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Name : _________ Class : ________

Date : _________ Time : 60 minutes

Math Unit Test (Probability)


Answer all essay questions in this section. Write all answers and provide your complete works
clearly and neatly

1. What is the probability of not being born in a month with the first letter J?
9 3
P (not born in a month with the first letter J) = = =0.75=75 %
12 4
(2 marks)

2. If I enter a competition and have a 0.005 probability of winning, how many people
entered the competition?
n( E)
P ( E )=
n( S)
P ( E )=0.005
n ( E ) =1
n ( S )=…

1
0.005=
n (S )
1
n ( S )= =200 people/ participants
0.005

(2 marks)
3. In a school, data is collected about the school club that is joined by the students for Year
7 and Year 8. The results are shown in the table:
Year 7 Year 8 Total
Math and Science 6 8 14
Art and Design 7 5 12
Robotics 14 10 24
Total 27 23 50

If a student is chosen at random. Calculate the probability that the student is:
i. a student Year 7
P (Y7) = 27 / 50

ii. a student Year 8 that joins Math and Science


P (Y8 math and Science) = 8 / 50

iii. Joins art and Design given that is a student Year 8 (Conditional Prob.)
n (S) = n (Y8) = 23 students
P (ADIY8) = 5/23

iv. a student Year 7 given that joins Robotics (Conditional Prob.)


n (S) = n (Robotics) = 24 students
P (Y7I Robotics) = 14/24 = 7/12

(8 marks)
4. A net ball team plays three matches. In each match the team is equally likely to win, lose
or draw.
a. Draw a tree diagram to show all the possible outcomes over the three matches

W W,D,L WWW, WWD, WWL

W D W,D,L WDW, WDD, WDL

W,D,L WLW, WLD, WLL


L

W W,D,L DWW,DWD,DWL

D D W,D,L DDW,DDD,DDL

W,D,L DLW,DLD,DLL
L

W W,D,L LWW,LWD,LWL

L D W,D,L LDW,LDD,LDL

L W,D,L LLW,LLD,LLL

Wins all three matches (WWW)


=1/27

Wins at least one match (WWW )= 19/27 Either draws or wins all three matches
  P(WWW) + P (DDD) = 2/27
 

Loses more times than wins


WLL, LWL, LLW , LLL = 4/27

WLL, LWL, LLW


Correction : , LLL , DDL, DLD,DLL, LDD,LDL, LLD = 10/27

b. Calculate the probability that the team:


i. Wins all three matches
ii. Loses more times than wins
iii. Wins at least one match
iv. Either draws or wins all three matches

(13 marks)
5. A box contains four blue balls and six green balls. Each ball that is picked is not put back
in the box.
a. Draw a tree diagram over two balls that is picked.

B P (G,G) =

G P (B,G) + P (G,B)
 

B
 
 
G

A green ball and a blue ball in this


G order
P (G,B) =
P

b. Calculate is the probability of choosing


i. Two green balls
ii. A blue ball and a green ball in any order
iii. A green ball and a blue ball in this order

(11 marks)
6. The Venn diagram below show the probability of picking each type of blue disc and
green disc in a bag:

G B

0.5 0.3 0.2

If there are 60 discs containing the color blue (either fully or partly), calculate:
a. The total number of discs in the bag
P (blue full or partly) = 0.2 + 0.3 = 0.5
n (blue full or partly) = 60 discs

n(blue fully ∨ partly)


P (blue full or partly) =
n (discs)

60 60
0.5 = = ; n (discs) = = = 120 discs
n(discs) 0.5

b. The number of discs colored completely green

P (complete G) = 0.5
60
n (discs) = = = 120 discs
0.5

n(complete G)
P (complete G) =
n(discs)

n(complete G)
0.5 =
120

n (complete G) = 0.5 x 120 = 60 discs

(4 marks)
7. A hotel has two types of room : A and B. Each type can be categorized into three sizes,
single (S) , Double (D) and Triple (T). The probabilities of each are given in the tree
diagram below.

0.2

A y D y = 1 – (0.2+0.3) = 0.5

0.4 0.3
T

S z = 1- (0.8 +0.1) = 0.1


X = 0.6 z

B 0.8 D

0.1
T

a. What are the probability of (x), (y) and (z)?


b. A room is chosen at random. Calculate the probability that:
i. It is a Triple room of type A
P (AT) = 0.4 ( 0.3 ) = 0.12

ii. It is a Double room


P (AD) + P (BD) =
0.4 (0.5) + 0.6 (0.8) = 0.20 + 0.48 = 0.68

iii. It is a single room given that it is of type B


P (S ∩ B) 0.6 ×0.1
P (S I B) = P (B) = 0.6 =¿0.1

(10 marks)

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