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15 - 1
Acceptance Sampling
• Purposes
– Determine quality level
– Ensure quality is within predetermined level
Advantages of Acceptance Sampling
Disadvantages of Acceptance Sampling
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Lot Formations
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Random Sampling
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Single Sampling Plan
A Single Sampling Plan is one where
. A representative sample of n items is drawn from a lot size of N
items.
. Each item in the sample is examined and classified as
good/defective
. If the number of defective exceeds a specified rejection
number (c - cut off point) the whole lot is rejected; otherwise the
whole lot is accepted
Lot (N Random Lot (N Random
items) sample items) sample
(n items) (n items)
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Single Sampling Plan
Total number : N
The proportion of defects :P
Accept the lot
d≦C
(N, p) (n,c)
d>C Reject the lot
Probability of Acceptance :
K N K
( Cd ) *( Cn d )
c
Pa (d c) N
d 0 Cn
N, lot size
K, total number of defective items in the lot
n, sample size
d, total number of defective items in the sample
c, acceptable limit of defective items in the sample
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Single Sampling Plan
Probability of Acceptance :
c
Pa (d c) Cd p (1 p)
n d nd
d 0
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Operating Characteristic (OC) Curve
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Operating Characteristic Curve (OCC)
1
0.9 Under this sampling plan, if the lot has 3% defective
Probability of accepting lot
0.8
. the probability of
accepting the lot is 90% . the probability of
0.7
rejecting the lot is 10%
0.6
0.5 If the lot has 20% defective . it has a small
0.4 probability (5%) of being accepted . the probability of
0.3 rejecting the lot is 95%
0.2
0.1
0
0 .05 .10 .15 .20 Lot quality (% defective)
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Operating Characteristic Curve (OCC)
Under this sampling plan what is the probability of accepting a lot that
has 5% defectives?
1
0.9
Probability of accepting lot
0.80 –
Probability of acceptance, Pa
0.40 –
0.20 –
= 0.10
| | | | | | | | | |
– 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.20
Proportion defective
AQL LTPD
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Ideal OC Curve
Probability of Acceptance, Pa
1.00
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Ideal OC Curve (cont’d)
• In theory it is obtainable by 100% inspection Iif inspection were error free.
• Obviously, ideal OC curve is unobtainable in practice
• But, ideal OC curve can be approached by increasing sample size, n.
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Producer and Consumer Risks in Acceptance
Sampling
• Most customers understand that 100% inspection is impractical and are generally
willing to accept that a certain level of defectives will be produced.
• AQL or Acceptable Quality Level
– is the percentage level of defects at which a customer is willing to accept a lot
as “good”.
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Producer and Consumer Risks in Acceptance
Sampling
• Customers want lots with quality better than or equal to the AQL but are willing to
live with some lots with quality as poor as the LTPD, but prefer not to accept lots
with quality levels worse than the LTPD.
• Therefore the sampling plan must be designed to assure the customer that they will
be receiving the required AQL and LTPD.
• The AQL and LTPD are dependent on many things (reliability, liability, competitor
quality levels, etc.) and will vary by industry and by customer. Typically industry
standards are set because suppliers have more than one customer and customers
have more than one supplier.
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Producer and Consumer Risks in Acceptance
Sampling
• Because we take only a sub-sample from a lot, there is a risk that a good lot will be
rejected and bad lot will be accepted.
• The Producer’s Risk is the probability that a “good” lot will be rejected.
(Producer’s Risk – a)
• The Consumer’s Risk is the probability that an unacceptable lot (e.g. above the
LTPD) will be accepted.
