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DONALDSONS’ ESSENTIAL
PUBLIC HEALTH
FOURTH EDITION
DONALDSONS’ ESSENTIAL
PUBLIC HEALTH
FOURTH EDITION

Liam J. Donaldson
Paul D. Rutter
CRC Press
Taylor & Francis Group
6000 Broken Sound Parkway NW, Suite 300
Boca Raton, FL 33487-2742

© 2018 by Liam J. Donaldson


CRC Press is an imprint of Taylor & Francis Group, an Informa business

No claim to original U.S. Government works

Printed on acid-free paper

International Standard Book Number-13: 978-1-909-36895-8 (Paperback)

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Library of Congress Cataloging‑in‑Publication Data

Names: Donaldson, Liam J., author. | Rutter, Paul D., author.


Title: Donaldsons’ essential public health / Liam J. Donaldson and Paul D. Rutter.
Other titles: Essential public health
Description: Fourth edition. | Boca Raton : CRC Press, [2017] | Includes
bibliographical references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2016050366| ISBN 9781909368958 (pbk. : alk. paper) | ISBN 9781138722019 (hardback : alk. paper)
Subjects: | MESH: Public Health Practice | Preventive Health Services | Great Britain
Classification: LCC RA485 | NLM WA 100 | DDC 362.10941--dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016050366

Visit the Taylor & Francis Web site at


http://www.taylorandfrancis.com

and the CRC Press Web site at


http://www.crcpress.com
Contents

Preface xiii
Authors xvii

1 Health in a changing world 1


Introduction 1
What is health? 1
Public health 3
Public communication 5
Global health 6
Populations in flux 7
Poverty 8
Development 8
Global health architecture 10
Regulatory mechanisms 11
Changing patterns of disease 12
New goals for the world 15
Conclusions 17
2 Epidemiology and its uses 19
Introduction 19
Routinely available data sources 19
Census data 20
Civil registration and vital statistics 21
Data on occurrence of disease and disability 21
Data on health-related behaviour and risk factors 24
Data on social and economic determinants of health 24
Data to evaluate the performance of health services 24
Disease nomenclatures and classifications 25
Surveillance data 26
Indicators 26
Access and transparency 26
Distribution of disease in populations 27
Counting events in populations 27
Measures of morbidity 28
Incidence 28
Prevalence 29
Measures of mortality 29
Specific mortality rates 29
Standardized mortality rates 30
Case fatality and survival 30
Measures of healthy and unhealthy ageing 31
Healthy life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy 32
Years lived with disability 32
Disability-adjusted life years 34

v
vi Contents

Making comparisons: Describing population patterns of health and disease 34


Pitfalls in interpreting health and disease patterns 38
What are the criteria for defining the disease? 38
Have all cases of the disease been identified? 39
Is the population at risk accurately defined? 40
Making comparisons between groups through planned studies 40
Example: Epidemiological study leading to successful prevention 41
Cross-sectional studies 42
Outline of methodology 42
Choosing a study population 43
Sampling 43
Data specification 44
Data collection 44
Example of a cross-sectional study: Health survey for England 45
Cohort studies 46
Outline of methodology 46
Choice of study population 46
Characterizing the cohort 46
Follow-up phase 47
Example of a cohort study: The nurses’ health study 47
Case–control studies 48
Outline of methodology 48
Choice of a study population 48
Matching cases and controls 49
Assembling data on the exposure 50
Example of a case–control study: The interstroke project 50
Example of a nested case–control study: Risks of oral contraceptives 51
Measures of association 52
Measures of population disease impact 52
Analysis of data from cohort and case–control studies 53
Making causal inferences 54
Chance 54
Bias 54
Confounding 55
Intervention studies (including randomized controlled trials) 55
Outline of methodology 55
Selection and definition of the intervention, control and study outcomes 56
Selection of the study population 56
Randomization 56
Follow-up and analysis 56
Example of a randomized controlled trial in public health: Abdominal aortic aneurysm screening 57
Qualitative research and mixed methods 57
Systematic review and meta-analysis 58
Genetic epidemiology 59
Application of epidemiology 59
Conclusions 60
3 Communicable diseases 61
Introduction 61
Essentials of communicable disease 62
Infectious agents 64
Classifications 64
Reservoirs 66
Routes of entry into and exit from the body 66
Modes of transmission 67
Susceptible recipient 67
Investigation 67
Contents vii

Prevention and control 71


Protecting the susceptible host: Vaccination and other measures 71
Interrupting transmission 75
Targeting reservoirs of infection 75
Surveillance 75
Infectious diseases causing a major burden of mortality: The big killers 78
HIV and AIDS 78
Tuberculosis 81
Malaria 82
Diarrhoeal disease 83
Pneumonia 85
Infectious diseases causing a major burden of morbidity and disability 85
Neglected tropical diseases 86
Blood-borne hepatitis viruses 88
Dengue fever 90
Measles 91
Meningitis 92
Healthcare-associated infection 93
Methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus 95
Clostridium difficile 95
Food-borne infection 97
Sexually transmitted infections 100
Emerging and re-emerging diseases 102
Ebola fever and the Viral Haemorrhagic Fevers 104
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome 106
Influenza 107
Key distinction: Seasonal, avian, animal and pandemic influenza 107
Pandemic influenza: Past and future 108
The 2009 pandemic 109
Pandemic preparedness 110
Antimicrobial resistance 110
Causes of antimicrobial resistance 110
The burden of harm 111
Strategies to combat resistance 112
Organizations and regulations 113
Public Health England 113
Local government 114
World Health Organization and Interntional Health Regulations 115
Conclusions 115
4 Non-communicable diseases 117
Introduction 117
Trends in the United Kingdom 117
Risk factors 120
Food 122
Macronutrients 122
Micronutrients 123
Other key dietary components 123
Action to improve diet 123
Smoking and tobacco control 126
Physical inactivity 129
Alcohol use 131
Education and information 132
Pricing 133
Regulation of sales and access 133
Marketing 134
viii Contents

Blood alcohol limits for drivers 134


Individual treatment services 134
Obesity and overweight 134
High blood pressure 138
Unintentional injury 139
Prevention, detection and slowing disease progression 142
High-risk and population approaches to primary prevention 143
Screening: Detecting disease in its presymptomatic phase 145
Running a screening programme 146
Screening programmes in the NHS 149
NHS health checks 151
Conclusions 151
5 Social determinants of health 153
Introduction 153
Social position and deprivation 153
Major health determinants 158
Income 158
Education 159
Occupation 160
Ethnicity 161
Neighbourhood 162
Social capital and social support 163
Social mobility 164
Biological pathways 165
Policy and action 166
Conclusions 167
6 Health systems 169
Introduction 169
Ideal of universal health coverage 169
Health system aims 171
Health 171
Quality and safety 171
People-centred care 172
Entitlements and protection 172
Resilience 174
Sustainability 175
Health system models 176
Tax-funded 176
Social and other insurance 177
Direct payment 177
Health system financing 177
Raising revenue 177
Fund pooling 179
Distributing funds and reimbursing service providers 179
Structure and functioning of the National Health Service 180
Founding principles 180
Early developments 181
The first reorganization: 1974 182
Introduction of general management: Griffiths 182
Creation of an internal market: The Thatcher reforms 183
New Labour’s modernization programme 184
Coalition government and the Lansley reforms 185
NHS management 186
National roles and accountabilities 186
Commissioning 187
Standard setting: National institute for Health and Care Excellence 189
Regulation 190
Contents ix

Other national-level specialist functions 191


Public health england and local public health services 192
Provision of primary care 193
Secondary and tertiary care 194
Emergency care 194
Independent and private hospitals 195
Integrated care 195
Health workforce 195
Social care 196
UK devolved administrations 197
Measuring health system performance 197
Conclusions 198
7 Quality and safety of healthcare 201
Introduction 201
Quality concepts and philosophies 202
Donabedian triad 202
Deming and the 14 principles: Total quality management 203
RAND’s leadership on quality: The concept of appropriateness 204
Clinical governance: The call for clinical leadership and accountability 205
McMaster and the evidence-based medicine movement 206
The Toyota Tradition: Stop the line and lean thinking 208
Six Sigma: The Motorola and General Electric way 209
Clinical standards and audit 209
Institute for Healthcare Improvement: Collaboratives and the improvement model 209
Standardization: The world of checklists and standard operating procedures 211
Patient safety 211
Burden of harm 212
Importance of systems thinking 212
Learning from other high-risk industries 215
Reporting, investigating and learning 217
Patient safety cultures 219
Towards high-reliability organizations 220
Assuring the quality of individual practice 220
Patient and family involvement 221
Building quality and safety into healthcare 223
System level 223
Within healthcare organizations 225
On the front line 225
Data and information 227
Inspection and regulation 228
Conclusions 228
8 Maternal and child health 229
Introduction 229
Maternal mortality 229
Child mortality 230
Fertility and family planning 234
Infertility 235
Contraceptive methods 236
Abortion 236
Teenage pregnancy 237
Antenatal Care 238
Healthcare after birth in the United Kingdom 239
Breastfeeding 240
Maternal mental health 240
Children’s services in the United Kingdom 241
Healthy and unhealthy behaviour 241
Adolescents and young people 242
x Contents

Universal and targeted support for families 242


Healthcare 243
Safeguarding children 244
Looked-after children 246
Other sources of harm 246
Domestic violence 246
Female genital mutilation 246
Conclusions 247
9 Mental health 249
Introduction 249
Burden of poor mental health 250
Risk and protective factors 251
Mental health inequalities 253
Mental health and physical health 254
Mental health promotion and prevention of mental disorders 254
Mental health services 256
Primary care 257
Secondary care 257
Team-based specialist community care 257
Hospital care 259
Residential care 259
Care for offenders with mental disorders 259
Engagement of users and carers 260
Quality of mental health services 260
Emerging models of mental healthcare 261
Mental Health Legislation in the United Kingdom 262
Conclusions 262
10 Disability 263
Introduction 263
Disability within the population 263
Concepts of disability 264
Prevention of disability 266
Health needs of disabled people 267
Barriers to healthcare 267
Rehabilitation 268
Independent living 269
Education and employment 270
Sensory impairments 271
Learning disabilities 272
Support for parents 272
Community teams 273
Challenging behaviour 273
Conclusions 273
11 Health in later life 275
Introduction 275
Concepts of healthy ageing 276
Demographics of ageing: Trends, projections and challenges 277
Population pyramid becoming a rectangle 278
United Kingdom: Reasons for demographic transition 278
Global ageing trends and projections 280
Retirement and work in later life 281
Population ageing and informal caregiving 281
Healthy life expectancy 282
Ethnic minority older adults 283
Contents xi

Common features of ill health in later life 283


Multimorbidity 284
Polypharmacy 284
Frailty 284
Falls 285
Urinary incontinence 286
Depression 287
Dementia 287
Hypothermia and excess winter deaths 288
Heat waves and excess summer deaths 289
Isolation in later life 289
Care in later life 290
Conclusions 291
12 Environment and health 293
Introduction 293
Concept of environmental health: Definitions and frameworks 293
Sustainability 294
Planetary boundaries 295
Climate change 296
Water 300
Air quality 301
Housing 304
Noise and light pollution 305
Consumption and waste 306
Radiation 306
Ionizing radiation 307
Nonionizing radiation 307
Urbanization and cities: The built environment 308
Risk assessment and management 308
Health impact assessment 309
Conclusions 309
13 History of public health 311
Introduction 311
Early developments 311
The great epidemics 312
Historical accounts of plagues and epidemics 313
Plague of Justinian 314
Black Death 314
Great Plague of London 314
Rise of King Cholera 315
The long journey to the establishment of the germ theory 315
Some classic investigations 318
John Snow and the Broad Street Pump 318
James Lind and Scurvy 320
Goldberger and Pellagra 321
The story of vaccination 322
Jenner: The country physician 322
Pasteur and the rabid dogs 323
Other developments 323
Beginning to measure health and disease 324
John Graunt and the Bills of Mortality 324
William Farr and the General Register Office 324
Florence Nightingale: The passionate statistician 325
Occupational disease 325
xii Contents

Sanitary reform 326


Origins of a system of healthcare 329
Local authority hospitals 331
Voluntary hospitals 331
Emergency medical service 332
Primary care 332
Asylums and care of the mentally ill 332
Other local authority services 334
Conclusions 334

