Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FOR
Apprill, 2023
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5. FINANCIAL REQUIRMENT AND ANALYSIS.............................................................................22
5.1. Total Initial Investment Cost..................................................................................................22
5.1.1. Fixed Investment.............................................................................................................23
5.2. Annual Production Cost at Full Capacity.............................................................................26
5.3. Financial Analysis and Statements.......................................................................................30
5.3.1. Underlying Assumption...................................................................................................30
5.3.2. Sources of Fund..............................................................................................................31
5.3.3. Loan repayment Schedule.............................................................................................32
5.3.4. Depreciation Schedule...................................................................................................32
5.3.5. Revenue Projection.........................................................................................................33
5.3.6. Balance Sheet.................................................................................................................33
5.3.7. Income Loss Statement..................................................................................................34
5.3.8. Cash Flow Statement.....................................................................................................35
5.3.9. Profitability........................................................................................................................36
5.3.10. Break-Even Analysis...................................................................................................36
5.3.11. Pay-Back Period..........................................................................................................36
6. FUTURE DEVELOPMENT............................................................................................................36
7. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF THE PROJECT......................................................................37
7.1. Socio-Economic Environment...............................................................................................37
7.2. Environmental Impact Assessment of the Project..............................................................37
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2. Project Owners
3. Nationality Ethiopian
6. Premises 10,000M2
Required
7. Total Initial Br. 5,000,000of which 30% equivalent to Br. 1,500,000financed by
Investment
the owners equity and the rest 70% equivalent to br. 3,500,000
Capital
financed through bank loan
9. Benefits of the Assembled and supply quality cars and body work service, add
factory For The
value to the economy, Source of Revenue, Employment
Region/
Country opportunity, Save Foreign currency, Benefit for the Local
Community, Stimulate the Local Economy and technology transfer
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1. INTRODUCTION
In dynamic economic environment, like the one currently exist in Ethiopia, the
development of higher industry and supportive manufacturing sector has a great role to
make the overall economic growth to be persistent. In this regard, Car assembly and
parts manufacturing plant has a great to make the economic growth to be persistent.
The government of Ethiopia has a conducive investment polices and guidelines that
promote the private sectors involvement in the economic development through the
various investment and business endeavors.
In this regard, the owner of the envisioned plant planned to invest in Shager Gelan sub-
city, Oromia regional State, and carried out this pre-project study to check the market,
technical and financial feasibility of this project. The result of the study is very sound
and promising for the owner to start the project in this area.
The promoters are very determined to commence the project. Hence, they expect to get
the required support from the regional and local governments to make the project
operational.
Ethiopia has a great economic potential in Africa. The current double digit and dynamic
economic growth in all sectors supports the idea to become a great nation. As
components of the economy, agricultural and construction sectors are growing in the
fastest rate. Therefore, there is a need for parallel growth in other manufacturing
industries that have a value chain and pair (backward and forward) relationship with
these sectors to make the growth long-lasting.
In this regard, car assembling plant would have two basic advantages for the
development of an economy. First it facilitates transport of people and goods cheaply.
Second, it facilitates the process of industrial development through the creation of
backward linkages for the manufacture of parts and components.
Besides, the establishment of a low cost vehicle assembly plant in Ethiopia increases
the supply of and motorized vehicles for personnel as well as for good transport in the
urban and possibly in the rural areas. Such facilities will not only care the transportation
problem but are also expected to bring about some qualitative change in the lives of the
population at large.
Since Ethiopia is one of the nation with the least number of vehicles per individuals, the
expansion of car assembly and manufacturing factory has a great impact to alleviate
this problem. Therefore, establishment of car assembling plant will have a good market
in the country.
In addition to the above facts, the following points further explain the rationales for
establishment for the envisioned plant by the owners.
The main objective of the plant is to assembling medium truck (3.5 tons) & parts (body
works) at reasonable price and better quality for domestic market.
