Ho Beta lion voi ppntithii

hip
.

EfD=Ép
.

✗ ~
Betacam

MLE chop :
15m¥ I =

In -24 .

↳
cxi , _ .

; Xu /

Bayes :
↑ .
=

-
I. (¥i )t¥p[¥÷,
~
r

p~Betaco.pl tin
In Htin
tri

sing
SE tuition
toimin
him
☒
thin -00 : FB =

time
=

×,

(
×" _
. .

population
 ×"
1×1 ✗ e-
Exp Jack#
{
✗ ~ x ≥◦
, '

0 , I <O

×"
✗ e-
=
.
= .

Hope ≥ og '

LE

Wai hiiy Bayer :

✗ (d) 0
Exp d
~ > .

"×
e-
•
PP Tien nghién :
ITCH = ✗ , ×≥ 0 .

pp d- aj thai ciia cxi Xnl :

• -

.
,
.

LciE faint
n

✗
¥4
III
""
= e- = in e- .
 d- Ey thii air ( Xi ☒ / ×
•
PP ,
- .

, in
we

Lba ,
.
.

, ocn ,
X) = ITCH .

flan ,
- -

, In 1×1

= d. e-
A
✗ X .
e- t.EE .

= { ×
"
.
e-
Hd -1
En
* & -1m
= 4 in e- !
•
☒ d-
pp biénlli ( marginal distr )
.

cut [ Xi ,
-
.
.

I Xnl :

FC Xi ,
_ .
.

,
Xu ) =

f. FGG ,
-
-

ish , Hd ☒

%
f%Y e-
✗ -1 "
= 4 dx

↳
tiihpt.int#uyphai
 du nxn -1
{ v=¥mé×G
*
{ dv
" =
-

≥ e-
* •
try -1mi

*%
I. ¥-1m e- A- ¥mfÉé
"
:*
→
"" "

fix dx
"
=
e-

flu ,
_ .
pint =

%n+T .

Hair
pph-au.yhii.ru :

LKu-.;Xn#
IT
ily =

Coli ,
- -
Mul f (x, ,
-- ikat

=
 =

cnn.int?nYe-xatm1- " "t

!
↳ Final =
GtnmY .
* e-

Wii big Bayes : a

§ # 1×1 d☒
Efxlx]
IT
Irs
-

=
=

"" "
=
G+IY fix ? e- dx .

Yñ
' .

=
1¥ LEE
v :
I. =
 BTVN :
Vd 15 ; ud 17 .

Dull to chick ( unbiased estimator /

⊖ !

Xi ,
_ . _

, ✗n ~
floc / 0-1

↓ %
~

Ko chieh :
§
⊖
Eti 0=168 EEÉI = .

I -

In

✗i ~
NIM 64 ,
( Xi Xn ) E- [ Xi ] =M
,
_ ,

EXI EEI]
☒ In =/
µ
=
.
=

51=102
Efx x-P
yE[E[s4=d
5 : f- :
-

Ill
S?
± .ÉfXi
-

-0 ⊖
E- [ G- a) =

EEE 1=0

Var CEN L Var CEI )

 ⊖

Ñz E- [ =/ Q
E- [ 0-12=0

É,
✗ ✗I ✗ ☒I

MSECE , e) =
E -

G) 2)
[ É]
OP chief [ Bias ) E-
-

& :
=

E[ Var (E) CE ECÉ ) ))

/ Sai
-

=
:

MSEC -0^10-1 = E [ ( É (E) + EELAM

-0-12
=
E-
[ ( E - ECÉI )2 -1 ( ECÉI

+ ICE -
ECÉI ) ( ECÉI
-

]
0-1

( ECEY-o.ir
E[-ED
+
=
 = Var KÉ ) + ( E (E) -

012

Tia

4 HE'D
E[Éz ] =
EfᵈÉit a-

= YET Én ] -1 ( e- 9) ECÉ ) ,

⊖ ( 410 0
=
4. 1- 1- = .

bi chic!
ride
blog to

b) Var CEN = Var /LA + G- 4) & )

= 42 Var Cdr ) t (r -

42 Var ( Ez)

=
aid? + a- HE
✗ at 4 d- it Eid 1- G- Hai -2min
LCH =
aid + ce -

24 -1445
'

Coin -1%442 _

2412 + at

→ ⇐ .

a- +I
,

En
-

Cho Xi ,
. .

, ✗n u NCM 84
I lñ 1 viii bieycho µ .

CM : X ti 1 It
wing Cho µ .

☒ µ ,
tai li :

e)
tiny PINT M > 0
=
-

↳ BD T Markov .

☒ ~
Nlm %)
 O

Tai :
AF dip BAT Chebyshev
PCI-X na > el ≤
Vara¥¥ˢ
-

Varun -

% ≤
Vdr{¥-
=[→→°hk→x
* In
Xi ,
_ .
.

, Xn ~
UM 01
hhi to ]
{
C- ⊖
Llxl =
✗ ,
,

0 ≠ .

Y= Én= Max } Xn ,
-

,
Xu G.
Hair pp tiih
enjoin Y : Fycy )
PC )
Fycyl =
✗ ≤
y
=P / Max { Xi ,
_ .
.

,
✗ us ≤
g)
=P [ Cxi ≤
ytncx.gl A .
. .

ncxn
yl]
≤

II. PIYy )
T.IE/iCy)FxiCy1
=
=
 "
= [ Fxiy ) ] Xirucao )

aib
LxG4={ Ea
0
' K c-

≠
Taib ]

,
.

