Professional Documents
Culture Documents
estimation
Abdullah Khan
Dept. of Civil. Engg
1
Outcome of Lecture
◗ After completing this lecture…
◗ The students should be able to:
◗ Understand types of precipitation and its measurement in
field
◗ Understand the concept of temporal and spatial
averaging of precipitation
◗ Apply several methods to spatially average precipitation
◗ Understand data preparation for any water resource
projects
◗ Apply appropriate corrections to data in case of
missing records, errors or inconsistency is present
2
Precipitation
◗ When the water/moisture in the clouds/atmosphere gets too heavy,
the water/moisture falls back to the earth. This is called precipitation.
◗ Types of Precipitation:
◗ Drizzle
◗ Rain
◗ Freezing rain
◗ Sleet
◗ Snow
◗ Hail
◗ Measurement Units:
◗ Amount of precipitation/rain (mm or inch)
◗ It is measure as total depth of rainfall over an area in one day.
◗ Intensity of precipitation/rain (mm/hr or inch/hr)
◗ It is the amount of precipitation at a place per unit time (rain rate).
It is expressed as mm/hr or inch/hr
4
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Why do we need to measure rainfall?
5
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Method of measuring rainfall:
Instrument used to collect and measure the precipitation is called rain gauge and the location
at which raingage is located is called gauging station.
6
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Non-recording (Manual) types:
7
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Non-recording (Manual)
types:
8
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Recording (Automatic) types:
Tipping bucket gauges
◗
◗ Weighing type gauges
◗ Float recording gauges
◗ Tipping bucket rain gauge -The bucket tips when precipitation of 0.2
mm,
0.5 mm, 1.0 mm has been collected. Each tip is recorded by a data logger.
9
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Recording (Automatic) types:
10
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Recording (Automatic) types:
◗ Weather Station -
11
Measurement of Precipitation
◗ Recording (Automatic) types:
◗ Radar -
12
Measurement of Precipitation
Raingauge Network
Catchment area: An extent of land where water from precipitation drains into a
13
body of water
Measurement of Precipitation
Raingauge Network
◗ World Meteorological Organization ( W M O ) recommendation:
◗ Raingauges should be
◗ 1m above ground level is standard -
◗ All gauges in a catchment should be the same height
◗ 2 to 4 times the distance away from an isolated object (such as a
tree or building) or in a forest a clearing with the radius at least the
tree height or place the gauge at canopy level
◗ shielded to protect gauge in windy sites or if obstructions are
numerous they will reduce the wind-speed, turbulence and
eddies.
15
Measurement of Precipitation
Raingauge Network
17
Measurement of Precipitation
Sources of Errors
◗ Instrument error
◗ Observer error
◗ Errors due to different observation times
◗ Error due to occult precipitation
◗ Errors due to low-intensity rains
◗ Any-other ?
19
Preparation of
Data
Missing data
Sometimes, it may not be possible to measure the rainfall
at a particular measuring station due to absence of the
observer or instrument failure.
20
Preparation of Data: Missing
Data Methods
21
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Arithmetic mean method
PA + PB + PC + PD +
Px = n
PE
23
Preparation of Data: Missing
Data Station Average Method
n
PX 1 i
P
n i1
PX is the missing precipitation value for station X
P1, P2, …, Pn are precipitation values at the
adjacent stations for the same period
n is the number of nearby stations
24
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Station Average Method
Example
25
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Example
◗ Find out the missing storm precipitation data of station X given in
following table using station averaging method
Station 1 2 X 3 4
1 1
PX
P 3.8 3.25 4.6 3.15
n i
4
i1
3.7in
26
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Normal Ratio Method
1 𝑁𝑥 𝑁𝑥 𝑁𝑥 𝑁𝑥
P𝑥 = P +P 2 +P 3 +…….
