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bounded by the neighboring municipalities of Tubigon on the north, Catigbian on the east,
Antequera on the southwest, and Calape on the west. From Tagbilaran City and traveling
northeast along the national road, San Isidro is about 32 kilometers road distance away.
The Poblacion is centered at 90 51’36” N Latitude and 1230 58’12” E. Figure 1 shows the
location map of San Isidro.
San Isidro has 12 barangays. From the north going south, these are Baryong Daan,
Three rivers are found in the municipality. Sampilangon River is in the eastern part which is
also the largest among the three. Ugay River is the in the central part. It connects
Sampilangon River in barangay Caimbang. The last river is the Magdahunog River in the
western part. It connects Tabuan River in Antequera.
The central part of San Isidro is an elevated area that trends northeast to southwest. It is
situated at elevations between 201 and 300 meters (see Fig. 2 Elevation Map) comprising of
the barangays Poblacion, Baryong Daan, Cabanugan, Causwagan Sur, Masonoy, Cambansag,
Cansague Norte, Cansague Sur, and Abehilan. The highest elevations reaching 400 meters
are found in the north (at the northernmost parts of Baryong Daan and Cabanugan) and
northwest parts (southwest Candungao near the boundary with Calape Municipality. One of
San Isidro’s tourist spots, Candungao Peak,has an elevation above 400 meters high.
There are three types of soil that can be found in the area, such as Batuan Clay Loam,
Batuan Faraon Complex and Bolinao Clay. The Batuan Clay is dominant in barangays
Abehilan, Cambansag, Poblacion, Candungao and Causwagan Sur. Batuan Faraon Complex
covers the barangays of Baunos, Cansague Sur, Cansague Norte and Caimbang. A little
portion of Bolinao Clay is found in barangay Candungao, along the municipal boundary
between the municipalities of San Isidro and Calape. The soil in the area is slightly acidic
which makes it suitable to plant rice, corn, coconut, banana, coffee, cacao, vegetables,
camote, and all kinds of root crops.
The municipality falls under the Type IV climate according to the Corona climate
classification system. This is characterized by a more or less even distribution of rainfall
throughout the year. The pronounced seasons are the dry season, which starts in January
and generally ends in May and the wet season, which lasts for teh rest of the year.
Past disaster events and existing coping strategies
Table 3 shows the list of past disaster events that occurred in the municipality.
Typhoons experienced by the municipality which brought about damages and destruction
were Nitang (September 1984), Ruping (November 1990) and Senyang (December 2014).
The earliest typhoon documented by the municipality in their Disaster Timeline workshop
was Typhoon Nitang which struck in September 1984 destroying their sources of livelihood,
and houses. Typhoon Ruping in November 1990 devastated the 12 barangays of the
municipality. Forty per cent (40%) of the houses were partially damaged and 20% of the
total houses in the 12 barangays were damaged totally. A significant percentage of the
agricultural products, crops and ricefields were also damaged and an unaccounted amount
of livestock were missing and believed as being drowned in the rivers. Two (2) springs were
also damaged due to rain-induced landslide.
Two (2) drought occurrences recorded were those in the year 1986-1987 and 2004-2005,
both of which lasted 9 months. The latter dried up 60 hectares of rice fields, devastated 14
hectares of coconut plantation, and most of the springs in 12 barangays dried up.
Some of the coping strategies the locals made in response to these natural disasters were
moving to evacuation centers or to safer places during the times of typhoon where the
strong winds and heavy rains damaged their houses. Days before the typhoon struck, they
also prepared/stored food, drinking water, and other necessities. After the disaster, they try
to repair and reconstruct their houses, using durable materials to prevent the same damage
for the next typhoons. Farmers then apply for crop insurance to the government for their
damaged rice fields. To cope up financially, they borrow money from their relatives (both
local and abroad), and sell some of their properties. Some also shifts their livelihood
strategies wherein they are now looking for different jobs in the city or abroad. Since
drought greatly affects the amount of water supply and has dried up the water sources, the
people are looking and going to wells and springs that still has water. Farmers change their
crops shifting from rice to corn. Others are also into backyard farming where they don’t
have to travel far to be able to tend and water them.