Further readings 335

Index 351
Preface

Since its first appearance in the early 1980s, as Essential bases of these important methods of i­nvestigation but also
Community Medicine, this book has remained in continu- on their strengths and weaknesses and their applicability in
ous print through several name changes and new editions. particular situations. The final section of the chapter deals
During these 33 years, the content has reflected the many with the applications of e­pidemiology. In public health
shifts in the way that public health is understood, perceived practice, results of investigations are required much more
and practised. Generally, the subject has become much quickly than in an epidemiological research environment.
broader based, more multidisciplinary and less dominated The field of study is sometimes referred to as ‘quick and
by the medical model, and has gained a greater emphasis on dirty’ ­investigation. We do not subscribe to this ­philosophy
practical measures and action. and place emphasis on the need for rigour even when a
The text aims to bring together, in one volume, the prin- pragmatic approach is necessary in deciding the scope and
ciples and applications of epidemiology, the main health urgency of a study.
problems experienced by populations and by the main Subjects that were only sections within chapters in the
groups within them, the strategies for intervention to pro- previous edition have increased greatly in importance over
mote health and prevent disease, the main themes under- the past five years. We have created freestanding chapters
lying health policy formulation and a description of the to allow us to deal with them authoritatively and in depth.
provision of health services. Quality and patient safety were previously a strand within
This new edition is the biggest change to the book in the chapter on the National Health Service. A new chapter
20 years. We have introduced an entirely new schedule of on the quality and safety of healthcare (Chapter 7) describes
chapters, reflecting modern thinking on the scope of pub- the principal schools of thought in ­quality, ranging from the
lic health. Much of the content within them is entirely new original Donabedian triad of structure, process and out-
too. We embraced the view that today’s paradigm of public come, through the Toyota Production System, to the idea
health is global, not purely national. As a result, each chap- of quality improvement collaboratives. Patient safety is also
ter is set in a global health context, while the core elements extensively dealt with in this chapter, as are the concepts
still cover the position for the United Kingdom. The open- of inspection and regulation. Previous editions of the book
ing chapter, ‘Health in a Changing World’, addresses the have covered health inequalities within chapters on health
key ideas lying behind the concept of health, describes the promotion and disease prevention. This subject has moved
burden of disease and addresses the main themes in global on a great deal and has been taken up as a global health
health, including the impact of globalization, population concern with a major commission chaired by the British
growth and migration, poverty, development, global health epidemiologist Sir Michael Marmot. There is now a chapter
architecture and regulatory mechanisms. on the social determinants of health (Chapter 5). This still
Chapter 2, on epidemiology, sets out the ways in which covers the ways in which social position and deprivation
health and disease can be described in populations using are delineated, but also discusses the main determinants
the concepts, rules and tools of the science of epidemiology. of health: income, education, occupation, ethnicity, neigh-
The sources, strengths and limitations of routinely avail- bourhood, social capital and social support. A new section
able data are described, with many illustrative examples. in this chapter describes the growing understanding of the
The growing availability of large repositories of informa- biological pathways that mediate the relationship beween
tion that have not been collected for health purposes, yet social conditions and poor health.
are relevant to describing health-related attitudes, behav- Our feedback from readers over the years has shown
iour and risk factors, means that big data is likely to become how many enjoy, and are fascinated by, the historical mate-
part of the process of assessing the health of populations. rial that has been part of several chapters. In reviewing the
The main study methods of e­ pidemiology – cross-sectional content prior to designing this new edition, we felt that
or prevalence s­tudies, cohort studies, case–control stud- the historical sections were rather fragmented and did not
ies and randomized controlled t­rials – are described in give a clear understanding of how today’s public health
the c­ hapter. We place emphasis not just on the conceptual has been shaped by the past. As a result, we have created

xiii
xiv Preface

a new chapter on the history of public health (Chapter 13). than by their impairments. They argue that illness and
It covers developments in early civilizations, the great epi- impairment need not disable people if society makes proper
demics (including the Black Death and cholera), the people adjustments and allowances. These important themes
and events leading to the germ theory of disease causation, are taken up in the chapter. The chapter is framed by two
three of the classic investigations in public health (including major reports produced by the World Health Organization
John Snow and the Broad Street pump), the history of vacci- in the early years of the twenty-first century. The first,
nation, the sanitary reform movement, the development of International Classification of Functioning, Disability and
care services and other steps that helped to lay the founda- Health, was developed over a long period of time, through
tions of public health. discussion and consultation with a wide range of individu-
‘Non-communicable diseases’ is another new chapter als and groups from the academic, policy-making and clini-
(Chapter 4) and a subject upon which international bodies cal worlds and, importantly, with disabled people and their
like the United Nations have made forceful statements since representative organizations. It superseded a previous inter-
the last edition of this book. This greater focus on diseases national classification. The second was the World Report on
like cancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and chronic Disability.
obstructive pulmonary disease, and on problems like obe- Early life is the time when the foundations of health
sity, recognizes that the burden of non-communicable are laid and when some of the risks are greatest. Chapter
diseases (also called chronic disease) no longer falls solely 8 deals with the health of mothers and children. The main
on richer countries. It is a rapidly emerging challenge for epidemiological features of health and disease in infancy
poorer parts of the world as well. The new chapter describes and childhood are described, as are the risks to fetal and
the pattern of non-communicable diseases in the United maternal health. The main measures of fertility in a popula-
Kingdom and globally. It describes the main risk factors tion are described, along with the main trends in fertility
that create the greatest disease burden: poor diet, smoking, over time and the factors that can influence it. The causes of
high blood pressure, obesity and overweight, physical inac- death at different periods of infancy are discussed, and the
tivity and alcohol use. The public health aspects of uninten- various mortality rates in early life are defined. The range of
tional injury (often called accidents) are also dealt with in approaches to promote health in pregnancy and childhood
this ­chapter. For most of the non-communicable diseases, is described, as are the maternity and child health services
and their main risk factors, the ways in which disease is themselves.
initiated are complex. The policies and public health pro- Chapter 11, ‘Health in Later Life’, has undergone major
grammes that are most effective in reducing the burden of revision. With populations ageing steadily around the
non-communicable diseases are discussed in the chapter. world, the main challenge for nations is to increase years of
Single interventions are seldom the answer. The chapter healthy life. The chapter discusses the various approaches
describes the three levels of p ­ revention: primary, second- to, and nomenclatures for, healthy ageing. It also describes
ary and tertiary. Each has a crucial part to play in a holistic the demography of population ageing, both globally and
view of public health action. The tertiary form of prevention nationally. The implications of multimorbidity, frailty and
(i.e. ­preventing the complications of established disease) other problems of later life are included, as are the charac-
used to be solely a clinical responsibility. Not any more. teristics of comprehensive, integrated care for older people.
Clinical care is important, but the population perspective Chapter 9, on mental health, has entirely new content. In
now sees slowing the progression of many chronic diseases previous editions, the comparable chapter had covered the
as a core objective. Such an approach has the potential to detailed features of particular mental illnesses and the ser-
improve quality of life, extend survival, empower those with vices provided for mentally ill people in the National Health
long-standing conditions and save healthcare resources. Service. The content of the new chapter is built around the
Three chapters deal with the health of important sub- emerging, modern concept of public mental health. This is
groups of the population: the disabled, mothers and chil- based on the principle that the tenets of public health can
dren and older people. In each case, we have strengthened be applied to improving mental health in populations. Too
the relevant public health concepts since the previous edi- often, a narrow focus to mental health is taken in which
tion, and instead of detailed service descriptions, we dis- attention is only on improving the services available to
cuss the broader principles around which services should those who have mental disorders. This is important, but a
be designed. fuller approach to improving public mental health encom-
Chapter 10, on disability, also looks fundamentally dif- passes assessing the burden of poor mental health and of
ferent to its forerunners. Physical disability and learning mental disorder; identifying risk factors and protective
disability are both covered in the new chapter, whereas the measures for poor mental well-being; taking appropriate
latter used to reside in a mental health chapter. In 2015, the interventions to promote well-being and prevent mental
authors were crossing the street in Washington, DC, behind disorders and treat them early; assessing the intervention
a disabled man in an electric-powered wheelchair. He had gap in a population for treatment, prevention and mental
a sticker on the back that read, ‘Attitudes are the real dis- health promotion; tackling the health inequalities that are
abilities’. Many disability rights advocates hold that people strongly related to the occurrence of poor mental health,
are more disabled by environmental factors within society and the extent to which disadvantaged people are unable
Preface xv

to access the services that they need; understanding and influence of the environment on health. Rapidly rising con-
reducing the extent to which mental ill health and physical cerns about climate change highlight many clear and direct
ill health are interlinked; promoting mental well-being; and links with health. In Chapter 12, ‘Environment and Health’,
preventing mental disorder. we describe the impact of the environment on health, as well
Chapter 3, on communicable disease, is the largest in as strategies for promoting health through the adoption of
the book. Such is the range of material to be covered, it principles of sustainable development, and we discuss risk
could easily have become a mini-textbook masquerading as and its assessment.
a chapter. In planning it, there was a need to be selective In writing the chapters, we have tried to provide a clear,
in the number of diseases to describe and in the amount explanatory style with a single voice. Much of the material
of information on clinical features and microbiology to is derived from extensive synthesis of existing sources and
include. It is important to cover a wide range of individ- from our own knowledge and experience. For this reason,
ual diseases for a number of reasons. First, many diseases the text is not underpinned point by point with detailed
that used to be present in only a small part of the world, individual references. Specific studies are fully referenced
because of international travel, globalization of trade and where they have been drawn upon to devise or reproduce
mass migration, now have a global reach. Second, many a table or figure. Much population data – both national and
communicable diseases can and do cause illness in the global – are now publicly available. We have referred to such
United Kingdom. Third, there are diseases that illustrate data sources in general terms unless we have reproduced an
the principles of spread, surveillance, prevention and con- analysis in a particular exact format. With this background,
trol. Specialist textbooks of communicable disease take we have created a section towards the end of the book on
different approaches to the classification of diseases. For references and further reading. The latter was not a feature
example, some use categories based on the characteristics of ­previous ­editions, and we hope that the sources we cite
of the organisms themselves. Other textbooks organize the there will give readers a starting point to explore subjects
descriptions of disease by modes of transmission or clinical that interest them in more depth. We have not provided
features. Still others use elements of both. In this chapter, we individual web addresses for two ­reasons: (1) because some
have grouped the communicable diseases into three broad rapidly go out of date and (2) because we find that Internet
categories: those that cause a major burden of mortality search engines provide a wider range of sources and ensure
(HIV and AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, diarrhoeal diseases that the reader is aware of contrasting perspectives on a
and pneumonia), those that cause a major burden of mor- subject.
bidity and disability (e.g. neglected tropical diseases, blood- In introducing this new edition of Essential Public Health
borne hepatitis viruses, dengue fever, measles, meningitis to readers, both old and new, we believe we have built on the
and healthcare infection) and new and emerging infections successful formula of its predecessor. However, looking at it
(e.g. Ebola fever, SARS, pandemic influenza and antimicro- afresh, and introducing much new material, we have been
bial resistance). In each case, the key features of each dis- able to undertake a large-scale revision that encompasses the
ease are described. In some cases, there are also accounts of theory and practice of modern public health in a global and
the challenges they can cause. The stories of SARS, the large national context. We look forward to continuing to receive
outbreak of Ebola fever in Africa in 2014 and 2015 and the the views of readers in providing the kinds of constructive
sudden emergence of cases of microcephaly linked to the comments so valuable in the past.
Zika virus in 2016 all illustrate the practical difficulties of We would like to acknowledge our special thanks to
mounting a public health response in a major crisis. This colleagues who have so generously provided their special-
chapter also covers the core concepts of spread, prevention ist expertise in the development of this book. We thank, in
and control, as well as surveillance. This essential knowl- particular, Benedetta Allegranzi, Katherine Arbuthnott,
edge includes reservoirs of infection, routes of entry into Nicola Arroll, Mark Bellis, Jonathan Campion, Niall Fry,
and exit from the body, modes of transmission, methods of Antoneta Granic, Felix Greaves, Thomas Hone, Sarah Jonas,
investigation and protecting the susceptible host by vacci- Clare Lemer, Hernan Montenegro, Oliver Mytton, Kristine
nation and other measures. Onarheim, Tom Shakespeare, Sally Sheard, Emma Stanton,
The importance of the relationship between the qual- Ester Villalonga and Leonora Weil.
ity of the environment and people’s health has long been Any omissions or errors of fact and interpretation are
recognized. Moreover, there have been a number of major our own. Any opinions expressed are our own and not those
incidents around the world that have all too dramatically of anyone we represent or may have represented in the past.
highlighted some of the contemporary threats and hazards,
both to the well-being of individuals and to the planet itself. Liam J. Donaldson
There is still an enormous amount to be learned about the Paul D. Rutter
Authors