𝑛 1 𝑁1 𝑁2 𝑁3 𝑁𝑛
Pn
27
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Normal Ratio Method
n
PX 1 P1 Pnor P 1 Pi X
N2 ..... Nn n
X N
NX n N1 N
i1 i
P2
◗ PX is the missing precipitation value for station X for a certain time period
◗ P1, P2, …, Pn are precipitation values at adjacent stations for the same
period
◗ N X is the long-term, annual average precipitation at station X
◗ N1, N2, …, Nn is the long-term precipitation for neighboring stations
◗ n is the number of adjacent stations
28
Preparation of Data: Missing
Data Example
◗ Find out the missing storm precipitation data of station X given in
following table
Station 1 2 X 3 4
29
Preparation of Data: Missing
Data Example
◗ Find out the missing storm precipitation data of station X given in
following table
Station 1 2 X 3 4
𝑃𝑖
P𝑥 = 𝑊 𝑛
𝑖
𝑊𝑖
𝑖=1
𝑖=1
1 1
Where, Wi = =
𝐷𝑖2 𝑋𝑖2+𝑌𝑖2
31
Preparation of Data: Missing Data
Inverse Distance Weighing
32
Preparation of Data: Missing
Data Regression
33
Preparation of Data: Consistency of
Data Double Mass Curve Technique
• Let’s take a group of 5 to 10 base stations in the neighbourhood of
the problem station X is selected
• Arrange the data of stn X rainfall and the average of the neighbouring
stations in reverse chronological order (from recent to old record)
•
Accumulate the precipitation of station X Px and the average
the group base stations Pavg starting from the latest record.
values of
•
Plot the Px against Pavg as shown on the next
• A decided break in the slope of the resulting plot is observed that
figure
indicates a change in precipitation regime of station X, i.e., inconsistency.
• Therefore, data at stn X should be corrected/adjusted as
Pcx=(Mc/Ma)*Px
Mc is slope of data before breakpoint
Ma is slope of line after breakpoint
Pcx is corrected precipitation at StationX
Px is original precipitation at StationX
34
Double Mass Curve Analysis
4.5
accumulated annual rainfall of X stn in
4
Ma
3.5
Break Point
a
3
Mc
2.5
c
2
1.5
c Ma
a
10^3 cm
0.5 Mc
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Accumulated annual rainfall of neigbouring stns in 10^3 cm
Pcx – corrected precipitation at any time period t1 at stationX
Mc
Pcx Px Px – Original recorded precp. at time period t1 at station X
Ma Mc – corrected slope of the double mass
35
curve
30
Ma – original slope of the mass curve after break
Preparation of Data: Consistency of Data
Double Mass Curve Technique
37
Preparation of Data: Consistency of Data
Double Mass Curve Technique
38
Preparation of Data: Consistency of Data
Double Mass Curve Technique
39
The rainfall recorded by a raingauge represents the
rainfall at that station.
40
Spatial Averaging of Precipitation
◗ Average rainfall over an area: It is the amount of precipitation
which can be assumed as uniform over the given area.
Pavg
i1 Pi
N
◗ Where, Pavg is the average precipitation, N is the total number of stations and
Pi is the average annual precipitation for ith station.
41
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall
Data
◗ Raingauges rainfall represent only point sampling of the
areal distribution of a storm
42
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall
Data Arithmetic Mean Method
• When the area is physically and climatically
homogenous and the required accuracy is small,
the average rainfall ( P ) for a basin can be
obtained as the arithmetic mean of the Pi values
recorded at various stations.
• Applicable rarely for practical purpose
P1 P2 ..... Pi 1 N
P n
.....P
i
N N i1 P
43
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Arithmetic Mean Method
Pavg = P1 + P2 + P3 +……+Pn
n
45
B
46
Step-1 Join the adjacent rain-gauge stations A,B,C & D by straight lines.
Step-4 Multiply the area of each polygon by the rainfall value of that
enclosed station.
47
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Thiessen Polygon Method
48
Multiply the area of each thiessen polygon by the
raingauge value of the enclosed station.
50
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Thiessen Polygon Method
P7
P6
A7
A6
P2
A2
A1
A8 A5
P1
P8 P5
A3 A4
P3
P4
51
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall
Data Thiessen Polygon Method
P1A1 P2 A2 ..... Pm Am
P
A 1 A2 ..... Am
Generally for M station
PA i i M
Ai
P i 1
Atotal
i Pi A
1
Ai
The ratio is called the weightage factor of station i
52
A
Q. Estimate the mean areal rainfall for the area shown in Fig. 3.1, using the
Thiessen polygon method.