TYPE OF TYPHOON TYPHOON
TYPHOON NITANG DROUGHT DROUGHT
DISASTER RUPING SENYANG
DATE OF September 1984 November 1990 December 2004 - 2005 1986
OCCURENCE 2014 ( 9months)
IMPACT AND Signal #3 Signal No. 3 Signal #2 9 months No Data
STRENGTH
The months of December, January and February are historically the coolest of the year with
an average temperature of 26.6 degrees Celsius and is relatively wet with an average
cumulative amount of 377 mm of rainfall. The months of March, April and May are
historically the driest and the second to the hottest with an average cumulative rainfall
amount of 210 mm and an average temperature of 28 degrees Celsius. The months of
March, April and May are historically the driest and second to the hottest with an average
temperature of 28 degrees Celsius. The months of June, July and August are historically the
hottest season and the second wettest with an average temperature of 28.2 degrees Celsius
and an average accumulated rainfall amount of 413 mm. The months of September,
October and November are the second coolest and is historically the wettest of the year
with an average cumulative rainfall amount of 515 mm.
Observed
Observed
Season Scenario Range * Baseline
Baseline (°C)
(mm)
Moderate Lower Bound
December - January - Emission Median
February (DJF) (RCP 4.5) Upper Bound
376.1 26.6
High Lower Bound
Emission Median
(RCP 8.5) Upper Bound
Moderate Lower Bound
March - April - May Emission Median
Mean Temperature
(MAM) (RCP 4.5) Upper Bound
Total Rainfall
209.6 28
High Lower Bound
Emission Median
(RCP 8.5) Upper Bound
Moderate Lower Bound
Emission Median
June - July - August (JJA)
(RCP 4.5) Upper Bound
412.9 28.2
High Lower Bound
Emission Median
(RCP 8.5) Upper Bound
Moderate Lower Bound
September - October - Emission Median
November (SON) (RCP 4.5) Upper Bound
514.5 27.8
High Lower Bound
Emission Median
(RCP 8.5) Upper Bound
Mid- 21st Century Projections (change in precipitation)
On the December-January-February season, the lower bound change under RCP 4.5 scenario
shows a slight reduction in rainfall amount. The upper bound shows an increase in rainfall
change of 29%. In the high emission scenario (RCP 8.5), there is also a 17% decrease in
rainfall amount from the lower bound change and an increase of 21%. The RCP 8.5 scenario
projects a drier baseline compared to RCP 4.5 for possible rainfall amounts.
The March-April-May season is projected to be slightly wetter than the historical baseline
based from the projected median precipitation of both scenarios. The scenario under RCP
4.5 will be slightly wetter than RCP 8.5 with a projected increase of 3.9% from the historical
baseline for the former and a projected increase 1.8% for the latter.
The projected minimum(lower bound) for RCP 4.5 is a decrease of 2.4% from the baseline
while the minimum for RCP 8.5 is a decrease of 6.7% from the baseline. On the other hand,
the projected maximum (upper bound) is an increase of 11.9% from the baseline for RCP 4.5
and an increase of 8.5% for RCP 8.5.
The wettest season, the months of September, October and November, is projected to be
slightly drier than the historical baseline based from the projected median precipitation of
both scenarios. The scenario under RCP 4.5 is almost the same with RCP 8.5 with a projected
decrease of 12% from the historical baseline for the median rainfall.
The minimum cumulative rainfall amount for RCP 4.5 is a projected decrease of 21.2% from
the historical baseline while a projected decrease of 27.9% for RCP 8.5. The maximum
cumulative rainfall amount on the other hand is a projected increase of 4.8% for RCP 4.5
and an increase of 6.3% for RCP 8.5.
The months of June, July and August, is projected to be slightly drier than the historical
baseline based from the projected median precipitation of both scenarios. The RCP 4.5
scenario is drier than that of RCP 8.5 with a minimal projected decrease of 6.5% from the
historical baseline for the median rainfall of the former while a projected decrease of 2.3%
from the historical baseline for the median rainfall of the latter.
The same can be said for the maximum and minimum projected rainfall amounts. The
projected minimum cumulative rainfall amount for RCP 4.5 is a 16.8 % decrease from the
historical baseline while for RCP 8.5 the projected minimum rainfall amount is a decrease of
27.9%. The projected maximum cumulative rainfall for RCP 4.5 is an increase of 4.8% from
the historical baseline while for RCP 8.5 is an increase of 6.3%.
The months of December, February and January are projected to have temperatures
increase with RCP 8.5 being hotter than RCP 4.5. The projected median temperature for RCP
8.5 is 28.2 °C while for RCP 4.5 it is 27.8 °C. The projected minimum temperature for RCP
8.5 is a 1.3 degrees increase from the historical baseline. For both scenarios, the maximum
projected temperatures are hotter than the historical hottest with RCP 8.5 having a 2.0
degrees increase from the historical baseline.
The months of March, April and May will also have an increase in all scenarios, higher than
the historical baseline. The projected median temperature for RCP 8.5 is a 1.7 degrees
increase from the historical baseline while an increase of 1.2 degrees for RCP 4.5.