Liam J. Donaldson was one of the two foundation authors Paul D. Rutter joins Liam Donaldson as co-author of
of this book (which started life as Essential Community Essential Public Health, for this substantially revised
Medicine) when it was first published in 1983. The other edition.
author was his father Raymond “Paddy” Donaldson. Paul Rutter’s first public health role was as clinical
Liam Donaldson was the Chief Medical Officer for adviser to England’s Chief Medical Officer – at that time,
England, and the United Kingdom’s Chief Medical Adviser, Liam Donaldson. Over the subsequent decade, he has
from 1998–2010. During this time he held critical respon- worked on a wide range of public health issues in the United
sibilities across the whole field of public health and health Kingdom and globally. Most recently, he was the chief
care. As the United Kingdom’s chief adviser on health operations officer of the World Health Organization’s pro-
issues, he advised the Secretary of State for Health, the gramme to eradicate polio. The Global Polio Eradication
Prime Minister and other government ministers. He pro- Initiative is by several measures the world’s largest public
duced landmark reports set health policy and legislation in health programme, operating major surveillance and vac-
fields such as stem cell research, quality and safety of health cination networks throughout the world. It is more than
care, infectious disease control, patient empowerment, poor thirty years since smallpox became the first human patho-
clinical performance, smoke free public places, medical gen ever to be eradicated. The programme’s goal is to make
­regulation, and organ and tissue retention. polio the second. Paul Rutter’s work at the World Health
Liam Donaldson has had a long and distinguished Organization also examined how the major global infra-
career in public health. He is recognised as an international structure that has been established to eradicate polio can
champion of public health and patient safety. He was the be used to strengthen health systems and achieve other
foundation chair of the World Health Organisation, World goals after polio is gone.
Alliance for Patient Safety, launched in 2004. He is a past As this book goes to press, Paul Rutter will shortly join
vice-­chairman of the World Health Organisation Executive the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) as Regional
Board. He is now the World Health Organisation’s Envoy Health Adviser to its programmes in South Asia, which are
for Patient Safety and Chairman of the Independent working to improve maternal and child health in the diverse
Monitoring for the Polio Eradication Programme. In the settings of India, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Pakistan,
United Kingdom, he is Professor of Public Health at the Bhutan, Sri Lanka, Nepal and the Maldives.
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Associate Paul Rutter has also consulted on global health policy,
Fellow in the Centre on Global Health Security at Chatham global programme monitoring and clinical quality both
House and Chancellor of Newcastle University. globally and nationally. His research and published work
Liam Donaldson initially trained as a surgeon in has focused on polio eradication, influenza and patient
Birmingham and went on to hold teaching and research safety.
posts at the University of Leicester. In 1986, he was appointed Paul Rutter graduated in medicine from the University
Regional Medical Officer and Regional Director of Public of Leeds and worked in London and York hospitals before
Health for the Northern Regional Health Authority. becoming a public health physician. He is a member of
He has received many public honours: 16 honorary the Faculty of Public Health. He holds a master’s in public
doctorates from universities, eight fellowships from medi- health from Harvard University and a master’s in business
cal Royal Colleges and Faculties, and the Gold Medal of administration (MBA) from London Business School.
the Royal College of Surgeons of Edinburgh. He was the
Queen’s Honorary Physician between 1996 and 1999.
He was knighted in the 2002 New Year’s Honours List.

xvii
Chapter 1
Health in a changing world

INTRODUCTION influenced by broader environmental, social and economic


conditions requires interdisciplinary practice and multi-
Public health is about protecting and improving the health agency, multisector cooperative working. A simple medi-
of whole populations and communities. Its motivation is to cal model of intervention is not in keeping with a modern
improve the health of individual people. But unlike clini- public health approach. This is emphasized throughout the
cal medicine, which focuses on people one at a time, public book.
health takes a broader focus to understand and engage with
the many factors (societal, behavioural and environmental) WHAT IS HEALTH?
that promote or undermine health.
Public health emphasizes the promotion of health and the The question ‘What is health?’ is not an easy one to answer.
prevention of disease and disability; the collection and use United Nations officials had to ponder it when, in 1948,
of epidemiological data; population surveillance and other they founded the World Health Organization (WHO). They
forms of empirical quantitative assessment; a recognition of came up with the following: ‘Health is a complete state of
the multidimensional nature of the determinants of health; physical, mental and social well-being and not merely the
and developing effective solutions to population health absence of disease or infirmity’, a definition that has been
problems. Any list of activities and projects carried out by widely cited ever since.
a department of public health would be lengthy and diverse Many people do think of health, primarily, as the
and not necessarily consistent with a similar list produced absence of disease. Diagnosing and treating disease is the
by another department in the same country or in a different central focus of most health systems, and at the core of tra-
country. That is why perusing such lists or reading and talk- ditional medical school curricula. Tackling disease is seen
ing about public health programmes often gives a better and as the primary route to improving health – and there has
clearer understanding of what public health is about than been considerable success in doing so. In many parts of the
memorizing a formal definition. world, ­including the United Kingdom, other government
Public health practice can involve tackling huge issues action to improve health has been far less convincing,
that affect the whole world, such as the health effects of cli- and healthcare systems continue to focus on the absence
mate change, as well as quite circumscribed and small-scale of disease, rather than taking the more holistic view that
interventions, such as introducing new hygiene procedures the World Health Organization’s definition suggests.
at a local ­children’s animal petting farm after an outbreak For example, in the Conservative government’s financial
of serious illness caused by the bacterium Escherichia coli statement in the autumn of 2015, despite the need to find
O157. funds to pay down a deficit, a major increase was made in
While most of the core concepts of public health have funding for the National Health Service (NHS), largely to
remained the same for many decades, there have been three address pressures in hospital services, while public health
big shifts of emphasis from the late twentieth century into budgets were cut. In the late 1960s, the leading British pub-
the twenty-first century. First, the paradigm of public health lic health thinker Thomas McKeown of Birmingham said,
is no longer national; it is global. Second, public health is ‘The disposal of society’s investment in health is based on
no longer only the domain of professionals. Health system strange premises. It is assumed that we are ill and made
managers and political leaders have had to become engaged well, whereas it is nearer to the truth that we are well and
in order to address the challenges of new threats to health made ill’. Fifty years on, it is difficult to dispute the con-
and the growing burden of potentially preventable, non- tinuing validity of this telling observation when the poli-
communicable diseases. Third, pursuing effective solutions cies of many health ministries are viewed in the cold light
for problems that are mainly multifactorial in causation and of day.

1
2 Donaldsons’ Essential Public Health

In the mid-1980s, the World Health Organization pub- and the aim of healing is to restore this harmony when it
lished the Ottawa Charter for Health Promotion. It followed has become disturbed.
the first major global conference to address the concept of In the West, the definition of health continues to be
health promotion, which is now a mainstream component debated. This is not an esoteric activity, since one of the
of public health. The Ottawa Charter developed the idea of reasons for defining it is to move to the practical task of
health as a fundamental human right, and identified a num- measuring it. Most so-called ‘­measures’ of health are not
ber of prerequisites for it, including: explicitly linked to a ­definition of health, but rather describe
an aspect of an implied definition. Some traditional mea-
●● Peace sures are less valuable than they once were, for example,
●● Food mortality rates in countries with prolonged expectation of
●● Shelter life. At the end of the first decade of the twenty-first c­ entury,
●● Education the Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and
●● Income Development convened a conference of Dutch and interna-
●● Sustainable resources tional health experts, aiming to redefine health. The thrust
●● A sustainable ecosystem of the meeting, to challenge the time-served World Health
●● Social justice and equity Organization definition, was captured in the title: Health –
A State or an Ability? Towards a Dynamic Concept of Health.
The Ottawa Charter saw it as more helpful to define the This conference did not conclude with an agreed, revised,
social and physical resources required for health and focus new definition of health, but it did reveal the complexity
on improving those, rather than defining health at the indi- of trying to do so and the multiple ways through which a
vidual level. definition could be arrived at. It was a deep and searching
The original World Health Organization d ­ efinition of analysis of what health means and how it could be formally
health is more than half a century old. Some see its state- defined. Some of the key conclusions were:
ment that health is a state of complete well-being as unhelp-
ful. Very few people are completely well in every way, and ●● Health should not be considered a consistent ‘state’,
on a pedantic view of the definition, most people are there- but is dynamic, and is related both to the equilibrium
fore unhealthy. As people age, many begin to accumulate of d
­ ifferent aspects and to age.
chronic, non-communicable diseases. Arguably, a more ●● Characteristics of health include an inner resource,
helpful definition would not write them all off as failing to a capacity, an ability and a potential to cope with or
attain ‘a complete state of physical, mental and social well- adapt to internal and external challenges (resilience); to
being’. The World Health Organization’s original definition perform (relative to potential, aspirations and values);
also says nothing about what physical, social or mental well- to achieve individual fulfilment; to live, function and
being means, simply stating that health requires each of participate in a social environment; and to reach a high
these to be ‘complete’. Some maintain that the definition has level of well-being, even without nutritional abundance
led to an ideal of perfect health, and that this utopian notion or physical comfort.
has fed an increasing medicalization of society’s problems. ●● Health should be considered in an individual and group
Today, while the World Health Organization still cites its context; social inequalities have a major influence on
original definition, it also discusses health in much broader health.
terms. On a glance through its publications, the reader will ●● Operationalizing the concept of health is necessary for
see phrases linked to the concept of health like ‘a resource measurement purposes, to provide an evidence base for
for everyday living’, ‘a fundamental human right’, and ‘an policies and interventions, and to enable appropriate
essential component of development’. evaluations.
There is a widespread consensus among international ●● The individual’s capacity for self-management, partici-
agencies, including the World Health Organization, that the pation, empowerment and resilience is of major impor-
concept of health, the influences on it and the language used tance, and should be stimulated and trained.
to debate it should indeed be very broad, with strong links
to economic and social development and – particularly in Both the Ottawa Charter and the Netherlands expert
the poorer countries of the world – to gender and poverty. meeting brought out a much rounder view of health than is
Different cultures view health differently. For exam- currently the mainstream concept in much of the Western
ple, First Nation people in Australia and Canada think of world. These, and other challenges to the established
well-being as more important than the absence of disease. Western paradigm of health, emphasize two things in par-
Health is a balance of spiritual, emotional and physical fac- ticular: health as a positive concept to be strived towards,
tors, rooted in the traditions and culture of the commu- not s­imply the absence of disease, and the importance of
nity and connected to the spirit of the land and to nature. mental and social health, not just physical health.
Traditional Chinese medicine focuses on maintaining har- Another strand of twenty-first century thinking on
mony (between the two forces of yin and yang). People are health encompasses the concepts of well-being, quality of
healthy when there is harmony between body and mind, life and happiness. Each of these is as ­complex and argued
Health in a changing world 3

about as health itself. Happiness is the subject of a growing


Opportunities
academic literature. The World Happiness Report, written
by British social scientist Richard Layard and others, sets
out the case for making population happiness the central
aim of government. It argues that society’s aim should be
Health
to maximize the happiness of its members. Judging the suc- Values
literacy
cess of a country on factors other than economic prosperity
is not a new idea. In 1968, Robert F. Kennedy (1925–1968),
then a presidential candidate in the United States, raised
the thought-provoking idea of an entirely differently con-
structed measure of nationhood. He said:
Motivation Beliefs
The gross national product does not allow for
the health of our children, the quality of their
education or the joy of their play. It does not
include the beauty of our poetry or the strength
Societal norms
of our marriages, the intelligence of our public
debate or the integrity of our public officials. It
measures neither our wit nor our courage, nei- Figure 1.1 Determinants of health behaviour at the indi-
ther our wisdom nor our learning, neither our vidual level.
compassion nor our devotion to our country, it
measures everything in short, except that which Yale University. He defined public health as ‘the science and
makes life worthwhile. art of preventing disease, prolonging life and promoting
health through the organized efforts and informed choices
This theme has been developed and recast in the twenty- of society, organizations, public and private, communities
first century. In Bhutan, the government’s key measure of and individuals’.
success is not gross national product but gross national hap- Winslow was a bacteriologist by training, so his defini-
piness. Bhutan measures gross national happiness using a tion of public health seems remarkable in being so broad
multipart index (psychological well-being, time use, com- based and holistic. It was so modern in its orientation that
munity vitality, cultural diversity, ecological resilience, liv- when Sir Donald Acheson (1926–2010), England’s chief
ing standard, health, education and good governance). Just medical officer, reviewed the public health function in
under half of its population is happy (8% are deeply happy 1988, he defined public health in a way that deviated little
and 33% extensively happy). The remainder is classed as ‘not from Winslow’s – although it was briefer. Acheson’s defini-
yet happy’, and the government’s aim is to understand and tion tends to be the version more often cited in the United
address the reasons why. Kingdom: ‘the science and art of preventing disease, pro-
No country uses a direct measure of health as one of its longing life, and promoting health through the organized
central guiding measures. efforts of society’.
Much of the political debate about health is rather super- Since the 1970s, there has been an increasing empha-
ficial. Words like behaviour are bandied around to explain sis on framing strategies aimed at promoting or improv-
why some people develop conditions like obesity. There ing public health. Governments of countries, international
are several different determinants of behaviour, which are organizations like the World Health Organization and
complex in their dimensions: an individual’s level of under- professional bodies like the Institute of Medicine in the
standing about risks to health, their beliefs, whether they United States and the Royal College of Physicians in the
hold the attainment of good health as a fundamental value, United Kingdom have all produced them. Many strategies
and self-­control. In turn, all these strands, and the way that have set goals and targets to be achieved over the life cycle
they interact, are shaped by the opportunities and the avail- of the plans.
ability of the means to secure good health in the country, In the United Kingdom, many public health White
city, town and small community in which they live. They Papers have been produced over the last five decades.
are also profoundly influenced by the culture and norms of In earlier times, these were formulated for the United
their country and social group (Figure 1.1). Kingdom as a whole, but more recently, Wales, Scotland,
Northern Ireland and England have each produced their
PUBLIC HEALTH own. All have contained elements of an underpinning
philosophy, a delivery system, legislative changes, targets,
When a formal definition of public health is required, infrastructure, training needs, cross-government pro-
two tend to be quoted. The first was formulated in 1920 grammes and professional structures and functions. The
by Charles-Edward Amory Winslow (1877–1957), the mix and emphasis has differed from document to docu-
founding chairman of the Department of Public Health at ment. For example, much of the New Labour government’s
4 Donaldsons’ Essential Public Health

