UNIVERSIL

AC LEVELING COURSE

Name: Luis Miguel Morillo Medranda

Parallel: B

WORK YES
Exercises page 153
1. There are people who support reducing federal taxes in order to increase people and
their opinions are recorded. If no one is undecided, make a list of what;

Nomeclature:
In Favor = F
Against = c

People
Number of 1 2
results
1 F F
2 F c
3 c F
4 c c

3. A survey of 34 students at the Wall College of Business showed that they have

Accounting 10
Finance 5
Economy 3
Administration 6
Marketing 10

Suppose you choose a student and look at their major.

a) What is the probability that the student has a major in Administration!
P(A) = (Number of Administration students)/(Total Students
P(A)= 0.176

b) What concept of probability did you use to make this calculation?

 Empiricalthat
b) What is the probability probability approach
Mr. Jones was
and Mrs. usedselect the same
Smith

Number of PIN results = 10*10*10 = 1000

5. In each of the following cases, indicate whether classical probability was used, empiri
P(A)=1/1000
a) A baseball player gets 30 hits in 100 at-bats. The probability that Empirical
0.001
Probability

b)c) What concept

To study of probability
environmental did youause
problems, in answer
student b)? with seven teams is
committee
formed? The Classical probability approach is used
Classic Probability

c) You buy one of 5 million tickets sold by Lotto Canada. What s Classical Probability

Exercises page 159

d) The probability of an earthquake in northern California in the next 10 years is d
Empirical Probability, based on seismological data
Events A and B are mutually exclusive. Assume that P(A) = 0.30 and P(B) = 0.20
nor B happen?
7. A sample of 40 oil industry
The probability of Awas
executives or Bchosen
occurring is: tested.
to be
a no. P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = 0.30 + 0.20 =
0.5
a) What does the experiment consist of?
Survey of 40 people
The probability thatabout theAenvironment
neither nor B occur is:
0.5
P(neither A nor B) = 1 - P(A or B) = 1 - 0.5 =
b) Indicate a possible event.
3 or more people answered yes.
1 Suppose the probability that you get an A in this class is 0.25 and that
the pro is greater than C?
c) 5Ten of the 40 executives answered yes. Based on these responses from the m
. P(answer YES)=10/40
P(A) = 0.25
P (answer YES) =
P(B) = 0.5 0.25

P( >C) =ofP(A)
d) What concept + P(B) = is0.25
probability + 0.50 =
illustrated? 0.75
Empirical probability approach is used

1 e) Are theof
The probabilities possible
eventsoutcomes equally
A and B are likely
0.20 and andrespectively.
0.30, mutually exclusive?
The
7 probability The results obtained are not equal , but they are
P(A) = mutually0.2e
. P(B) = 0.3
P(A and B) = 0.15
9.
Bank of America customers
P(A or B)select
= P(A)their own
+ P(B) personal
- P(A and B) identification
= 0.20 +0.30 -number 0.35
a) Consider
0.15 =this an experiment and list four possible outcomes.

Result PIN
19. Assume that the two events A and B are mutually exclusive. What is the probability
1 123
When two events occur at the same time, the probability is exclusive. Therefore if
2 456
events A and B are mutually exclusive
3 852
4 654

21. A survey of grocery stores in the southeastern United States found that 4

They have all three so as

much
 PHARMACY = 40%

F.L.

a) What is the probability of randomly selecting a store P(pharmacy and flower

shop) = 0.2

b) What is the probability of selecting a store randomly?

P(pharmacy and delicatessen) = 0.3

c) The events “select a store with delicatessen” and “select NO, the two events
are not exclusive

d) What name is given to the event “select a store with pharmac ? It is called
joint probability, because it occu

e) What is the probability of selecting a store that does not include

P(pharmacy or flower shop or delicatessen) = 1 - P(pharmacy

Exercises page 166

25.
A local bank reports that 80% of its customers have checking accounts; What is the 60% probability
that the customer has either a checking account or a savings account?
P(checking account) = 80% = 0.8
P(savings account) = 60% = 0.6
P(checking and savings account) = 50% = 0.5

P(checking or savings account) = P(checking account) + P(account

P(checking or savings account) = 0.8 + 0.6 - 0.5 = 0.9

P(do not have a checking or savings account) = 1 - P(checking account

P(do not have a checking or savings account) = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1
Observe 27. the following table. (150/500)*

(150/500)*
First event
Second event A1 A2 A3
(150/500)*
B1 2 1 3
B2 1 2 1
(300/500)*
Total 3 3 4
(300/500)*
a) Determine P(A1).
P(A1) = 3/10 0.30
(300/500)*(

b) Estimate P(B1| A2)

