CDO Impact Chain and CDRA Summary of Findings

Urban Use/Land Use: Flooding

General Findings
Flooding (All intensity for all GIS derived areas exposed)
Decision
TECHNICAL FINDINGS RISKS FINDINGS
Area
Exposure Vulnerability Severity of Consequence Current Risk Future Risk (Considering RCP 8.5 projection for Precipitation for mid-21 st century and
with no adaptation done)
Lower Bound Median Upper Bound +Growth and Development
Trends
All Uses Total area exposed to SENSITIVITY: Average severity of Of the 105,723 GIS referenced Projected trend Projected trend Observed For Upper bound projection,
Flooding is 3,787 Building walls with light to consequence score for all areas assessed: is decreasing is decreasing seasonal rainfall the below baseline of areas
hectares salvageable materials uses is 1.5 but count of areas - A total of 17 areas were rainfall for all rainfall for all baseline is susceptible to flooding,
- <0.5m is 913.77 - Average estimated percentage are per consequence level identified as very high risk: 3 seasons of the seasons of the projected to totaling to 2583.41 hectares,
hectares of in all affected areas to (for all flood intensity) is in residential areaS, 8 in year. As such, year, except DJF have: could increase with risk also
- 0.5m to 1.5m is various flooding = 17.26% shown below: commercial areas, 5 the risks faced season which is increasing
1,451.47 hectares Residential = 18.21% institutional areas, 1 in by the city for all projected to +124.5mm (DJF)
- >1.5m is 1,422.47 Commercial = 14.65% Low industrial area. Land Uses is have no/minimal +8.3mm (MAM)  West Urban Growth Area
hectares Industrial = 10.76% Land Use #areas - There 19,388 GIS referenced likewise change. With +90.2mm (JJA) Bulua = 340.27
(none for P/OS and Commercial 11031 areas which are high risk, expected to this, the risks +97.3mm (SON) Patag = 49.12
Top 20 Brgy (highest to Industrial) Industrial 1473 16,796 of which are in have a faced by the city Kauswagan = 298.70
lowest) for areas exposed residential areas. decreasing trend for all Land Use The risk faced by Bonbon = 78.81
Institutional 1013
IPONAN - Top 10 Bgrys - Moderate risk areas total to when frequency is likewise areas assessed Bayabas= 121.20
Parks/Open
BULUA BALULANG = 31.39% 30,276 GIS referenced points, and intensity expected to will also have an
Spaces 1149
KAUSWAGAN MACASANDIG = 26.7 and again residential area tops decrease have a increasing trend  West Uptown Growth
Residential 45350
BALULANG IPONAN= 23.99 this with 23,472 identified decreasing trend Area
TABLON CARMEN= 22.11 areas. when frequency Primary impacts: Carmen = 148.08
Moderate
CANITOAN= 20.74 - Low risk areas which is the and intensity - Accumulatio Canitoan = 260.74
CANITOAN Land Use #areas
19.03 highest in number (56,042 decrease n of excess Lumbia = 19.02
MACASANDIG CAMAMAN-AN= Commercial 3819 areas) were also identified. Of water Pagatpat = 100.53
BUGO BULUA 15.72
Industrial 634 the low risk areas, 45,959 or - Overflowing
CARMEN TABLON 15.49
Institutional 306 82% are in residential areas. of major  East Uptown Growth
CAMAMAN-AN BUGO 10.23 rivers Area
Parks/Open
BAYABAS KAUSWAGAN 9.58 Spaces 43 (see table ____) - Increase Gusa = 96.33
LAPASAN Residential 40867 volume of Indahag = 33.72
AGUSAN Average of Est. percentage of (create table from surface run- Macasandig = 201.33
BAIKINGON dilapidated/ condemned buildings High RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab) off Camaman-an = 126.12
PAGATPAT out of affected structures - Over-
Land Use #areas
- 0.60% identified saturation of  East Urban Growth Area
PUNTOD Commercial 12
- Top 10 Brgys soil in sloped Upper&Lower Puerto
GUSA Industrial 3
CUGMAN Total area (Ha) at risk (per areas =29.14
KAUSWAGAN Institutional 10 category and LofOcc) for all land - Increase Bugo = 149.36
BONBON Residential 13
BUGO uses: vulnerability Agusan = 110.11
NAZARETH
CANITOAN in blighted Balubal = 0
