Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Example:
Eleven telephone calls were made. The time each call took was recorded as
follows, to the nearest minute: 2,3,2,4, 2, 1, 3, 1, 2, 3, 2
a. Arrange the data in a frequency table, using tally marks
b. How many calls lasted for more than two minutes?
c. Find the percentage of calls that lasted for less than three minutes
Solution:
Minute Tally mark Frequency
1 11 2
2 1111 5
3 111 3
4 1 1
11
b. the number of calls that lasted for more than two minutes is 4
7 100
c. the percentage of calls that lasted for less than minutes is ( × )%=63.64%
11 1
Example:
Consider the scores of thirty students in a mathematics mental drill test: 2, 1, 0, 4,
2, 3, 4, 5, 1, 2, 0, 5, 4, 3, 3, 0, 3, 2, 3, 1, 3, 4, 5, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5, 4
i. Prepare a tally and a frequency table for the data
ii. How many students scored: a. 0 b. 1 c. 3 d. 4
Solution:
i.
Scores Tally Frequency
0 111 3
1 1111 4
2 1111 5
3 1111 8
111
4 1111 5
5 1111 5
bright akeem
1200 600
comatsie
Example:
The following data gives the monthly budget of a man
Item Amount
used(₦)
Food 1000
Rent 500
Savings 500
i. Draw a pie chart to illustrate the information
ii. What fraction of the monthly budget is spent on rent?
Solution:
Total amount used=₦2000
Angle of circle= 3600
We calculate the angle for each entry
Name Amount Angle of sector
used(₦)
Food 1000 1000
× 3600
2000
= 1800
Rent 500 500
× 3600
2000
= 900
Savings 500 900
i. savings rent
food
Example:
The following table shows the expenses of family in a certain month
Item Expenses
(₦)
Food 5000
Housing 2000
Clothing 4000
Entertainment 1000
i. Illustrate this information on a pie chart
ii. What percentage of the total expenses is spent on clothing?
Solution:
Total expenses=12000
Total angle in a circle=3600
Convert each entry to degree
Item Expenses Angle of sector
Food 5000 5000
× 3600
12000
= 1500
Housing 2000 2000
× 3600
12000
= 600
Clothing 4000 4000
× 3600
12000
= 1200
Entertainment 1000 1000
× 3600
12000
= 300
Evaluation Questions:
1. The number of students in three classes are shown in the table below
Class Number of
students
History 20
Geography 23
Art 31
a. Draw a pie chart to show this information
b. What percentage of the total number of students is in history class?
2. Thirty two men were asked how they travelled to work. Their results are shown
in the table
How they Frequency
travelled
Walk 14
Car 4
Bus 5
Train 9
a. Draw a pie chart to illustrate the information
b. What fraction of the workers travelled by car?
3. The table below shows the number of students who offer certain subjects in a
school
INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY
Experiment:
An experiment is a process by which an observation is made; an observation is
referred to as an outcome, and an outcome of an experiment cannot be predicted
with certainty.
Sample Space:
The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
Event:
An event is a set of outcomes of an experiment or a subset of the sample space.
Note, a Simple Event or element is an event that cannot be decomposed.
Probability of an Event:
Classical
Relative Frequency
Subjective
TRY THIS
In the card game, "Between the Sheets," each player is dealt two cards,
face up. Ace is low and king is high. The player can then fold or bet that
the value of a third dealt card will be between the values of the two
original cards. The bet is lost if the third card is above, below, or matches
the first two cards. You have been dealt two cards. What is the
probability of winning the bet if your cards are dealt?
Union
A and B are two events defined on the sample space S; the union of A and B
[AUB] is the event that A occurs or B occurs or both occur.
Intersection
A and B are two events defined on the sample space S; the intersection of A and B
[A B] is the event that both A and B occur.
Complement of an Event
If E is any event, the event that E does not occur is called the complement of E; it
is all the outcomes that are not associated with E but are in the sample space; it is
written E' or Ec. Furthermore, P(E') = 1 - P(E)
Then
Union of A and B: AUB = {1,2,3,4,6}
Intersection of A and B: A B = {2,4}
Complement of A: A' = {5,6}
Axioms of Probability
1. Nonnegative. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1.
0 < P(E) < 1
Example 3.1
An experiment consists of rolling a single die. S = {1,2,3,4,5,6}
Events A and B are mutually exclusive events; they have no elements in common.
n(A) 3
P(A) = n(S) = 6
n(B) 1
P(B) = n(S) = 6
3 1 4 2
P(AUB) = P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = 6 + 6 = 6 = 3
Example 3.2
An experiment consists of drawing one card from a deck of 52 cards.
S = {AS,2S,...,KS,AC,2C,...,KC,AH,2H,...,KH,AD,2D,...,KD}
Events A and B are non mutually exclusive events because there are black queens:
the queen of spades and the queen of clubs.
