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Project Management I

ADM 6260-E00

Sara Hajmohammad, PhD, PMP


Winter 2020
Session 3
Project Planning
Schedule (Cont’d) and Cost

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 2
Planning: Project
Schedule Management
Develop Schedule (cont’d)

• What should you do to create a finalized schedule?


– Schedule Network Analysis
• Critical Path Method
• Schedule Compression
• Resource Optimization

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 4
Resource Optimization

Finding ways to adjust the use of resources.


• Resource–Limited Scheduling: develops the shortest
schedule when the number of available resources is
fixed and cannot be exceeded. It lengthens the
schedule and increases cost in order to deal with a
limited amount of resources, resource availability,
and other resource constraints.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 5
Resource Optimization (cont’d)

• Resource Leveling:
– Resolves over-allocation of resources by delaying a
task until the assigned resource is available to
work on it. Produces a resource-limited schedule.
– Results in more stable number of resources used
during the project.
– In resource levelling, you check if all resources are
loaded around 100%. If someone is above 100%,
then you will have to either extend the schedule
or move some tasks to other resources.
From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 6
Resource Optimization (cont’d)

• Resource Smoothing:
– Constraint on the total duration of the project.
– Resources are leveled only within the limits of the
float of their activities, so the completion dates
are not delayed.
– Only activities on noncritical paths are shifted.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 7
Resource Smoothing Example: Consider the below time-constrained project (i.e., project
duration fixed and resources flexible). Assume that a maximum of 3 programmers can
work each week throughout the project duration. Is there a resource over-allocation? If
so, even out the resource allocation so that the resource constraint is met.

A, Drtn=10 B, Drtn=5
Start E, Drtn=15 Finish

C, Drtn=10 D, Drtn=12

Task Resource Constraints


A 1P 1st week 2P 2nd week
B 2P
C 1P 1st week 2P 2nd week
D 1P
E 1P

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 8
A, Drtn=10 B, Drtn=5
ES=0, LS=7 ES=10, LS=17
Start E, Drtn=15 Finish
Day=0 ES=22, LS=22 Day=37
C, Drtn=10 D, Drtn=12
ES=0, LS=0 ES=10, LS=10

Weeks
Task
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A 1P 2P
B 2P
C 1P 2P
D 1P 1P 2/5=0.4P
E 3/5=0.6P 1P 1P 2/5=0.4P
Total 2P 4P 3P 1P 1P 1P 1P 0.4P

Draw the network with ES and LS on it. Load the resource table for each week
based on ES.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 9
A, Drtn=10 B, Drtn=5
ES=0, LS=7 ES=10, LS=17
Start E, Drtn=15 Finish
Day=0 ES=22, LS=22 Day=37
C, Drtn=10 D, Drtn=12
ES=0, LS=0 ES=10, LS=10

Weeks
Task
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A 1P 2P
B 2P
C 1P 2P
D 1P 1P 2/5=0.4P
E 3/5=0.6P 1P 1P 2/5=0.4P
Total 1P 3P 3P 3P 1P 1P 1P 0.4P

Smooth the schedule: Activities should be shifted depending on their floats.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 10
Resource Smoothing Example
A network with the following activity durations and
manpower requirement is given. Analyze the project
from point of view of resource constraints (11 people)
and take the necessary steps for resource smoothing.
Activity A B C D E F J G H K I
Duration 2 3 4 2 4 3 6 6 5 4 4
No. of men 4 3 3 5 3 4 3 6 2 2 9

B, Drtn=3 D, Drtn=2 J, Drtn=6

Start A, Drtn=2 E, Drtn=4 G, Drtn=6 K, Drtn=4 Finish

C, Drtn=4
F, Drtn=3 H, Drtn=5 I, Drtn=4

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 11
Resource Smoothing Example
A network with the following activity durations and
manpower requirement is given. Analyze the project
from point of view of resource constraints (11 people)
and take the necessary steps for resource smoothing.
Activity A B C D E F J G H K I
Duration 2 3 4 2 4 3 6 6 5 4 4
No. of men 4 3 3 5 3 4 3 6 2 2 9
B, Drtn=3 D, Drtn=2 J, Drtn=6
ES=2, LS=5 ES=5, LS=8 ES=7, LS=10
Start A, Drtn=2 E, Drtn=4 G, Drtn=6 K, Drtn=4 Finish
0 ES=0, LS=0 ES=6, LS=6 ES=10, LS=10 ES=16, LS=16 20
C, Drtn=4
ES=2, LS=2
F, Drtn=3 H, Drtn=5 I, Drtn=4
ES=6, LS=8 ES=9, LS=11 ES=14, LS=16

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 12
Resource Smoothing Example (cont’d)
Resource Allocation Table (per Day)
Activity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
A
B
C
D
E
F
J
G
H
K
I
Total

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 13
Resource Smoothing Example (cont’d)
Resource Allocation Table (per Day)
Activity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
A 4 4
B 3 3 3
C 3 3 3 3
D 5 5
E 3 3 3 3
F 4 4 4
J 3 3 3 3 3 3
G 6 6 6 6 6 6
H 2 2 2 2 2
K 2 2 2 2
I 9 9 9 9
Total 4 4 6 6 6 8 12 10 10 8 11 11 11 8 15 15 11 11 2 2