TABLON There is no area which very high 39.42 areas (water, Tablon = 280.14
Total Affected Value scored “very high or 4” in its health,
CAMAMAN-AN 4 39.42
(replacement cost) is Php severity of consequence accessibility  Downtown Growth Area
BULUA low 926.95
211.6 Billion where: concerns) Poblacion = 171.94
BALULANG 3 55.04
Residential = MACASANDIG 2 871.91 Carmen = 148.08
Php172,445,301,646.43 CARMEN high 1,267.57 Lapasan = 111.66
Commercial = IPONAN 4 1,233.58 Puntod = 97.01
26,714,656,045.51 3 33.99 Macabalan = 20.81
Industrial = Average of Estimated percentage moderate 1,553.78
Php8,064,010,550.23 of buildings built before 1992 4 149.47
Institutional = affected structures = 6.65% CDRA identified very high risk
3 1,362.44
4,418,337,184.65 sites in some growth area
(No analysis for projected 2 41.86 barangays which could be
Top 10 Brgys
cost for affected value) Grand Total 3,787.71 exacerbated in the future
BALULANG
MACASANDIG BULUA 7.87 HAs
Top 20 Brgy (highest to *moderate risk areas tops the
IPONAN MACASANDIG 3.56 HAs
lowest) in terms of exposure when it comes to
CARMEN LAPASAN 1.93 HAs
Affected Value: hectares of area at risk followed
CANITOAN by high at risk areas, low risk area, 22 (Población) 0.60 HAs
CAMAMAN-AN and least at very high risk areas. 01 (Población) 0.33 HAs
IPONAN 27,937,807,051.85
BULUA --- 02 (Población) 0.08 HAs
BULUA 22,129,342,984.32
TABLON Total affected value (per category
CANITOAN 17,570,156,021.13
BUGO and LofOcc) for all land uses:
BALULANG 16,464,229,271.49 High risks areas in the growth
MACASANDIG KAUSWAGAN
12,640,696,482.98 3,941,950 area barangays are already at
TABLON 12,181,959,978.06 very high ,247.36 644.55 hectares. Said areas in
Average of Estimated percentage
KAUSWAGAN 11,411,823,415.61 4 3,941,950,247.36 the barangays could become
of structures not employing 15,401,40
BAIKINGON 9,433,420,730.88 very high risk should no action
resilient design = 8.24% low 2,047.85
CARMEN 7,771,178,695.82 be done.
Top 10 Brgys (All uses, all floods) 3 2,437,435,559.28
CAMAMAN-AN 7,696,378,095.23
IPONAN 10.34% 2 12,963,966,488.57 Low and moderate risk areas
AGUSAN 7,130,194,115.32
CARMEN 9.02% 123,356,73
PAGATPAT 6,706,348,200.08 totaling to 1,924.49 hectares
high 2,658.07
CAMAMAN-AN 8.80% could have increased risk over
BUGO 6,495,801,746.24
BULUA 8.71% 4 121,657,338,086.15
the future
LAPASAN 5,627,232,491.20
BUGO 8.17% 3 1,699,394,571.91
PUNTOD 4,507,422,698.34 68,942,22
BALULANG 7.69% moderate 0,473.55 For lower bound projection
BAYABAS 4,361,743,430.76
MACASANDIG 7.56% (decreasing rainfall), the
4 484,913,236.85
BONBON 4,178,789,080.09
TABLON 7.45% growth areas could suffer
3 67,829,340,356.83
GUSA 3,580,453,119.98
CANITOAN 7.40% from limited water supply,
2 627,966,879.88
NAZARETH 3,137,362,222.22
KAUSWAGAN 6.24% 211,642,30 decrease in acquifer recharge,
CUGMAN 3,077,050,174.37 Grand Total 5,426.83 drying up of rivers/streams,
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: decrease in greenery that
Average of Est. percentage of could aggravate heat
owners aware and provided *high risk areas top the exposure stress/UHI in the city.
information on hazards and climate to potential damage relative to
change = 100% cost followed by moderately at
risk areas, low risk area, and least
Average of Est. percentage covered at very high risk areas.
by infrastructure-related measures -----
= 11.35%
Residential 9.44% Risk Categories in Barangays:
VH= in 9 Barangays (Barangays 01,
Commercial 20.92%
02, 22, Bulua, Canitoan, Iponan,
Industrial 21.22%
Lapasan, Macansandig, Nazareth)
Parks/Open Spaces 0.00%
H = in 51 Barangays
Institutional 22.28% M = in 61 Barangays
 L= in 67 Barangays
- Top 10 Brgys (all uses all
floods) *It is the vulnerability of
residential areas that makes it top
BALULANG 15.41% the risk. Also because of number
CARMEN 14.51% of affected area.
IPONAN 13.67%
MACASANDIG 13.55%
TABLON 12.02%
BULUA 11.88%
CAMAMAN-AN 11.16%
CANITOAN 10.14%
KAUSWAGAN 6.60%
BUGO 6.29%

