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DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL vQ FRQGL LLOH IXQF LRQ ULL XQHL SLH H
unice -
LQIOXHQ D
FHUHULL
DXWRQRPH
DVXSUD
SURGXF LHL
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GHILQL LH
vQ
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vQFKLV
DO
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PRGHOXOXL
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IL
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GHMD
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PHQ LRQDWH
GH
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LSRWH]HOH
GH
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GH
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GH
GH HFRQRPLD UHDO
SURGXF LD
HVWH
GHWHUPLQDW
VWULFW
FRPSOHW
GH
FHUHUHD
JOREDO
FXQRDWHUHD
IXQF LLORU
GH
FRPSRUWDPHQW
DO
DJHQ LORU
FRPSRUWDPHQW
DO
DJHQ LORU
consumatori
DFFHSWDUHD
DXWRQRPLHL
GH
SDUDPHWUL
GH
WLS
vQFOLQD LH
m = C/ V sau m = PF/var.exo.,
unde:
P
C = consum
V = venit
PF = produs final
YDUH[R
YDULDELO
H[RJHQ
HFRQRPLHL
vQFKLVH
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FD]
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HFRQRPLFH
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ModHOXO
DWLWXGLQH
QHLQWHUYHQ LRQLVW
SUHVXSXQH
DOWHUQDWLYH
SULYLQG
LH
ene
consumator:
C = c Y + C0, cu c =
C = consumul
&
(i)
(1.1)
Y = produsul final
C0 = consumul autonom
c = vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
(ii) IXQF LD
VSUH FRQVXP F
(0,1)
YHGHUH LSRWH]D F
QX GHSLQG
I = I0
,
LQYHVWL LL
YROXPXO GDW DO LQYHVWL LLORU
I0
(1.3)
cheltuielLORU
GH EXQXUL GH
FHOH
WUHL
HFXD LL
UH]XOW
QLYHOXO
GH
HFKLOLEUX
DO
Y* =
FDUH
HVWH
QLYHOXO
1
1
C0 +
I0 ,
1 c
1 c
GHSHQGHQW
DXWRQRPGDW
GH
DO
vQFOLQD LD
(1.4)
PDUJLQDO
VSUH
FRQVXP
FRQVXPXOXLLQYHVWL LLORU
5HOD LD
GH
vQWUH
(Y*)c > 0,
(Y*)Co > 0,
(Y*)Io > 0.
(1.4.1)
FX
- multiplicatorul
1
1c
9DULD LD
(1.5)
FRQVXPXOXL
VH
GHWHUPLQ
GLQ
IXQF LD
GH
comportament:
C = cY =
c
I0
1 c
0XOWLSOLFDWRUXO
(1.6)
VLPSOX
DO
LQYHVWL LLORU
IDSWXO F
HVWH
vQWRWGHDXQD
FHOH GRX
LSRWH]D
ionat
LL
HIRUWXOXL
LQYHVWL LRQDO
SUHVXSXQH
SUHVXSXQHP GRX
OD
IHO
SHQWUX
FHOH
GRX
VSRUXUL
1/0
VSXQHP
<
>
DGLF
este
YDULD LD
GH PRPHQWXO
I , deoarece invesWL
LD
al produsului final.
LSRWH]D
QHVLPXOWDQHLW
LL
HIRUWXOXL
LQYHVWL LRQDO
SUHVXSXQH
UH]XOWDWXO LQYHVWL LHL HVWH XOWHULRU HIHFWX ULL DFHVWHLD Q DFHVW FD]
RSHUDWRUXO
GH
sporuri: 1/0
YDULD LH
HVWH
GHILQLW
GLIHULW
SHQWUX
FHOH
GRX
UD LRQDOLW
LL L HVWH
(0,1).