0 ✗ < a

{
,
cool
¥-2
=

ia c≤b

1 i k > b
]

Ealy / =
¥-1 YE [ 0,0 ]

= >
Fycyk Y¥_n ,
0 ≤
y ≤0 .

fylyt.ME?- ,
◦ ≤
y
≤ 0 .
?⃝
f y.tn#?dy- :.MSECEnl- biasCGn10-/2-VdrlEn1
E- [ Én ] =

↳
Pilon -0-1 > e) ≤
V%
Pa→i=pa¥%!YY#
| f ¥y7=
Lxkl.ffi.tk/A.B:events--ffYtf*jHy1
= PCBIPCAIB )

.
 hoan-d-o-igiaad-a.oham-wa-t.ch
tiñh

pkñn
Rao
Cramer
-

Lower bound
-

(Xy
✗ Xnl face 0-1 FCK 10-1
=
. . .

, cat .
.
.

,
In / =

,
.

WHY =
war ,
_ . .

,
✗ ul bi 1 ride
him to chieh
Cho TCO-l.CN mnéñuak hi chit cinch .vn
:) A
ICE / = ⊖)

↳ suit dy DAT Cauchy

-

Schwartz :
I ☒ ≤1
✗ et U ,
V bi hai bun

lcovcu.vn?-sVarcuI.Varcv1.I
↳ Run ≤ 1
Dñi
" -
-
"
Thi
U
avtcca.SI
=

Droit : U =
W/ ☒ ) or
V=¥logfC☒ 10-1
Tint
/
# THIGH
•

could v1 ,
= Cov WCXI ,
→
Cancun ) = E [ UV ] -

E-LUI.EU ] .

" × "
[ wcxxt.2-logfcx.si
"
"

EEUV ] = E.

=§M* # gfcno-t.LA/oyd*/EEXT--fxfGddk
.

;¥ .÷;¥÷
.ir#d.- fxWCx1%fCXl0-ld2Cd-khoan-d-o-i
=

"

↓ giuiñ d- true
tp.

f,,Wc☒fc☒Hd*
[ Could v17.2

/
~ ,

# E¥wc☒D .
≤
Varga/
✓ECaCUn
Varcv)

>

Varofwcxl / ≥
arm
varotwcxii ≥
 EEV ] = E [ Zz log fix lot]
lol fcxioldx
=

fx¥ logflx .

¥%¥
.sc#oidx--f*%fcxio-1dx=Fo-f YY-jd-
f.
=

= 0 .

EÉLUVCXI ]
Cov CU , V1 =
ETU -
v ] =
% .

lvar.ae#i:j- :YIYI-/Ti hVarN1- Vav/2- logf( ☒ 10-1 )

=
E-
[{ Ezequiel f)
 [ ¥E⊖[WC☒ /
2
]
Varo ( WHA ) ) ≥ -
'

E-
[ 1%1%8*110199
☒ = CX, ,
.
.
.

,Xn ) ~
f (☒ 10-1
=
face ,
-
.
.

,
-

only
1- It i. i. d:

Xr ,
_
.

, Xn ~
FACIE / .

Ichi - -
,
xnltl =

II. faith
↳
Varo / want ≥
EIICHI -

%eagHXK-H.TK [[
NE

,
_ .

/ Xn Éᵈ facial

E. [ { ¥ eogfc* 10-192 ]

=
E. [{ log t.I.LA/i1o- 1) G)
=
E- [ { Ézjzlogfcxi 10-19 ]
=E←[ ¥ }¥bgfHi 10-192
.

¥ ¥¥¥ʰgLC×ikt¥logHx;k-1)
+
,

=
E. [ É { eogfcxikt } ]
,

.E ?-o%5fcx;k-D=nEoThZzlogfCX1o-tGY.V#U-u-uio-
]
E¥E[kt
+

Va
# What ≥

ntEE-e.gg#iI= ¥ "
⊖

T.IQ Fisher
Intamin .

•
go.eojfak-1-o.AT#afcxlo-1=e "" -

"
9. hail :

exponential
family
✗ ~
PAI .

e-
×
eᵗʰ9*! e-
LAW
.

= =

2!
#
=
ext

pi
"
Xi Bcpl
"
Xn
fcxlpl
~ : a-
=p
,
.

.
,

ik = 91
I In
.

Iii Li UL KC tetra
pp Bernardi b-
= :

1h :
ELI ] =p .

by thia

) Chai mi
Var (F) = Var
( f. Exit =

¥ Yar Cxi
 =
n%=Var¥= PAID .

¥4
BAT Cramer -

Rao : Uav ( WCXI / ±

,
Udi
Icp ) = E
[ {jd-pl.ge#1p1G2] Fisher :
Into

[ ¥ logfcxlpl ]
E
-

"

fcxlpl =p pH
"
a- e.
gfcxlptxeoglp)
zplqcxip-kp-L-I-G-xe-ga.pl
3%1%11×41 ¥ 4%2 =
-
*

Icp [ ¥ *fi¥]=
E +

E E¥¥- f- ¥
=
+ =
+

¥,
CRLB
¥g PEI
.

= - = = .

,
 )
Tact : Var (E) =

P¥P = CRIB

I loi Uk Kitai nhñt

chop .