The envisaged project deemed to contribute to the economic development of the nation
in general and the region in specific with following ways:
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A. Supply of Quality Assembled car and Body work
The project under discussion will provide quality and fair priced assembled car and body
work service for the country market. This will benefits the users to get better product
with better price and durability.
B. Value Add
The establishment of this factory will add a value to the manufacturing sector in specific
and in the economy in general.
C. Source of Revenue
As public policy of any nation, the government collects different forms of taxes from
different business organizations and individuals. Among the different forms of taxes,
business income taxes, VAT and payroll taxes are collected from undertaking business
activities. Therefore, the factory will serve as sources of revenue for both the region and
nation in general.
D. Employment Opportunity
One of the problems that our country faced is unemployment. Therefore, the current
objective of the government is working on tackling the problem of unemployment and
fostering the development process either through creating self employment or
employment in other organization. Hence, this factory will hire around 1,000 persons.
By minimizing the market gab for cars demand and supply, the factory will help to
reduce the nation’s foreign exchange cost to import these materials. This will save the
foreign exchange resource of the nation.
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F. Benefit for The Local Community
This factory has positive externality in the zone that will encourage the economic
movement of local economy. Hence, there will be economic relationship and
transactions among different actors.
H. Technology Transfer
By assembled cars and body works, the project will train and develops the capacity of
the technical staffs. By doing this, the company will add value in technology transfer for
the nation.
i. Location
Strategically located to the central and largest market of the nation (Addis Ababa)
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Near to port of Djibouti and Mojo dry port that will make ease for inputs and
machines
The total land holding of the project is 10,000M2, the premises required planned as
follows in table below;
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1.5. Location Map of the Area
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2. MARKET STUDY AND PLANT CAPACITY
Until recently, the demand for vehicles in Ethiopia was met through imports. The import of
vehicles has been so little in the 1990's that it does not indicate the potential demand for
this of transport. The import of vehicles between 2006 and 2010 in provided in the table
below;
Table-Import of Vehicles
As can be observed from the above table the import of vehicles between 2006 and 2010
had been growing by an average of 61%. Except in 2007 when the volume of import fell by
28% from that of 2006, a substantial increase had been reported between 2008-2010.
Basically the demand for vehicles is a function of population growth and economic growth.
Of the two factors, economic growth is the most important variable influencing the demand
for vehicles.
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Consequently the rate of economic growth of the country forecasted for the coming 5
years has been taken to determine the rate of growth of demand for vehicles. Also, the
volume of import of 2011 is assumed to be the current effective demand for vehicles.
On the supply side, a domestic car assembly & parts manufacturing plant has become
operational immediately after construction & machinery installation finishes. The
attainable capacity of the new assembly & parts manufacturing plant, located in Oromia
Special Zone in Sebeta is 300 cars & 300 parts per year. Consequently the pent-up
demand comes to 3,925 vehicles.
Transport equipments are most essential accessories for any economic sector demand
for these products depend on the following important factors:
The above factors are showing active involvement of private sector in the government’s
development programs in all sectors of the national economy. Growth of agricultural
sector, population growth, construction of industrial estates, residential and
nonresidential housing units are indicative for the magnitude of demand for vehicles in
the country. Besides, the government has allocated substantial budgets for agricultural,
hydroelectric power generation and distribution, construction of health and educational
institutions and offices throughout the country.
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The main target markets for the planned plants are:
General Public
Industry sector
Business Sector
Construction sector and
Individual business men
Accordingly the projected demanded in given in table below;
Electronic Medias
Public Relations
The marketing strategy mainly focus on the satisfying the needs, orders and the
requirement of the customers.
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2.2. Plant Capacity and Production Program
Considering the gradual growth of demand and the time required to develop the
required skill the rate of capacity utilization during the first, second and third year of
production will be 50%, 75% and 100% respectively. Full capacity utilization will be
reached during the third year of operation. The plant will operate 290 days per year and
one shift system(8 hours)..
