0 13151.6
568 568 1315.16
56.8 1315.16 0^2
0 = /0^2 = 1315.16
STANDARD VARI = 36.26513

10/4/2022
Measures Of Variation
Coefficient of Variation

1 1
2 2
3 3
1
 MEDIAN
MEAN 1
MEDIAN 2
MODE 3
4
5

1
3
5 MEASURE OF CENTRAL TENDENCY
3
3 in the middle data X
2
4 GEO MEAN MEDIAN MODE =
1 22 22 X
3 23
12 75
3 12.48706 N X
5.333333 1 30 (n+1)/2
2 40
3 44
4 50 (4+1)/2

(X-Mean)
2
12
33
22 21 3.5 43
23 21 33
45 42 45
43 43
23 33
45

5.5 124 62
4.9 45
6.65 6.3 67 Q1
 7.7 87
8.9 98
Q2 Q3 10.3 103 Q3
7.7 8.9 10.3 11.7 11.7 110

2(n+1)/4 3(n+1)/4

1.75
3.5
92.5 Q3
87 98 103 110 9.925
Q2 2*(6+1)/4 = 3.5

Q1 = ( 45 X 0.25 ) + ( 67 X 0.75 ) Q3 5.25

= 61.5

Q2 = 6 + 1 /2
= 3.5
756.25 = 87 + 98
= 185
= 185/2
0 = 92.5
21
32
35
47
50
1 66
97
105
115

M N
21 221
23 223
25 240
27 250
28 255
28 260
30 265
40 269
41 270
42 270
47 285
52 290
 55 296
63 299
mean 37.28571 263.7857
variance 175.4505 604.7967
standard 13.24577 24.59261
Coeffi V 0.355251 0.09323
 2
3
3
4
1
7
5 QUESTION FOR SEPTI

DATA MOST OFTEN APPEARED SEARCH!

3 MEAN
MEDIAN
MODE
FROM THIS DATA BELLOW!!!
N= VARIANCE
X
1 2
2.5 = 42 2 4
42 3 12
4 17
5 18
6 20
7 22
8 23
9 23
10 30

13.52702
MEAN 17.1

MEDIAN 5.5 28 19

MODE 23
 185
92.5

= (103 X 0.75) + ( 110 X 0.25) / = (103 X 0.25) + (110 X 0.75)

= 104.75 108.25

370
490
530
530
615
715
880
960
636.25
Standard Dev

X-M
 10/18/2022
Time Series Modelling

Time-series forecasting model

Qualitative Forecasting Quantitive Forecasting

Time series / Casual
( Trend Comp / Seasonal Comp / Cyclical Comp / Irregular Compon

Moving Average

Exponential smoothing model

E1=

W = 0.2

3 Year MA 5-Year MA7-Year MA W 0.2

63 63
88 85.33333 68
105 97.33333 86.4 75.4 200
99 93.66667 87.8 86 80.12 180
77 82 90.2 94.14286 79.496 160
70 82.33333 93.2 101.5714 77.5968
140
100 96.66667 101.4 105.2857 82.07744
120 120 112.2 108.4286 89.66195 120
140 130.3333 122.4 113.1429 99.72956 100
131 130.6667 124.4 122.5714 105.9836 80
121 120.6667 127.6 131 108.9869
60
110 122.3333 131.4 138.1429 109.1895
136 135 139.2 145.1429 114.5516 40
159 155 152.8 123.4413 20
170 172.6667 132.753 0
189 144.0024 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1
1553.99
 data 3 MA 4 MA
21 21
45 152 25.8
86 221 242 37.84
90 286 331 48.272
110 430 60.6176
230 94.49408
omp / Irregular Component )
500
450
400
350
300
250 data
3 MA
200 4 MA
150 Column R
100
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6

200
23
35 180
75 160
17 140
19
120
Data 33
3 YEAR 37 100 Da
5 YEAR Sm
39 80
7 YEAR
89 60
65
40
83
20
0
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
 =(0.2*O6)+(0.8*

data
3 MA
4 MA
Column R

Data
Smoothing model

12 13 14 15 16
Frequency

65 52 28 74 27 11 19 21
56 43 38 21 29 23 23 24
24 22 65 11 30 29 30 32
19 55 41 73 42
23 32 95 23 55
44 22 54 47 84

Exercise 1

7 5 9 10 12 16 5
7 5 10 9 12 17 9
9 6 13 11 15 20 11
11 8 16 14 19 25 14
14 11 21 18 25 31 17
15 12 24 18 27 34 24

From the data, construct a frequency distribution table along with the graphs
 E. Data Percentage
1 up to 10 0
10 up to 20 77.7
20 up to 30 94.3
30 or more 99.8

Exercise 2

construct a moving average series from the folloing data Example MA = 5

3 year 5 year 7 year W 0.2 W 0.4
21 21 21 21
25 25 24.33333 21.8 22.6
27 27 28.33333 28.2 22.84 24.36
33 33 31.66667 31.4 31 24.872 27.816
42 35 35 34.2 33.71429 26.8976 30.6896
40 37 37 36.8 36 28.91808 33.21376
37 39 38.66667 38.4 38.14286 30.93446 35.52826
35 40 40 39.8 39.85714 32.74757 37.31695
39 41 41 41.4 41.71429 34.39806 38.79017
41 42 42.66667 43.2 35.91845 40.0741
45 45 45 37.73476 42.04446
48 48 39.78781 44.42668
357.8488 397.86