Average of Est. percentage of

owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
30.07%

Top 10 Brgys
BALULANG 33.01%
CANITOAN 32.58%
KAUSWAGAN 30.52%
CARMEN 30.51%
IPONAN 30.36%
CAMAMAN-AN 30.29%
MACASANDIG 29.83%
BUGO 29.74%
BULUA 29.20%
TABLON 29.01%

Average of Est. percentage of

property covered by insurance =
25.85
Residential 28.74%
Commercial 14.22%
Industrial 12.71%
Parks/Open Spaces 0.00%
Institutional 11.84%
Top 10 Brgys:
BUGO 38.50%
IPONAN 32.38%
KAUSWAGAN 28.43%
BULUA 28.40%
CAMAMAN-AN 28.33%
TABLON 25.88%
CANITOAN 22.82%
CARMEN 21.85%
 MACASANDIG 14.65%
BALULANG 10.64%

LGU capacity to make investments

= very high

Government Regulations on hazard

mitigation zoning and structural
design standards
- Generally C or Moderate (Local
government has existing
regulations on hazard
mitigation and structural
design)

Summary Per Flood Intensity/Susceptibility

Hazard: Flooding
A. High Flood Susceptible Areas (with flooding intensity of >1.5 meter)

Decision Technical Findings Risk Category and other Info

Area
Exposure Vulnerability Severity of Consequence Current Future
(Considering RCP 8.5 projection for Precipitation for mid-21st century)
Lower-Bound Median Upper-Bound +Growth and Development
Trends
Residential - Total hectares exposed SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = 0 Area & Cost per Risk Category: Projected trend Projected trend Observed Upper-bound projection
to >1.5m = 1,126.76 Average estimated percentage Very High = 18.37 Ha., P1.84B is decreasing is decreasing seasonal rainfall
- Top 6 Barangays for of Building walls with light to (3) High = 13 areas High = 1,104.96 Ha; P110.50B rainfall for all rainfall for all baseline is  Floods of >1.5m would be
residential use (Iponan salvageable materials = 50% Moderate= 3.43 Ha;P340M seasons of the seasons of the projected to more likely (highly probable)
= 213.99, Average of Est. percentage of 01 1 Low = 0 year so the risks year, except DJF have:  Total residential areas
Balulang=144.51, dilapidated/ condemned AGUSAN 2 faced by the city season which is exposed could increase
Canitoan=129.12, buildings out of affected BULUA 5 --- for all residential projected to have +124.5mm (DJF)  The planned residential
Bulua=121.11, structures = 0.05% CAMAMAN-AN 2 Very High Risk = 3 Brgys area is likewise no/minimal +8.3mm (MAM) growth and development in
Macasandig=107.99, CANITOAN 3 (Canitoan, Bulua, 01) expected to have change. With +90.2mm (JJA) the upper and mid-stream
Baikingon=86.44) Average of Estimated High = 28 a decreasing this, the risks +97.3mm (SON) areas could increase the risk
- Total affected value = percentage of buildings built (2) Moderate = 19,341 Moderate = 27 trend when faced by the city and vulnerabilities of areas
Php174,445,301,646.43 before 1992 affected structures Low = 0 frequency and for all residential The risk faced by downstream to flooding.
= 25% (1) Low = 0 (see list in table___) intensity use is likewise areas assessed Future risk would be higher
decrease expected to have will also have an without considering a ridge
Average of Estimated (create table from a decreasing increasing trend to reef approach and if
percentage of structures not RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab) trend when development controls are
employing resilient design = 10% frequency and not imposed.
intensity
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: decrease Lower-bound and Median
Average of Est. percentage of Projection:
owners aware and provided The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
information on hazards and coupled by population growth
climate change = 100% can increase the vulnerability
of people to potential water
Average of Est. percentage stress or decrease in access for
 covered by infrastructure-
related measures = 25%
Average of Est. percentage of
owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
35%
Average of Est. percentage of
property covered by insurance =
0 or none
LGU capacity to make
investments = very high
Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards
Generally C or Moderate (Local
government has existing
regulations on hazard mitigation
and structural design)
Commercial - Total hectares exposed SENSITIVITY:
to >1.5m = 104.52 Average estimated percentage
- Top 5 Barangays of Building walls with light to
(Lapasan=16.78, salvageable materials= 50%
Bulua=13.10,
Nazareth=10.84, Average of Est. percentage of
Consolacion=8.54, dilapidated/ condemned
Iponan=5.67) buildings out of affected
- Total affected value = structures = 0.0% or none
Php 26,714,656,045.51
Average of Estimated
percentage of buildings built
before 1992 = 15%
Average of Estimated
percentage of structures not
employing resilient design = 20%
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
Average of Est. percentage of
owners aware and provided
information on hazards and
climate change = 100%
Average of Est. percentage
covered by infrastructure-
related measures = 15%
Average of Est. percentage of
(4) Very High = 0 Area & Cost per Risk Category:
Very High = 15.04 ha; P1.5B
(3) High = 8 (in three High = 88.2 ha; P8.82B
Barangays: Iponan, Moderate = 1.27 ha; P127M
Macasandig, Nazareth) Low = 0
(2) Moderate = 2,256 Very High = 3 Brgys (Nazareth,
Macasandig, Iponan)
(1) Low = 871 High = 35
Moderate = 32
Low = 0
(see list in table___)
(create table from
RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab)
residential areas.
DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
(where same or more rainfall as
to current is projected)
presents an opportunity to
harvest water that can be used
by residential areas for
domestic use purposes.
Upper-bound projection
 Floods of >1.5m would be
more likely (highly probable)
 Total commercial areas
exposed could increase
 Severity of impacts of
flooding to business and
commerce in the city could
increase
 More flooding in
commercial areas can
disrupt and impact formal
and informal jobs and
livelihoods, especially those
dependent on daily wage
Lower-bound and Median
Projection:
The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
coupled by economic growth
can increase the pressure for
water services from
commercial/business
establishment
DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
(where same or more rainfall as
 owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
35%
Average of Est. percentage of
property covered by insurance =
30%
LGU capacity to make
investments = very high
Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Industrial - Total hectares exposed SENSITIVITY:
