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  • Formulario de Probabilidades Nuevo

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    Nicole Delgadillo
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    The document discusses probability formulas and conditional probability. It provides formulas for calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and complements of events. Conditional probabilities are defined using Bayes' theorem. Independence of events is discussed and the properties that must hold when events are independent. The total probability theorem and Bayes' rule for calculating posterior probabilities are also covered.

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    FORMULARIO DE PROBABILIDADES NUEVO (1)

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    The document discusses probability formulas and conditional probability. It provides formulas for calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and complements of events. Conditional probabilities are defined using Bayes' theorem. Independence of events is discussed and the properties that must hold when events are independent. The total probability theorem and Bayes' rule for calculating posterior probabilities are also covered.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    8 views3 pages

    Formulario de Probabilidades Nuevo

    Uploaded by

    Nicole Delgadillo
    The document discusses probability formulas and conditional probability. It provides formulas for calculating probabilities of unions, intersections, and complements of events. Conditional probabilities are defined using Bayes' theorem. Independence of events is discussed and the properties that must hold when events are independent. The total probability theorem and Bayes' rule for calculating posterior probabilities are also covered.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 3

    FORMULARIO DE PROBABILIDADES

    1) P (A ∩ B) < P (A) P(A) + P(B) > P (A U B)


    P (A ∩ B) < P (B)

    a) P (A U B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A ∩ B) = 1 – P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅ ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴̅∪̅̅̅𝐵̅ )

    b) P (A∩ 𝐵̅) = P(A) + P(B) – P (A U B)

    c) P (A – B) = P (A) – P (A∩ 𝐵̅) = P (A U B) – P(B)

    d) P(A) + P(A’) = 1; o bien 1 – P(A) = P(Ac )

    e) P (A’∩ B’) = 1 – P (A U B) = P (𝐵̅ ∩ 𝐴̅)

    f) P (A’ U B’) = 1 – P (A ∩ B) o bien P [(A ∩ B)’]

    g) P (A’ ∩ B) = P (B) – P (A ∩ B) = P (A U B) – P(A) = P (B ∩ A’)

    h) P (A ∩ B’) = P(A) – P (A ∩ B)

    i) P (𝐴̅ ∪̅̅̅ 𝐵̅ ) = 𝑃 (𝐴̅) + 𝑃 (𝐵̅ )– 𝑃 (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅ )

    j) P (𝐴̅U B) = P(𝐴̅) + P (A ∩ B)

    k) P (A U BC) = P((𝐴̅) + P(BC) + P (A ∩ BC)

    l) P (A U B U C) = P(A) + P(B)+ P(C) – P (A ∩ B) - P (A ∩ C) - P (C ∩ B) + P


    (A∩ B∩ 𝐶)

    m) P [(A U B) ∩ C] = P (A∩ 𝐶) + P(B∩ 𝐶)- P(A∩ B∩ 𝐶)

    n) P [(A∩ 𝐵̅) ′] = P (A’ U B’)

    o) P [(A U B)’] = P (A’ ∩ B’)

    p) P(B) = P(A’∩B) + P [(A∩ 𝐵̅)


    PROBABILIDAD CONDICIONAL.

    𝐴 𝑃 ( 𝐴∩𝐵)
    a) P (𝐵 )= 𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎 (𝑃(𝐴̅) > 0)
    𝑃 ( 𝐵)

    𝐵 𝑃 ( 𝐵∩ 𝐴)
    b) P (𝐴 ) = 𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎 (𝑝(𝐵̅) > 0)
    𝑃 ( 𝐴)

    𝐴 𝐴 𝑃( 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) 𝑃 ( 𝐵) −𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
    c) P( ) = 1 − 𝑃 ( ) = =
    𝐵 𝐵 𝑃( 𝐵) 𝑃 ( 𝐵)

    𝐴 𝑃( 𝐴∩ ̅𝐵 ) 𝑃( 𝐴) −𝑃( 𝐴∩ 𝐵)
    d) P( )= =
    𝐵 𝑃( 𝐵̅) 𝑃 ( 𝐵̅)

    𝐵 𝑃( 𝐵∩ ̅𝐴) 𝑃( 𝐵) −𝑃( 𝐴∩ 𝐵)
    e) P( ) = =
    𝐴 𝑃 ( 𝐴) 𝑃 ( 𝐴)

    𝐵̅ 𝑃( 𝐵̅ ∩ 𝐴) 1−𝑃( 𝐴∪̅̅̅𝐵)
    f) P( ) = =
    𝐴 𝑃( 𝐴) 𝑃( 𝐴)

    𝐵̅ 𝑃( 𝐵̅ ∩ 𝐴) 𝑃 ( 𝐴) −𝑃( 𝐴∩𝐵)
    g) P( ) = =
    𝐴 𝑃( 𝐴) 𝑃( 𝐴)

    SI A Y B SON INDEPENMDIENTES SE CUMPLE QUE.

    a) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐵̅)

    b) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐶) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐶)

    c) P (𝐵̅ ∩ 𝐶) = 𝑃(𝐵̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐶)

    d) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅ ∩ 𝐶) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐵̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐶)

    e) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅ ) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐵̅ )

    f) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐵̅)

    g) P (𝐴̅ ∩ 𝐵̅ ) = 𝑃(𝐴̅) ∗ 𝑃(𝐵̅ )

    𝑉
    h) P ( )= 𝑃(𝐵̅)
    𝑅
    𝐵
    i) P( ) = 𝑃(𝐴̅)
    𝐴

    𝐵
    j) P(𝐴 ) = 𝑃(𝐵̅)

    𝐵𝐶
    k) P(𝐴𝐶 ) = 𝑃(𝐵̅ 𝐶 )

    𝐶
    𝐷
    𝐸 𝑃( 𝐹) 𝑃( )
    𝐹
    l) 𝑃 (𝐷𝐶) = 𝐶
    𝐷 𝐶𝐷
    𝑃( 𝐹) 𝑃( )+ 𝑃( 𝐸) 𝑃 ( )
    𝐹 𝐸

    m) P(𝐸) = 𝑃(𝐸)𝑃(𝐷/𝐸)
    𝐷 𝑃(𝐸)𝑃(𝐷/𝐸) + 𝑃(𝐹)𝑃(𝐹/𝐸)

    TEOREMAS DE BAYES

    Probabilidad total o regla de eliminación.

    a) P(A) = ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑃 (𝛽𝑖 ∩ 𝐴̅) = ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑃(𝛽𝑖)𝑃 (𝛽𝐴̅𝑖)

    𝑃 ( 𝛽𝑖) ∗𝑃( 𝐴/𝛽𝑖 )


    b) Probabilidad a Priori P(𝛽𝑖/𝐴 ) =
    𝑃( 𝐵1 ) 𝑃( 𝐴/𝐵1 ) + 𝑃 ( 𝐵2 ) 𝑃 ( 𝐴/𝐵2 ) +,. . . . .,+𝑃 ( 𝐵𝑛 ) 𝑃 ( 𝐴/𝐵𝑛 )

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