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Probable Error
• The probable error is a quantity which, when added to and subtracted from
the most probable value, defines a range within which there is a 50 percent
chance that the true value of the measured quantity lies inside (or outside) the
limits thus set.
Probable Error, PE
Relative Error / Relative Precision
• It is used to check the accuracy of a measurement and to define
the degree of refinement obtained.
• Expressed by a fraction having the magnitude of the error in
the numerator and magnitude of a measured quantity in the
denominator.
where,
where,
Problem 1. The following values were determined in a series of tape measurements of a line:
1000.58, 1000.40, 1000.38, 1000.48, 1000.40, and 1000.46 meters. Determine the following:
a. Most probable value of the measured length.
b. Probable error of a single measurement and probable error of the mean.
c. Final expression for the most probable length.
d. Relative precision of the measurement.
Problem 2. Four measurements of a distance were recorded as 284.18, 284.19, 284.22, and
284.20 meters and given weights of 1, 3, 2, and 4, respectively. Determine the weighted mean.
Problem 3. It is desired to determine the most probable value of an angle which has been
measured at different times by different observers with equal care. The values observed were
as follows: 74°39’45” (in two measurements), 74°39’27” (in four measurements), and
74°39’35” (in six measurements).
Problem 4. Lines of levels to establish the elevation of a point are run over four different
routes. The observed elevations of the point with probable errors are given below. Determine
the most probable value of the elevation of the point.
Problem 5. The length of a line was measured repeatedly on three different occasions and the
probable error of each mean value was computed with the following results: