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Stock Verdict Asian Paints 2023-09-08
Stock Verdict Asian Paints 2023-09-08
STRONG
LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS
5 Consecutive Asian Paints
Positive Results
Buy
Mildly Bullish
Technical Trend
CMP: 3,238.05
High (27.53%) STOCK INFO:
Institutional Holding BSE – 500820/ NSE – ASIANPAINT
Market Cap - Large Cap (Rs. 3,11,360 cr)
Sector – Paints
Largest Company 52 w H/L (Rs.) – 3582.9/2685.9
Dividend Yield: 0.79%
in Paints sector Debt Equity: -0.1%
Return on Equity: 25.9%
Price to Book: 19.48
www.marketsmojo.com
Asian Paints
CMP: 3,238.05 Buy 71
Report as on 8 September 2023 at 10:51 PM
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
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0%
O 21
Ja 2 1
N 22
D 22
Fe 2
23
Ju 2 1
D 21
Ju 2 3
Se 22
Ap 1
M -2 2
Ap 3
Ju 2
Au 21
M 22
Au 23
-2
-2
2
2
-2
p-
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MOJO PROFESSIONAL 1
Asian Paints BUY | Report as on 8 September 2023 at 10:51 PM
Click Here
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 2
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QUALITY
of 15.0% CAGR
35,063
15.0%
32,122
30000Cr
Company has experienced an increase
CAGR in its Net Sales in each of the past 3
24,375
20,001
consecutive years 20000Cr 17,399 18,029
0Cr
Jun 2018 Jun 2019 Jun 2020 Jun 2021 Jun 2022 Jun 2023
ROE
The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity
24.34% ROE
(avg) of 24.34% signifying high profitability per unit of
shareholders funds
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 3
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FINANCIAL TREND
Positive
998.69
PBT - Quarterly
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
782.71
PAT - Quarterly
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 4
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FINANCIAL TREND
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 5
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FINANCIAL TREND
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
Earnings per
EPS (Rs) 8.16
Share (EPS) -
Highest at Rs 16.16
Quarterly
in the last five quarters
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 6
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TECHNICALS
0.80%
-6.15%
Stock BSE 500 Stock BSE 500 Stock BSE 500
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 7
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SHAREHOLDING
quarter.
10%
0%
Mar 22 Jun 22 Sep 22 Dec 22 Mar 23 Jun 23
Insurance
Companies
5.62%
FIIs
17.47%
Shareholding Snapshot : Jun 23
Other Majority shareholders : Promoters
Mutual Funds 0.04%
3.55%
Non Instituti… Pledged Promoter Holdings : 7.26
19.85%
Mutual Funds : Held in 35.00 Schemes (3.55%)
Other DIIs
0.89% FIIs : Held by 1056 FIIs (17.47%)
Promoters
52.63% Promoter with highest holding : Smiti Holding And Trading Company
Private Limited (5.77%)
Highest Public shareholder : Siddhant Commercials Private Limited
(4.9%)
Individual Investors Holdings : 12.66%
FII
20% 18.51% 18.56% 18.11%
17.01% 17.47%
5%
0%
Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 8
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SIZE
Asian Paints is 72.10% of the entire Paints Industry (by market cap)
0
DEC-2019 DEC-2020 DEC-2021 DEC-2022 Sep-2023
69.27%
58.85%
Companies which form a sizable part of the industry generally enjoy a competitive edge due to the scale of their business
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 9
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FACTORS
NOT WORKING
FOR THE COMPANY
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 10
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VALUATION
valuation
Indigo Paints Berger Paints
Akzo Nobel
Fair
Price to Book Value vs ROE
32 30
Fundamental
Valuation
as compared to its 16 18
past valuations
0 6
9
3
18
19
20
21
22
23
01
02
02
02
02
20
20
20
20
20
20
-2
-2
-2
-2
-2
p-
p-
p-
p-
p-
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ar
ar
ar
ar
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
Se
M
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 11
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RETURNS
O 20
F e 20
Se 21
N 21
O 22
Ja 2 1
F e 22
23
D 20
Ju 2 1
D 22
Se 23
Ap 21
M -2 2
M 23
M -2 3
Ju 2 2
Ju 3
Au 21
M 22
Au 22
-2
p-
g-
p-
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l-
b-
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Se
Asian Paints Ltd. BSE500
4th
Quartile
3rd
Quartile
3rd
Quartile
Stock has been in the 3rd quartile in 2022
and in 4th in YTD period
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 12
