Exponential Smoothing Excel Template

Prepared by Dheeraj Vaidya, CFA, FRM

dheeraj@wallstreetmojo.com

visit - www.wallstreetmojo.com
 Revenue
Year
(Millions)
2007 22 #N/A
2008 25 22 Exponential Smoothing
2009 25 24.1 40
2010 16 24.73 30
2011 21 18.619 20 Actual

Value
2012 35 20.2857 Forecast
10
2013 27 30.5857 0
2014 27 28.0757 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2015 25 27.3227 Data Point
2016 28 25.6968
Actual
Forecast
 Dumping Factor Dumping Dumping
Month Revenue
@ 0.1 Factor @ 0.5 Factor @ 0.9 Cha
Jan 130 #N/A #N/A #N/A 350
Feb 112 130 130 130
Mar 286 300
114 121 128
Apr 220 269 204 144 250
May 118 225 212 152 200
Jun 141 129 165 148
Jul 126 150
140 153 148
Aug 231 127 139 145 100
Sep 194 221 185 154 50
Oct 289 197 190 158
Nov 186 0
280 239 171 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Dec 174 195 213 173
Revenue Dumping Factor @ 0.1

Exponential Smoothing
400
300
200 Actual
Value

Forecast
100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Data Point
 Chart Title

b Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

ue Dumping Factor @ 0.1 Dumping Factor @ 0.5 Dumping Factor @ 0.9

Actual
Forecast
Exponential Smoothing Example 1