to >1.5m = 16.06 Average estimated percentage
- Top 5 Barangays of Building walls with light to
(Tablon =5.37, Puntod salvageable materials= 50%
= 4.45, Iponan = 2.87,
Bulua 2.76, Bugo= 0.40) Average of Est. percentage of
- Total affected value = dilapidated/ condemned
Php8,064,010,550.23 buildings out of affected
structures = 0.0% or none
Average of Estimated
percentage of buildings built
before 1992 affected structures
= 15%
Average of Estimated
percentage of structures not
employing resilient design = 20%
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
Average of Est. percentage of
owners aware and provided
information on hazards and
climate change = 100%
Average of Est. percentage
covered by infrastructure-
related measures = 15%
Average of Est. percentage of
owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
(4) Very High = 0 Area & Cost per Risk Category:
Very High = 2.82 has, P282M
(3) High = 1 (Iponan) High = 13.12 has; P1.31B
Moderate = 0.11has; P11.1M
(2) Moderate = 204 Low = 0
(1) Low = 81 Very High = 1 Brgy (Iponan)
High = 6 Brgys (Tablon,
Puntod, Bulua, Bugo, Cugman,
Iponan)
Moderate = 4 (Puntod, Bulua,
Tablon, Cugman)
Low = 0
(see list in table___)
(create table from
RiskInfoSummary3 tab)
to current is projected)
presents an opportunity to
harvest water that can be used
by commercial areas for
purposes it could serve.
Upper-bound projection
 Floods of >1.5m would be
more likely (highly probable)
 Total industrial areas
exposed could increase
 More flooding in industrial
area can disrupt and impact
formal and informal jobs
and livelihoods
allied/related to the
industry, especially those
dependent on daily
wage/income.
Lower-bound and Median
Projection:
The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
coupled by economic growth
can increase the pressure for
water services from industries
DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
(where same or more rainfall as
to current is projected)
presents an opportunity to
harvest water that can be used
by industry locators.
 35%
Average of Est. percentage of
property covered by insurance =
30%
LGU capacity to make
investments = very high
Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Institutional - Total hectares exposed Average estimated percentage
to >1.5m = 13.51 of Building walls with light to
- Top 5 Barangays salvageable materials= 50%
(Lapasan =3.60,
Carmen = 2.34, Average of Est. percentage of
Camaman-an = 1.37, dilapidated/ condemned
Brgy22= 1.21, buildings out of affected
Macasandig= 1.11) structures = 0.0% or none
- Total affected value =
Php 4,418,337,184.65 Average of Estimated
percentage of buildings built
before 1992 affected structures
= 15%
Average of Estimated
percentage of structures not
employing resilient design = 20%
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
Average of Est. percentage of
owners aware and provided
information on hazards and
climate change = 100%
Average of Est. percentage
covered by infrastructure-
related measures = 15%
Average of Est. percentage of
owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
35%
Average of Est. percentage of
(4) Very High = Very High = 3.18 ha; P318M Upper-bound projection
High = 10.29ha; P1.03B
(3) High = 5 Moderate = 0.04; P3.9M  Floods of >1.5m would be
Barangays: Low = 0 more likely (highly probable)
01 ------  Total commercial areas
02 exposed could increase
22 Very High = 4 Brgys (Lapasan,  Severity of impacts of
LAPASAN 22, Nazareth, 01, 02) flooding to institutional
NAZARETH High = 19 areas in the city could
Moderate = 11 increase
(2) Moderate = 91 Low = 0  More flooding in
institutional area can disrupt
(1) Low = 26 (see list in table___) and impact the services to
people
(create table from
RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab) Lower-bound and Median
Projection:
The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
coupled by socio-economic
growth can increase the
demand from institutions to
provide water while also having
an increase in water need for
institutional facilities
DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
(where same or more rainfall as
to current is projected)
presents an opportunity to
harvest water that can be used
by used by government
institutions
 property covered by insurance =
30%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Parks and - Total 161.63 hectares SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Affected Areas: Upper-bound projection
Open Spaces exposed to flooding Average estimated percentage
>1.5 meters of Building walls with light to (3) High = 0  Floods of >1.5m would be
- Top 5 Barangays use salvageable materials= 50% high 17.01 more likely (highly probable)
(Balulang= 78.51, (2) Moderate = 26 07 1.06  Total parks and open
Macasandig= 49.82, Average of Est. percentage of 10 1.60 spacesl exposed could
Indahag=8.26, dilapidated/ condemned (1) Low = 744 13 1.82 increase
Consolacion=4.32, buildings out of affected 15 2.26  More flooding in parks and
Nazareth 2.97) structures = 0.0% or none 17 1.28 open spaces can limit its use
- No analysis for by the people
BALULANG 8.71
projected cost for Average of Estimated  Could be an area for water
LAPASAN 0.15
affected value percentage of buildings built harvesting
before 1992 affected structures PAGATPAT 0.06
= 0.0% or none TABLON 0.07 Lower-bound and Median
Projection:
Average of Estimated moderate 144.62 The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
percentage of structures not 01 0.07 coupled by socio-economic
employing resilient design = 07 0.13 growth can increase the
0.0% or none 10 0.00 demand from people to better
13 1.14 designed parks and open
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: 15 0.15 spaces that can double its use
Average of Est. percentage of 17 0.10 as rain water capture area
owners aware and provided BALULANG 69.81
information on hazards and BONBON 0.20 DJF, JJA seasons for median
climate change = 100% and upper bound projections
BUGO 0.04
(where same or more rainfall as
BULUA 0.36
Average of Est. percentage to current is projected)
CAMAMAN-AN 1.13
covered by infrastructure- presents an opportunity to
related measures = 0.0% or none CARMEN 2.46 harvest water that the
CONSOLACION 4.32 people/communities it service
Average of Est. percentage of GUSA 0.02
owners with capacity and INDAHAG 8.26
willingness to retrofit/ relocate = IPONAN 0.36
0.0% or none KAUSWAGAN 0.31
LUMBIA 0.37
Average of Est. percentage of MACABALAN 2.59
property covered by insurance = MACASANDIG 49.82
 0.0% or none NAZARETH 2.97

