Topic: impacts of Russian Ukraine war on

international relations

Roll no: 002000701024

Class: ir ug2
Course: international politics since 1945
Submitted by: Debaroti roy
Submitted to: prof. anindya Jyoti mazumdar

On 24th of February the Russian military launched a full

-scale invasion of Ukraine, Both the countries had a
long and a complicated history and moreover Ukraine’s
inclination towards NATO and EU which actually
became the bone of contention between them. Ukraine
is a newly independent country immediately after the
disintegration of USSR in 1991. The country has
always wavered between the influences of Moscow and
the west and actually never had a stable government,
corruption was on peak and economic fall, due to which
the revolution of dignity (2014) took place and
Ukrainians demanded the government to join NATO
and EU.

But Russian government couldn’t tolerate the

movement and immediately annexed the Crimean
Peninsula in 2014. But eventually after that incident the
country has shown some progress in terms of reforms,
fight against corruption, economic growth and
strengthening democratic institutions. It has developed
vibrant civil society, free elections, a diverse media
landscape, and freedom of assembly, everything that
Putin fears and which he has crushed in Russia since
coming into power.

Putin has said that “of course” Russia doesn’t want war
in Europe, but that his security concerns must be
addressed and taken seriously. Every country is actually
guided by their ‘national interest’ be it Russia or
Ukraine. Ukraine’s decision to have stronger relation
with the west was seen as threat to Russian security.
While Russia did ask the US and its European allies to
refrain from expanding NATO and EU eastward, the
response was predictable and resounding no. Russia in
the name security aimed for greater aspirations like to
dominate Ukraine politically, militarily and
economically. Putin had a goal of re- creating Soviet
Union and make Russia great again.
HUMANITARIAN CRISIS
As a result of the Russian invasion, Ukraine is in
humanitarian crisis. About 6.48 million people are
estimated to be displaced within the borders of Ukraine,
and more than 3.3 million people have fled Ukraine,
turning into refugees. The tremendous majority of
refugee are women and children, who’re at danger of
trafficking, sexual exploitation and gender-based
violence.
The response to this crisis from the European countries,
united states, and other donor government has been
unprecedented and generous from contributing aid
efforts to accepting refugee. The European union is
giving legal recognition and protection to the people
who are in search of refugee from the war in EU
countries.
Unfortunately, Non-Ukrainians -specifically black
brown individuals- who’ve fled Ukraine have
confronted more barriers in reception and integration,
with issues rising on each side of borders. Many were
colour discriminated and faced racism. Later the
UNHCR and EU came to know about the problem, they
requested and urged that everybody fleeing Ukraine be
allowed into the EU, regardless of race and nationality.
Conflicts, and particularly the Russian bombardment of
civilian institutions and incapability of civilians to flee
in safety, has created an interior crisis. Moreover,
numerous elements advocate that the scenario will
become more desperate. As the Russian military’s
offensive are emerging as more frustrated, and it is
laying siege to population centres and creating massive
suffering.
Refugees international is persuaded that the Russian
military and Russian government are liable for war
crimes and crimes against humanity in Ukraine. They
should stop such abuses and must be held responsible
for extensive range of widespread, indiscriminate and
what honestly looks cruel, deliberate, and unprovoked
attacks against civilians in Ukraine and against civilian
institutions.
POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS
Beyond humanitarian crisis and suffering from Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine the entire global economy will feel
the effects of slower growth and faster inflation and
also there are several major ways through which the
conflict impacts on the world economy.
Russia and Ukraine are predominant commodities
producer and disruptions have brought about global
expenditures to soar, especially for oil and natural gas.
Food prices have jumped, with wheat, for which
Ukraine and Russia make up 30% of global exports.
Beyond worldwide spill overs, nations with direct trade,
tourism and economic exposures will experience extra
pressures. Economic reliant on oil imports will see
wider financial and trade deficits and greater inflation
pressure, though some exporters such as those in the
middle east and Africa may benefit from higher price.
The toll is already immense in Ukraine. Unprecedented
sanctions on Russia will impair financial intermediation
and trade, inevitably causing a deep recession there.
Energy is the main spill over channel for Europe as
Russia is a major source of natural gas and petroleum.
Wider supply chain disruptions may also be
consequential the effects will fuel inflation and slow
recovery from the pandemic. Eastern Europe will see
rising financial costs and refugee surge. Recently the
Russian government has stopped accepting US Dollar
and asked for ruble on the business of petroleum and
Natural gas which is a big blow to European countries,
and American hegemony. The ASEAN economies,
India and frontier economies will also get effected in
importing petroleum and this could be amplified by
declining tourism for nations reliant on Russian visits.
Financial sanctions will have an impact on supply
chains and trade as companies will struggle to find
financial channels through which to conduct trade to
Russia and Ukraine
The war is also hampering China’s belt and road
initiative. The BRI is one of the major projects which
connects the rail transport between China and Europe
via Kazakhstan, Russia and Belarus. The present
situation will have a direct consequence on the BRI
network.
The consequences of Ukrainian crisis have not shaken
this Nations but also the region and the world, and point
to the importance of global safety net and regional
arrangements in place of buffer economies. While some
effects might not come fully into focus for many years
but there are clear signs of inflation, jump in the costs
of essential commodities.

In case Russia and Ukraine don’t arrive at a resolution

soon, there is possibility of the conflict spilling beyond
the region. Whether or not the hostilities prolong or
ceases quickly, it may have fast tracked a chain of
occasions that redefines geopolitics for the lengthy term
in the 21st century.