The trend continues for the months pf June, July and August. The temperatures are hotter
than the historical temperature wherein RCP 8.5 is still higher than that of RCP 4.5. The
maximum projected temperature for RCP 8.5 is an increase of 2.2 degrees from the
historical baseline while for RCP 4.5 there is a projected increase of 1.7 degrees. These
months are projected to be the hottest of the year.
Historically the 2nd coolest season of the year, the months of September, October and
November, still continues the trend from the previous quarters. All temperatures are hotter
than the hottest historical temperature. The increase for all values in RCP 8.5 is higher than
the values in RCP 4.5. The projected median temperature for RCP 4.5 will be an increase of
1.2 degrees (29.0 °C) from the historical baseline of 27.8 °C while for RCP 8.5 there is a
projected increase of 29.3 °C, a 1.5 degrees increase from the historical baseline
temperature.
Historical observations shows that the annual coldest nighttime temperature is 20.5 °C. Mid-
century projections for RCP 8.5 is higher than the RCP 4.5 projection with a 1.7 % (22.2 °C)
increase from the historical baseline, 1.1 % (21.6°C) higher for the latter.
The historical warmest night time temperature is 24.5 °C and is projected to increase up to
1.6% for RCP 8.5 scenario, a slight increase of 1.1% (26.5 °C) for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
The coldest annual daytime temperature will increase to 27.7°C , a 1.6% increase from the
historical baseline temperature of 26.1 °C in the RCP 8.5 scenario. The RCP 4.5 is slightly
lesser with a 1.1% increase from the historical baseline.
Historical data shows the average daytime temperature is 30.7 °C. This is projected to
increase in both RCP scenarios. In RCP 4.5 scenario, it is projected to increase by 1.2% and in
the RCP 8.5 scenario,an increase by 1.7% in the mid-future.
The hottest daytime temperature has a baseline of 33.8°C. It is projected to increase to 35.1
°C for RCP 4.5 and projected to increase to 35.7°C for the RCP 8.5 scenario.
The baseline temperature for daily temperature range is 7.7 °C. No projections in change is
seen for both RCP scenarios indicating an almost similar change between the nighttime
temperature and in the daytime temperature.
Baseline observations show that on average, only 11.3% of the year (or 41 nights) are
considered cold. Mid-future projections indicate a 10% decrease (or 36 nights) for RCP 4.5
and a 10.6% decrease (or 39 nights) for the RCP 8.5 scenario.
The same goes for the number of cool days. Historically, cool days occur to about 11.6% of
the year ( or 42 days). RCP 4.5 projected a 10% decrease (36 days) of the occurrence of cool
days and RCP 8. 5 scenario projected a 10.5% decrease of these days (38 days).
Historically, the number of hot days occur at an average of 11.7% (43 days). The increase in
hot days is around 48.3% (176 days) and 67.6% (247 days) in the mid-future for the RCP 4.5
and RCP 8.5 scenarios, respectively.
Historically, there are 17 (4.6%)days contributing to a warm spell. In the RCP 4.5 scenario, it
is projected to have an additional 218 warm days and 305 warm days additional for the RCP
8.5 scenario.
There is a projected increase in all the temperature extreme indices (magnitude, frequency
and duration) indicating warmer days and nights for the whole year.
Total wet-day rainfall has a baseline of 2265 mm. Projections from both RCP scenarios show
a decrease. For RCP 4.5, a 90.7 mm decrease in annual rainfall in the mid-future and a
113.8mm decrease in annual rainfall for the RCP 8.5 scenario.
The average daily rainfall intensity in history is 11 mm/day. Future projections for both RCP
scenarios show a minimal decrease.There is also a slight decrease from the historical
baseline for the maximum amount of rain that can fall in one day for both RCP scenarios.
For RCP 8.5, it is projected to have a decrease by 8.5 mm. This would indicate less rainfall
incidents in the mid-future.
The maximum amount of rainfall that falls over a period of five consecutive days has a
historical baseline of 158.6 mm. Mid-future projections indicate a wetter trend for RCP 4.5
showing an increase by 1.0mm, and a drier condition for the RCP 8.5 scenario having a
rainfall decrease by 6.7 mm.
Baseline daily rainfall during wet days is 28.8 mm. Minimal projections indicates a decrease
by 1.3 mm in the RCP 8.5 scenario. The same goes for the daily rainfall during very wet days,
with a baseline of 48.6 mm. and a 2.3 mm decrease in the RCP8.5 scenario. There is also a
decrease in the total rainfall from very wet days and from extremely wet days. For RCP 4.5
scenario, a reduction of up to 421.2 mm is projected ( rainfall on very wet days), and 146.3
mm (rainfall on extremely wet days), baseline values of 431.9 mm and 137.8 mm,
respectively.