LGU capacity to make Grand Total 161.63

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
-

Hazard: Flooding
B. Moderate Flood Susceptible Areas (with flooding intensity of 0.5 to 1.5 meters)

Decision Technical Findings Risk Category and other Info

Area
Exposure Vulnerability Current Future
(Considering RCP 8.5 projection for Precipitation for mid-21st century)
Lower Bound Median Upper Bound +Growth and Development
Trends
Residential Total hectares exposed to 0.5 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Very High = 0 (none) hectares Upper-bound projection
1.5m = 1,007.40 Average estimated High = 0 (none) hectares
percentage of Building (3) High = 0 Moderate = 965.44 has; P48.2B  Floods of 0.5 to 1.5m
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) walls with light to Low = 41.96has; P2.10B would be more likely
KAUSWAGAN 122.788 salvageable materials = (2) Moderate = 20,917 (highly probable)
IPONAN 98.487 8%  Areas exposed to this
BULUA 97.815 (1) Low = 871 --- intensity of flooding could
CANITOAN 76.683 Average of Est. also become susceptible
TABLON 73.968 percentage of Very High = 0 (none) Brgys to higher flooding (e.g.
dilapidated/ condemned High = 0 (none) >1.5m)
BUGO 71.827
buildings out of affected Moderate = 30  The planned residential
AGUSAN 48.725
structures = 0.05% Low = 30 growth and development
BONBON 41.351 (see list in table___) in the upper and mid-
CARMEN 40.006 Average of Estimated stream areas could
GUSA 38.014 percentage of buildings (create table from RiskInfoSummary3 (2) increase the risk and
BAYABAS 36.904 built before 1992 tab) vulnerabilities of areas
CAMAMAN-AN 36.285 affected structures = 5% downstream to flooding.
PAGATPAT 32.724 Future risk would be
LAPASAN 31.811 Average of Estimated higher without
NAZARETH 29.488 percentage of structures considering a ridge to reef
BALULANG 28.837 not employing resilient approach and if
CUGMAN 23.627 design = 15% development controls are
MACASANDIG 16.962 not imposed.
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
BAIKINGON 13.950
Average of Est. Lower-bound and Median
PATAG 11.921
percentage of owners Projection:

Total affected value (all
residential areas)= Php
50,369,850,229.72
(see table___ for per barangay
affected value)
aware and provided The RCP 8.5 decreasing
information on hazards trend, coupled by population
and climate change = growth can increase the
100% vulnerability of people to
potential water stress or
Average of Est. decrease in access for
percentage covered by residential areas.
infrastructure-related
measures = 10% DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
Average of Est. (where same or more rainfall
percentage of owners as to current is projected)
with capacity and presents an opportunity to
willingness to retrofit/ harvest water that can be
relocate = 23% used by residential areas for
domestic use purposes.
Average of Est.
percentage of property
covered by insurance =
75%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations
on hazard mitigation
zoning and structural
design standards
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Commercial Total hectares exposed to 0.5 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Area and Cost (per risk category) Upper-bound projection
1.5m = 277.08 Average estimated Very High = 0 hectares
percentage of Building (3) High = 3 High = 18.82; P940M  Floods of .5 to 1.5m would
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) walls with light to Moderate = 252.42has; P12.6B be more likely (highly
BULUA 45.869 salvageable materials= (2) Moderate = 1372 Low = 5.85has;P292M probable)
BAYABAS 34.651 0.40%  Commercial Areas
KAUSWAGAN 25.836 (1) Low = 871 --- exposed could increase to
LAPASAN 24.116 Average of Est. higher level of flooding
CARMEN 18.569 percentage of Very High = 0 Brgys  Severity of impacts of
dilapidated/ condemned High = 5 (Tablon, Bayabas, 33, 28,24) flooding to business and
TABLON 15.825
buildings out of affected Moderate = 53 commerce in the city
31 15.794
structures = 0.0% or Low = 53 could increase
CAMAMAN-AN 7.989 none (see list in table___)  More flooding in
PUERTO 7.189 commercial areas can
24 6.700 Average of Estimated (create table from RiskInfoSummary3 (2) disrupt and impact formal
GUSA 6.053 percentage of buildings tab) and informal jobs and
35 5.037 built before 1992 = 0.05% livelihoods, especially
22 4.970 those dependent on daily
 28 4.690 Average of Estimated wage
27 3.751 percentage of structures
CUGMAN 3.666 not employing resilient Lower-bound and Median
MACABALAN 3.517 design = 15% Projection:
NAZARETH 3.087 The RCP 8.5 decreasing
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: trend, coupled by economic
33 3.051
Average of Est. growth can increase the
32 2.831
percentage of owners pressure for water services
aware and provided from commercial/business
Total affected value (commercial
information on hazards establishment
areas)= Php 13,854,409,845.13
and climate change =
100% DJF, JJA seasons for median
and upper bound projections
Average of Est. (where same or more rainfall
percentage covered by as to current is projected)
infrastructure-related presents an opportunity to
measures = 20% harvest water that can be
used by commercial areas for
Average of Est. purposes it could serve.
percentage of owners
with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/
relocate = 30%