P(B1| A2) = 1/3 =
0.33

c) 31.
Approximate P(B2 and A3).
The board of directors 0.10
of a= small company consists of five people. Three of them, their
P(B2 and A3)= 1/10
weak members, have no influence. Three salespeople are scheduled, one after
salesperson chooses. Salespeople are convincing, although they do not know who the
leaders are. The first salesperson who finds a strong leader will win in the
Every 29.presentation. Have
salesperson at l determine
Puchett, Sheets,theandrespective probabilities
Hogan Insurance Agency of winning.
receives a sales skills
qualification. Each salesperson is also rated on their potential for advancement: fair, good, or
excellent. of the 500 employees.

strong leaders 3
weakPotential
leaders to progress
2
Sales skills
Total members 5 Regular Well Excellent
Below average 16 12 22
The three
Average sellers do not have the same
45 chance of
60 winning, their
45
positions
Above average 93 72 135
Total P(win seller
154 1) = 3/5 =
144 0.6
202
P(win seller 2) = (2/5)*(3/4) = 0.3
P(win seller 3) = (2/5)*(1/4)*(3/3) = 0.1
a) What name does this table receive?
Contingency table Total = 1
b) What is the probability that a person chosen at random has an ability to advance?
P(above average and excellent) = P(above average)*P(E
P(above average and excellent) = (300/500)*(135/300) =

Exercises page 171

c) Construct a tree diagram showing the probabilities, probabilities co

33. P(A1) = 0.60, P(A2) = 0.40, P(B1|A1) = 0.05 and P(B1|A2) = 0.10. Apply B's theorem
Odds
Conditionals
P(A1|B1) =
(50/500)* (50/500)* (50/500)*

P(A1|B1) =P(A1)*P(B1|A1)
P(A1)*P(B1|A1) + P(A2)*P(B1|A2)
(0.60)*(0.05)
(0.60)(0.05) + (0.40)*(0.10)
 0.03
P(A1|B1) =
0.07

P(A1|B1) = 0.4286

35. The Ludlow Wildcats baseball team, a minor league team from
at daytime. The team wins 50% of night games and 90% of day games. Is it okay to play at night?
P(night) = 0.70
P(day) = 0.30
P(win|night) = 0.50
P(win|day) = 0.90

P(night|win) = P(night)*P(win|night)
P(day)*P(gane|day) + P(night)*P(ga

(0.70)*(0.50)
(0.30)(0.90) + (0.70)*(0.50)

P(night|win) = 0.35
0.62

P(night|win) = 0.565

37.
The credit department at Lion's Department Store in Anaheim, California, reported 40% with a
debit card. Twenty percent of purchases with cash or check, 90 over $50. Mrs. Tina Stevens just
bought a new dress that cost her $

(0.30)*(0.20) P(cash or check) = 0.3 P(>

(0.30)*(0.20) + (0.30)*(0.90) + (0.4 P(credit card) = 0.3 P(
0.06 P(debit card) = 0.4 P(
0.57

P(cash or check|>50) =

P(cash or check|>50) =

P(cash or check|>50) =

P(cash or check|>50) = 0.105

 Exercises page 176
39. Solve the following operations:
a) 40!/35!
40! / 35! = 40 x 39 x 38 x 37 x 36 x 35!
35!

40! / 35! = 40x39x38x37x36

40! / 35! = 78960960

b) 4 P 4
4!
4P4=
(4 - 4)!

4!
4P4=
0!

4x3x2x1
4P4=
1

4P4= 4x3x2

4P4= 24
c)5 C 2
5!
5C2 =
2! * (5 - 2)!

5!
5C2 =
2! * 3!

5 x 4 x 3!
5C2 =
2 * 3!

5x4
5C2 =
2

5C2 = 10

41. A surveyor randomly selected 4 of 10 available people. How much does the order of
selection of the elements of each group not matter ?

10
10C4 ! -
4! * (10
=
4)!
 10!
10C4 =
4! * 6!

10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 6!
10C4 =
4 x 3 x 2 x 1 * 6!

10x9x8x7
10C4 =
4x3x2x1

10C4 = 210

43. An express delivery company must include five cities in its route. How many did I say?
in

5!
5P5
= (5 - 5)!

5P5=

5P5=

5P5=

5P5= 120

45. A national pollster has asked 15 questions designed to measure performance. How
many distributions of the 10 questions can be formed taking into account the

15!
15 P 10 = (15 - 10)!

15!
15 P 10 = 5!

15 x 14 x 13 x 12 x 11 x 10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 6 x 5!
15 P 10 =
5!