There is a minimal change in the number of wet and extremely wet days for both RCP
scenarios. It indicates a drying throughout int he mid-future. For the longest wet spell, the
RCP 8.5 scenario show a change of up to 23 days, a minimal difference from its baseline of
22.6 days. The same trend for the longest dry spell wherein a reductions are very minimal.
There is an overall drying tendency across majority of rainfall extreme indices. Projections
indicate a drier scenario for RCP 4..5 and wetter for the RCP 8.5 scenario due to the spatial
variability of data.
48.6
days (mm) RCP 8.5 -2.3 46.3
Total rainfall from very wet RCP 4.5 -10.7 421.2
431.9
days (mm) RCP 8.5 -146.0 285.9
Total rainfall from extremely RCP 4.5 8.5 146.3
137.8
wet days (mm) RCP 8.5 -14.2 123.6
Number of very wet days RCP 4.5 -0.2 10.2
10.4
(days) RCP 8.5 -1.0 9.4
FREQUENCY
Number of extremely wet RCP 4.5 0.0 2.1
2.1
days (days) RCP 8.5 -0.2 1.9
RCP 4.5 -0.1 22.5
Longest wet spell (days) 22.6
RCP 8.5 0.4 23.0
DURATION
RCP 4.5 -0.4 17.4
Longest dry spell (days) 17.8
RCP 8.5 -0.5 17.3
* upper: 90th percentile ; median : 50th percentile ; lower: 10th percentile
The global rise in temperature will affect all humans. It greatly affects their health, comfort,
lifestyle, food production and economic activity. Coupled with the rise in temperature, like
the changes in the water cycle will affect the availability of water supply which are needed
in agricultural activities.
With the projections indicating a drier and hotter climate, it would lead to health problems
such as heat stroke and dehydration especially to the vulnerable persons, the aged ones and
the children. It will also lead to the presence of of insects, pests or different fungal infections
.The increase in temperature and projected drier climate will lead to a larger demand of
water. Drier climate will also mean a loss of livelihood for the farmers wherein their
ricefields and croplands will be affected by the rise of temperature. Dried farmlands will
decrease rice/crop production which will have an adverse effect on the economic activities
of the municipality. This would also indicate scarcity of basic agricultural foods. The loss of
livelihood and potential health effects can lead to people migrating to other places or
country.
Infrastructure will also be affected by the projected increase in temperature. It will cause
cracks in roads, thermal expansions in bridges. There is also a tendency of power shortage
as a high demand of energy will be needed to ease the effects of high temperature inside
the homes or at the offices.
The impacts to the environment will be the lowering of the groundwater table which will
affect the water supply of the municipality and deforestation.
Changes in pattern and amount of precipitation will also have the same effects to humans.
More and longer days of rain may induce floods and rain-induced landslides that will have a
big impact to the agricultural farmland of the farmers. Ricefields will be flooded leading to a
decrease in agricultural productions. Impacts on human health would be from the water-
borne diseases and water contamination. More rainy days means a higher risk of diseases
from mosquitoes that will live in stagnant water areas as the people will have less time to
clean their surrounding during rainy days.
Projected changes in precipitation will also lead to flooding in the streets as there is still no
existing drainage system in the municipality. These floods may cause deterioration of the
structural integrity of roads which can increase costs of maintenance and wold have an
impact to the municipality’s economy.
The following are the proposed climate adaptation strategies formulated starting with the
strategies with the factors of acceptability, feasibility, its urgency, the ease of
implementation from the government, its effectiveness, cost in implementation, its
integration with the other existing government plans and policies, and its significance to
other sectors.
Sources:
1. San Isidro 6 -Year LCCAP
4. Observed Climate Trends and Projected Climate Change in the Philippines. Department
of Science and Technology. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services
Administration (DOST-PAGASA)
5. Philippines Climate Extremes Report 2020. Observed and Projected Climate Extremes in
the Philippines to Support Informed Decisions on Climate Change Adaptation and Risk
Management. Department of Science and Technology. Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical
and Astronomical Services Administration (DOST-PAGASA)
6. Noble, I.R., S. Huq, Y.A. Anokhin, J. Carmin, D. Goudou, F.P. Lansigan, B. Osman-
Elasha, and A. Villamizar, 2014: Adaptation needs and options. In: Climate Change 2014:
Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of
Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change [Field, C.B., V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M.
Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S.
MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L.White (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 833-868.