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S. Mahendra Dev-Changes in Rural Labour Market and Non Farm Sector
S. Mahendra Dev-Changes in Rural Labour Market and Non Farm Sector
March, 2016
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
There is a need to understand the dynamics of change taking place in rural
labour markets in the context of social transformation in rural India. Rural labour
market has been undergoing rapid changes due to a variety of factors, including
various development and welfare programmes, and the gradual structural changes
in the countryside caused by the ongoing economic reforms in the country.
In order to imbibe a holistic understanding of the labour market situation
and its impact on the livelihood of rural labour households, the S.R. Sankaran
Chair organized a three-day national seminar on the ‘Dynamics of Rural Labour
Relations in India’ during March 10–12, 2016 at the National Institute of Rural
Development and Panchayati Raj (NIRD&PR), Hyderabad. We are grateful to
Professor C.H. Hanumatha Rao, Professor Mahendra Dev and Professor Yoginder
K. Alagh for giving the Inaugural Lecture, Keynote Address and Valedictory Lecture,
respectively. This booklet contains copies of their lectures.
We have received generous support and encouragement from NIRD&PR
authorities and those associated with the S.R. Sankaran Chair. We are greatly
indebted to Shri S.M. Vijayanand, IAS, the then Director General (NIRD&PR), for
his guidance and help in organising the seminar. We are also greatly indebted to
Dr W.R. Reddy, IAS, current Director General, for motivating us to during the
seminar and publish this booklet.
Professor R. Radhakrishna, Chairman, Advisory Committee, S.R. Sankaran
Chair, gave us continuous support and encouragement for the activities of the
Chair, including for organising this seminar. We also received support and
encouragement from Professor Suman Chandra, Head, Centre for Agrarian Studies.
We are thankful to all of them.
Kailash Sarap
Professor
S.R. Sankaran Chair
CONTENTS
has been a decline in the rural female consisting largely of those living below
labour force participation. the poverty line, have a low staying
power and hence low bargaining
Rural Wages
power. Social security measures like
Let me take up the rise in rural pensions, public distribution of food
wages first. They are driven basically grains, provision of health care, etc.,
by a rising demand for labour targeted at them have a potential to
emanating from growth in agriculture raise their bargaining capacity by
as well as the overall GDP. Agricultural improving their staying power.
wages are particularly sensitive to a Mahatma Gandhi National Rural
growth in agricultural GDP. Real wages Employment Guarantee Programme
of male as well as female agricultural (MNREGA)launched during this period,
workers showed a marked rise in and effectively implemented in quite
several states during the decade of a few states, is widely believed to have
1980s and later during 2005-6 to 2010- contributed significantly to raising the
11. In both the periods, the agricultural rural wages, especially agricultural
growth rate in the country had wages, by improving the bargaining
accelerated to a little over 3 per cent power of rural labour and raising their
per annum. Growth in real agricultural ‘reservation wage’.
wages slowed down during the post-
reform period of 15 years between Farmers, who depend essentially
1990-91 and 2005-06 when on hired labour, have been quite vocal
agricultural growth decelerated to on being adversely affected by
below 2 per cent per annum, despite MNREGA. Village studies such as the
an acceleration in the overall GDP one by scholars from ICRISAT indeed
growth. Real wages of Rural Casual confirm that this scheme has led to a
Labourers, both males and females, rise in the share of labour cost in the
rose significantly in the country during total production cost, despite a decline
12 years ending 2011-12 (Jose, 2016; in the number of labour days hired
Binswanger-Mkhize, 2012). consequent to mechanization (Nagaraj
et al., 2016). Such a rise in the wage
The rise in rural wages, share can be expected because the
particularly a significant rise in quite a elasticity of substitution between
few states during 2005-6 to 2010-11, capital and labour has, in general, been
cannot be explained solely by the found to be less than unity in Indian
growth in agricultural and overall GDP. agriculture under the given
Rural labour, being unorganised and technology. But this is a static picture
reflecting the immediate response by between the wage rates and output
farmers. growth cannot be ignored altogether.