thinking on public health, when it came to power in 1997, Table 1.1 Key areas of public health practice
was directed towards the so-called ‘big killers’. Targets
• Surveillance and assessment of the population’s health
were set for reducing cancer and heart disease mortal-
and wellbeing
ity, and interventions were aligned to them. Some public
• Assessing the evidence of effectiveness of health and
health professionals saw this as too oriented to the medi-
healthcare interventions, programmes and services
cal model and a step back from the modern public health
• Policy and strategy development and implementation
theme of promoting positive health rather than prevent-
• Strategic leadership and collaborative working for
ing disease. Indeed, many viewed the term prevention as
health
anachronistic and reflecting a narrow interpretation of
• Health improvement
public health. The approach was tolerated and supported
• Health protection
because the incoming government gave great prominence
• Health and social service quality
to public health and the reduction of health inequalities. In
• Public health intelligence
contrast, the Coalition Government that was established
• Academic public health
in 2010, with a Conservative as health secretary, had fewer
targets, more emphasis on individual choice and greater Source: Faculty of Public Health.
reliance on v­ oluntary agreements (rather than legislation)
with industries whose products could harm health. In con- Protection Determinants
trast to England, the three other UK countries have consis-
tently given greater emphasis to the social determinants of
Creating access
health in government policy discussions. Eliminating or
to choices that
While governments’ approaches to public health often controlling risk
are life-
factors
vary according to political outlook, it is the role of the pub- enhancing
lic health professions and the bodies that represent them
to establish the concepts, principles and methods of public
health and, to some extent, to be ‘custodians of the flame’.
In the United Kingdom, in the 1980s, this was particularly Stopping or
necessary during Margaret Thatcher’s premiership. She Instilling
slowing
healthy values
opposed the idea of health having social determinants and disease
and behaviour
stopped the use of the term health inequalities. development
In the United Kingdom, the Faculty of Public Health of
the Royal College of Physicians of London sets out the stan- Prevention Promotion
dards for public health practice and, in delivering that role,
defines the scope of public health in practical terms. It iden- Figure 1.2 Public health: developing population health.
tifies three domains of public health practice:
●● Develop personal skills
●● Health improvement ●● Reorient health services
●● Health protection
●● Improvement of services The Ottawa Charter came out of the first international
conference on health promotion. A later major conference
There are many different areas within these broad on health promotion held in 1997 in Jakarta, Indonesia,
domains (Table 1.1). revisited the concept and reviewed progress. It reaffirmed
Public health does have an important role in improving the earlier work, emphasized the importance of compre-
health services – and this is discussed in later chapters – but hensive approaches that use combinations of all the tools
in advancing population health, it operates in four broad of health promotion, stressed the need to develop health
strategic areas (Figure 1.2). literacy and drew attention to the potential of particular
The term health promotion is used extensively interna- settings for advancing practical action. Over the years, the
tionally. Many of the descriptions of roles and functions World Health Organization has fostered health promotion
within public health stem from c­ onsidering the scope of initiatives in a variety of settings, including healthy schools,
health promotion in World Health Organization meetings healthy cities and health-­promoting workplaces.
and programmes. The Ottawa Charter defined health pro- Most of the components in these expositions of health
motion as ‘the process of enabling people to increase control promotion are within the scope of public health in the United
over and improve their health’. In addition, it ­formulated Kingdom. The term health promotion is less often used than
five basic tools for health promotion: it used to be (health improvement is the preferred term now).
National professional public health bodies around
●● Build healthy public policy the world vary in their descriptions of the core roles and
●● Create supportive environments for health activities of public health services. The Pan American
●● Strengthen community action for health Health Organization has set out 11 essential public health
Health in a changing world 5

functions that are fairly representative of many of the dif- Advertising is another communication form of intense
ferent approaches: relevance to public health. Over the last 30 years, advertising
of tobacco products has been progressively curtailed in most
1. Monitoring, evaluation, and analysis of health status high-income countries. The debate is now on the extent to
2. Surveillance, research and control of the risks and which the same measures should apply to alcohol and sugar-
threats to public health laden foods. The techniques of advertising are highly effec-
3. Health promotion tive in influencing behaviour, and the manufacturers of all
4. Social participation in health these products have far deeper pockets than public health
5. Development of policies and institutional capacity for departments do. But the public health profession does now
public health planning and management borrow some of the tools of advertising to influence health-
6. Strengthening of public health regulation and enforce- related behaviours. This is so-called ‘social marketing’.
ment capacity Communication of risk is a particularly important, and
7. Evaluation and promotion of equitable access to neces- difficult, element of public health communication. In the last
sary health services decade of the twentieth century, there was a major growth
8. Human resources development and training in public in public concern about potential health hazards. This was
health reflected in widespread media coverage of scientific reports,
9. Quality assurance in personal and population-based government actions and human interest stories that appeared
health services to suggest that a particular ­environmental or dietary agent
10. Research in public health carried a risk to human health. In Britain, the bovine spon-
11. Reduction of the impact of emergencies and disasters giform encephalopathy (BSE) epidemic in cattle, the use of
on health genetically modified crops and mobile telephones are all
examples of issues that became the subject of media attention.
The way in which services are organized to deliver such If a risk is claimed to exist, this is more likely to frighten
functions again differs widely from country to country. people than other health stories (Table 1.2). While under-
standing what underlies the public perception of risk is
Public communication important, the greatest difficulty for public health policy-
makers is to decide how a risk is assessed, when an inter-
In today’s media-saturated, socially networked world, pub- vention to reduce it should be made and what should be
lic communication is a more important element of public communicated to the public.
health practice than ever before. The most difficult areas to address are those in which an
Public health stories are frequently in the news. association is found (or claimed) between a risk factor and an
Sometimes these stories are of newly emergent diseases adverse health outcome, yet it is not clear whether that associa-
causing a threat to the public’s health. Sometimes they are tion is causal. The question of establishing causality is a con-
reports on an epidemiological research study that has sug- stantly recurring theme in this field of public health. Examples
gested a new risk factor may cause cancer. Sometimes they of issues that can be portrayed by the media as established cause
express shock about the size of a particular health problem, and effect include a cluster of cases of childhood cancer around
such as childhood obesity. At other times, a public health an industrial plant, people who take their stories to a tabloid
story may attract media attention because of its curiosity newspaper with a claim that their illness is a result of exposure
value or because a public health investigation has provided to a particular environmental hazard and people who believe
the explanation to a medical ­whodunnit. An example of the they are at risk from industrial pollutants. The association may
latter came with the headline in The Times newspaper in or may not be causal, or the evidence may not be available to
Britain on 25 November 2015: ‘Pheasant Trapped in Water prove the case one way or the other. Yet the public will usually
Pipe Cost £25m’. This was the denouement of a public health expect an immediate response from the scientific community,
mystery where the water supply in the northwest of England the government and the public health authorities. There are
had become contaminated by Cryptosporidium, leading to no easy answers to these questions, but the scientific establish-
300,000 people having to boil their household water for two ment of causality is discussed further in Chapter 2.
months. The media lambasted the water company for not As a first step, a high-quality assessment of the scientific
being able to explain or resolve the problem. The total bill evidence is essential, sometimes coupled with a research
for the crisis, including compensation, was estimated as investigation. At some point, a decision will have to be taken
£25 ­million. The story generated huge public interest and about whether it is appropriate to make an intervention to
some wry humour at the eventual explanation. reduce the risk and what the nature of that intervention
Such communications can act for good or for ill. High- should be (e.g. legislation, providing public information or
quality journalism can provide valuable information to advice or altering a manufacturing or production process).
people, to inform their health-related decisions. Lesser- Although it might be supposed that all the scientific evi-
quality work can scaremonger and confuse. It is within dence should be to hand before any intervention is contem-
the role of public health professionals to try to positively plated, in practice, public concern or media pressure may be
influence the balance. so great that early action has to be considered.
6 Donaldsons’ Essential Public Health

Table 1.2 Fright factors.


Risks are generally more worrying (and less acceptable) if perceived:
1. To be involuntary (e.g. exposure to pollution) rather than voluntary (e.g. dangerous sports or smoking)
2. As inequitably distributed (some benefit while others suffer the consequences)
3. As inescapable by taking personal precautions
4. To arise from an unfamiliar or novel source
5. To result from artificial, rather than natural, sources
6. To cause hidden and irreversible damage e.g. through onset of illness many years after exposure
7. To pose some particular danger to small children or pregnant women or more generally to future generations
8. To threaten a form of death (or illness/injury) arousing particular dread
9. To damage identifiable rather than anonymous victims
10. To be poorly understood by science
11. As subject to contradictory statements from responsible sources (or, even worse, from the same source)
Source: Department of Health (DH). Communicating About Risks to Public Health: Pointers to Good Practice. London: DH, 1997.

This particular aspect of risk – when and how to inter- a specialist interest of a minority of health professionals
vene – became the focus of a great deal of debate in the and academics seemed a very narrow perspective. There
1990s in Britain as a result of the BSE crisis. The concept were several reasons for this. First, the emergence of epi-
of the ‘precautionary principle’ has emerged. This has been demics in the developing world – for example, AIDS and
defined in various ways but essentially is a judgment that drug-resistant forms of tuberculosis – posed a direct threat
must be applied in situations of scientific uncertainty where to the populations in all countries, including the rich ones.
the postulated risk is serious and where action is being con- Second, it was increasingly realized that supporting health
templated before the results of further research or investi- in poorer countries enhances mutual respect and under-
gation are to hand. Thus, the precautionary principle holds standing in situations that could otherwise deteriorate into
that action to protect the public health should be taken to hostility and conflict. This motivation is sometimes referred
reduce or control the risk ‘in the meantime’. to as ‘health as a bridge to peace’. Third, there was clearly
In the whole area of health and risk, it is essential that growing interdependence of nations in economic, social,
there is as much openness and transparency about the political, communications and environmental terms: the
issues and the scientific evidence as p ­ ossible. The guiding emergence of globalization as both a beneficial and a malign
principles must be based not only on a rigorous approach to influence.
evaluating the risk but also on sharing information with the With this shift in emphasis came a change in termi-
public. Without this, there will be a breakdown of trust and nology – from international health, implying an interest
the value of public health advice will be weakened. in the health of other countries, to global health, imply-
ing an interest in the health of nations collectively. Other
GLOBAL HEALTH language was changing too. By the beginning of the
twenty-first century, the terms developed and developing
The terms global health and international health are often to classify the countries of the world sounded paternal-
used interchangeably, but there are important differences. istic and condescending, related to the colonial era and
For most of the twentieth century, the richer countries of terms that did not fit the reality of fast-growing econo-
the world viewed the health problems of poorer countries mies such as Brazil, India and China. Today, countries are
as separate from, and different to, their own. International ­characterized by their economic profile: low, middle and
health was the predominant term. The dialogue was mainly high income being the preferred prefixes attached to the
framed as richer countries’ concerns about poorer coun- word country.
tries described, at the time, as ‘developing countries’. The shift to a more collective mindset did not mean
International health was ascribed importance because of richer countries becoming disinterested in poorer countries.
a humanitarian responsibility to provide support, funding On the contrary, the poorer countries retain a high degree of
and know-how to ameliorate the causes of disease, disability focus in global health efforts that is ­disproportionate to their
and premature death in the most impoverished parts of the number but entirely appropriate to the burden of disease that
world. they face. In the last 15 years, there have been substantial
By the end of the twentieth century, the tendency to health gains in the poorer countries of the world, although
think about international health or tropical medicine as very significant challenges remain.
Health in a changing world 7