-c),
spre consum:
c (0;0,5) c (1 c) (0;1)
c [0,5;1) c (1 c) [1; )
LH
cu a = , ,
I = a Y + I0,
HQGRJHQ
(2.1)
XQGH
HVWH
vQFOLQD LD
LQYHVWL LH PDUJLQDO
PDUJLQDO
VSUH
LQYHVWL LL
SDUDPHWUX
GH
DFHVWH
WUHL
UHOD LL
UH]XOW
QLYHOXO
GH
HFKLOLEUX
DO
produsului final:
Y* =
vQ
FDUH VH
YH]L
direFW
UHOD LD
1
1
C0 +
I0,
1 c a
1 c a
S VWUHD]
(2.2)
FDUH
VH
GH vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
DGDXJ
GHSHQGHQ D
OHJ WXU
GH
GH
DVHPHQHD
(Y *)a > 0
)DFWRUXO
FD]XO
(2.2.1)
FUHWHUH
FX FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ
HFRQRPLF
U PkQH
LQYHVWL LD
vQ
(2.3)
FRQVXPXOXL
VH
GHWHUPLQ
GLQ
IXQF LD
GH
comportament:
C=cY=
1
I0
1 c a
0XOWLSOLFDWRUXO
H[WLQV
DO
(2.4)
LQYHVWL LLORU
DUH
YDORUL
PDL
PDUL
SURGXVXO
ILQDO
SULQFLSLXO UD LRQDOLW
LQYHVWL LL
vQWU R
HFRQRPLH
vQFKLV
FX
i mult dect
vQ PDUH P VXU
de echLOLEUX
7RWRGDW
SUHJQDQW
UROXO
FRQVXPXOXL
FX
FkW
vQFOLQD LD VSUH FRQVXP HVWH PDL PDUH FX DWkW SURGXVXO ILQDO HVWH
PDL PDUH $FHDVWD IDFH FD HFRQRPLLOH V
HFRQRPLL V HVWH FRPSOHPHQWXO ID
FRQVXP F V
HFRQRPLFH
VSRULWH
re
VSUH FRQVXP
YLLWRU
L
vQ
FRQVHFLQ
XQRU
LL
GH LQWHUYHQ LH
0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH VWDWXO DUH
RDWLWXGLQH LQWHUYHQ LRQLVW
QLYHOXO
SURGXVXOXL
ILQDO
FHHD
FH
GHILQHWH
DOWHUQDWLYH
SHQWUX
LD VWDWXOXL
Yn = Y - Tn
(3.1.1)
Tn = T - R
(3.1.2)
(ii) IXQF LD
GH FRQVXP GHILQLW
vQ UDSRUW F
net, Yn:
C = c Yn + C0
DVWIHO vQFkW GDF
(3.2)
C = c(Y - T + R) + C0
(3.2.1)
GH
(3.3)
LQYHVWL LL
FKHOWXLHOLORU
JXYHUQDPHQWDOH
G = G0; T = T0;
R = R0
(3.4-3.7)
VH RE LQH P ULPHD
1
c
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 ) 1 c (T0 R 0 )
1 c
&UHWHUHD HFRQRPLF
HVWH VWLPXODW
(3.8)
GLIHUHQ LDW
GH
VHQVXUL
GLIHULWH
HFRQRPLF WUDQVIHUXULOH
LPSR]LWHOH
- R DPSOLILF
putere, c/(1-c),
GLPLQXHD]
FUHWHUHD
absoluW
(3.81)
C* =
c
1
C 0 ,
I 0 + G 0 (T0 R 0 ) +
1 c
1 c
F
IDFWRULL DX DFHHDL
LPSR]LWHOH DF LRQHD]
(3.9)
VFKHPD
IXQF LH
GH
FRQVXP
OLQHDU
ILVFDOLWDWH
EXJHWDUH
QHVFKLPEDW
P UHWH
YHQLWXO
YHQLWXO
GLVSRQLELO
YHQLWXULOH
WHRUHPHL
EXJHWXOXL
P ULPH DGLF
FkW
OXL
L
ntr-o economie
FDUH
QX
PRGLILF
L R FUHWHUH HFKLYDOHQW
FX
mul, independent de
FRQVX
+DDYHOPR
FKHOWXLHOLOH
P ULPH
FH
QD LRQDO
ODV
.