References
1. Binswanger-Mkhize, Hans P. ‘India 1960-2010: Structural Change, Rural
Non-Farm Sector, and the Prospects for Agriculture’, Stanford University,
2012.
2. Jose, A.V. ‘Factors Influencing the Growth of Wages in Rural India’.
3. Nagaraj, N.; Lalmani Pandey; Cynthia Bantilan; Namrata Singh, ‘Impact of
MGNREGA on Rural Agricultural Wages in SAT India’, ICRISAT, Patancheru,
Hyderabad, 2016.
4. Ranganathan, Thiagu; Amarnath Tripathi; Bisla Rajoriya, ‘Changing Sources
of Income and Income inequality among Indian Rural Households’, Institute
of Economic Growth (IEG), New Delhi, 2016.
(Note: The last two papers are being presented at the National Seminar
on Dynamics of Rural Laboour Relations/Markets in India: Issues,
Dimensions and Processes, S. R. Sankaran Chair (Rural Labour), National
Institute of Rural Development and Panchayati Raj,10-12 March, 2016).
S. Mahendra Dev@
been overlooked in analysis and policy. engaged in agriculture and the allied
Employment has various types - regular, sectors, agriculture contributes to only
regular formal, regular informal, casual, 14 per cent of the GDP; on the other
self-employed, etc., - each one of which hand, the services sector contributes to
is characterised by a lot of variation in 58 per cent of the GDP, but employs only
itself, particularly the extremely 27 per cent of the workers. The
heterogeneous self-employed category, manufacturing sector employs only 13
which ranges from asset-less hawkers on per cent of the workers and contributes
the streets to rich cultivators and to 16 per cent of the GDP. Such a high
professionals with very high earnings. share of employment in agriculture is not
Obviously, the usual distinction between observed in most developing countries,
organised / formal and unorganised / excepting a handful of some of the
informal workers is a dubious one and poorest developing countries in South
represents an over-simplication of the Asia and Africa.
complex realities. In this context, it is
futile to have a policy with respect to Around 92% of the employed are
aggregate employment and it is informal workers. 50% of the total
important from a policy formulation workers are self-employed while 30% are
point of view to promote high-quality casual and 18% are regular workers.
employment of various types by Regular formal workers constitute only
increasing the number of regular formal 8% of the total workers. The levels of
jobs and reducing the incidence of education and professional and
informal casual and regular employment vocational skills of workers in general are
over time. low. Disadvantaged social groups like SCs
and STs are not employed in productive
Labour market situation sectors and are largely engaged in casual
It is important to understand the employment. There is a considerable
labour market situation in India for segmentation of the labour market by
framing better policies. Labour force and sector, location, region, gender, caste,
Work Participation Rates (WPRs) in India religion and tribe. Like any developing
are low, particularly for women. There country, most workers in India can’t
are significant imbalances across remain unemployed and in fact, open
sectoral shares in GDP and employment. unemployment is only 2.1%. Lack of
While 49 per cent of the workers are productive employment is the main
concern.
such as SCs and STs, particularly in the third of the total unemployed). In view
public sector, has also increased, though of the ongoing demographic transition
only to a small extent. However, in spite and the youth bulge, which is expected
of some recent efforts, the share of to last for more than two decades, the
Muslims (other than Muslim OBCs) has unemployment situation would be
declined. Another important fact that further exacerbated with 10 million
needs to be noted is the significant potential workers being annually added
increase in the share of OBCs in both the to the existing workforce with a large
public and private sector employment, number of them are going to be
largely at the expense of the upper strata educated or semi-educated. With an
of society. increasing access to education, a large
proportion of the future workforce will
What are the emerging also comprise women. Providing jobs for
challenges? this huge number would be the most
The most important challenge in important challenge in the near future
this regard is the large percentage of the that the country has to take very
‘working poor’ and under-employed seriously. As this workforce would aspire
who are engaged in a low productive for not manual and casual jobs, but
work in the informal economy. Even on regular decent jobs, the old strategies of
the basis of Tendulkar poverty line providing jobs under schemes like
(equivalent to $ 1.25 PPP), around one- MGNREGA will have a limited
fourth of the workers are poor and if this application. The successful absorption of
poverty line were to be raised to $ 2 PPP, the future workforce into the suitable
employment stream would provide a big
it would be around 58 per cent—around
opportunity for India at the global level,
276 million persons—which is a
but the failure to do so could turn out to
staggering figure.