Definitions of global health vary, but most emphasize closer proximity to health facilities. However, living in
that the health of populations must be seen in a way that densely populated areas – seen in slums in Mumbai, Rio
transcends the concerns of individual nations, and is not de Janeiro and elsewhere – creates major health risks. Basic
limited by geographical borders. In understanding the cur- needs such as water access, toileting and shelter are often
rent global health challenges, the international transfer of ­lacking. Educational status, child health and adult nutrition
health risks is a key concept – that is, the way in which the are common issues in these areas.
movement across borders of people, products, resources and In the first decade of the twenty-first century, more than
lifestyles can contribute to the spread of disease. 200 million people were living outside their country of
An often-used term, globalization is a complex phe- origin. There are many reasons for migration. Pull factors
nomenon with several different aspects. It involves (1) an include better opportunities for work or living, while war,
increasing degree of interaction between nations, (2) estab- conflict and instability are push factors that drive people to
lishment of more formal agencies and structures that bridge leave their homes. This large-scale movement of people –
nations and (3) growing integration between nations. The as migrants, refugees and asylum seekers – has become a
­interactions, and integration, are political, economic, social, dominant consideration for health policymakers and global
cultural, environmental, ­technological and more. In short, health professionals.
as a consequence of globalization, there is a closer interac- According to the United Nations High Commissioner
tion of human activity across a vast range of spheres. This for Refugees, there were more than 10 million refugees in
is leading to faster production of knowledge and informa- the first decade of the twenty-first century, displaced mainly
tion and to changing expectations. The degree of integra- by conflict but also by other violence or intimidation, or by
tion varies. While 7 out of 10 Africans own a mobile phone, a natural disaster or famine. Half of all refugees are from
only one-­quarter of HIV-infected children and one-third of just five countries – Afghanistan, Somalia, Iraq, Syria and
HIV-infected adults are receiving antiretroviral treatment. Sudan. Half are children.
Globalization influences health in many different War and natural disasters can cause sudden migration,
ways – particularly through its effects on the institu- displacing very large numbers of people in a short period
tional, economic and social determinants of health. There of time. As conflict took hold in Syria, for example, more
are some positive aspects, such as dissemination of new than 250,000 fled the country in late 2012 and early 2013.
knowledge about health and healthcare, allowing more As the conflict became more serious and prolonged, the
people to benefit from successful treatment strategies. The number of refugees escalated. During 2015, the large-scale
benefit of other aspects is less clear, and there are detri- migration into Europe, through various routes and entry
mental impacts. In particular, the impact of international points, caused a massive humanitarian, economic and
trade on health is controversial. Trade can contribute to political crisis. By the end of 2015, there were more than
economic growth and investments in population health, 4 million Syrian refugees in the neighbouring countries:
but some international trade agreements have had negative 1.2 million in Lebanon, more than 600,000 in Jordan, more
implications for health. Multinational companies promote than 2.5 ­million in Turkey, more than 250,000 in Iraq and
smoking, sugary drinks and fast food all over the world more than 135,000 in Egypt. Many of these people have
now. An increase in travel and number of flights may be been displaced multiple times before reaching safety in
beneficial for cooperation, but has also enabled faster ­neighbouring countries. An estimated 30% of them are liv-
spread of infectious diseases. ing in extreme poverty.
The global health challenges are substantial. They require Displaced people’s safety, security and quality of life
sharing of knowledge and information, and a high degree of depend on the host country’s resources and ­policies. Many
global cooperation. Global health must involve a multidisci- face great risks living in refugee camps, rented houses or
plinary approach – the challenges are multifaceted, and the nomadic camps. With poor living conditions, food short-
most powerful determinants of health lie way beyond the ages, poor sanitation and no work, both physical and mental
bounds of healthcare. Trade, climate change, politics and health can s­uffer immensely. Depending on the circum-
economics are among the broader issues relevant to global stances, refugees can face disease, starvation, homelessness,
health. denial of healthcare, mental illness, violence and economic
ruin. There may be widespread use of rape and other forms
Populations in flux of sexual violence against women and girls. There are often
epidemics of infection, including measles and other diseases
In the middle of the twentieth century, two-thirds of the that could be prevented by vaccination if strong systems
world’s population lived in rural areas. Today, more than were in place to provide it.
half of the world’s population live in ­cities; an increasing It is not only the refugees who suffer. Many of the host
proportion live in urban conurbations of more than 1 mil- countries have serious problems of their own, and accepting
lion people. Globally, the number of people living in large refugees creates additional strain. The public services are
city slums is also rising. challenged to offer basic services, such as health and educa-
In health terms, city dwelling has both pros and cons. tion, to an increasing number of people. In 2012, the popu-
It provides people with easier access to information and lation of Lebanon was 4.7 million. With 1.2 million Syrian
8 Donaldsons’ Essential Public Health

refugees, it grew to 5.9 million by the start of 2015. Lebanon Poverty is most often measured by family or household
and Jordan now have the highest per capita ratios of refu- income, but is increasingly being recognized in fuller terms,
gees worldwide. Both have used public funds to provide ser- as described in Chapter 5. The Multidimensional Poverty
vices for refugees, with negative knock-on effects for their Index, developed by the United Nations Development
established populations. Programme, considers both monetary measures of poverty
In 2015, the United Nations High Commission for and deprivation in health, education and standard of living.
Refugees was managing 50 refugee camps in different parts Worldwide, 2.5 billion people lack access to good sani-
of the world, holding a total of 2 million people. Other tation, and more than 1 billion people practise open def-
refugee camps are run by the receiving country’s govern- ecation. An estimated 1.8 billion people use a source of
ment or by nongovernmental organizations, such as the drinking water that is faecally contaminated. Such situa-
International Red Cross. Many camps are intended to be tions are strongly associated with severe poverty. Almost
time-limited facilities but operate for years, sometimes two-thirds of people without clean water live on less than
decades – as is the case for the camps of Palestinian refu- $2 a day, while a third live on less than $1 a day. Clean water
gees in the Middle East. The numbers seeking sanctuary in and safe disposal of sewage are a part of the basic infra-
such camps are very fluid and can increase quickly. In some structure of health. There are many parts of the world in
cases, many tens of thousands live on the periphery, unable the twenty-first century where people are not afforded these
to get into a camp that is already full beyond capacity. The fundamental protections to their health. A tenth of China’s
combined population of a large refugee camp and town can farmland is poisoned with chemicals and heavy metals,
easily overwhelm the municipal infrastructure. Not sur- and some of China’s urban water supplies are unfit to wash
prisingly, there are often tensions between the camp man- in, let alone drink. The main health consequence of poor
ager and the host country’s government, especially when water and sanitation conditions is exposure to a wide range
camps are expanded. of communicable diseases. Children are very vulnerable –
Many refugees do not live in refugee camps, are not reg- almost 2 million die every year from diarrhoea. There is
istered and are therefore difficult to count. They face many also physical hardship associated with collecting water: for
of the same health challenges as those within camps, and millions of women, the central focus of the day is to collect
are generally entitled to fewer rights. water for drinking, cooking and personal hygiene.
Refugees within their own country are known as inter- The number of people living in poverty has decreased sub-
nally displaced persons. They often flee for similar reasons stantially over recent decades. Much of this has been due to
as refugees (armed conflict and other violence, or human development in India and China. Millennium Development
rights violations) but are – according to the law – under the Goal (MDG) 1A – cutting in half the proportion of people
protection of their own ­government. In some cases, these whose income is less than $1.25 a day – was met five years
governments are the cause of the refugees’ flight. Natural ahead of target, in 2010. Unfortunately, though, the num-
disasters can also create internally displaced persons, such ber of people living in extreme poverty has increased. More
as the earthquakes in Haiti in 2010 and Nepal in 2015. As than three-quarters live in rural areas, and children are at
citizens, they retain all their rights and protection under particular risk. Counterintuitively, most poor people now
both human rights and international humanitarian law, live in middle-income countries. When donors discuss not
but in practice, there are few systems for holding govern- providing aid to middle-income countries, they often forget
ments accountable for fulfilling these rights. that many people are still poor, even though the country’s
average income is improving.
Poverty
Development
Poverty is inextricably linked to health through circum-
stances that include inadequate access to water, poor sani- In 1970, the United Nations General Assembly agreed on
tation, lack of education and the unaffordability of healthy a target that countries should allocate 0.7% of their gross
food. Poor people often have limited, or no, healthcare ser- national income to ­development. Nearly 50 years on, only
vices. If care has a cost, they will delay seeking care until they five countries do so. The United Kingdom is one of them,
are very sick. Unfortunately, the costs of care can be even alongside four Nordic countries. The United Kingdom now
higher when the disease has developed. Healthcare costs gives approximately £12 billion a year in official develop-
can become catastrophic, forcing families to sell belong- ment assistance.
ings to afford them. This subject is discussed in more depth Governments providing development assistance do so
in Chapter 6. Countries with high rates of poverty usually in a way that is consistent with their foreign policy objec-
have weak governments, and so are less likely to have good tives. For example, a number of governments view stability
public healthcare systems to support people when they fall in Afghanistan as being a crucial part of reducing the risk
ill. If a person is sick and cannot go to school or work, this of terrorism. In recent years, Afghanistan has received more
has implications for families, communities and the wider development assistance than any other country.
economy. Poor health therefore contributes to p ­ overty and Official development assistance is generally provided
impedes development. in two ways. Bilateral aid is provided directly from the
Health in a changing world 9

donor government to the recipient country. Donor govern- system – in other words, a predominantly vertical, rather
ments provide multilateral aid to intermediaries, such as than horizontal, approach. The vertical approach to global
the United Nations agencies. In general, the proportion of health improvement has been furthered by a number of
funds given as bilateral aid is decreasing, and multilateral major disease-specific initiatives, including the Global
aid increasing. Polio Eradication Initiative and the Measles and Rubella
In recent years, consistent with the Millennium Initiative, and area-specific funding approaches, including
Development Goals, HIV/AIDS and maternal, newborn through Gavi the Vaccine Alliance and the Global Fund to
and child health have received much attention. Funding Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.
for non-communicable diseases is far less, even though The vertical approach is epitomized by the ‘mass cam-
these represent substantial and growing burdens of ­disease. paign’, which involves providing a s­ ingle intervention to a
The ways in which development agencies choose to spend large number of people in a short space of time. Large num-
their money change over time. In particular, disease-­ bers of vaccinators can move from house to house vaccinat-
specific (vertical) programmes are now less in favour, with ing every child against polio, for example, or handing out
funds being shifted to horizontal ­systems-strengthening oral rehydration solution (ORS) and providing education on
approaches instead. how and when to use it. Mass campaigns are liked for the
The controversy about whether to focus on investing in immediacy of their impact but disliked because they do lit-
health systems (horizontal) or specific programmes (verti- tle to build health systems for long-term benefit. An exam-
cal) has been going on for a long time. In an article pub- ple of how targeted programmes can be effective is the use
lished by the World Health Organization as a public health of oral rehydration ­solutions to prevent fatal dehydration in
paper in 1955, Gonzales wrote, diarrhoea. Between 1980 and 1990, a collaboration between
the government of Bangladesh, a nongovernmental organi-
There are two apparently conflicting approaches zation formerly known as Bangladesh Rural Advancement
to which countries should give careful consider- Committee (BRAC) and a U.S. Agency for International
ation…. The first, generally known as the ‘hori- Development–funded non-profit organization, the Social
zontal approach’, seeks to tackle the overall Marketing Company, scaled up a programme in which
health problems on a wide front and on a long- 12 ­million women were trained to provide oral rehydration
term basis through the creation of a system of solutions. Previously, this therapy had only been provided
permanent institutions commonly known as in hospital. The new campaign involved village workers vis-
‘general health services’. The second, or ‘verti- iting mothers at home, teaching them to make their own
cal approach’, calls for solution of a given health oral rehydration solution (using water, salt and sugar) when
problem by means of single-purpose machinery. children developed diarrhoea. The workers’ pay depended
on whether the mother had learned properly how to make
In the 1978 International Conference on Primary Health it, and could demonstrate this to an independent evalua-
Care held in Alma Ata, the capital of Kazakhstan, every tor who visited a sample of women after the village worker
country of the world was represented. The resulting dec- had left.
laration stated that primary care should be available to all. Building a sustainable, resilient healthcare system
It defined primary care in broad terms. To some, this was a involves taking a horizontal approach. It involves identify-
much-needed, inspirational step. To others, it was unrealis- ing the basic elements of a system and ­building them up.
tic to think that universal primary care, defined idealistically These include a healthcare workforce, governance systems,
by the declaration, could possibly be funded. The years after financing mechanisms, health facilities and training capac-
the Alma Ata conference saw something of a backlash, and ity. The set of activities directed towards doing so is known
a move towards defining a more minimal set of interven- as health system strengthening. In some cases, ‘strengthen-
tions that could be funded, and that would improve popula- ing’ is a misnomer because it implies that there is some sort
tion health in a cost-effective way. This was termed s­ elective of functioning system already in place.
­primary care. UNICEF took a lead in defining the list, in 1982, The attractions of a horizontal approach are clear. It
as growth monitoring, oral rehydration (to manage diar- involves constructing, in an ordered way, a healthcare sys-
rhoeal illness), breastfeeding promotion and immunization, tem of the type that citizens of richer countries would rec-
known by the acronym GOBI. Food supplementation, female ognize as true healthcare. A ­system that is able to deal with
literacy and family planning were subsequently added, mak- the range of ailments that people face, not simply to deliver
ing the acronym GOBI-FFF. Proponents saw this list as a set a limited set of predefined interventions. Ideally, the system
of cost-effective, practical interventions that it was feasible to can be improved upon over time, in every element from
implement and monitor. Opponents saw a lack of ambition: buildings to people to processes.
an acceptance that the poorer countries of the world would The horizontal approach has problems, though.
have to settle for a standard of healthcare of an entirely lower Strengthening a governance system is a far more difficult,
order than that available in the richer countries. nebulous activity than handing out sachets of oral rehy-
Providing GOBI-FFF required the implementation of a dration solution and other such vertical interventions. It
set of specific programmes, not the building of a healthcare is challenging to monitor success, and this is off-putting to
10 Donaldsons’ Essential Public Health

