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Finding the expected score of a set of Ask Question
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Questions Asked 11 years, 1 month ago Modified 11 years, 1 month ago Viewed 4k times
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Suppose there are 4 multiple choice questions. Each question has 6 possible answers
Users
to choose from and only one of the answers is correct. I answer the questions by
Unanswered rolling a fair die for each question and choose the die's facing value as the answer to
1
the questions. Each correct answer is 5 marks and incorrect answer is −1 mark. I
TEAMS want to find the expected score I will get.
But on a second thought, if I let each question be Yi . So there are four questions, so
Y1 , . . . , Y4 . And the expected score for each question is:
1 5
Create a free Team E(Yi ) = 6
⋅5+ 6
⋅ (−1) = 0
Why Teams?
Then for four questions, 4 ⋅ E(Yi ) = 4 ⋅ 0 = 0 . In this case, then my expected score
is 0 .
Now, I am confuse. How should I think about the problem to get the expected score?
probability
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So your average score out of 4 questions is 2/3 correct and 3 1/3 incorrect
2
So your expected score is 5 × − 3 13 = 10
− 10
=0
1 3 3 3
2
Why isn't 3
the expected number of correct questions that I will get but the average score of
1
all the 4 questions? Each of the question has 6
chance of getting correct. There are 4
1
questions. So, n = 4 and p = 6
. Let X be the number of correct questions, then
1 2
X ∼ Bin(n, p) = Bin(4, ). So, E(X) = np =
6 3
is the expected number of correct
questions, isn't it? – xenon Apr 22, 2012 at 19:57
Yes, and therefore the expected number incorrect is 3 13 – Mark Bennet Apr 22, 2012 at
20:03
1 2
Why is the expected number of incorrect question 3 ⋅ 3
but not 4 − 3
= 3.333 ? – xenon
Apr 22, 2012 at 20:08
The number of incorrect answers is three and one third = ten thirds. The computation you
have given in the question makes this five and one third. – Mark Bennet Apr 22, 2012 at
20:13
ohh... I see. I thought it was a multiplication. Thanks! – xenon Apr 22, 2012 at 20:18
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