be a big disaster, leading, in the process,
Another challenge is providing to immense social tensions. Increasing
employment to the youth and the productivity in various important sectors
educated in the country, a problem that and sub-sectors centered around
is becoming increasingly daunting, as manufacturing should be the most
indicated by a rising share of the important element of this strategy.
educated among the total unemployed Access to employment in the deprived
(with the share of those who are regions and for the marginalised groups
graduates and above being around one- should also be an important concern.
could have triggered construction even only 26% share of rural non-farm
in rural areas. employment. Overall, there seems to be
some convergence on the share of non-
Another one is the share of income
farm employment across states. Most of
of the rural non-farm sector in the total
the increase in non-farm employment in
rural income. We do not have estimates
poorer states could be attributed to
from NSS data. NCAER data shows that
casual employment in the absence of
the share of non-farm sector in the total
agricultural employment opportunities
rural income is around 48%. The Income
and could be residual in nature. The
share of rural non-farm sector is higher
growth in non-farm diversification in
than the share in employment.
rural India over the last two and half
Evidence at the state level shows decades has been mainly in the form of
that in the early 1990s, states such as casual non-farm employment and in
Haryana, Punjab, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and lower developed states. Therefore, one
West Bengal had high shares in the rural has to worry about the quality of
non-farm sector. They have benefited employment generated in this sector.
from green revolution. On the other
Social Groups: Among the social groups,
hand, a low agricultural productivity
who is moving towards the non-farm
states such as M.P., U.P., Chattisgarh,
sector? Historically, the disadvantaged
Maharashtra and karnataka had low
sections like SCs/STs have not been able
shares. But, between 2004-05 and 2011-
to move away from agriculture. But, in
12, the share of non-farm sector
the recent years, the rural non-farm
increased for most of the states including
sector seems to have given an upward
poorer and low agricultural productivity
mobility, particularly to SCs. There was
states (Himanshu, 2014). This was clearly
a 12 percentage point shift away from
evident not only in states like Bihar,
agricultural labour to casual labour for
Assam, Rajasthan, but also in Karnataka,
SCs.
M.P., U.P., and Jharkhand. In terms of
levels in 2011-12, the high shares of rural Village studies based on Primary
non-farm sector were in Kerala with 71%, Data3
Tamil Nadu with 52% and West Bengal
There are a number of longitudinal
with 48%. Bihar had 34% while Orissa
village surveys. A recent book by
had 39%. The lowest share was in
Himanshu et al. (2016) provides lots of
Chhattisgarh at 16%. Even Gujarat had
insights into changes taking place in breaking down long standing barriers to
village India. This volume includes village mobility among the poorer segments of
studies from different regions of India. rural villages like Palnpur. However,
A number of village surveys in Tamil inequalities in the village have increased
Nadu show the increasing importance of over time. Richer houeseholds have also
rural non-farm employment. For diversified taking advantage of the
example, three villages in the Kaveri growing consumer base in the
delta show that, 69% of the agrarian neighbourng urban areas. Village studies
households have at least one member by Rodgers et al. (2016) also indicate at
working in the non-farm sector a considerable increase in the rural non-
(Himanshu, 2014). They work in farm employment in Bihar villages.
construction, garment factories, stone Migration also has increased significantly
quarrying, gem polishing and trade and in Bihar.
services. Most studies suggest at a
It is true that the pattern of non-
greater degree of mobility among the
farm activities varies across village
marginalised communities such as
studies. However, some generalisations
Scheduled Castes (SC).
can be made (Himanshu, 2014). First, the
The story of non-farm share of non-farm employment and
diversification in Palanpur, a village in income in villages has increased. Second,
western U.P. is also similar with an most of the rural non-employment
acceleration in non-farm diversification. created is in self employment and casual.
