Professional Documents
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Chapter 8
NET PRESENT VALUE AND OTHER INVESTMENT
CRITERIA
Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Slide
8 Chapter Organization Number
Slide Title
8-1
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
CHAPTER WEBSITES
Websites may be referenced more than once in a chapter. This table just includes the
section for the first reference.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Lecture Tip: You may wish to emphasize that firm value comes primarily from the
asset side of the balance sheet; i.e., value is created primarily via good investment
decisions.
Point out that “investment assets” include intangibles such as human capital and
intellectual property, as well as tangible assets in the form of plant and equipment.
Lecture Tip: It is often helpful to stress the word “net” in net present value. It is not
uncommon for some students to carelessly calculate the PV of a project’s future cash
flows and fail to subtract out its cost (after all, that is what the programmers of Lotus
and Excel did when they programmed the NPV function). The PV of future cash flows
is not NPV, rather NPV is the amount remaining after offsetting the PV of future cash
flows with the initial cost. Thus, the NPV amount determines the incremental value
created by undertaking the investment.
The second version is shown to lead into Excel’s NPV function. And with a typical
project’s cash flows, CF0 is negative while the rest are positive.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Lecture Tip: In practice, financial managers are rarely presented with zero NPV
projects. In most large firms, capital investment proposals are submitted to the
Finance group from other areas for analysis. Those submitting proposals recognize
the ambivalence associated with zero NPVs and are less likely to send them to the
Finance group in the first place.
Conceptually, a zero-NPV project earns exactly its required return. Because firm
value is completely unaffected by the investment, there is no reason for shareholders
to prefer either one.
However, several real-world considerations may come into play in these decisions.
For example, adjusting for risk in capital budgeting projects can be problematic.
And, some investment projects may have benefits that are difficult to quantify but
exist, nonetheless. Consider an investment with a low or zero NPV that enhances a
firm’s image as a good corporate citizen or helps a firm move into new markets.
For now, consider both of these as given, while we learn the methodologies.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
If we assume that the cash flows occur evenly throughout the year, which is typical
for this method, then the project pays back in 2.34 years.
8-5
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Real-World Tip: While the payback period is widely used in practice, it is rarely the
primary decision criterion. As William Baumol pointed out in the early 1960s, the
payback rule serves as a crude “risk screening” device—the longer cash is tied up,
the greater the likelihood that it will not be returned. The payback period may be
helpful when comparing mutually exclusive projects. Given two similar projects with
different paybacks, the project with the shorter payback is often, but not always, the
better project.
Real-World Tip: Interestingly, the payback period technique is used quite heavily in
determining the viability of certain investment projects in the health care industry. In
health care, the technology is rapidly changing with extremely expensive equipment
and an increasingly competitive industry. An equipment purchase may be
complicated by the fact that, while the machine may be able to perform its function
for, say, 6 years or more, new and improved equipment is likely to be developed that
will supersede the “old” equipment long before its useful life is over. Demand from
patients and physicians for “cutting-edge technology” can drive a push for new
investment. In the face of such a situation, many hospital administrators then focus on
how long it will take to recoup the initial outlay, in addition to the NPV and IRR of
the equipment.
International Note: Firms that have operations in countries with volatile politics may
also be concerned with quick paybacks. When there is always a possibility that the
government may seize your assets, you want to make sure that you have recouped
your investment as quickly as possible.
Lecture Tip: One of the criticisms of payback is that it doesn’t account for time value
of money. Discounted payback was developed to counter this problem. The basic idea
is to compute the PV of each of the cash flows, using the appropriate discount rate,
and determine how long it takes for the investment to pay back on a discounted basis.
You still have an arbitrary cutoff and ignore the cash flows beyond the cutoff period.
Because you are computing present values anyway, you may as well go ahead and
compute the NPV because you have already lost payback’s simplicity.
Students may ask where you came up with the 25%. Point out that this is one of the
drawbacks of this rule. There is no good theory for determining what the return
should be. We generally just use some rule of thumb.
Lecture Tip: An alternative view of the AAR is that it is the micro-level analogue to
the ROA discussed in a previous chapter. As you remember, firm ROA is normally
computed as Firm net income / Firm total assets. And, it is not uncommon to employ
values averaged over several quarters or years in order to smooth out this measure.
Some analysts ask, “If the ROA is appropriate for the firm, why is it less appropriate
for a project?” Perhaps the best answer is that whether you compute the measure for
the firm or for a project, you need to recognize the limitations—it doesn’t account for
risk or the time value of money, and it is based on accounting, rather than market,
data.
Real-World Tip: Surveys indicate that few large firms employ the payback period
and/or the AAR methods exclusively; rather, these techniques are used in conjunction
with one or more of the DCF techniques. On the other hand, anecdotal evidence
suggests that many smaller firms rely more heavily on non-DCF approaches. Reasons
for this include (1) small firms don’t have direct access to the capital markets and,
therefore, find it more difficult to estimate discount rates based on funds cost; (2) the
AAR is the project-level equivalent to the ROA measure used for analyzing firm
profitability; and (3) some small-firm decision makers may be less aware of DCF
approaches than their large-firm counterparts.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
The IRR rule is very important. Management and individuals in general, often have a
much better feel for percent returns and the value that is created than they do for
dollar increases. A dollar increase doesn’t seem to provide as much information if we
don’t know what the initial expenditure was.