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RESULT
ANALYSIS
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 13
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QUARTERLY VARIANCE
Margins
Jun'23 Mar'23 Dec'22 Sep'22 Jun'22 Avg. (4 Comments
Qtrs)
OPM 23.2% 21.3% 18.7% 14.6% 18.1% 18.2% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
GPM 24.8% 21.8% 19.3% 15.3% 18.7% 18.8% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
NPM 17.2% 14.4% 12.8% 9.5% 12.1% 12.2% Higher than average (4 Qtrs) – Promising
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 14
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ANNUAL RESULT
Net Sales-YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023 is 18.51% vs Consolidated Net Profit-YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023
34.03% in Mar 2022 is 35.50% vs -3.46% in Mar 2022
50000 5000
4,106.45
34,488.59
29,101.28 3,139.29 3,030.57
2,705.17
25000 19,240.13 20,211.25 21,712.79 2500 2,155.92
0 0
Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023
Operating Profit (PBDIT) excl Other Income-YoY Growth in Operating Profit Margin (Excl OI)-YoY Growth in year ended
year ended Mar 2023 is 30.32% vs -1.07% in Mar 2022 Mar 2023 has improved from Mar 2022
10000 40
6,259.84
20.59 22.60
4,855.60 4,803.61 19.57 18.21
5000 3,765.54 4,161.77 20 16.61
0 0
Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023 Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023
Figures in Rs Crore
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 15
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25.34% Borrowings
Mar'23
972.21
Mar'22
775.66
Change%
25.34%
Increase
Other Long Term Liabilities 814.49 602.66 35.15%
Fixed Assets 5,581.13 5,039.74 10.74%
Investments 1,564.71 1,066.83 46.67%
in Borrowings in quarter Current Assets 16,535.16 15,152.33 9.13%
ended Mar 2023 vs in
Figures in Rs Cr
Mar 2022
Other Long Term Liabilities: YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023 is 35.15% vs 5.86% in Mar 2022
Fixed Assets: YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023 is 10.74% vs 2.01% in Mar 2022
Investments: YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023 is 46.67% vs -27.41% in Mar 2022
Current Assets: YoY Growth in year ended Mar 2023 is 9.13% vs 25.99% in Mar 2022
6000
4,193.43
4000 3,683.35
3,038.15
2,469.54
2000
986.49
0
Mar 2019 Mar 2020 Mar 2021 Mar 2022 Mar 2023
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 16
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PEER COMPARISION
PEER COMPARISON
Asian Paints Berger Paints Kansai Nerolac Akzo Nobel Indigo Paints
Size
Market Cap (Cr.) 310,113 69,578 27,323 12,296 7,536
Annual Sales (TTM) (Cr.) 35,064 10,838 7,648 3,864 1,126
Annual Net Profit (TTM) (Cr.) 4,658 960 548 368 143
Growth Factors (TTM)
Net Sales Growth 1 year 9.2% 11.5% 9% 11.7% 15.7%
Operating Profit Growth 1 year 29.3% 7.7% 31% 25.3% 33.9%
Net Profit Growth 1 year 33.2% 1.6% 36.5% 27.1% 55.2%
Net Sales Growth 5 year 15% 14.9% 8.4% 7.2% 20.6%
Operating Profit Growth 5 year 14.4% 13.5% 1.6% 12.4% 27.7%
Net Profit Growth 5 year 16.5% 14.8% 4.5% 13.2% 39.1%
Capital Structure Factors
EBIT to Interest 37 13.2 25.7 32 115.3
Debt to EBITDA 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
Net Debt to Equity -0.1 0.2 -0.1 -0.4 -0.2
Sales to Capital Employed 2.4 2 1.8 4.6 1.8
Management Quality Factors
ROCE (latest) 37.6% 22.7% 15.2% 53.9% 21.9%
ROE(latest) 25.9% 19.1% 10.4% 25.5% 18.7%
Tax Ratio 26.3% 26% 26.2% 26.5% 15.4%
Operating CF to Net Profit 101.2% 113.6% 86.2% 145.1% 88%
Dividend Payout Ratio 59.9% 36.2% 30.7% 88.3% 12.6%
Valuation Factors
PE Ratio 66.6 72.5 49.9 33.4 52.6
Price to Book 19.4 15.5 6 9.3 9.8
PEG Ratio 2 46.9 1.3 1.2 1
Dividend Yield 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 2.5% 0.2%
EV to EBITDA 45.2 43 30.2 20.8 38
EV to Capital Employed 21.4 13.1 6.4 14.4 12.6
Shareholding
Promoter Holdings 52.6% 75% 75% 74.8% 54%
Promoter Pledged Holdings 7.3% - - - -
Total Institutional Holding 27.5% 14.6% 16.5% 11.9% 11.8%
FII Holdings 17.5% 10.8% 4.2% 3.2% 8.9%
Returns
1 Month -3.4% 0.8% 2.6% -3.6% -0.1%
3 Months 0.7% 10.2% 19% 12.7% 9.8%
YTD 4.6% 23.2% 16.6% 21.6% 21.4%
1 Year -6.3% 7.7% -0.3% 33.6% 2.1%
3 Years 65.1% 29.4% 6% 28.9% -
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 17
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COMPANY BACKGROUND
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Part of SENSEX
Board of Directors
Ashwin Dani Chairman (Non-Executive)
Company Coordinates
MOJO PROFESSIONAL 18
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MOJO PROFESSIONAL 20