Description Year
1 2 3_10
Capacity utilization (%) 25 50 100
2.3. Pricing
It would be important to examine the possible level of price based on the competitor’s
action. In this connection, the existing average prices of similar assembled midum truck
(3.5 tons caring capacity) and body work services in Addis Ababa were assessed for the
benefit of comparison. Based on the existing price in the market the firm stetted the
price as follows;
13
Parts (body works) 85,000.00 65,000.00 Before VAT
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3. PRODUCTION NATURE, INPUTS, PRODUCTION, TECHNOLOGY AND CIVIL
WORK
A car is a four wheeled vehicle that is common in the world. Cars are becoming used in
developing countries in both urban and rural areas (not widely used) for transport and for
the movement of goods. Consequently, in developing countries like Ethiopia the demand
in predominantly for the traditional heavy duty car model usually fitted with rod brakes.
The establishment of a car assembling activity would encourage the growth of auxiliary
industries like the manufacturing of tires tubes, carriers, crane guards, fenders and rims.
This envisaged plant wills assembly medium truck (3.5 tons) & parts (body works) for the
medium truck and Vans.
The raw materials and inputs requirement of the project has to be met from imports & local
industries and large scale car assembly & parts (body works) production starts in the
country.
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3.3. Technology
Given the relatively finished parts are mainly imported. The operation would essentially be
confined to the manufacturing of parts (body works) and installation (assembling) of
finished parts components.
Painting
Baking
Strength testing
Assembly of parts
Car Assembly
Manufacturing personnel work on the assembly lines and operate numerous machines,
computers and other equipment to identify the items needed for each car. Heat treatment
tempers and strengthens the forged and cast parts, which are then shaped into
components that are assembled into subassemblies (gearboxes, axles, engines, doors,
dashboards). The chassis (the underlying frame of the automobile) and body are joined
and painted. Electricians make sure that electrical parts are correctly fitted and connected
in the car.
Components and subassemblies are gradually combined along the assembly line at
different points to construct the car. Line operators carry out one or two simple assembly
line operations. The manufacturer gives these workers limited training. At almost every
stage of the assembly process, skilled inspectors assure the quality of the work.
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Fig- Production Flow
STEEL COILS/CUTTING
BLANKING
PRESSING
WELDING
PAINTING
FROM
FROM ASSEMBLY
VENDORS
VENDORS
VENDORS
TEST RUN
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3.4. Source of Technology
The machinery, equipment and technology of assembling can be secured from Europe,
China and Japan. In General the company will use the state of art technology of the time
in its car assembling and body work service by creating partnership and branding
agreement.
The following are the list of necessary machineries and equipments for the envisioned
Car assembly and parts (body work) for medium truck and Vans
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3.6. Project Design and Engineering
A very simple building may suffice for an initial startup, the main consideration being the
security of the equipment and secure connections to electrical supply. The building will
have to be designed along factory production lines allowing for smooth transitioning of
the raw materials into completed products and optimized for maximum efficiencies.
3.8. Utilities
A number of utilities would be put in place in order to ensure smooth functioning of the
factory. These utilities include:
Water Supply,
Telephone line
Drainage Facility
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4. MANPOWER AND ORANIZATIONAL MANAGEMENT
4.1. Manpower
At the top of the organizational structure, there will be a general manager with the
responsibility of supervising the overall activity of the plant. Depending up on the nature
of the center and the amount of work to be performs; there will be auxiliary units under
the general manager. Employees under each unit will be supervised by the unit head
that is accountable for the general manager.
The company will use efficient trained staffs in the area of marketing to be competitive
in the market. The opportunities of being serviced by well skilled professionals well
enable the company to evaluate the internal weakness and strength of the company as
well as to assess the global opportunity and risks in the world market so that the
company can cope up with the dynamics of the market situation. The company will hire
850 employees.
The detail human power requirement, monthly and yearly salary is indicated in part 5
financial part.
The organizational structure of the project is designed by including all the necessary
personnel under the right division. At the top of the organizational structure, there will be
a general manager with the responsibility of supervising the overall activity of the plant.