(Consumer’s Risk – b)
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Producer’s and Consumer’s Risk (cont’d)
Type I Error
No Error
Producer’ Risk α
Bad Lot
Type II Error
No Error
Consumer’s Risk β
Sampling Errors
Producer’s Risk - a
• Producer wants as many lots accepted by consumer as possible so
– Producer “makes sure” the process produces a level of fraction defective equal to or
less than:
• That is, L o t is re je c te d g iv e n th a t p ro c e s s
P
h a s a n a c c e p ta b le q u a lity le v e l
P L o t is re je c te d p A Q L
1 Pa
OCC, AQL & Producer’s Risk
1
0.9 Producer’s Risk = probability acceptable lot is rejected
0.8
Probability of accepting lot
0.7
0.6
0.5 AQL - percentage level of defects at which
0.4 a customer is willing to accept
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 .05 .10 .15 .20 Lot quality (% defective)
“Acceptable Lot”
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Consumer’s Risk - b
• Consumer wants to make sure that no bad lots are accepted
– Consumer says, “I will not accept a lot if percent defective is greater than or
equal to p2”
b is the probability that a bad lot is accepted by the consumer when the lot
really has a fraction defective p2
L o t a c c e p t e d g i v e n t h a t lo t
• P
That is, h a s u n a c c e p t a b le q u a li t y le v e l
P L o t a c c e p t e d p L T P D
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OCC, LTPD & Consumer’s Risk
1
0.9
0.8
Probability of accepting lot
0.7
LTPD - upper limit on the percentage of
0.6 defectives that a customer is willing to
0.5 accept.
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1 Consumer’s Risk = probability unacceptable is accepted
0
0 .05 .10 .15 .20 Lot quality (% defective)
“Unacceptable Lot”
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Designing a Single-Sampling Plan with a Specified OC Curve
c n! d n d
p 2 (1 p 2 )
d 0 d!( n d )!
Designing a Single-Sampling Plan with a Specified OC Curve
• Specify:
p1 = AQL (Acceptable Quality Level)
29
Use a Binomial Nomograph to Find Sampling Plan
• Example: Suppose
– p1 = 0.01,
– α = 0.05,
– p2 = 0.06,
– β = 0.10.
30
p1 = AQL = .01 p - Axis
Greek - Axis
n = 120
p2 = LTPD = .06
= .10
1 – = 1 – .05 = .95
c=3
Take a sample of size 120.
Accept lot if defectives ≤ 3.
Otherwise, reject entire lot!
Rectifying Inspection Programs
• Acceptance sampling programs usually require corrective
action when lots are rejected, that is,
– Screening rejected lots
• Screening means doing 100% inspection on lot
• In screening, defective items are
– Removed or
– Reworked or
– Returned to vendor or
– Replaced with known good items
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Rectifying Inspection Programs
Incoming Lots:
Fraction Defective
p0
Inspection
Activity
Rejected Lots:
Accepted
100%
Lots
Inspected
Fraction Fraction
Defective = 0 Defective
p0
Outgoing Lots:
Fraction Defective
p1 p 0
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Where to Use Rectifying Inspection
• Example stages:
– Receiving inspection
– In-process inspection of semi-finished goods
– Final inspection of finished goods
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Average Outgoing Quality: AOQ
• Quality that results from application of rectifying inspection
– Expected number of defective items that will pass on to customer
with a sampling plan
– Average value obtained over long sequence of lots from process
with fraction defective p
Pa p N n
AOQ
N
• N - Lot size, n = # units in sample
• Assumes all known defective units replaced with good ones,
that is,
– If lot rejected, replace all bad units in lot
– If lot accepted, just replace the bad units in sample
• Average outgoing quality limit (AOQL) is the maximum
outgoing quality level.
– maximum point on the curve
– worst level of outgoing quality
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Development of AOQ
• If lot accepted:
Number defective units in lot:
# u n its
fra c tio n
p N n re m a in in g
d e f e c tiv e in lo t
EXAMPLE
Suppose that Noise King is using rectified inspection for its single-sampling plan.
Calculate the average outgoing quality limit for a plan with n = 110, c = 3, and N = 1,000.
Calculate the probabilities of acceptance for values of the proportion defective from 0.01
to 0.08 in steps of 0.01.
SOLUTION
Use the following steps to estimate the AOQL for this sampling plan:
Step 1: Determine the probabilities of acceptance for the desired values of p. These
are shown in the following table.
