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Bottom Line: We virtually attended TEAM's customer event and had a few broad
thoughts. First, while we did not note any major product introductions, we thought
2YR Price Volume Chart
incremental announcements were enough to sustain category leadership. As many of 180
the features related to improved product/solution integration, we believe this might 160
increase customer upsell. Our estimates, rating, and target are unchanged. TEAM 140
120
remains on our shopping list, although we do not think risk of estimates moving lower 15
100
is priced in. 80
10
60 5
Key Points 40 0
Oct Apr Oct Apr
LHS: Price ($) / RHS: Volume (mm) Source: FactSet
• TEAM announced that all products will be available for free to business groups of
10 or fewer employees and to the education market. We think this is a thoughtful
step, and similar to actions taken by Adobe, to continue to seed the market in tough
economic times.
• We thought a key focus of the TEAM keynote and some of the product events was
improved integration between Agile (business), DevOps, and ITSM/ITOPS. As an
example, TEAM is offering DevOps and IT teams the same platform to help build,
deploy, and fix code faster. Code Insights, within BitBucket, helps alert to any issues
before code is moved into production. Management also highlighted Roadmaps,
to help with solution selling and pace of deployment. One product demo that we
thought was particularly interesting was Access, which enables a user to have one
log in for all Atlassian products available to the individual within an enterprise.
Further, Access will help the enterprise manage the usage, security, and, we
presume, payments for all Atlassian products. With highlights of improved integration
and products such as Access, we think Atlassian is maintaining product leadership in
workflow and easing upsell.
• We previously highlighted TEAM as being on our shopping list, along with Okta/ZS.
We believe that TEAM fits into a work from home (WFH) theme, as more work will
need to be done collaboratively and across geographic boundaries. However, TEAM
likely does not get the same impact from WFH as Okta, ZS, or SMAR. Further, we
Company Description
previously stated that as TEAM is bought by individuals and for small dollar amounts,
Atlassian provides collaboration and software development
we thought TEAM would be resilient in tough economic cycles, though likely not
tools designed to help teams organize, communicate, and
immune. We remain interested in TEAM at a lower price. At these levels, we do not
complete work more efficiently. In addition, Atlassian has
think investors are pricing in any risk of estimates/guidance moving lower. a unique go-to-market strategy that utilizes viral marketing
to drive sales through its website rather than a traditional
quota-carrying sales force.
Out perform (OP); Market Perform (Mkt ); Underperform (Und); Speculat ive (S); Suspended (Spd); Not Rat ed (NR); Rest rict ed (R)
Source: Fact Set , BMO Capit al Market s
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Analyst's Certification
I, Keith Bachman, hereby certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities or
issuers. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views
expressed in this report.
Analysts who prepared this report are compensated based upon (among other factors) the overall profitability of BMO Capital Markets and
their affiliates, which includes the overall profitability of investment banking services. Compensation for research is based on effectiveness in
generating new ideas and in communication of ideas to clients, performance of recommendations, accuracy of earnings estimates, and service
to clients.
Analysts employed by BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. and/or BMO Capital Markets Limited are not registered as research analysts with FINRA. These
analysts may not be associated persons of BMO Capital Markets Corp. and therefore may not be subject to the FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on
communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
Methodology and Risks to Target Price/Valuation for Atlassian Corp. Plc Class A (TEAM-NSDQ)
Methodology: Our target price is based on 19-20x EV/FY2021E revenues.
Risks: Risks to our target price include slower revenue from increased competition, price sensitivity, and lack of product diversification. If
these risks are greater than we expect, the stock could have difficulty achieving our target price. Likewise, if these risks are less than we
expect, the stock could trade above our target price.
* Reflects rating distribution of all companies covered by BMO Capital Markets Corp. equity research analysts.
** Reflects rating distribution of all companies from which BMO Capital Markets Corp. has received compensation for Investment Banking services
as percentage within ratings category.
*** Reflects rating distribution of all companies from which BMO Capital Markets Corp. has received compensation for Investment Banking
services as percentage of Investment Banking clients.
**** Reflects rating distribution of all companies covered by BMO Capital Markets equity research analysts.
***** Reflects rating distribution of all companies from which BMO Capital Markets has received compensation for Investment Banking services
as percentage of Investment Banking clients.