Average of Est.
percentage of property
covered by insurance =
10%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations
on hazard mitigation
zoning and structural
design standards
Generally C or
Moderate (Local
government has
existing regulations
on hazard mitigation
and structural
design)
Industrial Total hectares exposed to 0.5 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = 0 Very High = 0 (none) hectares (similar impacts as that of the
1.5m = 110.07 Average estimated High = 2.30has;P114M next range of flood intensity
percentage of Building (3) High = 2 (Iponan and Moderate = 107.14has;P5.36B noted above)
Top Barangays (area affected) walls with light to Macabalan) Low = 0.63has;P31.39M
PUNTOD 42.868 salvageable materials=
TABLON 33.322 0.40% ---
BUGO 14.879 (2) Moderate = 344
BULUA 9.309 Average of Est. Very High = 0 (none) Brgys
 CUGMAN 6.996 percentage of (1) Low = 871 High = 2 (Iponan, Macabalan)
IPONAN 1.868 dilapidated/ condemned Moderate = 8 (Puntod, Tablon,
MACABALAN 0.763 buildings out of affected Macabalan, Cugman, Bulua, Bugo, Agusan,
AGUSAN 0.061 structures = 0.0% or Iponan)
none Low = 6
Total affected value (all industrial)
areas)= Php 5,503,328,936.42 Average of Estimated
percentage of buildings
built before 1992
affected structures =
0.05%

Average of Estimated
percentage of structures
not employing resilient
design = 15%

ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
Average of Est.
percentage of owners
aware and provided
information on hazards
and climate change =
100%

Average of Est.
percentage covered by
infrastructure-related
measures = 20%

Average of Est.
percentage of owners
with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/
relocate = 30%

Average of Est.
percentage of property
covered by insurance =
10%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations
on hazard mitigation
zoning and structural
design standards:
Generally C or
Moderate (Local
government has
 existing regulations
on hazard mitigation
and structural
design)
Institutional Total hectares exposed to 0.5 to Average estimated (4) Very High = 0 Very High = 0 (none) hectares (similar impacts as that of the
1.5m = 44.77 percentage of Building High = 12.87has; P643M next range of flood intensity
walls with light to (3) High = 5 (two in Brgy 26, Moderate = 31.59has;P1.58B noted above)
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) salvageable materials= one each for 27,36, Nazareth) Low = 0.31ha; P15.5M
PUNTOD 6.663 0.40% ------
PATAG 4.562 (2) Moderate = 141
MACASANDIG 4.509 Average of Est. Very High = 0 Brgys
CARMEN 3.526 percentage of (1) Low = 871 High = 9 (Gusa, Macasandig, Nazareth,
LUMBIA 3.262 dilapidated/ condemned Tablon, 22,26, 27, 36, 40)
buildings out of affected Moderate = 26
NAZARETH 3.048
structures = 0.0% or Low = 23
22 3.001
none
27 2.748 (see list in table___)
36 2.346 Average of Estimated
40 2.328 percentage of buildings (create table from RiskInfoSummary3 (2)
LAPASAN 1.478 built before 1992 tab)
BULUA 1.323 affected structures =
AGUSAN 1.282 0.05%
TABLON 1.135
GUSA 1.061 Average of Estimated
KAUSWAGAN 0.810 percentage of structures
BALULANG 0.779 not employing resilient
design = 20%
26 0.283
MACABALAN 0.242
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
CAMAMAN-AN 0.121
Average of Est.
-
percentage of owners
Total affected value (all Insti
aware and provided
areas)= Php 2,238,581,476.76
information on hazards
and climate change =
100%

Average of Est.
percentage covered by
infrastructure-related
measures = 20%

Average of Est.
percentage of owners
with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/
relocate = 30%

Average of Est.
percentage of property
covered by insurance =
10%
 LGU capacity to make
investments = very high

Government Regulations
on hazard mitigation
zoning and structural
design standards:
Generally C or
Moderate (Local
government has
existing regulations
on hazard mitigation
and structural
design)
Parks and Total hectares exposed to 0.5 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = (similar impacts as that of the
Open Spaces 1.5m = 12.15 Average estimated Very High = 0 (none) hectares next range of flood intensity
percentage of Building (3) High = 0 High = 0 noted above)
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) walls with light to Moderate = 0
CAMAMAN-AN 4.492 salvageable materials= (2) Moderate = 10 Low = 5.86
BUGO 2.352 0% ------
IPONAN 0.852 (1) Low = 871
BULUA 0.840 Average of Est. Very High = 0 Brgys
NAZARETH 0.608 percentage of High = 0
dilapidated/ condemned Moderate = 9
KAUSWAGAN 0.542
buildings out of affected Low = 22
PUNTOD 0.519
structures = 0.0% or
BALULANG 0.430 none (see list in table___)
INDAHAG 0.294
GUSA 0.281 Average of Estimated (create table from RiskInfoSummary3 (2)
MACABALAN 0.189 percentage of buildings tab)
CONSOLACION 0.173 built before 1992
CARMEN 0.127 affected structures =
03 0.102 0.0% or none
06 0.057
LUMBIA 0.055 Average of Estimated
PATAG 0.044 percentage of structures
01 0.040 not employing resilient
design = 0.0% or none
17 0.038
PAGATPAT 0.034
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
Average of Est.
No analysis for projected cost for
percentage of owners
affected value
aware and provided
information on hazards
and climate change =
100%