donors who want to be able to demonstrate impact and avoid were established – of which the World Health Organization
money being lost to corruption. It takes time and patience. was one. Established in 1948, its stated objective is to attain
The West Africa Ebola outbreak that started in 2014 re- the highest possible level of health for all people. The World
energized the argument for building resilient healthcare Health Organization is made up of 194 member states. It
systems. The countries affected had a series of vertical, dis- is headquartered in Geneva and has regional and country
ease-specific programmes in place to deliver vaccines, and offices. It sets out to provide leadership on global health
HIV/AIDS treatments, but when Ebola emerged, these did matters, shape the health research agenda, set norms and
not amount to a resilient healthcare system able to respond standards, articulate evidence-based policy options, pro-
to this different need. vide technical support to countries and monitor and assess
Mexico and Rwanda are two countries that have invested health trends. It can convene governments and others to
heavily in health and health systems. They have promoted discuss, negotiate and reach consensus.
an alternative – the diagonal approach. This tries to com- On several occasions, most recently during the West
bine the best aspects of vertical and horizontal approaches. African Ebola crisis of 2014, the World Health Organization
Rather than providing a set of priority interventions as has been criticized for slow decision-making, indecisive-
separate vertical programmes, they are delivered through ness and a failure to show leadership. To some degree, the
a single channel, which therefore forms the basis of a func- organization is constrained by its financing. Its budget
tioning healthcare system. Delivering a set of vertical pro- comes from two sources. All member states make man-
grammes is expensive and requires duplicative work (e.g. datory assessed contributions, calculated based on their
each programme has to organize its own transport and economy and population. In addition, member states, inter-
storage logistics). In a diagonal approach, the funds that governmental bodies, private foundations and others can
would have been spent on this are instead used to build make voluntary contributions. For the first 30 years of the
a sustainable system that can deliver this set of priority World Health Organization’s existence, most of its budget
interventions, and subsequently more too. Whereas a pure came from assessed contributions. This has changed mark-
horizontal approach can take many years to yield tangible edly over time. Now, assessed contributions represent just
results, the diagonal approach aims to demonstrably deliver a quarter of its budget, and the vast majority comes from
a set of priority interventions from the beginning. voluntary contributions. The importance of this is that vol-
untary contributions are almost always earmarked by their
Global health architecture donors for particular projects and programmes, whereas
assessed contributions are available to be spent on a broader
In most countries, it is relatively easy to describe how the strategic canvas. With three-quarters of the organization’s
health system is organized, how it is funded, who leads it budget earmarked, core functions that are of less interest to
and to whom it is answerable. In global health, this is not the donors can suffer. This budgetary issue also has governance
case. A large number of organizations and individuals are implications. In theory, the organization’s priorities should
involved, many of them with complex and ill-defined roles. be set by the annual World Health Assembly, at which each
Some have clear democratic authority – such as the World member state has an equal say. In practice, the countries and
Health Organization. Some have no democratic authority, organizations that make significant voluntary contributions
but huge power and the potential for great positive impact. determine where the organization focuses its energies.
Large philanthropic bodies such as the Bill and Melinda In contrast to the World Health Organization’s broad
Gates Foundation, Bloomberg Philanthropies and the focus, the newer global health organizations tend to con-
Clinton Global Initiative fall into this category. There is no centrate on vertical programmes. Some of these have
overarching leadership or hierarchy in global health. Both been very successful. Gavi the Vaccine Alliance involves
state and non-state actors are involved. The power struc- cooperation between public and private bodies, aiming to
tures are difficult to grasp. Governance – that is, ­setting and improve childhood immunization coverage and access to
monitoring direction – of the global health system is there- new vaccines. The alliance was created to bring key United
fore a complex concept in theory, and problematic in reality. Nations agencies, governments, pharmaceutical companies,
Indeed, the words system and architecture suggest some- the private sector and civil society together. By 2015, Gavi
thing far more organized than is actually the case. Bringing the Vaccine Alliance, which was established in 2000, had
some order to this tangle – as the Millennium Development reached 500 million children and prevented an estimated
Goals did and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 7 million deaths.
are intended to do – is an important part of making the Those who hold the purse strings have a loud voice in
many different actors, agencies and institutions pull in the the global health landscape. They determine the coun-
same direction. tries, diseases and initiatives to which money is allocated.
The United Nations agencies are p ­ articularly important. Spending on global health is really a subset of funding for
The United Nations was established after the Second World development more generally. More than 80% of official
War as the world, led by the v­ ictors, aspired to address chal- development assistance (often simply known as foreign aid)
lenges c­ollectively, to promote peace and to avoid future comes from governments – the United Kingdom, through
conflict. Soon afterwards, specific United Nations ­bodies its Department for International Development, for example.
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Title: Les républiques de l'Amérique du Sud


Leurs guerres et leur projet de fédération

Author: Elisée Reclus

Release date: September 7, 2023 [eBook #71588]

Language: French

Original publication: Paris: Revue des deux mondes, 1865

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Aux lecteurs
Notes

LES RÉPUBLIQUES
DE

L’AMÉRIQUE DU SUD
LEURS GUERRES ET LEUR PROJET DE FÉDÉRATION

I. Union latino-americana, pensamiento de Bolivar,


por J. M. Torres Caicedo; Paris, Rosa y Bouret,
1865.—II. Proyectos de tratado para fundar una
liga sud-americana, presentados por los
plenipotenciarios del Ecuador, de Bolivia, de
Chile, del Peru, de los Estados-Unidos de
Colombia, etc.
Au point de vue purement géographique, la plus grande partie de
l’Amérique du Sud est admirablement disposée pour être habitée par
des peuples unis. Ce continent, plus simple encore dans son
architecture que ne l’est l’Amérique du Nord, elle-même si
remarquable par son caractère d’unité, peut être considéré dans son
ensemble comme une longue série de montagnes et de plateaux se
dressant parallèlement au Pacifique et s’affaissant par degrés à l’est
pour former une immense plaine doucement inclinée. Si l’Amérique
méridionale ressemble à l’Afrique par ses contours généraux, elle en
diffère singulièrement par la structure interne et l’harmonie parfaite
de toutes ses parties. Tandis que la plupart des contrées du littoral
africain sont complétement isolées les unes des autres et forment
autant de territoires distincts à cause des solitudes et des terres
inconnues qui les séparent, le seul aspect de la carte montre que les
divers pays de l’Amérique du Sud, appuyés sur la grande épine
dorsale des Andes, arrosés par les tributaires des mêmes fleuves,
sont dans une intime dépendance mutuelle: comparables aux perles
d’un collier, ils constituent par leur union un ensemble géographique
de la plus frappante simplicité.
A l’exception des contrées orientales, peuplées par une nation
d’origine portugaise, et de la zone marécageuse des Guyanes, où se
sont installés quelques milliers de planteurs anglais, français et
hollandais, toute l’Amérique du Sud,—c’est-à-dire les régions
andines et les grandes plaines fluviales,—est habitée par des
hommes de races mélangées formant de leurs élémens épars une
nouvelle race de plus en plus homogène. Les colons des diverses
parties de l’Espagne, qui pendant trois siècles ont été presque les
seuls Européens du continent, se sont partout alliés aux Indiennes,
et de ces croisemens est née une population nouvelle qui tient à la
fois de l’Espagnol par son intelligence, son courage, sa sobriété, et
de l’aborigène par sa force passive, sa ténacité, sa douceur
naturelle. Même dans les pays où les Espagnols se disent purs
d’origine, comme au Chili et sur les plateaux grenadins, un mélange
s’est opéré entre les conquérans et les familles des vaincus, et les
Chiliens peuvent en conséquence se dire aussi bien les fils des
Araucans que ceux des compagnons d’Almagro. Non-seulement les
aborigènes sont ainsi entrés d’une manière indirecte dans la grande
famille des nations latines; mais en outre la plupart des tribus
sauvages se sont peu à peu groupées autour de la population
créole. Elles en ont adopté partiellement les mœurs, et par leur
fraternité d’armes durant la guerre de l’indépendance sont devenues
un seul et même peuple avec leurs oppresseurs d’autrefois. Sur les
côtes, un petit nombre de nègres, issus des anciens esclaves
africains, ont contribué au mélange des races; mais ce troisième
élément n’a qu’une faible importance relative, et le fond des
populations andines reste d’une manière presque exclusive le
produit des deux races espagnole et américaine. A ces nations du
continent du sud, il faut encore ajouter celles de l’Amérique centrale
et du Mexique, également latines et indiennes par leurs ancêtres. De
l’estuaire de la Plata aux bouches du Rio-Bravo et du Colorado, sur
un espace occupant environ 10,000 kilomètres de longueur, vivent
plus de 26 millions d’hommes parlant tous la même langue, se
rattachant tous au sol américain par leurs aïeux indigènes et
participant aux mêmes souvenirs historiques par les traditions de la
mère-patrie et les efforts communs tentés contre les Espagnols
pendant quinze années de luttes.
Malheureusement ces nations, désunies par les guerres
intestines, séparées les unes des autres par de vastes solitudes et
même par des régions inexplorées, ne sont point encore un groupe
de peuples frères: leur unité, si bien indiquée par la nature et par
l’origine, ne s’est point encore réalisée en politique. Toutefois cette
union est l’idéal des Américains qui ont véritablement à cœur la
prospérité de leur patrie, et la masse même du peuple commence à
partager ces vœux de fédération. Déjà de nombreuses tentatives ont
été faites dans ce sens et plusieurs ont partiellement abouti.
Aujourd’hui même une ligue offensive et défensive unit quatre des
plus puissantes républiques de l’Amérique espagnole, ayant
ensemble près de 8 millions d’habitans et de grandes ressources
navales et financières. Que cette ligue soit destinée à devenir le
noyau d’une fédération hispano-américaine ou qu’elle disparaisse
pour faire place à d’autres combinaisons, il est certain que l’union de
plusieurs peuples au nom de la liberté commune aura les
conséquences les plus heureuses pour l’avenir de tous les états du
continent colombien. Afin d’apprécier à sa juste valeur un fait
historique d’une telle importance et de se rendre compte des
changemens d’équilibre qui peuvent en résulter, il importe donc de
connaître les projets d’union qui ont été formés à une époque
antérieure et les commencemens d’exécution qu’ils ont reçus. C’est
là une étude que facilite singulièrement l’ouvrage complet et
accompagné de documens officiels que M. Torres Caicedo a publié
récemment sur cette question.
I.
Avant même qu’un seul homme d’état eût formulé la théorie de la
ligue américaine, elle était déjà mise temporairement en pratique,
puisque, du plateau de l’Anahuac aux rives de la Plata, les insurgés
combattaient le même ennemi, et que même, en de nombreuses
batailles, les pâtres argentins avaient pour compagnons d’armes les
montagnards du Venezuela et de la Nouvelle-Grenade. La lutte
contre l’adversaire commun avait uni tous les créoles américains
dans une même armée. Pendant quelques années, les hommes qui
s’étaient mis à la tête du mouvement purent croire que les diverses
provinces de l’Amérique du Sud se constitueraient en une vaste
confédération, et que l’ancienne unité, existant au profit du
despotisme espagnol, se rétablirait entre peuples libres au profit de
la grandeur nationale. Ils espéraient que la fraternité d’armes
victorieusement affirmée sur les champs de bataille pourrait être
transformée en une solide union des peuples eux-mêmes. Dès
l’année 1822, au plus fort de la guerre contre l’Espagne, le libérateur
Bolivar invita formellement les gouvernemens du Mexique, du Chili,
du Pérou et de Buenos-Ayres à se grouper en confédération et à
procéder immédiatement à la convocation d’une assemblée ayant
pour mission d’établir une ligue permanente entre les peuples
affranchis. En réponse à cet appel, la Colombie, le Pérou et Buenos-
Ayres se contentèrent de signer une alliance défensive contre toute
attaque de l’Espagne ou d’une autre nation étrangère; mais cette
alliance n’était guère que la simple constatation de la lutte commune
contre la métropole. Aussitôt après la fin des hostilités, Bolivar, alors
dictateur du Pérou, s’empressa de recommander de nouveau aux
républiques latines de l’Amérique l’idée d’un congrès central «réuni
sous les auspices de la victoire.» La plupart des gouvernemens
intéressés répondirent avec cet enthousiasme facile des Hispano-
Américains. Le président de la Colombie alla même jusqu’à dire que
«l’œuvre projetée de l’union était un fait dont l’importance n’avait
point été égalée depuis la chute de l’empire romain;» mais cette
œuvre, personne ne l’accomplit. Les difficultés des communications,
la lassitude causée dans tout le pays par la sanglante guerre qui
venait de finir, la profonde ignorance des populations, le manque
d’intérêts matériels communs entre des pays éloignés de plusieurs
milliers de kilomètres les uns des autres, empêchèrent de donner
suite au projet de Bolivar. Ses invitations devenaient pourtant de
plus en plus pressantes, car la France légitimiste menaçait alors de
reprendre au nom du droit divin la cause que venait d’abandonner
provisoirement l’Espagne. Dans son effroi, le grand homme de
guerre allait même jusqu’à demander que le congrès des
plénipotentiaires américains fût érigé en un comité de salut public
indépendant de ses mandataires, et disposant d’une flotte puissante,
ainsi que d’une armée de 100,000 hommes.
Enfin, vers le milieu de l’année 1826, un simulacre de congrès,
composé seulement des mandataires du Pérou, de la Colombie, de
l’Amérique centrale et du Mexique, se réunit à Panama, que l’on
avait choisi comme le point le plus facile d’accès dans l’immense
étendue des contrées hispano-américaines. Les délégués rédigèrent
à la hâte un traité de ligue fédérative entre les états qu’ils
représentaient et décidèrent la formation d’une armée commune de
60,000 hommes; mais leurs décisions ne furent validées que par la
seule république de Colombie, et cet état même ne fit aucun effort
pour mettre son vote à exécution. Tel fut l’avortement d’un projet
duquel on avait attendu des résultats si grandioses. Bolivar, dont les
espérances s’évanouissaient ainsi, comparait tristement le congrès
de Panama à un pilote fou qui, du rivage de la mer, essaierait de
guider un navire secoué par les tempêtes du large.
Après cette vaine tentative de confédération, les gouvernemens
sud-américains se bornèrent à échanger de temps en temps
quelques notes sur cette question pourtant si vitale, et plus de vingt
ans s’écoulèrent sans qu’une nouvelle assemblée de délégués fût
convoquée. Seulement à la fin de 1847, c’est-à-dire à la veille de
cette époque révolutionnaire si féconde dans les pays d’Europe en
événemens de toute sorte, un deuxième congrès, composé des
plénipotentiaires du Chili, de la Bolivie, du Pérou, de l’Équateur et de
la Nouvelle-Grenade, c’est-à-dire des cinq républiques assises sur
les rivages de la Mer du Sud, se réunit à Lima pour négocier un
traité d’union fédérative. Ce congrès, moins ambitieux et plus sensé
que celui de Panama, ne vota point la formation d’une grande
armée; il s’occupa modestement d’examiner dans quelles
circonstances il serait utile de constituer la ligue des nations sud-
américaines, et de quelle façon on procéderait à cette alliance; en
même temps il prévoyait aussi le cas d’une guerre possible entre les
républiques confédérées, et traçait aux états neutres la ligne de
conduite qu’ils auraient à suivre en cette occurrence. Un traité de
commerce et de navigation, où pour la première fois le principe de la
liberté des fleuves était proclamé, complétait l’œuvre des
plénipotentiaires de Lima. Toutefois les grands événemens et les
luttes intestines qui agitaient alors le Nouveau-Monde effacèrent
promptement le souvenir des travaux du congrès.
Cependant un nouveau danger, venant cette fois, non des
puissances monarchiques de l’Europe occidentale, mais de la
remuante oligarchie esclavagiste des états anglo-américains,
menaça bientôt l’indépendance des républiques espagnoles. Le
flibustier Walker, porte-glaive de cette chevalerie du cycle d’or dont
la grande conspiration contre la liberté des peuples n’est pas encore
assez connue, avait envahi le Nicaragua à la tête de ses bandes;
des sénateurs, des ministres de l’Union américaine, le président lui-
même, proclamaient insolemment la doctrine de la «destinée
manifeste» en vertu de laquelle les républiques méridionales
devaient tôt ou tard, de gré ou de force, devenir la proie de ces
Anglo-Saxons envahissans qui s’étaient déjà fait concéder la moitié
du Mexique. Dans l’espérance des hommes qui dirigeaient alors la
politique des États-Unis, Lopez et Walker n’étaient que l’avant-garde
des armées qui devaient annexer successivement toutes les nations
espagnoles pour les fondre dans le «grand empire indien de
l’occident.» Sous le coup de l’émotion qui saisit la plupart des états
de l’Amérique latine, un nouveau congrès se réunit en 1856 à
Santiago de Chili pour y conclure un traité «continental» de défense
contre l’invasion étrangère. Les seules parties représentées étaient
le Chili, le Pérou et l’Équateur; mais les autres républiques, y
compris le Paraguay, s’empressèrent pour la plupart d’accéder au
traité. Peut-être cette nouvelle convention ne fût-elle pas restée un
vain mot comme les précédentes, si les diverses révolutions
fomentées dans l’Équateur et dans la Nouvelle-Grenade par
quelques prétendans n’avaient malheureusement détourné
l’attention de ces derniers pays vers leurs affaires intérieures.
Cependant l’idée de la ligue américaine ne devait plus être
abandonnée. Désormais elle n’était plus seulement dans les vœux
de quelques patriotes intelligens, elle commençait à passionner le
peuple lui-même dans les républiques les plus avancées. Pendant
les années qui suivirent les négociations relatives au traité
continental, les divers gouvernemens ne cessèrent d’échanger des
notes relatives à cette question, et, ce qui vaut encore mieux, les
journaux et les assemblées politiques de toute l’Amérique du Sud
reprirent et discutèrent de plus en plus sérieusement les projets
d’union fédérative. Dès le mois de janvier 1864, le cabinet péruvien
était poussé par l’opinion publique à proposer un nouveau congrès
américain, et la plupart des états s’empressèrent d’envoyer leur
adhésion.
Le moment était bien choisi, car jamais, depuis la guerre de
l’indépendance, pareil danger n’avait menacé les jeunes républiques
du Nouveau-Monde. Depuis deux années déjà, le Mexique était
envahi par des troupes européennes ayant pour mission non-
seulement de demander la réparation de certains griefs, mais aussi
d’aider à la fondation d’une monarchie. Une forte armée espagnole
ayant pour base d’approvisionnemens l’île si riche de Cuba avait fait
irruption à Saint-Domingue «pour répondre aux vœux des bons
citoyens» de cette ancienne colonie, et, non content de cette tâche,
le gouvernement de Madrid cherchait encore de nouvelles difficultés
avec le Pérou. Enfin, au sud du continent, on commençait à voir la
main du Brésil dans la conspiration de Florès contre la Bande-
Orientale. Un fait des plus graves est que toutes ces agressions
coïncidaient avec la guerre civile des Américains du nord, et que
dans cette lutte les puissances de l’Europe occidentale avaient
singulièrement favorisé les rebelles en se hâtant de leur reconnaître
les droits de belligérans, même en laissant des corsaires s’armer et
se ravitailler dans leurs ports et leurs arsenaux. Les États-Unis
s’étant depuis longtemps posés comme les adversaires à outrance
de toute intervention des gouvernemens d’Europe dans les affaires
intérieures de l’Amérique, on voyait en eux les gardiens jaloux de
l’indépendance des républiques sœurs, et c’est précisément
l’époque où l’Union était engagée elle-même dans une terrible lutte
que choisissaient les puissances européennes et le Brésil pour
attaquer sur plusieurs points à la fois les Hispano-Américains.
N’était-il pas naturel de croire, à la vue de ces événemens, qu’ils
faisaient partie d’un grand projet de restauration monarchique dirigé
contre toutes les républiques du Nouveau-Monde? Les diverses
interventions qui ont eu lieu dans les états de l’Amérique espagnole
peuvent être en partie des faits sans rapport direct avec la grande
rébellion des planteurs; mais ils s’y rattachent historiquement, et l’on
ne saurait douter que la postérité les embrasse d’un même regard.
Qu’une entente préalable ait eu lieu entre les divers gouvernemens
qui sont intervenus dans les affaires des républiques américaines,
ou, ce qui est possible, que chacun ait suivi d’instinct sa politique
particulière, il n’en est pas moins vrai que l’Espagne, la France,
l’empire du Brésil, et dans une faible mesure l’Angleterre elle-même,
ont saisi l’occasion favorable de la guerre civile des Américains du
nord pour chercher à procurer aux républiques du Nouveau-Monde
soit «les bienfaits des institutions monarchiques,» soit plus
modestement «la paix, l’ordre et la prospérité.» L’histoire future ne
verra point dans ces faits une coïncidence fortuite.
Quant aux populations directement intéressées, elles y virent
l’effet d’un plan concerté d’avance. On sait quelle profonde irritation
l’attitude des puissances européennes a causée aux États-Unis. On