GDF
VH
DFHVWXLD
PDMRUHD]
FX
DWkW
DFHHDL
- cu toate
VH SURGXFH WRWXL R
Yn
R sau
Yn
I sau
C
S
PRGHOXO
LD VWDWXOXL
Y* =
FHHD FH DWHVW
C0 = I0 = R0 = 0, iar G0 = T0
UH]XOW
1
c
G 0
G 0 = G 0 = T0 ,
1 c
1 c
FUHWHUHD YDORULL GH HFKLOLEUX D YHQLWXOXL FX DFHODL
UH]XOWDW
FRQWUD]LFH
GH YROXPXO DFWLYLW
WH]D
LL WH]
QHXWUDOLW
OLEHUDO
LL
EXJH
SRWULYLW F UHLD
tului
QHJDWLY
FD]XO
vQ
FDUH
transferurile bugetare
YDULD LLOH
GH
P ULPH
HJDO
VH
SURGXF
OD
R0 = T0,
C0 = I0 = G0 = 0), atunci
D FHORU GRX
HIHFWH H[SDQVLRQLVW
Y* =
c
(T0 R 0 ) = 0
1 c
au efHFW
H[SDQVLRQLVW
vQ
P VXUD
vQ
FDUH
JHQHUHD]
FUHWHUHD
LD VWDWXOXL
DFHVW
PRGHO
EXJHWXO
GHSLQGH
GH
FXDQWXPXO
DFWLYLW
LL
YDULD LD vQWU
-un sens a
DFHVWXLD GHWHUPLQ
YDULDELOH
sXQW
DVHPHQHD
YDULDQW
L
HFXD LD
FRQVWDQ D
WUDQVIHUXULORU
GH PRGHO VH S VWUHD]
GH
HFKLOLEUX
LQYHVWL LLORU
FRQIRUP
FKHOWXLHOLORU
IXQF LD GH FRQVXP
VH
S VWUHD]
JXYHUQDPHQWDOH
6XSOLPHQWDU
de
L
DSDUH
T = tY+T0, cu
> 0
(4.1)
Y* =
1 c(1 t )
(C
&UHWHUHD HFRQRPLF
+ I0 + G0 )
1 c(1 t )
HVWH VWLPXODW
(T
R 0 ) (4.2)
GLIHUHQ LDW
- c (1 - t));
FD
SDUDPHWUL
PDUJLQDO
GH
VSUH
FUHWHUH
FRQVXP
DF LRQHD]
FD
vQ
QX
QXPDL
YDULDQWHOH
vQFOLQD LD
SUHFHGHQWH
DOH
DEVROXW
HIHFWHOH
JHQHUDWH
variabLOHOH
DEVROXW
SULQ
YDULDELOHOH
(4.2.1)
,
*
UHVSHFWLY
SULQ
GHFkW
vQ
PRGHOHOH
SUHFHGHQWH
GHRDUHFH
VXSUDXQLWDU
(4.2.2)
(4.2.3)
SUHFHGHQW
YHQLWXULORU
VH
GLQ
SULQ
H[SOLF
FDX]
WHPSHUDUHDGHVFXUDMDUHD
SDUWH
ORU
HVWH
SUHOXDW
GH
FUHWHULL
OD
EXJHW
SDUWLFXODULWDWH
PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO
subunitDU
SHQWUX
GXS
SUDJ UH]XOW
FXP
LQWHUHVDQW
LPSR]LWH
PRGHOXOXL
WUDQVIHUXUL
2c 1
> t , respectiv
c
SRDWH
HVWH
IL
VXSUD
F
VDX
2c 1
< t . Din acest
c
VDX HJDO
DVWIHO
vQFkW
PRGHOXO
GHJHQHUHD]
vQWUXFkW
IXQF LD
T0 DGLF
OD
ED]D
IXQF LHL
GH
FRQVXP
YDORULL
GH
HFKLOLEUX
C* =
1
c(1 t )
C0 +
(I + G 0 )
1 c(1 t )
1 c(1 t ) 0
c
(T R 0 )
1 c(1 t ) 0
0HFDQLVPXO
GH
(4.3)
DF LXQH
IDFWRULORU
EXJHWDUL
DVXSUD
Yn
Yn
S
C
b) politica transferurilor
Yn
c)
T0
S
C
SROLWLFD ILVFDO
vQ HYLGHQ
G0 = T0 L F
Y* =
FHHD FH DUDW
L vQ FD]XO
YDUL
1 c
1 c
T0 ,
G 0
1 c( t )
1
1 c( t )
1
F
VH SURGXFH R H[SDQVLXQH D
GH
FUHWHUH $
VH FRPSOHWHD]
FX
UHOD LL
ielilor bugetare:
(i)
IXQF LD WUDQVIHUXULORU
R = R0 - r Y, cu RY < 0 ,
XQGH U HVWH vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
(5.1)
VSUH WUDQVIHUXUL L U
(0,1)
g(0,1).