Many financial calculators compute the IRR as soon as the key is pressed; others (like
the TI BAII+) require that you press compute.
The row and column headings are shown to emphasize that the function requires the
range to include cash flow 0.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
• The IRR rule accounts for time value because it is finding the rate of return
that equates all of the cash flows on a time value basis.
• The IRR rule provides an indication of value because we will always increase
value if we can earn a return greater than our required return.
• We should not consider the IRR rule as our primary decision rule. It has some
problems that NPV does not have, thus NPV is our ultimate decision rule.
There are situations where NPV and IRR will give conflicting answers.
Nonconventional cash flows and multiple IRRs occur when there is a net cost to
shutting down a project. The most common examples deal with collecting natural
resources. After the resource has been harvested, there is generally a cost associated
with restoring the environment.
8-9
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Descartes’ Rule of Signs says that for every sign change, a real root will exist.
Conventional cash flow streams have one sign change (CF0 = negative, CF1–N =
positive) and result in one real root—the IRR.
With more than one sign change, we get more than one real root (the rest are
imaginary).
If you compute the IRR on the calculator, you get 10.11% because it is the first one
that you come to. So, if you just blindly use the calculator without recognizing the
uneven cash flows, NPV would say to accept and IRR would say to reject.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
The important point is that we DO NOT use IRR to choose between projects.
• Scale differences
• Timing differences
There are three methods of computing MIRR, each demonstrated on the next three
slides.
For our example, the same rate will be used for both.
8-11
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Step 1 is to find the PV of cash outflows and the Terminal Value (TV) of cash
inflows.
In Excel, you can use the basic RATE function or the specialized MIRR function.
Note that the TI BAII+ professional calculator has the MIRR function built-in.
This definition assumes no negative cash flows after year zero. Technically, PI = PV
of inflows / PV of outflows; thus a nonconventional project’s PI will have a PV in
both the numerator and the denominator. If a project has a positive NPV, then the PI
will be greater than 1.
8-12
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Lecture Tip: The profitability index is often used when a firm faces capital rationing.
The basic idea is to compute the PI for all independent projects and choose those
projects that have the highest PI until you run out of funds. If a high PI project uses
the majority of funds, then you should see if skipping it and taking the next highest set
of PI projects results in a higher overall NPV (some trial-and-error may be required).
Even though payback and AAR should not be used to make the final decision, we
should consider the project very carefully if they suggest rejection. There may be
more risk than we have considered, or we may want to pay additional attention to our
cash flow estimations. Sensitivity and scenario analysis can be used to help us
evaluate our cash flows.
The fact that payback is commonly used as a secondary criteria may be because short
paybacks allow firms to have funds sooner to invest in other projects without going to
the capital markets
Stress that, while NPV is the dominant decision criteria, there are reasons to calculate
all five because each provides indications concerning the value and/or risk of a
proposed project.
Lecture Tip: While uncertainty about inputs and interpretation of the outputs help
explain why multiple criteria are used to judge capital investment projects in
practice, another reason is managerial performance assessment. When managers are
judged and rewarded primarily on the basis of periodic accounting figures, there is
an incentive to evaluate projects with methods such as payback or average
accounting return. On the other hand, when compensation is tied to firm value, it
makes more sense to use NPV as the primary decision tool.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
The following five slides give a brief review of each of the methods and its
advantages and drawbacks:
Slide 8.63 NPV Summary
Slide 8.64 IRR Summary
Slide 8.65 Payback Summary
Slide 8.66 AAR Summary
Slide 8.67 Profitability Index Summary
And what about the municipal officials who offer such incentives? Stated reasons are
typically related to “employment growth” or “increased economic activity.” But,
from a capital budgeting standpoint, have you ever seen a fully developed cash flow
analysis of the stated benefits relative to the costs?
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part
Chapter 08 – Net Present Value and Other Investment Criteria
Several incentives described above directly affect the costs and benefits of the
proposed project and would be accounted for in the capital budgeting analysis
performed by Mercedes. However, the state officials should perform their own capital
budgeting analysis—they too are incurring economic costs in the hope for future
benefits. But at least one aspect is different: When a corporation makes a poor
investment, shareholders suffer; when a state makes poor decisions, all of the
residents of the state suffer. Thus, the ethics of the capital budgeting decision come
into play more clearly in the latter case.
Consider the following simple example. The American Association of Colleges and
Universities estimates that 10% of all college students cheat at some point during
their postsecondary education careers. You might pose the ethical question of
whether it would be proper for a publishing company to offer a new book, “How to
Cheat: A User’s Guide.” The company has a cost of capital of 8% and estimates it
could sell 10,000 volumes by the end of year 1 and 5,000 volumes in each of the
following two years. The immediate printing costs for the 20,000 volumes would be
$20,000. The book would sell for $7.50 per copy and net the company a profit of $6
per copy after royalties, marketing costs, and taxes. Year 1 net would be $60,000.
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© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for
sale or distribution in any manner. This document may not be copied, scanned, duplicated, forwarded, distributed, or posted on a
website, in whole or part.