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Thiessen Polygon Method
58
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Thiessen Polygon Method
Ai
Ai P
Pi i
A
A
M
Ai
59
Mean precipitation =
i 1
Pi
=121.8
A 4
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Isohyetal Method
60
61
𝑃1 + 𝑃2 𝑃2 + 𝑃3 𝑃3 + 𝑃4 𝑃𝑛 − 1 + 𝑃𝑛
+ 𝐴2 +A3 +……. An−1
2 2 2 2
P𝑎𝑣𝑔 = 𝐴1
A1+A2+A3+……………An-1
𝑛
𝑃1 + 𝑃2
𝐴×
P𝑎𝑣𝑔 =
2
𝑖= 1
𝑛
𝐴
𝑖=1
Where,
P1,P2,P3,…Pn = the value of isohyets
A1,A2,A3...An -1 = Inter Isohyets
Area
62
63
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Isohyetal Method
• An isohyet is a line joining points of equal rainfall
magnitude.
10.0
8
D
6 C A5
12
9.2
12
A4
7.0 A3
4 B
7.2
A
A2 E 10.0
9.1
4.0
F A1
8
59
6
4
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Isohyetal Method
• P1, P2, P3, …. , Pn – the values of the isohytes
• A1, A2, A3, …., A4 – are the inter isohytes area respectively
• Atotal – the total catchment area
• P - the mean precipitation over the catchment
P1 P2 Pn Pn
A1 2 ... n 1
P22 P23 1 2
P A A
Atotal
66
A hyetograph is bar graph.
It represent a plot of the
intensity of rainfall against
the time interval.
65
P P Pi1 Ai A
Ai P
i avg itotal
avg
2 A
Atotal
68
Methods of Spatial Averaging Rainfall Data
Isohyetal Method
◗ Other mapping programs such as SURFER or
GIS program ARCVIEW can be used to map
rainfall at the different measurement locations.
70
Presentation of Rainfall Data
1. Hyetograph method
64
It is very easy to represent the
characteristics of a storm and it
is useful in the development of
design storms to predict
extreme floods.
66
The mass curve of rainfall is a
plot of the cumulative depth of
rainfall against time, plotted in
chronological order.
67
Mass curve is directly plotted in
float type and weighing bucket
type raingauge.
68
It is also known as station rainfall.
69
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF) Relationship
Hyetograph
- is a plot of the precipitation against time
Hyetograph of a
storm
Total depth = 10.6 cm
0.
5 Duration = 48 hr
0.
In t en sit y,
4
cm /h r
0.
3
0.
2
0–8 8– 16 – 24 24 – 32 32 – 40 40 –
0. 16 48
1 Time, hours
76 0
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF) Relationship
60
50
40
30 1st storm,
16 mm
20 2nd
storm,
34 mm
10
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Time, hour
77
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF)
Relationship
◗ Example: The mass curve of rainfall in a storm of total duration 270
minutes is given below. Draw the hyetograph of the storm at 30
minute time step.
Time since start (min) 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270
Cumulative Rainfall (mm) 0 6 18 21 36 43 49 52 53 54
Incremental depth in
interval of 30 min 6 12 3 15 7 6 3 1 1
(mm)
Rainfall intensity (mm/hr) 12 24 6
H yetograp 30 14 12 6 2 2
35 h
Rainfall intensity (mm/hr)
30
25
20
15
10
0
30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240
72 270Time (min)
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF)
Relationship
◗ Return Period (T) - The average length of time in years for an event
(e.g. flood or rainfall) of given magnitude to be equalled or exceeded.
◗ For example, if the rainfall with a 50 year return period at a given
location is 200mm, this is just another way of saying that a rainfall
200mm, or greater, should occur at that location on the average only
once every 50 years.
◗ Basic Relationships
T=1/P or P=1/T
79
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF)
Relationship
◗ Probability analysis may be made either by empirical or by
analytical methods.
◗ A simple empirical technique is to arrange the given annual extreme series
in descending order of magnitude and to assign an order number, m.Thus
for the first entry m=1 and for the second entry m=2 and so on, till the
last event for which m=N=number of years of record.The probablity, P, of
an event equalled to or exceeded is given by the Weibul formula.
M
P N1
1 N1
T
P m
IDF Curve
kT x i – Intensity (cm/hr)
i D – Duration (hours)
D a n
K, x, a, n – are constant for a given
catchment
83
Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF) Relationship
Typical IDF
Curve
1
T = 25 years
4
T = 50 years
1 T = 100
2
years
In tesity ,
1
cm /h r
0 k = 6.93
8 x=
0.189
6 a = 0.5
4 n=
0 1 3 4 5 6 0.878
2
2 Duration,
0 hr
84
Thank you
◗ Questions….