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 14
Resource Smoothing Example (cont’d)
The Load Histogram.
No. of Resources
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 15
Resource Smoothing Example (cont’d)
Resource Allocation Table (per Day)
Activity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
A 4 4
B 3 3 3
C 3 3 3 3
D 5 5
E 3 3 3 3
F (4th step) 4 4 4
J (3rd step) 3 3 3 3 3 3
G 6 6 6 6 6 6
H (2nd step) 2 2 2 2 2
K 2 2 2 2
I (1st step) 9 9 9 9
Total 4 4 6 6 6 8 8 7 7 7 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 16
Planning: Project Cost
Management
Monitoring &
Initiating Planning Executing Closing
Controlling

Integration

Scope Scope

Schedule Schedule

Cost Cost

Quality

Resources

Communications

Risk

Procurement

Stakeholders

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 18
Project
Planning
Process
Group

PMBOK, 6th Edition (2017)

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 19
Budget

• Budget is a plan for allocating organizational


resources to the project activities.
• It’s basically the WBS, expressed in monetary terms.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 20
Warning!

Different views of costs within an organization


• PM recognizes a cost when a commitment is made to
pay for resources or services.
• Accountant recognizes a cost (expense) when an
invoice is received, not when it is paid!
• Controller recognizes a cost when the check for the
invoice is mailed (managing organization’s cash flow).

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 21
Cost Management Process

Plan Cost Management

Estimate Costs

Determine Budget

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 22
Plan Cost Management

• The process of defining how the project costs will be


estimated, budgeted, managed, monitored, and
controlled throughout the project.

Plan Cost
Managemen
t

Estimate
Costs

Determine
Budget

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 23
Estimate Costs
• Direct Costs: directly associated with project work-
labor, material, training, computers, project
manager’s time, expenses for physical office spaces
used directly for project, costs of quality efforts, costs
of risk efforts, etc.
• Indirect Costs: overhead costs or costs incurred for
the benefit of more than one project, taxes, janitorial
services, etc. Plan Cost
Managemen
t

Estimate
Costs

Determine
Budget

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 24
Example

• A certain task is expected to require 16 hours of


labor at $10 per hour and the required materials cost
$235. The organization charges overhead for the use
of utilities, indirect labor, etc. at a rate of 50% of
direct labor.
– Cost= $235 + [(16hr x $10/hr) x 1.5]=$475
• Sometimes the PM adds the overhead charges to the
budget at the end.

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 25
Estimate Costs (cont’d)
• Top-Down Budgeting
– Collective judgement of senior / middle
management based on similar past projects.
– Estimate the costs of major tasks, next lower level
of managers split it up among the tasks under
their control
• Bottom-Up Estimating
– Creating detailed estimates for each activity in
Schedule/work package in WBS and then roll up.
– By people responsible for executing them

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 26
Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages Disadvantages
Top-Down 1- Fairly accurate overall budget 1- Substantial error in activity cost
Budgeting cost estimations
2- The good chance that some 2- Not suitable for progress
small but important tasks was monitoring and performance
overlooked does not usually measurement
cause a serious budgetary 3- Requires considerable experience
problem. to do
3- Fast and cheap 4- Conflict over gaining biggest piece
of the budget

Bottom-Up 1- Accurate in details 1- Time consuming


Estimating 2- Acceptance of the budget by 2- Costly
team members and higher 3- Team members are likely to pad
commitment 4- Chance of overlooking some
3- Provides basis for monitoring small but costly tasks
and performance measurement

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 27
Accuracy of Estimates

• Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) Estimates


– Used during project initiation
– -25% to +75% from actual
• Budget Estimate
– During project planning
– -10% to +25% from actual
• Definitive Estimate
– During project
– -5% to +10% from actual
From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 28
Determine Budget
Contingency reserves: cost
impacts of the risks identified
during planning.
Management reserves:
Additional funds set aside to
cover unforeseen risks.
PM has authority to manage
and control the cost baseline.
Plan Cost
Managemen
t

Estimate
Costs

Determine
Budget

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 29
Determine Budget (cont’d)

• Roll up your estimates into control accounts (Cost


Aggregation)
• Come up with your Reserves
• Build a Cost Baseline
• Use expert judgement to see if the budget is Realistic
• Make sure you haven’t blown your limits and that
you have money when it is needed

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 30
Typical Monthly Budget for a Real Estate Project
(Partial)

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 31
Project Budget by Task and Month

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 32
Improving Estimates and Forecasts

• List of Resource Requirements (From Estimate


Activity Resources Process)
– People – managers, technical and non-technical
– Money
– Materials – facilities, equipment, tools, space
– Special services

• Learning Curves

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 33
Learning Curves

• Humans learn when they repeat a task

• It has been found that unit performance improves by


a fixed percent each time total production doubles

• Each time the output doubles, the worker hours per


unit decrease by a fixed percentage of their previous
value
– This percentage is called the learning rate [70%
(for mental tasks)-95% (for mechanical tasks)]

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 34
Learning Curves (cont’d)

Tn  T1n r

where
Tn = the time required to complete the nth unit
T1 = the time required to complete the first unit
r = log(learning rate)/log(2)

From Project Management Absolute Beginner's Guide, 4/e by Gregory M. Horine (0789756757) Copyright
© 2017 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved 35

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