sait que, depuis le rétablissement de l’Union, les diplomates de
Washington ne négligent aucune occasion de faire parade des
ressources de leur nation en s’adressant aux cabinets de l’Europe
occidentale: c’est avec un plaisir malin assez peu déguisé qu’ils
voient les embarras de la France dans les affaires mexicaines et les
terreurs de leurs voisins du Canada menacés par les invasions des
fenians. Sans aucun doute les grandes et déplorables
démonstrations d’amitié qu’ils font à l’empire russe doivent être aussi
attribuées pour une forte part au désir qu’ils ont de chagriner les
gouvernemens d’Europe dont ils croient avoir à se plaindre.
Toutefois les alarmes de la nation anglo-américaine n’avaient été
que peu de chose, comparées à l’émoi des populations du continent
colombien. Celles-ci, s’exagérant le danger à cause de leur faiblesse
relative, croyaient déjà que les pays libres de l’Amérique espagnole
étaient divisés d’avance en trois ou quatre grands empires, dont l’un,
s’étendant de l’isthme de Panama aux frontières de la Californie,
avait pour souverain choisi l’empereur Maximilien. Quant au sort
réservé au reste de l’Amérique espagnole, les idées différaient à cet
égard; on ne doutait pas néanmoins que plusieurs républiques ne
fussent désignées comme devant faire retour à l’Espagne, leur
ancienne métropole, ni que le Brésil ne tentât d’obtenir pour son
immense territoire la frontière du Parana. On savait aussi que le parti
conservateur de Quito avait ouvertement invoqué le protectorat de la
France, et l’on se demandait avec appréhension si ces vœux de
suicide national n’avaient pas été favorablement accueillis aux
Tuileries. Ainsi, disait-on, si les projets des puissances
monarchiques devaient se réaliser, il ne resterait plus dans le
Nouveau-Monde que la république des Yankees, et celle-ci, réduite
à la défensive par les esclavagistes vainqueurs, en viendrait peut-
être à se scinder elle-même en plusieurs états et à modifier son
gouvernement. Les principes républicains ayant alors perdu le solide
point d’appui que leur donnent les jeunes sociétés américaines, le
maintien des institutions monarchiques dans le monde entier eût été
dès lors à jamais assuré. Ce plan, que les assemblées politiques et
les journaux discutaient avec la plus grande sincérité, comme s’il eût
été vraiment combiné de toutes pièces, n’existait sans doute avec
cette netteté que dans les imaginations; mais il ne faut pas moins en
tenir compte, car, sous les événemens qui se pressent, l’instinct
populaire devine souvent mieux que les hommes d’état eux-mêmes
le mobile secret qui les a fait agir, et révèle ainsi le vrai sens de
l’histoire.
Lorsque le congrès américain se réunit à Lima le 14 novembre
1864, l’orage attendu venait d’éclater sur le Pérou. Un commissaire
de la reine d’Espagne, prenant le même titre que les anciens
gouverneurs castillans des colonies d’Amérique, avait déjà, au
mépris de la souveraineté péruvienne, exigé réparation de griefs
d’une valeur fort douteuse, et sans daigner déclarer la guerre, par
simple mesure de «revendication,» l’amiral Pinzon s’était emparé
des îles à guano, qui sont le véritable trésor de la république.
Cependant le général Pezet, personnage timoré qui redoutait surtout
de déplaire aux représentans des puissances européennes, ne
semblait point avoir ressenti l’outrage fait à la nation; il traitait
secrètement avec le commissaire espagnol, et la chambre elle-
même reculait devant une déclaration de guerre. Lorsque, poussés à
bout par les exigences de l’Espagne, les députés se furent enfin
décidés, et qu’à la presque unanimité ils eurent résolu d’opposer la
force à la force, le congrès américain, où se trouvaient représentées
toutes les républiques intéressées, à l’exception de celles de la Plata
et du Mexique, n’eut pas le courage de participer par son attitude à
la résolution des Péruviens; il intervint auprès du gouvernement de
Lima pour lui conseiller la prudence, lui fit rapporter la déclaration de
guerre, et tenta par des offres directes, mais inutiles, de servir de
médiateur entre le Pérou et l’amiral espagnol. Ainsi que les
événemens l’ont prouvé plus tard, cette prudence apparente n’était
que pusillanimité: si le Pérou avait osé maintenir sa déclaration
d’hostilités au risque de voir son commerce interrompu et de perdre
sa flottille, le président n’aurait point eu l’humiliation de signer un
indigne traité, et la guerre civile eût été évitée. Le congrès ne pouvait
donc se vanter d’avoir sauvegardé l’honneur du pays, et ses travaux
devaient par conséquent rester frappés de stérilité; cependant c’est
déjà une chose des plus importantes et sans précédent qu’une
assemblée composée des plénipotentiaires de la plupart des
républiques ait pris une part directe au gouvernement de l’une
d’entre elles et tenté de représenter en face de l’étranger l’union des
peuples du continent. Dès l’année suivante, les péripéties de la
guerre avec l’Espagne cimentaient une plus intime union, à la fois
offensive et défensive. Quatre des principaux états de l’Amérique du
Sud, le Chili, la Bolivie, le Pérou, l’Équateur, réalisaient enfin ce que
les congrès avaient jadis vainement discuté.
II.
Désormais, on peut le dire sans témérité, les républiques de
l’Amérique du Sud peuvent être considérées comme à l’abri de toute
attaque sérieuse d’une puissance européenne. Non-seulement les
États-Unis, sortis de la guerre plus redoutables qu’autrefois, se
croiraient peut-être tenus d’intervenir par leur diplomatie ou par leurs
armes, si quelque atteinte trop grave était portée à l’autonomie des
populations hispano-américaines, mais encore celles-ci ont déjà
prouvé qu’elles sont capables de se défendre elles-mêmes. La petite
république dominicaine, qui compte à peine 200,000 habitans de
race mêlée et ne saurait par conséquent mettre sur pied qu’une
armée numériquement très faible, a forcé la fière Espagne, après
vingt mois de lutte, à la dégager du serment de loyauté qu’elle était
censée, suivant les rapports officiels, avoir prêté avec tant
d’enthousiasme. Le Chili, grâce à son éloignement des possessions
espagnoles, grâce surtout au patriotisme et à l’intelligence de ses
habitans, est sorti presque sans dommage de la guerre que lui avait
déclarée son ancienne métropole; avec ses petits vaisseaux portant
quelques centaines de matelots, il a vaillamment bravé la puissante
flotte de son adversaire, et n’a laissé d’autre ressource à l’amiral
Nuñez que de bombarder la ville sans défense de Valparaiso.
Bientôt après les Péruviens, comprenant, par l’exemple de ce qui
venait de se passer à Valparaiso, qu’il vaut mieux compter sur son
propre courage que sur la générosité de l’ennemi, repoussaient la
force par la force, et les canons de Callao vengeaient la barbarie
inutile commise précédemment par les ordres du ministère
espagnol. La flotte avariée de l’amiral Nuñez dut battre en retraite
vers les Philippines et Rio de Janeiro, et donner ainsi aux
républiques alliées un répit qu’elles mettront certainement à profit. Si
la guerre a pris temporairement un caractère platonique par suite de
la retraite des vaisseaux espagnols, le Chili, le Pérou, la Bolivie et
l’Équateur n’en continuent pas moins d’armer leurs côtes, d’agrandir
leur flotte, devenue déjà fort respectable, et de faire appel contre
l’ennemi commun à l’aide des autres nations américaines. Leur
puissance s’accroît incessamment pour l’offensive, et les bruits
souvent répétés de soulèvemens ou d’invasions à Cuba et à Porto-
Rico sont un signe avant-coureur de ce que la politique imprudente
de l’Espagne pourra lui coûter un jour.
Quant au Mexique, il est toujours en partie occupé par des
troupes européennes, et sa capitale est le siége d’un empire dont les
frontières indécises changent de jour en jour suivant les diverses
alternatives de combats incessans. Toutefois il est désormais permis
de prédire, sans un grand effort d’imagination, qu’un nouveau
changement politique va s’accomplir à Mexico, et qu’un
gouvernement conforme aux traditions du pays succédera au règne
éphémère de Maximilien. Le prochain départ des troupes françaises,
la désorganisation des finances impériales et l’empressement avec
lequel on proclame la déchéance du nouveau souverain dans
chaque ville et chaque bourgade abandonnée par ses soldats font
de la restauration prochaine de la république mexicaine un
événement facile à prévoir. Alors la doctrine dite de Monroe, à
laquelle les nations américaines ont graduellement donné une
signification de plus en plus large, sera sérieusement respectée par
les puissances monarchiques de l’Europe; toute intervention efficace
de l’Espagne, de la France ou de l’Angleterre deviendra impossible,
et par conséquent l’une des principales causes qui arrêtaient les
jeunes états de l’Amérique dans leur essor aura disparu. En grande
partie maîtres de leur destinée, c’est principalement à eux-mêmes
qu’ils devront s’en prendre de leurs guerres et de leurs révolutions
futures.
Néanmoins, si les anciennes colonies espagnoles n’ont plus à
craindre de retomber sous la domination d’un peuple d’Europe,
quelques-unes d’entre elles ont à redouter les envahissemens d’une
puissance occupant comme elles une partie du territoire américain.
Le Brésil, groupe de plateaux que le Parana et les affluens de
l’Amazone séparent de la base orientale des Andes, constitue un
territoire distinct du reste du continent, et les populations qui se sont
établies sur ces plateaux diffèrent par l’origine, la langue, les
institutions, les mœurs, de celles des autres parties de l’Amérique.
Le contraste qui existe entre le Brésil et les régions andines est
également frappant sous le double rapport de la géographie et de
l’ethnologie. D’un côté, les Hispano-Indiens occupent les vallées
d’une haute chaîne de montagnes; de l’autre, les fils des Portugais
et des noirs d’Afrique peuplent un massif isolé qu’entourent les mers
et d’immenses plaines de marécages et de forêts; à l’ouest des
nations affranchies, à l’est un mélange d’habitans dont le tiers se
compose de misérables esclaves sans patrie et sans droit. Le
contraste offert par les deux groupes de populations qui se partagent
l’Amérique du Sud est donc complet, et malheureusement, dans
l’état de barbarie qui est encore à tant d’égards celui de la race
humaine, cette opposition ne peut que donner lieu à de sanglantes
guerres. La lutte qui pendant tant de siècles avait divisé les deux
peuples de la péninsule ibérique, Espagnols et Portugais, s’est
continuée de l’autre côté des mers et sur un territoire bien plus vaste
que la petite presqu’île européenne.
Au nord et à l’ouest des anciennes colonies portugaises,
l’immensité des espaces solitaires qui les séparent des contrées
habitées par les descendans des Espagnols a jusqu’à nos jours
empêché tout conflit sérieux. Seulement le Brésil a pu, grâce à
l’unité de vues et à la persévérance de ses diplomates, triompher
provisoirement dans toutes les questions de limites de la résistance
des gouvernemens éphémères qui se succédaient dans les
républiques limitrophes, et de cette manière il s’est adjugé sans
coup férir d’immenses étendues inexplorées, dont les seuls habitans
sont des Indiens sauvages. Sur la carte, le Brésil s’est ainsi agrandi
aux dépens de la Bolivie, du Pérou, de l’Équateur, de la Nouvelle-
Grenade et du Venezuela d’une surface de plusieurs centaines de
millions d’hectares; mais la force réelle de l’empire ne s’est en rien
accrue de cette énorme adjonction apparente de territoire. Dans le
conflit des deux races, la prépondérance restera nécessairement à
ceux chez lesquels la liberté humaine est le plus respectée.
Du côté du sud et du sud-ouest, où non-seulement les domaines
contestés confinent les uns aux autres, mais où les populations
elles-mêmes sont assez rapprochées pour se faire la guerre, la lutte
a été presque constante pendant trois siècles. Les colons de race
ennemie étaient dès le berceau voués à se combattre, et les traités
d’alliance conclus en Europe entre les deux métropoles
n’empêchaient point les mamelucos de São-Paulo de continuer leur
chasse à l’homme dans les Missions espagnoles. Dans le siècle
actuel, cette lutte de races s’est graduellement régularisée, mais elle
n’en continue pas moins sous des formes différentes, et l’enjeu de la
lutte a toujours été la possession des grands fleuves de l’intérieur et
du port de Montevideo. Tantôt vainqueurs, tantôt vaincus, les
Portugais et leurs héritiers les Brésiliens avaient tour à tour conquis
et perdu la souveraineté de l’une des rives de la Plata. Ils viennent
enfin d’atteindre partiellement leur but en installant à Montevideo
comme président de la Bande-Orientale le général Florès,
commandant un de leurs corps d’armée. Ils ont fait plus encore, car
ils ont réussi à tourner les forces d’une république contre une autre
république, ils ont eu l’art de prendre pour avant-garde de leurs
troupes d’invasion les soldats de Buenos-Ayres, et par cette habile
combinaison ils ont fait partager la responsabilité et le poids de la
lutte à leurs ennemis héréditaires. Ils espèrent ainsi s’emparer, à titre
d’amis, de cette frontière naturelle du Parana, qu’il leur serait plus
malaisé de conquérir en ennemis.
Aux débuts de la guerre du Paraguay, c’est-à-dire en mai 1865,
les alliés étaient superbes d’espoir et de jactance: c’est au pas de
course, c’est au galop de leurs chevaux, que les soldats de Mitre, de
Florès et d’Osorio devaient s’élancer à la conquête des pays
convoités. Lorsque après avoir pendant des années travaillé
sourdement contre l’indépendance de Montevideo, rivale de Buenos-
Ayres, le président Mitre fut enfin obligé par le Paraguay de jeter le
masque et de se ranger ouvertement du côté des Brésiliens, on eût
dit qu’il prenait la foudre en main, tant on s’empressait autour de lui
à célébrer son prochain triomphe. «Nous venons de décréter la
victoire,» s’écria-t-il en déposant la plume qui venait de signer le
traité d’alliance avec le Brésil. «Dans les casernes aujourd’hui,
demain en campagne, dans trois mois à l’Assomption!» telle était la
fière parole que les admirateurs du général Mitre avaient entendue
tomber de sa bouche. Depuis ce jour, où le succès semblait si facile
à obtenir, plus de seize mois se sont écoulés, pendant lesquels bien
des combats ont été livrés et bien des milliers de vies sacrifiées
inutilement. Les dates que de temps en temps on se permet de fixer
d’avance pour la prise de l’Assomption doivent être de plus en plus
espacées à cause de difficultés imprévues. Le général Urquiza, qui
devait, à la tête de ses cavaliers, frayer la voie aux armées du Brésil
et de Buenos-Ayres, s’est bientôt retiré prudemment à l’arrière-
garde, puis est revenu dans sa riche estancia pour se faire le grand
fournisseur de vivres des alliés et leur vendre à lourds deniers le
bétail et les céréales. Non-seulement l’Assomption n’est pas tombée
dans les trois mois aux mains des alliés, mais, bien que de
nombreuses dépêches aient souvent annoncé la destruction
complète des forces paraguayennes, ni le général Mitre ni l’amiral
Tamandaré n’ont encore pu tourner un seul de leurs canons contre
les murs de la forteresse d’Humayta, qui défend l’entrée de la
république. L’unique conquête des alliés est celle de l’Estero-
Bellaco, savane humide pendant la saison des pluies, poudreuse
pendant les sécheresses, mais entourée en toute saison de
marécages d’où sort la fièvre, bien plus terrible que les boulets.
Jusqu’à présent, le président Mitre, même accompagné de 30,000
Brésiliens, semble devoir être encore moins heureux que le général
Belgrano dont il s’est fait l’historiographe, car ce héros, qui tenta
vainement de conquérir le Paraguay pour le soumettre à la couronne
de Ferdinand VII, alla du moins se faire battre aux portes de
l’Assomption.
Ce n’est pas que dans leur défense les chefs de l’armée
paraguayenne aient toujours été d’habiles stratégistes[1]. Au
contraire, ils ont commis des fautes graves; mais ces fautes,
provenant surtout de l’inexpérience militaire, ont été depuis
glorieusement réparées. Les Paraguayens se sont lentement retirés
de la province de Corrientes qu’ils avaient envahie, mais en se
retirant ils ne cessaient de harceler l’ennemi, de battre en détail ses
avant-gardes, de lui prendre ses convois de vivres. Ces hommes,
que l’on représentait d’abord comme un ramassis de fuyards, ont eu
presque toujours le privilége de l’offensive; les commandans de

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