Employees under each unit will be supervised by the department head that is
accountable for the general manager. General Manager is accountable to the owner of
the plant as indicated in figure below;
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Fig Organizational Structure
General
Manager
Finance & General Personnel Marketing & Supply & Engineering Technical Production
Accounting Service & Admin.
Sales Procurement Department Service Department
Division Division Division
Department Department Department
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4.3. Training Requirement
The manufacturing employees of the plant expected to take basic metal and automotive
technology manufacturing skill training for 10 days. In addition training could be given to
the mechanic and to the supervisor will also take skill training from one of TVET
Colleges or similar undertaking factories in Addis Ababa.
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5. FINANCIAL REQUIRMENT AND ANALYSIS
The total amount of money that is required to establish the envisaged plant is estimated
to be birr 5,000,000
1,500,000.00
2 Machines & Equipments
1,500,000.00
3 Vehicles
1.000,000.00
4 Office Equipment
100,000.00
Total Fixed Investment Cost
3,100,001
5 Pre service Expense
50,000.00
6 Initial Working capital
900,000.00
Total
5,000,000.00
Contingency (10%)
50,000
Total Initial Investment Capital
5,000,000
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5.1.1. Fixed Investment
15 Design and
Supervision
16 Electric & water line
installation
17 Land lease Initial Fee 6.5br per M2 for 60
years
Total
10,000.00
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B. Machineries and Equipment’s
The total cost of required machineries and equipments, which is indicated the above is
estimated to be Birr 22,000,000
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C. Vehicles
SN Description Qty Unit Price in Total Price in Remark
br. br.
3 Pick up 1 1,890,00 Duty free
1,890,000
0
Total 1,890,000
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2. Initial Working Capital
The initial working capital is estimated to be birr. 1,500,000
The total cost of the inputs and raw materials required for car assembly and parts
manufacturing at full is estimated to be Birr 5,000,000.
Automobiles require a number of raw materials for their production. This includes
aluminum, glass and the iron ore to make steel, as well as petroleum products used to
make plastics, rubber and special fibers. ... The automobile industry is one of the largest
consumers of the world's raw materials.
Cars are made of a wide variety of materials, such as steel, aluminum, copper, glass,
rubber, and special fibers. First, a raw material production company takes individual raw
materials and turns them into materials that can be used to make car parts, and delivers
them to parts production companies or to Toyota.
Raw materials are used in a multitude of products. They can take many different forms.
Examples of raw materials include: steel, oil, corn, grain, gasoline, lumber, forest
resources, plastic, natural gas, coal, and minerals.
steel
Almost all cars are made with predominantly steel in them. You will find steel in the
doors, hoods, trunk and the car's frame. Steel is a strong metal that is also versatile and
easy to work with. Furthermore, it is also widely available.
1
At third year of operation
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What are raw materials and their uses?
98% of mined iron ore is used to make steel. As iron occurs only as iron oxides in the
earth's crust, the ores must be converted, or 'reduced', using carbon. The primary
source of this carbon is coking coal. Coal is a key raw material in steel production.
Plant/tree-based – materials like vegetables, fruits, flowers, wood, resin, latex are
obtained from plants and trees.
Animal-based– materials like leather, meat, bones, milk, wool, silk are all obtained from
animals. Mining-based– materials like minerals, metals, crude oil, coal, etc.