Average of Est.
percentage covered by
infrastructure-related
 measures = 0.0% or none

Average of Est.
percentage of owners
with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/
relocate = 0.0% or none

Average of Est.
percentage of property
covered by insurance =
0.0% or none

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations
on hazard mitigation
zoning and structural
design standards:
Generally C or
Moderate (Local
government has
existing regulations
on hazard mitigation
and structural
design)
-

Hazard: Flooding
C. Moderate Flood Susceptible Areas (with flooding intensity of <0.5)

Decision Technical Findings Risk Category and other Info

Area
Exposure Vulnerability Current Future
(if no action is done)
Lower Bound Median Upper Bound +Growth and Development
Trends
Residential Total hectares exposed to 0.1 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Very High = 0 (none) hectares Upper-bound projection
0.5m = 626.66 Average estimated percentage of High = 0 (none) hectares
Building walls with light to (3) High = 1 Moderate = 0 (none) hectares  Floods of >0.5m would be
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) salvageable materials = 10% Low = 626.66 more likely (highly
KAUSWAGAN 101.646 (2) Moderate = 609 probable)
CANITOAN 54.932 Average of Est. percentage of  Areas exposed to this
TABLON 44.155 dilapidated/ condemned (1) Low = 871 --- intensity to flooding can
BUGO 38.133 buildings out of affected also increase
IPONAN 35.855 structures = 1.80% Very High = 0 (none) Brgys  The planned residential
 GUSA 35.836 High = 0 (none) growth and development in
BALULANG 31.084 Average of Estimated percentage Moderate = 0 (none) the upper and mid-stream
BAYABAS 30.257 of buildings built before 1992 Low = 28 areas could increase the risk
BULUA 29.716 affected structures = 0% (see list in table___) and vulnerabilities of areas
CARMEN 28.606 downstream to flooding.
Average of Estimated percentage (create table from Future risk would be higher
CUGMAN 25.657
of structures not employing RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab) without considering a ridge
LAPASAN 22.844
resilient design = 0% to reef approach and if
CAMAMAN-AN 22.337 development controls are
PAGATPAT 20.010 ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: not imposed.
PATAG 19.225 Average of Est. percentage of
BONBON 16.817 owners aware and provided Lower-bound and Median
MACASANDIG 14.592 information on hazards and Projection:
AGUSAN 14.460 climate change = 100% The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
INDAHAG 13.331 coupled by population growth
BAIKINGON 6.126 Average of Est. percentage can increase the vulnerability
covered by infrastructure-related of people to potential water
measures = 0% stress or decrease in access for
residential areas.
Total affected value (all residential Average of Est. percentage of
areas)= Php 9,399,890,327.67 owners with capacity and DJF, JJA seasons for median
willingness to retrofit/ relocate = and upper bound projections
(see table___ for per barangay 38% (where same or more rainfall
affected value) as to current is projected)
Average of Est. percentage of presents an opportunity to
property covered by insurance = harvest water that can be used
0% by residential areas for
domestic use purposes.
LGU capacity to make
investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards
Generally C or Moderate (Local
government has existing
regulations on hazard mitigation
and structural design)

Commercial Total hectares exposed to 0.1 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Very High = 0 hectares Upper-bound projection
0.5m = 160.56 Average estimated percentage of High = 0 hectares
Building walls with light to (3) High = Moderate = 19.31;P290M  Floods of <0.5m would be
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) salvageable materials= 10% Low = 141.25; P2.12B more likely (highly
TABLON 29.241 01 probable)
KAUSWAGAN 23.926 Average of Est. percentage of AGUSAN ---  Commercial Areas exposed
BAYABAS 18.819 dilapidated/ condemned BULUA could increase to higher
BULUA 14.858 buildings out of affected CAMAMAN-AN Very High = 0 Brgys level of flooding
CARMEN 10.868 structures = 0.05% or none CANITOAN High = 0  Severity of impacts of
Moderate = 3 flooding to business and
CUGMAN 8.679
Average of Estimated percentage (2) Moderate = 191 Low = 60 commerce in the city could
LAPASAN 8.037
of buildings built before 1992 = (see list in table___) increase
GUSA 7.308
 PUERTO 3.546 0.0% (1) Low = 871  More flooding in
PUNTOD 2.819 (create table from commercial areas can
32 2.675 Average of Estimated percentage RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab) disrupt and impact formal
40 2.464 of structures not employing and informal jobs and
21 2.370 resilient design = 0.05% livelihoods, especially those
dependent on daily wage
BONBON 1.907
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
29 1.503
Average of Est. percentage of Lower-bound and Median
MACABALAN 1.342 owners aware and provided Projection:
31 1.335 information on hazards and The RCP 8.5 decreasing trend,
39 1.334 climate change = 100% coupled by economic growth
CAMAMAN-AN 1.316 can increase the pressure for
38 1.128 Average of Est. percentage water services from
covered by infrastructure-related commercial/business
Total affected value (commercial measures = 25% establishment
areas)= Php 2,408,358,050.15
Average of Est. percentage of DJF, JJA seasons for median
owners with capacity and and upper bound projections
willingness to retrofit/ relocate = (where same or more rainfall
15% as to current is projected)
presents an opportunity to
Average of Est. percentage of harvest water that can be used
property covered by insurance = by commercial areas for
10% purposes it could serve.