1 21
2 25
3 27
4 33
5 35
6 37
7 39
8 40
9 41
10 42
11 45
12 48
Mean 36.08333
Median 6.5 76 38
Mode There are no consecutive same number in the data
 22 22
27 28

ORDERED ARRAY

5 6 7 7 8
9 9 10 10 11
11 12 12 12 13 9.666667 10
14 15 15 16 16
18 18 19 20 21
25 25 27 31 34
9 1556778999
EXERSICE 1 19 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 14 14 15
Frequency Distribution Table 6 20 20 21 24 25 25 27
2 30 31 34
36
A. Distribution of Data = (34-5)/3
Data Frequency 1 but less than 10
1 up to 10 9 10 but less than 20
10 up to 20 19 20 but less than 30
20 up to 30 6 30 but less than 40
30 or more 2
36

B. Distribution of Propotion

Data Proportion 0.25 0.217

1 up to 10 9/36 = 0.25 0.527 0.4
10 up to 20 19/36 = 0.527 0.166 0.15
20 up to 30 6/36 = 0.166 0.055 0.133
30 or more 2/36 = 0.055 0.998 0.083
Total 1 0.017
1

C. Distribution of Precentage

Data Percentage 25
1 up to 10 25 52.7
Percentage 10 up to 20 52. 7 16.6
0 20 up to 30 16. 6 5.5
77.7 30 or more 5. 5 99.8
94.3 Total 100
99.8

0
77.7
94.3
99.8

60

50

40
Column E
MA 3
30 MA 5
MA 7
20 W 0.2
W 0.4
10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
 7.25

11 12 12 12 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 18 18 19
40
35
30
25
9 0.25 25 0 20 Column U
19 0.527778 52.77778 77.77778 15
6 0.166667 16.66667 94.44444 10
2 0.055556 5.555556 100 5
36 1 100 0

60

50

40

30
Column S

20

10

0
1 10 20 30
1
10 60

50

40
 60
20
30 50
40
40

30
Column S

20

10

0
1 10 20 30

120

100

80

60
Column S

40

20

0
1 10 20 30
 1.2 120
1 100

0.8 80

0.6 Column V 60 Column X

0.4 40

0.2 20

0 0

5 but less than 10 9 0.25 25 0 0.35

10 but less than 15 11 0.305556 30.55556 55.55556 0.3
15 but less than 20 8 0.222222 22.22222 77.77778 0.25
0.2
20 but less than 25 3 0.083333 8.333333 86.11111
0.15
25 but less than 30 3 0.083333 8.333333 94.44444
0.1 Colum
30 but less than 35 2 0.055556 5.555556 100 0.05
35 but less than 40 0
36 1 100 5 but 10 but 15 but 20 but 25 but 30 but
less less less less less less
than than than than than than
10 15 20 25 30 35
5 but less than 10 9 0.25 25 0 0.6
10 but less than 20 19 0.527778 52.77778 77.77778 0.5
20 but less than 30 6 0.166667 16.66667 94.44444 0.4
30 but less than 40 2 0.055556 5.555556 100 0.3
36 1 100 Colu
0.2
0.1
0
5 but less 10 but 20 but 30 but
than 10 less than less than less than
20 30 40
 35 120
30 100
25 80
20 60
15
40
Column AH 10 Column AI
20
5
0 0
0 but 25 but 30 but 5 but 10 but 15 but 20 but 25 but 30 but 5 but 10 15 20 2
ess less less less less less less less less less but but but b
han than than than than than than than than than less less less le
25 30 35 10 15 20 25 30 35 10 than than than th
15 20 25 3
 60 120
50 100
40 80
30 60
Column AH 20 Column AI 40
10 20
0 0
but 20 but 30 but 5 but less 10 but 20 but 30 but 5 but less 10 but 20 but
han less than less than than 10 less than less than less than than 10 less than less tha
0 30 40 20 30 40 20 30
 Column AJ

5 but 10 15 20 25 30
less but but but but but
than less less less less less
10 than than than than than
15 20 25 30 35
 Column AJ

5 but less 10 but 20 but 30 but

than 10 less than less than less than
20 30 40
 STANDRAD DEVIATION/VARIATION

V X (X-M) (X-M)^2
1 0 -56.8 3226.24
2 21 -35.8 1281.64
3 32 -24.8 615.04
4 35 -21.8 475.24
5 47 -9.8 96.04
6 50 -6.8 46.24
7 66 9.2 84.64
8 97 40.2 1616.04
9 105 48.2 2323.24
10 115 58.2 3387.24
= 0 13151.6 Total
MEAN 568 Tot 0/10 1315.16
56.8 M Total 0
0^2 = /1315.16
36.26513
 MEASURE OF VARIATION

N X
1 0
2 21
3 32
4 35
5 47
6 50
7 66
8 97
9 105
10 115
MEAN 56.8 AVERAGE
VARIANCE 1461.28889 VAR
= /1315.16 STNDR DEF 38.2268085 STEDV
STANDARD VARIATION COEF V 1.48586822 = (MEAN/STANDARD DEV) X 100%

148.586822 Manual = (MEAN/STANDARD DEV) X 100

 QUANTITIVE FORCEASTING

DEV) X 100%

N/STANDARD DEV) X 100 X 100%