15 P 10 = 15x14x13x12x11x10x9x8x7x6

15 P 10 = 10897286400
DAD ISRAEL
CURRICULAR ADEMICA "NAC"

EMANA FIVE

reduce consumer spending, although others are against it. Two 5 possible outcomes
are selected.

n the following specialties:

tion?
es)=6/34
 ca or subjective.
e gets a hit on his next turn is 0.3.

members. What is the probability that any of the seven will be elected spokesperson
for the organization or win a million dollars?

and 0.80.

eba a questionnaire. A question related to environmental issues required a yes or sample,

yes
?

what is the probability that an oil industry executive will answer

three-digit PIN (NIP), to be used at ATMs.

xclusive
my PIN?

. What is the probability that either A or B occur? What is the probability that A's probability of
getting a B is 0.50. What is the probability that A and B occur is 0.15. What is the probability that
A or B occurs?

Why are they presented together?

It refers to joint probability and for this to happen the two events must not be present, the
probability of the two events occurring simultaneously is zero.

40% had a pharmacy, 50% a flower shop and 70% a delicatessen. Suppose that 10% of the stores
25% have a flower shop and a delicatessen and 20% have both a pharmacy and a flower shop.
■OSERIA = 50%

1%

toria and find that it has a pharmacy and flower shop?

atoria and find that it has a pharmacy and delicatessen?

“to create a store with a pharmacy”, are they mutually exclusive?

ia, flower shop and delicatessen”?

The three events take place simultaneously

the three departments?

a, flower shop and delicatessen) = 1 - 0.90 = 0.9 savings account and 50% have both. If a
customer is chosen at random, what is the other customer? What is the probability that the
customer does not have a checking account or a

savings) - P(checking and savings account)

or savings)

Total
6
4
10 n below average, average and above average as it relates to their following table shows
a cross-classification of these personality characteristics

Total
50
150
300
500 to sales with above average rating and excellent potential for

xcellent | above average)

0.27

conditionals and joint probabilities.

Odds
Joint

(16/50) = 0.032

(12/50) = 0.024
(22/50) = 0.044
(45/150) = 0.090
(60/150) = 0.120

(45/150) = 0.090

(93/300) = 0.186

(72/300) = 0.144

135/300) = 0.270
Total = 1.000

n strong leaders. If they buy into an idea, the entire board will agree. The rest of the other, to
carry out a presentation in front of a member of the board that the are strong. However, they
will find out who the previous salesperson spoke to. Do three sellers have the same chances of
winning in the presentation? If not, winning chances are shown below to determine P(A1|B1). e
the Cleveland Indians organization plays 70% of its games at night and 30% with today's
newspaper, they won yesterday. What is the probability that the party is nightly or that 30% of
the sales are paid with cash or check; 30% with credit card, and % of purchases with credit card
and 60% of purchases with debit card are for 120. What is the probability that you paid in cash
or by check?

UNIVERSIL........................................................................................................................1
WORK YES.....................................................................................................................1
Exercises page 153.......................................................................................................1
Nomeclature:.........................................................................................................1
0.25.......................................................................................................................2
Exercises page 159.......................................................................................................3
15..............................................................................................................................3
P( >C) = P(A) + P(B) = 0.25 + 0.50 =..................................................................3
0.75.......................................................................................................................3
17..............................................................................................................................3
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) = 0.20 +0.30 - 0.15 =..............................3
0.35.......................................................................................................................3
21..............................................................................................................................3
Exercises page 166.......................................................................................................4
25..............................................................................................................................4
Odds Conditionals................................................................................................5
31..............................................................................................................................6
Total = 1.............................................................................................................6
 33..............................................................................................................................6
Exercises page 171.......................................................................................................6
37..............................................................................................................................7
Exercises page 176.......................................................................................................8
DAD ISRAEL...................................................................................................................10
EMANA FIVE...............................................................................................................10
a, flower shop and delicatessen) = 1 - 0.90 = 0.9 savings account and 50%
have both. If a customer is chosen at random, what is the other customer? What
is the probability that the customer does not have a checking account or a.......13
savings) - P(checking and savings account).......................................................13
or savings)...........................................................................................................13
Total....................................................................................................................13
Total....................................................................................................................13
xcellent | above average).....................................................................................13
0.27.....................................................................................................................13
>

P(cash or check)*P(> $50|cash or check)

q
debit)

0)*(.60)
Is it possible to form different groups of 4? Once a combination is made, different routes can be
formed assuming that the order in which they are included does not matter. The interviewer will
select 10 of the questions. order?