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Calculating the AOQL
Probability of
Proportion Acceptance
Defective (p)
(Pa)
0.01 0.974
0.02 0.819
0.03 0.581
0.04 0.359
0.05 0.202
0.06 0.105
0.07 0.052
0.08 0.024
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Calculating the AOQL
AOQL
1.6 –
Step 3: Identify the largest AOQ
value, which is the estimate of the
Average outgoing quality (percent)
1.2 –
AOQL. In this example, the AOQL
is 0.0155 at p = 0.03.
0.8 –
0.4 –
| | | | | | | |
0– 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Defectives in lot (percent)
Figure : Average Outgoing Quality Curve for the Noise King Muffler Service
Average Total Inspection (ATI)
If lot is accepted:
Number of units inspected = n with a probability of Pa
If lot is rejected:
Number of units inspected = N with a probability of 1 Pa
Average Total Inspection
ATI Pa * n (1 Pa ) * N
n n nPa (1 Pa ) * N
n n(1 Pa ) (1 Pa ) * N
n (1 Pa )( N n)
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Double Sampling Plan
A Double Sampling Plan allows the opportunity to take a second
sample if the results of the original sample are inconclusive.
. Specifies the lot size, size of the initial sample, the
accept/reject/inconclusive criteria for the initial sample (CL -
lower level of defectives, CU - upper level of defectives)
. Specifies the size of the second sample and the acceptance
rejection criteria based on the total number of defective observed
in both the first and second sample (CT- total allowable
defectives)
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Double Sampling Plan
CL CU
Compare number of defective found in the first random sample to CL
and CU and make appropriate decision.
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Double Sampling Plan
Lot First Random sample
CT
Compare the total number of defective in both lots to CT and make the
appropriate decision
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Double Sampling Plan
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
• Probability of Acceptance
I II
Pa P P
a a
Pa P(d1 c1 ) P(d1 d 2 c2 )
• ASN (Average Sampling Number)
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
• Solution:
1
P
a
I
d1 0
50 d1
Cd1 p (1 p ) 50 d1
1
P
a
I
d1 0
50 d1
Cd1 (.05) (.95) 50 d1
0.279
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
d 1 d2 Decision
2 0 Accept
2 1 Accept
3 0 Accept
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
Therefore,
1. P( d1 2, d 2 1) P(d1 2) P (d 2 1)
1
50 2
C2 (.05) .(0.95) 50 2
100Cd1 p d1 (0.95)100 d1
d1 0
0.261 0.037
0.009
2. P (d1 3, d 2 0) P (d1 3) P(d 2 0)
50C3 (.05)3 .(0.95) 503 100 C0 p 0 (0.95)100 0
0.220 0.0059
0.001
PaII P(d1 2, d 2 1) P (d1 3, d 2 0)
0.009 0.001
0.010
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
• Therefore,
I II
Pa P P
a a
0.279 0.010
0.289
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Double Sampling Plan (cont’d)
ASN n1 Pd (n1 n2 )(1 Pd )
Pd P(Lot is accepted on the first sample)
P (Lot is rejected on the first sample)
For Rectifying Inspection:
[ PaI ( N n1 ) PaII ( N n1 n2 )] p
AOQ N
I II
ATI n P (n1 n2 ) P N (1 Pa )
1 a a
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Sequential Sampling Plan
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Item-by-Item Sequential Sampling Plan
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Item-by-Item Sequential Sampling Plan (cont’d)
The equations for the two limit lines for specified values of p1, 1 – a, p2, and b are
X R h2 sn (Rejection line)
where
1 α
log
β p2 1 p1
h1 k log
k p1 1 p2
1 β
log 1 p1
log
h2 α 1 p2
k s
k
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Item-by-Item Sequential Sampling Plan (cont’d)
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Item-by-Item Sequential Sampling Plan (cont’d)
• Example:
• For p1=0.01, α=0.05, p2=0.06, and β=0.10
• k=0.80066,
• h1=1.22
• h2=1.57
• s=0.028
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Military Standard 105E
(ANSI/ASQC Z1.4, ISO 2859)
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Description of MIL STD 105E
• MIL STD 105E is the most widely used acceptance sampling system for
attributes in the world today. The original version of the standard, MIL STD
105A, was issued in 1950. Since then, there have been four revisions; the
latest version was issued in 1989.