26
P(A) = 52
4
P(B) = 52
P(C) = P(F) = 0
2
P(A and B) = P(A B) = 52
26 4 2
P(A or B) = PAUB) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A B) = 52 + 52 - 52
TRY THESE:
4. The probability a new airport will get an award for its design is 0.16; the
probability that it will get an award for the efficient use of materials is
0.24, and the probability that it will get both awards is 0.11. a) What is
the probability that it will get at least one of the two awards? b) What is
the probability that it will get only one of the two awards?
5. A box contains 9 tickets numbered from 1 to 9 inclusive. If 3 tickets are
drawn from the box, one at a time, find the probability that they are
alternately: a) odd, even, odd; b) even, odd, even.
LOTTERY PROBLEM:
Calculate the probability of winning the Texas lottery. [Randomly select 6
numbers. You win the grand prize if your numbers match all of the 6 numbers
selected by the State. Lesser amounts are won by matching 5, 4, or 3 numbers.]
Independent/Dependent Events
Two events, A and B, are independent if the occurrence of A does not affect the
probability of the occurrence of B; otherwise the events are said to be dependent.
Example 4.1
An experiment consists of drawing two cards from a deck of 52 cards with
replacement, i.e. draw one card and replace it before drawing the second card.
Define two events A and B as follows.
A: "draw an ace"
B: "draw a queen"
Events A and B are independent events because drawing an ace does not affect the
occurrence of drawing a queen (replacement).
Now change the experiment so the first card is not replaced before drawing the
second card. Now the probability of the occurrence of B is dependent upon the
occurrence of the first event; on the second draw, the number of elements in the
sample space has been reduced from 52 to 51.
4 4
P(A) = 52 P(B/A) = 51
P(A and B) = P(A)xP(B/A)
4 4 16
P(A and B) = 52 x 51 = 2652 = 0.00603
TRY THIS:
1. Find the probability of drawing 3 aces from a deck of 52 cards if the
cards are:
a. replaced [1/2197]
b. not replaced. [1/17,576]
SECTION 4: PROBLEMS
4. What is the probability that at least one head appears in two tosses of a fair
coin?
5. Two machines are used in the production of screws. The probability that
machine A will break down on any given day is 1/20, and the probability that
machine B will break down on any given day is 1/25. What is the probability
that production will cease due to the simultaneous breakdown of the machines.
Assume that the two events are independent.
6. Two cards are drawn from a deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that both
are aces given that the cards are drawn a) without replacement and b) with
replacement?
8. Jill has three quarters and four nickels in her pocket. Two coins are selected at
random. What is the probability that a) both coins are quarters, and b) both
coins have the same value?
10. Tay-Sachs (TS) disease is a genetic disorder that is usually fatal in early
childhood. If both parents are carriers of the disease, the probability that their
offspring will develop the disease is approximately 0.25. Suppose a husband
and wife are both carriers of the disease and the wife is pregnant on three
different occasions. If the occurrence of Tay-Sach in any one offspring is
independent of the occurrence of any other, what are the following
probabilities?
a) All three children will develop TS disease.
b) Only one will develop TS disease.
BIRTHDAY PROBLEM:
In a party with 23 people, what is the probability that at least 2 people were
born on the same day of the year?
Ignore February 29; assume 365 days of the year are equally likely to be
birthdays.
A WORTHY OPPONENT:
What is more probable in playing against an equal adversary (if the game
cannot end in a tie:
a) Win 3 games out of 4 or win 5 games out of 8?
b) At least 3 games out of 4 or win at least 5 games out of 8?
If B is conditional on A,
P(A and B) P(AhB)
P(B/A) = P(A) = P(A)
Example 5.1
The experiment is to roll one die and observe the number showing.
S: {1,2,3,4,5,6}
Define two events, A and B, as follows.
A: "an odd number" A = {1,3,5}
B: "a number less than 4" B = {1,2.3}
(A B): {1,3}
3
Note: P(A) = 6
Now if we use B as a restricted outcome space, and consider the ratio of
number in A to the number in B, then it can be deduced that:
2
P(A/B) = 3
In terms of a probability, this problem translates into the ratio of the
probability of both A and B happening to the probability of B happening;
thus, using the formula for conditional probability:
P(AhB) 2/6 2
P(A/B) = P(B) = 3/6 = 3
SECTION 5: PROBLEMS
1. Two chips are drawn without replacement from an urn containing five
black chips and three green chips. What is the probability that a) the
second chip drawn is green if the first one was green, and b) the second
chip drawn is black if the first one was black?
2. A committee is composed of six Democrats and five Republicans.
Three of the Democrats are men, and three of the Republicans are men.
If a man is chosen for chair, what is the probability that he is a
Republican? [1/2]
5. A coin is tossed 3 times, and 2 heads and 1 tail fall. What is the
probability that the first toss was heads? [2/3]
6. From an ordinary deck of playing cards, cards are drawn
successively at random and without replacement. Compute the
probability that the third spade appears on the sixth draw.
[11/47]