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Year 8 Probability – Not-Quite-So-Quick Quizzle

Name: _____________________________

1 Explain what is meant by two events being


mutually exclusive. _________________
6 I have a biased spinner with four sides
labelled A, B, C and D. The table below
show the probability of spinning each side:

A B C D
0.1 0.5 x x
2 A pack of cards has 52 cards, with 13 of a) Determine x .
each of the four suits.
What’s the probability that after I pick a _________________
random card, the card is red and an even
number? b) If I spun this spinner 150 times,
how many times would I expect
to see a C?

________________________
3 a) Given that I throw three coins, list all 7 a) Laurie claims that the probability
possible outcomes (the sample space) of throwing a heads on an unfair
after 3 throws (using H for Heads and coin is 0.3. Hayden throws this
T for Tails). coin 200 times and sees 63 heads.
Hayden claims that Laurie is
wrong.
Do you agree? Explain why.

b) Hence determine the probability that


I throw exactly 2 heads in 3 throws.

b) In Battersea Dogs & Cats Home,


there are cats, dogs and staff.
Dhruv picks one of these things
________________________ from the home. He claims that
4 I throw two six-sided dice and add their because there are three choices,
values. the probability of picking a cat is
Draw a sample space to illustrate this. 1
. Explain why Dhruv is wrong.
3

8 a) I throw a fair coin 80 times and


see a heads 36 times. What’s the
relative frequency/experimental
probability of seeing a tails?

5 Hence (using your above table) determine


the probability of the sum of two dice ______________________
thrown being equal to a prime number
(note that 1 is not prime). b) I throw another unfair coin and
hence calculate the relative
frequencies of heads and tails as
0.15 and 0.85. What’s the
smallest number of heads and

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smallest number of tails I could moves?
have thrown?

___________________________ ____________
9 I throw 6 dice. 12 [Difficult] Continuing from the question
above, what is the probability that the
a) How many ways are there that I could robot is at the point A after exactly 3
see all of the numbers 1 to 6 (in any moves?
order)?

___________________

b) [Difficult] By considering also how ____________________


many possible outcomes there are, 13 The following table shows the preference
hence determine the probability that of TV show for 100 children, who were all
when I throw 6 dice, I see all of the asked to pick between Doctor Who and
numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6, giving Sherlock (but weren’t allowed to choose
your answer to 3dp. both).

Doctor Sherlock
Who
Boys 25 35
____________________ Girls 20 20
10 The probability that Jim succeeds in his
maths test is 0.3. The probability that he
a) What is the probability that a
succeeds in his English test is 0.4. Jim
randomly chosen child is a boy
claims that the probability he succeeds in
and prefers Sherlock?
his maths test or his English test is
therefore 0.7.
__________
Is he right? Explain why.
b) Given that a boy is randomly
chosen, what is the probability
that they prefer Doctor Who?

__________

_______________________________ Platinum: 13, Gold: 11, Silver: 9,


11 A robot is on a square grid at the indicated Bronze: 8
position. On each move, the robot
randomly moves left, right, up or down.

Robot

a) What’s the probability the robot


is at the point A after exactly one
move?

___________

b) What’s the probability the robot


is at the point A after exactly 2

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Answers 7 a) Laurie claims that the probability
of throwing a heads on an unfair
1 Explain what is meant by two events being coin is 0.3. Hayden throws this
mutually exclusive. coin 200 times and sees 63 heads.
The events can’t happen at the same Hayden claims that Laurie is
time. wrong.
Do you agree? Explain why.
2 A pack of cards has 52 cards, with 13 of
each of the four suits. No. We would expect to see 60
What’s the probability that after I pick a heads on average, and 63 is close
random card, the card is red and an even to 60, so the Laurie is probably
number? right.
10 5
P ( Red∧Even )= = b) In Battersea Dogs & Cats Home,
52 26
there are cats, dogs and staff.
3 c) Given that I throw three coins, list all
Dhruv picks a random creature
possible outcomes (the sample space)
from the home. He claims that
after 3 throws (using H for Heads and
because there are three choices,
T for Tails).
the probability of picking a cat is
HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT,
THH, THT, TTH, TTT
1
. Explain why Dhruv is wrong.
3
d) Hence determine the probability that Because there’s different
I throw exactly 2 heads in 3 throws. numbers of dogs/cats/humans,
3 so the chances of each aren’t
P (2 H )= equal.
8

4 I throw two six-sided dice and add their


values. 8 a) I throw a fair coin 80 times and
Draw a sample space to illustrate this. see a heads 36 times. What’s the
relative frequency/experimental
2D table with vertical and horizontal probability of seeing a tails?
headings indicated. Values [2, 3, 4, 5, 6,
7], [3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8], … indicated across 44 11
∨ ∨0.55
rows. 80 20
b) I throw another unfair coin and
5 Hence (using your above table) determine hence calculate the relative
the probability of the sum of two dice frequencies of heads and tails as
thrown being equal to a prime number 0.15 and 0.85. What’s the
(note that 1 is not prime). smallest number of heads and
smallest number of heads I could
15 5 have thrown?
P ( ∑ is prime ) = =
36 12
3
6 I have a biased spinner with four sides 3 (since 0.15= )
labelled A, B, C and D. The table below 20
show the probability of spinning each side:

A B C D
0.1 0.5 x x
c) Determine x .

x=0.2
d) If I spun this spinner 150 times,
how many times would I expect
to see a C?

30 times.

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11 [Difficult] Continuing from the question
9 I throw 6 dice. above, what is the probability that the
a) How many ways are there that I could robot is at the point A after exactly 3
see all of the numbers 1 to 6 (in any moves?
order)?
9
6 !∨720 64
b) By considering also how many (The nine possible paths are LUR, RUL,
possible outcomes there are, hence UUD, DUU, URL, ULR, UDU, RLU, LRU. The
determine the probability that when I number of total possible paths increases
throw 6 dice, I see all of the numbers by a factor of 4 each time there’s an extra
1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6, giving your answer move)
to 3dp.
Give half a mark for denominator of 64.
6!
6
=0.015
6 12 The following table shows the preference
10 The probability that Jim succeeds in his of TV show for 100 children, who were all
maths test is 0.3. The probability that he asked to pick between Doctor Who and
succeeds in his English test is 0.4. Jim Sherlock (but weren’t allowed to choose
claims that the probability he succeeds in both).
his maths test or his English test is
therefore 0.7. Doctor Sherlock
Is he right? Explain why. Who
Boys 25 35
No, because the two events aren’t Girls 20 20
mutually exclusive (and thus we can’t add
the probabilities). a) What is the probability that a
10 A robot is on a square grid at the indicated randomly chosen child is a boy
position. On each move, the robot and prefers Sherlock?
randomly moves left, right, up or down.
35/100 or 7/20 or 0.35
b) Given that a boy is randomly
chosen, what is the probability
that they prefer Doctor Who?
A 25/60 or 5/12 or 0.417
Robot

a) What’s the probability the robot


is at the point A after exactly one
move?
1/4

b) What’s the probability the robot


is at the point A after exactly 2
moves?

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