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,050 000
8 Junior mechanic 10+1 in Automotive 2 3,265,
130
technology ,094 920
9 Skilled Workers 10th/12th completed 1 1,905,
80
,985 120
10 Daily Workers Unskilled 1 1,436,
60
,995 400
11 Head, Administration & BA in Mgt/Acct 1 264,
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Finance Dept. ,470 600
12 Personnel BA in HRM 1 136,
8
,418 080
13 Head, Commercial Dept BA in Marketing 1 264,
15
Management ,470 600
14 Sales Diploma in Sales Mgt 1 567,
25
,890 000
15 Accountant BA In Accounting 1 302,
15
,680 400
16 Cashier 10+2 in Bookkeeping 2 215,
8
,244 460
17 Secretary Diploma in Secretarial 1 136,
8
science ,418 080
18 Cleaner Unskilled 1 204,
15
,134 120
19 Store keeper Diploma in logistic mgt 1 215,
15
,197 460
20 Purchaser Diploma in supp. & Put. 1 74,
5
Mgt ,235 088
21 Guard/Security Basic 1 332,
25
,109 640
22 Driver 10 completed + 1 408,
30
certification ,134 240
23 Forklift operator 10 completed + 1 192,
15
certification ,071 780
24 Ass. Driver Basic 1 124,
10
,040 740
25 Gardner Unskilled 1 90,
5
,512 720
26 Assistance 160 Unskilled 73,000,00
27 Resaved 5,000,000
Total 1,000
Benefits (20% of Basic 5,000,
Salary) 000
Grand Total
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iii. Other Operating Expenses
Pre-Service Expense
SN Description Total Cost in br
Total 200,000
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b. Financial Analysis and Statements
i. Underlying Assumption
The financial analysis of the envisioned plant is based on the data provided in the
preceding sections and the following assumptions.
B. Depreciation
Building 5%
Vehicles 20%
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C. Working Capital
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iii. Loan repayment Schedule
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v. Revenue Projection
Based on the price and the capacity program of the factory indicated in previous chapter
(chapter 2), the revenue of the plant projected at full capacity 2 is shown in the table
below;
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vii. Income Loss Statement
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viii. Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Statement
Pa+A45:E59ticulars Year0 Year I Year II Year III-XI
A. Cash Inflow 0
· Own equity 300,000,000
· Bank loan 3,500,000
· Depreciation 0 56,000,000 56,000,000 56,000,000
· Net profit 0 294,367,50 441,551,25 588,735,00
0 0 0
Total inflow 350,367,50 497,551,25 644,735,00
5,000,000 0 0 0
B. Cash outflow 0
· Fixed capital 3,500,000
· Working capital 1,500,000
. Contingency (Lump sum) 5000,000
10%
· Loan repayment 350,000 63,000,000 350,000
Total outflow 5,000,000 350,000 63,000,000 350,000
Net inflow (A-B) 280,367,50 434,551,25 637,735,00
0 0 0 0
Cumulative balance 280,367,50 434,551,25 637,735,00
0 0 0 0
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ix. Profitability
According to the projected income statement, the project will start generating profit in
the 2nd year of operation. Important ratios such as profit to total sales, net profit to equity
(Return on equity) and net profit plus interest on total investment (return on total
investment) show an increasing trend during the lifetime of the project.
The income statement and the other indicators of profitability show that the project is
viable.
x. Break-Even Analysis
The break-even point of the project including cost of finance when it starts to operates
at full capacity (year 3) is estimated by using income statement projection.
The investment cost and income statement projection are used to project the pay-back
period. The project's initial investment will be fully recovered with in 5 year of operation.
3. FUTURE DEVELOPMENT
Every business undertakings be it large or small should have future development plan.
It is a plain fact that business activities are undertook in a dynamic business nature and
different environment. Therefore, the plant will have an expansion phase depending on
the condition of the industry character particularly in manufacturing cars, product mix
and spare parts in the plant.
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4. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF THE PROJECT
a. Socio-Economic Environment
The owner will provide the land on lease bases, and all required compensation will be
paid for the project. The Livelihood of the local peoples around the project area is rural
dwellers of various occupation and economic background.
Currently the issue of environment and development has got a due emphasis and thus
firms should do their business in a manner that they will not affect the natural
environment adversely.
Therefore, as the nature of the project is a manufacturing type and the analysis of the
expected negative impacts are elaborated as follows.
b) Noise Pollution
There is minimal noise pollution created by the envisaged project. Therefore, for
mitigating such impact the project will use sound proofing equipments.
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c) Air Pollution
There is no air pollution created by the envisaged project.
e) Degradation of Land
There is no degradation of land created by the envisaged project.
To assess the impacts and design mitigation measure if any adverse impacts are there
so as to make the project benefited more society and nation.
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