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Industrial Total hectares exposed to 0.1 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = Very High = 0 (none) hectares (similar impacts as that of the
0.5m = 63.67 Average estimated percentage of High = 0 (none) next range of flood intensity
Building walls with light to (3) High = Moderate = 4.95has; P74M noted above)
Top Barangays (area affected) salvageable materials= 10% Low = 58.27; P880M
TABLON 38.772 01
CUGMAN 10.862 Average of Est. percentage of AGUSAN ---
PUNTOD 6.103 dilapidated/ condemned BULUA
BUGO 5.786 buildings out of affected CAMAMAN-AN Very High = 0 (none) Brgys
BULUA 1.146 structures = 0.05% CANITOAN High = 0 (none)
Moderate = 3(Bugo, Macabalan,
MACABALAN 0.433
Average of Estimated percentage (2) Moderate = 86 Puerto)
AGUSAN 0.417
of buildings built before 1992 Low = 8
PUERTO 0.147 affected structures = 0.00% or (1) Low = 871
none AGUSAN
Total affected value (all industrial)
BUGO
areas)= Php 955,006,649.33
 Average of Estimated percentage BULUA
of structures not employing CUGMAN
resilient design = 0.05% MACABALAN
PUERTO
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY: PUNTOD
Average of Est. percentage of
TABLON
owners aware and provided
information on hazards and
climate change = 100%

Average of Est. percentage

covered by infrastructure-related
measures = 25%

Average of Est. percentage of

owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
15%

Average of Est. percentage of

property covered by insurance =
10%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Institutional Total hectares exposed to 0.1 to Average estimated percentage of (4) Very High = Very High = 0 (none) hectares (similar impacts as that of the
0.5m = 55.25 Building walls with light to High = 0 (none) next range of flood intensity
salvageable materials= 10% (3) High = Moderate = 17.61;P264M noted above)
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) Low = 37.64;P564M
PUNTOD 11.345 Average of Est. percentage of 01 ------
LUMBIA 10.094 dilapidated/ condemned AGUSAN
PATAG 10.072 buildings out of affected BULUA Very High = 0 (none) Brgys
29 4.803 structures = 0.05% CAMAMAN-AN High = 0 (none)
40 4.627 CANITOAN Moderate = 9 (29, Kauswagan,
Average of Estimated percentage Puntod)
CARMEN 3.538
of buildings built before 1992 (2) Moderate = 74 Low = 27
MACASANDIG 1.759
affected structures = 0.00% or (see list in table___)
KAUSWAGAN 1.756 none (1) Low = 871
BALULANG 1.341 (create table from
MACABALAN 1.121 Average of Estimated percentage RiskInfoSummary3 (2) tab)
TABLON 0.901 of structures not employing
27 0.894 resilient design = 0.05%
 GUSA 0.730
BULUA 0.727 ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
LAPASAN 0.318 Average of Est. percentage of
23 0.241 owners aware and provided
NAZARETH 0.219 information on hazards and
climate change = 100%
22 0.204
CAMAMAN-AN 0.183
Average of Est. percentage
AGUSAN 0.157 covered by infrastructure-related
- measures = 25%
Total affected value (all Insti
areas)= Php 828,678,341.30 Average of Est. percentage of
owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
15%

Average of Est. percentage of

property covered by insurance =
10%

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
Parks and Total hectares exposed to 0.1 to SENSITIVITY: (4) Very High = (similar impacts as that of the
Open Spaces 0.5m = 7.65 Average estimated percentage of Very High = 0 (none) hectares next range of flood intensity
Building walls with light to (3) High = High = 0 noted above)
Top 20 Barangays (area affected) salvageable materials= 0% Moderate = 0
BULUA 1.137 01 Low = 7.65has
CAMAMAN-AN 1.080 Average of Est. percentage of AGUSAN ------
BUGO 1.051 dilapidated/ condemned BULUA
BALULANG 0.832 buildings out of affected CAMAMAN-AN Very High = 0 Brgys
KAUSWAGAN 0.791 structures = 0.0% or none CANITOAN High = 0
Moderate = 0
27 0.626
Average of Estimated percentage (2) Moderate = 7 Low = 21
MACASANDIG 0.453
of buildings built before 1992
GUSA 0.363 affected structures = 0.0% or (see list in table___)
(1) Low = 871
PUNTOD 0.303 none
MACABALAN 0.223
CARMEN 0.176 Average of Estimated percentage
05 0.117 of structures not employing
IPONAN 0.117 resilient design = 0.0% or none
INDAHAG 0.115
BAYABAS 0.083 ADAPTIVE CAPACITY:
 03 0.074 Average of Est. percentage of
01 0.049 owners aware and provided
CUGMAN 0.026 information on hazards and
06 0.015 climate change = na
LAPASAN 0.011
Average of Est. percentage
No analysis for projected cost for covered by infrastructure-related
affected value measures = 0.0% or none

Average of Est. percentage of

owners with capacity and
willingness to retrofit/ relocate =
0.0% or none

Average of Est. percentage of

property covered by insurance =
0.0% or none

LGU capacity to make

investments = very high

Government Regulations on
hazard mitigation zoning and
structural design standards:
Generally C or Moderate
(Local government has
existing regulations on
hazard mitigation and
structural design)
-