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Description of MIL STD 105E (cont’d)
• The standard provides for three types of sampling, single sampling,
double sampling, and multiple sampling.
• For each type of sampling plan, a provision is made for either normal
inspection, tightened inspection, or reduced inspection.
• There are also four special inspection levels, S-1, S-2, S-3 and S-4. The
special inspection levels use very small samples, and should only be
employed when the small sample sizes are necessary and when large
sampling risks can or must be tolerated.
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Description of MIL STD 105E (cont’d)
Switching Procedures
Switching procedures between normal, tightened, and reduced inspection:
1. Normal to tightened. When normal inspection is in effect, tightened inspection
is instituted when two out of five consecutive lots have been rejected on original
submission.
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Description of MIL STD 105E (cont’d)
Switching Procedures (cont’d)
3. Normal to reduced. When normal inspection is in effect, reduced
inspection is instituted provided all four of the following conditions are
satisfied.
a. The preceding 10 lots have been on normal inspection, and none of
the lots have been rejected on original inspection.
b. The total number of defectives in the samples from the preceding 10
lots is less than or equal to the applicable limit number specified in the
standard.
c. Production is at a steady state; that is, no difficulty such as machine
breakdowns, material shortages, or other problems have recently
occurred.
d. Reduced inspection is considered by the authority responsible for
sampling.
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Description of MIL STD 105E (cont’d)
Switching Procedures (cont’d)
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Switching Rules for normal, tightened and reduced inspection
Start
“and” conditions
• production steady
• 10 consecutive lots 2 out of 5
accepted consecutive lots
rejected
• Approved by responsible
authority
Reduced Normal Tightened
“or” conditions
• Lot rejected 5 consecutive lots
• Irregular production accepted
• A lot meets neither the
10 consecutive lots
accept nor the reject remain on tightened
criteria inspection
• Other conditions warrant
return to normal inspection
Discontinue
inspection
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Step-by-Step Procedure of MIL STD 105E (cont’d)
Step-by-Step Procedure
A step-by-step procedure for using MIL STD 105E is as follows:
1. Choose the AQL
2. Choose the Inspection Level
3. Determine the Lot Size
4. Find the appropriate sample code letter from Table 14-4.
5. Determine the appropriate type of sampling plan to use (single,
double, multiple).
6. Enter the appropriate table to find the type of plan to be used.
7. Determine the corresponding MIL STD 105E normal and reduced
inspection plans to be used when required.
• Normal Sampling Plan is to be used as long as supplier is producing the
product at AQL quality or better
• MIL STD 105E provides procedure for switching to tightened or reduced
inspection if there is an indication that the supplier’s quality has changed.
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Table 14.4 presents the sample size code letter for MIL, STD 105E
Tables 14-5, 14-6, and 14-7 presents the single sampling plan for normal,
tighten, and reduced inspection level respectively
Example:
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Sample Size Code Letters (MIL STD 105E, Table 14.4)
General Inspection
Special Inspection Levels Levels
Lot or Batch Size S-1 S-2 S-3 S-4 I II III
2 to 8 A A A A A A B
9 to 15 A A A A A B C
16 to 25 A A B B B C D
26 to 50 A B B C C D E
51 to 90 B B C C C E F
91 to 150 B B C D D F G
151 to 280 B C D E E G H
281 to 500 B C D E F H J
501 to 1200 C C E F G J K
1201 to 3200 C D E G H K L
3201 to 10000 C D F G J L M
10001 to 35000 C D F H K M N
35001 to 150000 D E G J L N P
150001 to 500000 D E G J M P Q
500001 and over D E H K N Q R
Other charts and tables are available on the courses website under resources.
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Normal Inspection Single Sampling (MIL STD 105E, Table 14.5)
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Tighten Inspection Single Sampling (MIL STD 105E, Table 14.6)
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Reduced Inspection Single Sampling (MIL STD 105E, Table 14.7)
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