Year Time Sales

1 6534
2 10032
Year-1
3 11798
4 15040
5 17576
6 19128
Given Data Year-2
7 19919
8 18456
9 19190
10 40085
Year-3
11 13875
12 19172
13 26562
14 27946
Year-4
15 29330
16 30714
17 32098
18 33482
Fore Casted Sales Year-5
19 34866
20 36250
21 37634
22 39018
Year-6
23 40401
24 41785
 Sales
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000

Axis Title
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Axis T

Time

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.603147604918
R Square 0.363787033319
Adjusted R Squar 0.30016573665
Standard Error 6920.698660153
Observations 12

ANOVA
df
Regression 1
Residual 10
Total 11

Coefficients
Intercept 8571.742424242
Time 1383.898601399
 Sales

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axis Title

Time Sales

SS MS F Significance F
273870073.4703 273870073.4703 5.718007214096 0.037878582694
478960699.4464 47896069.94464
752830772.9167

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

4259.395583484 2.012431636423 0.071882517314 -918.782361298 18062.26720978
578.7378958219 2.391235499506 0.037878582694 94.39021060094 2673.406992196
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-918.782361298 18062.26720978
94.39021060094 2673.406992196
 Using General Growth Mode
Year

Year-1

Given Data Year-2

Year-3

Year-4

Forecasted Sales Year-5

Year-6
sing General Growth Model
Time Sales Growth
1 6534 0
2 10032 54%
3 11798 18%
4 15040 27%
5 17576 17%
6 19128 9%
7 19919 4%
8 18456 -7%
9 19190 4%
10 40085 109%
11 13875 -65%
12 19172 38%
13 26562 39%
14 27221 2%
15 27930 3%
16 28468 2%
17 29141 2%
18 29966 3%
19 30869 3%
20 31748 3%
21 32112 1%
22 32149 0%
23 36043 12%
24 36037 0%
Fore Casts From Regression Error
26562 0
27946 3%
29330 5%
30714 8%
32098 10%
33482 12%
34866 13%
36250 14%
37634 17%
39018 21%
40401 12%
41785 16%
 Using General Gro

Given Data

Forecasted Sales
 Data Given

Weighted Average Sales Forecast

Using General Growth Model
Year Time
1
2
Year-1
3
4
5
6
Year-2
7
8
9
10
Year-3
11
12
13
14
Year-4
15
16
17
18
Year-5
19
20
21
22
Year-6
23
24
Data Given
13
14
Year-4
15
16
17
18
Year-5
19
20
21
22
Year-6
23
24
Sales Growth
6534 0
10032 54%
11798 18%
15040 27%
17576 17%
19128 9%
19919 4%
18456 -7%
19190 4%
40085 109%
13875 -65%
19172 38%
26562 39%
27221 2%
27930 3%
28468 2%
29141 2%
29966 3%
30869 3%
31748 3%
32112 1%
32149 0%
36043 12%
36037 0%
General Growth Model Regression Model
26562 26562
27221 27946
27930 29330
28468 30714
29141 32098
29966 33482
30869 34866
31748 36250
32112 37634
32149 39018
36043 40401
36037 41785
Forecasts From Regression Error
26562 0
27946 3%
29330 5%
30714 8%
32098 10%
33482 12%
34866 13%
36250 14%
37634 17%
39018 21%
40401 12%
41785 16%
Equal weight 0.50
26562
27583
28630
29591
30620
31724
32867
33999
34873
35583
38222
38911