Himanshu et al. (2016a) provide an Most of the jobs are in small trade,
analysis of non-farm income, inequality services and construction with poor
and mobility in Palanpur. The nature of working conditions and a low
non-farm diversification has largely been productivity. Third, disadvantaged
in the casual and self employed category sections like SCs have benefited from
with very little improvement in regular growth in the non-farm sector. Lastly,
employment. Major sectors that have most of the village studies also show a
emerged as the source of employment declining role of agriculture in both
are marble polishing, small shops and income and employment. The growth of
petty trade and construction. Palanpur non-farm opportunities in nearby towns
studies also report the emergence of and cities has been one of the drivers of
small towns around the village as major non-farm activities. Increasing
sources of demand for non-agricultural communication and connectivity also
employment. The study also suggests have led to the access of non-farm
that the non-farm sector appears to be employment outside of villages.
growth during the 11th Plan and large led to a significant increase real wages
public expenditure in the rural areas and a reduction in poverty.
have helped create more non-farm
Village studies also show
sector employment. Also, as Sahu and
increasing incomes, falling poverty and
Verick (2016) show that access to land is
increasing mobility. However, they also
an important determinant of
show an increased inequality due to the
diversification into the rural non-farm
expansion of the rural non-farm sector.
sector. They show an inverse relationship
For example, Palanpur study shows an
between the percentage of rural
increasing inequality between 1983-84
cultivating households not cultivating
and 2008-09 - 62% was due to non-farm
any land and the proportion of rural non-
income and 28% was due to agricultural
farm workers across Indian states. The
income. Inequality has increased despite
acceleration in the rural non-farm sector
a reduction in poverty.
employment seems to have been driven
by factors outside of the rural economy. Policies for promoting Rural non-
But now there is growing evidence to farm Employment
show that urban economic growth and
the increase in demand for construction Rural non-farm sector is
and other activities have led to the heterogeneous. There can’t be one
creation of jobs in the non-farm sector. policy package for the entire rural non-
farm sector. How to increase pull factors
We have noted that casualization and raise productive employment is an
has increased in the rural non-farm issue. In general, the development of
sector. The quality of employment is low. manufacturing sector is important for
Inspite of this, rural poverty declined absorbing labour productively. Right
faster during 2004-05 to 2011-12. What now many workers are absorbed in the
are the reasons for the decline in low productive services sector.
poverty? One reason is that Encouragement to women and training
disadvantaged sections like SCs with high and improvement in skills would
poverty ratios have benefited from the enhance the employment opportunities.
expansion of the non-farm sector.
Although SCs and other poor sections Agricultural Growth: Growth in
get more casual employment, the wages agriculture is important for the rural non-
are generally higher for non-farm casual farm sector because of forward and
labour than for agricultural casual labour. backward linkages. A 4% agricultural
There are also indirect effects like growth during the 11th Five year plan
tightening of the labour market. This has period improved non-farm employment.
References
1. Dev, S.Mahendra (1993), ‘Non-agricultural Employment in Rural India:
Evidence at a Disaggregate level’, in Visaria, P. and Basant, R. (eds), Non-
agricultural Employment in India: Trends and Prospects, Sage Publications
2. Fan S, P.Hazell and S.Thorat (1999), ‘Linkages between Government
Spending, Growth and poverty in Rural India’, Research Report No110,
Washington, D.C: International Food Policy Research Institute.
3. Himanshu (2014), “Rural non-farm Employment in India: Trends, Patterns
and Regional Dimensions”, India Rural Development Report 2013/14,
Orient Black Swan
4. Himanshu, Praveen Jha and Gerry Rodgers (2016), “The Changing Village
in India: Insights from Longitudinal Research”, Oxford University Press.
5. Himanshu, Peter Lanjouw, Rinku Murgai and Nicholas Stern (2016a), “Non-
farm Diversification, Inequality and Mobility in Palanpur”, in Himanshu,
Praveen Jha and Gerry Rodgers (2016), “The Changing Village in India:
Insights from Longitudinal Research”, Oxford University Press.
6. IHD (2014), “India: Labour and Employment Report 2014”, Institute for
Human Development, Delhi
7. Mellor, John (1976,ed.), “Agriculture on the Road to Industrialisation”,
Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore
8. Nandy, Amrita and Rohini Hensman (2015), “The Work Women Do”, Indian
Express, November 7, 2015.
9. Nayyar, R. and Alakh Sharma (2005), “Rural Transformation in India: The
Role of non-farm sector, Institute for Human Development, New Delhi
10. Papola, T.S. (1991), ‘Rural Non-farm Employment : An Assessment of
Recent Trends’, monograph, New Delhi: Planning Commission.
11. Rajan, Raghuram (2014), “Make in India – Largely for India”, Bharat Ram
Memorial Lecture, December 12, Reserve Bank od India.
12. Rao, CHH (2005), “Agriculture, Food security, Poverty and Environment”,
Oxford University Press, New Delhi.
13. Sahu, P. and Sher Verick (2016), “State of Rural Labour Markets in India”,
Paper presented at National Seminar on ‘Dynamics of Rural Labour
Relations in India”, 10-12 March, 2016, organised by S.R. Shankaran Chair,
National Institute of Rural Development, Hyderabad
14. Sen, (1998), “ Rural Labour Markets and Poverty”, in Radhakrishna and
A.N. Sharma, (eds.) Empowering Rural Labour in India, Market, State and
Mobilisation in India, Institute for Human Development, New Delhi
15. Vaidyanatha, A. (1986), ‘Labour Use in India : A Study of Spatial and
Temporal variations’, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol.29, No.50.
16. Vaidyanathan, A (1994), “Employment Situation: Some Emerging
Perspectives”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol 29. Issue 50.
Yoginder K. Alagh@
but they make money even when the rains. Yields are low. Many answers are
market is down. BT seeds from unknown possible, but with the plan and public
/ unregulated (?) producers are investment being a non-starter it would
common, although some famous brand be a cruel joke to talk about them. We
name ‘approved’ seeds are also there. A are doing nothing to integrate these
great thing that I happened to see on the villages with markets and prosperity. The
way was dairying. Almost all of them largely tribal and scheduled caste
have between three to five cows with the population carries along, as it was
women folk looking after them. This is through the centuries.
now spreading.
Yes, as he would say, we need a
There is a feeling of unease and it public food security package till the
is not WTO. It has all happened and they growth millennia arrives and I am all for
do not know where to go to. This is it coming. But that old man who made
growth game. You have to run to keep us fight for freedom had a chela who
yourself where you are. They are not dreamt when the world slept and India
quite clear where to run to. But they are awoke to life and freedom, and made us
organised and after we talked of a keep our heads in the stars, but feet on
number of possibilities, it was their turn the ground. And then S.R.Sankaran
to ask questions. They were full of what whom we have met to honor.
is going on in the North and West. They
Now I come to my Gujarat. When
know the best pulse seeds come from
I took over as chairman of IRMA I knew I
Maharashtra and M.P. and oilseeds also
did not have my hero Kurien’s
from there and that Gujarat has castor.
personality, but I would institutionalise.
Their mustard is good and now NDDB
Everybody has a term there now, but the
has its spread. The landless say hunger
chairman’s terms are decided first; two
is less and some girls go to school, but it
terms of three years each and I handed
is there Gulati Saheb.
over smoothly as silk. But when I go
The land slopes up from the river - there, I could walk the tracks in the area
about two to three hundred meters up between Anand, Petlad and Khambat &
and a distance away, I checked out Wataman Chowky. It is a fascinating area
another village. Not much has happened with good soil in the main until you enter
here. Around half of the population is the problem area, we call the Bahl. I did
poor. It is a mono crop region with a not succeed in getting more land around
second crop, if any, depending on the IRMA and I was always looking for a
location where we could expand and I effluent disposal canal from Vadodara to
hope my successor will look at this larger the sea, the polluted water was used for
area I am talking of. With my friend, an irrigation. I asked Maheshbhai, the
Agricultural Economist, Prof. Mahesh farmer I met, as to why he was not
Pathak, I went to the village of Khanpur growing Bhalya wheat, which always
in the Bahl, a few kilometers away from fetched a good price. He said, since
Tarapur. This is an area where, after the farmers around the area are irrigating, if
monsoon water collects from both he sows Bhalya seeds, with the
Saurashtra and North Guarat since it is a accumulated water, the pods would get
low lying area, it gradually drains out. In affected by Gheru pest and, therefore,
the Rabi, we grow the famous Durhams there would be no yield. Irrigation had
“Bhalia Wheat”, Daudkhani and others. led to the cropping pattern changing
Since irrigation, particularly drainage, from a quality product to a standard
was always a problem we could never product and we call this growth. My
irrigate and so yields are low as worry is a little more, since the drainage
compared to say the Wheat Durham of capability of the area is bad, even with a
Ludhiana. It is a poor region, perhaps not limited irrigation that it gets, we may get
advanced much more than at the time into salinity of which there is a lot in this
when close by Lothal was prospering region. That can be a terrible curse when
5000 years ago. In Khanpur, progress was it hits an area suddenly with salt rising
obvious. They were not growing Bhalia to the surface. But I pray for my Bhaliya
Wheat, but were growing the MP friends. Also for a not very far away area
“Tukdi”, which is a high yielding variety. called Chuvahl (the land of forty four
Irrigation came in a strange way. The villages which I walked through as we
Sardar Sarovar Project has a drinking laid out the SSP canals) and where
water scheme and it fills up the village Narmada waters came, but we have at
talav in Khanpur. The official provision Delhi and Gandhinagar decided to
of water for drinking purposes was industrialise them and a thousand
enough to leave water for crop irrigation. tractors came out from there in protest
I have always wondered at the difference and not only brought out their ladies in
between what our project planners large numbers, but also made me go
consider as our ‘requirement’ and what along with them in a peaceful protest,
our poor people can manage with. In a quite an experience for a dyed in the
similar case, when the IPCL built an wool ‘central planner’.
India 2020
Total Population (million) 1273
Rural Population (million) 738
Labour participation rate % 46
Labour Force (million) 340
GDP growth (% annual) 8.5
GDP agricultural growth (% annual) 4%
Employment elasticity w.r..t.. -0.3%
Agricultural growth (Low)
Employment elasticity w.r.t.
Agricultural growth (High) -0.1%
Land augmentation through an
increase in cropping intensity (High) 0.5%
Increase in cropping intensity 0.0 to 0.2%
Source: Yoginder K. Alagh, The Future of Indian Agriculture (NBT, 20013/14).
References
1. Alagh, Yoginder K., 1994, Development Models: The Next Phase , Sankhya,
Series A, Indian Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Vol.26, No.6
reprinted in B.L.S.Rao,Ed., 1995,Statistics and its Applications, Essays in
Honour of P. C. Mahalanobis, New Delhi, Indian National Science Academy.
2. Alagh, Yoginder K., 2006, India 2020, Journal of Quantitative Economics,
New Series, Vol.4, No.1, January, pp.1-14.
2. Alagh, Yoginder K., 2010, The Poverty Debate in Perspective; Moving
Forward with the Tendulkar Committee, Indian Journal of Human
Development, January, pp.33-44.
4. Alagh, Yoginder K. The Future of Indian Agriculture, NBT, 2013, First reprint
2014.