(5.2)
VSUH FKHOWXLHOL JXYHUQDPHQWDOH L
Y* =
1
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 ) 1 c(1 ct r) + g (T0 R 0 )
1 c(1 t r ) + g
(5.3)
,PSDFWXO DVXSUD FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH HVWH VLPLODU FHOXL GLQ
D YDULDELOHORU
PXOWLSOLFDWLYH
0 ULPHD
PXOWLSOLFD
GHFkW vQ YDULDQWD $
FRPSRQHQWD
L
PDUJLQDO
vQ
SOXV
QHJDWLY
DSDUH
QXPLWRUXOXL
FRPSRQHQW
FUHWH
DGLWLY
vQ
SULQ
YDORDUH
vQFOLQD LD
FDUH
LDX
vQ
FRQVLGHUDUH
LQWHUYHQ LD
VWDWXOXL
vQ
JOREDOH
WRFPDL
FD
UH]XOWDW
DO
SR]L LHL
LQWHUYHQ LRQLVWH
vQ
vQFOLQD LH PDUJLQDO
D LPSXQHU
ii de
vQ
PRGHOXO
$
DGLF
vQ
UDSRUW
GH
2,42/1
n modelul 11.1.2.2.A
)D
GH
UHDOLWDWHD
HFRQRPLF
GLIHULWHORU
HFRQRPLL
vQ IDSWXO F
VH IDFH DEVWUDF LH
Yn
G0
LL HFRQRPLFH GDU L DO
Yn
R0
Yn
c)
T0
b) politica transferurilor
C
SROLWLFD ILVFDO
HFRQRPLFL
L
IDFH
vQ
OD
VFKLPEXULOH
FRQWLQXDUH
LQWHUQD LRQDOH
DEVWUDF LH
GH
GH
SLD D
EXQXUL
ILQDQFLDU
XO H[WHULRU
11.2.1.1. 'HSHQGHQ
D FRPHU
H[WHULRU
- DFWLYLWDWH LQWHUQ
comerciale
(B).
LQWHULRDU
HFRQRPLHL
Indicatorul
reprezentativ
QD LRQDOH
U PkQH
pentru activitatea
SURGXVXO
ILQDO
YHQLWXO
L RIHUWD JOREDO
vQ FDGUXO HL L GH DFHHD VH
LQFOXGH vQ RIHUW
5HOD LD GH HFKLOLEUX SHQWUX R HFRQRPLH GHVFKLV
ID
VH PRGLILF
forma:
Y + M = C + I + G + X,
(6.1)
RIHUW
LQWHUQ
- RIHUW
RIHUW
GH
SHQWUX
EXQXUL
- RIHUW
VDWLVI FXW
SH
VHDPD
EXQXULORU
maliza cererea
SURGXVH
SULQ
DFWLYLWDWHD LQWHULRDU
D=C+I+G+X-M
(6.2)
VXU
GHSHQGHQW
DGLF
(6.3)
X = X0
IXUQL]RULORU
H[WHUQL
HVWH
FRQVLGHUDW
GHSLQGH
D EHQHILFLDULORU DGLF
vQ
PRG
GH YHQLWXULOH
HFRQRPLHL
QD LRQDOH
GHSHQGHQ D
DFHVWXLD
'H
GH
DFHHD
YHQLWXO
IXQF LD
QD LRQDO
VSUH LPSRUW
UDSRUWXULOH
FX
vQWUH
IDFWRUL
SUH XULOH
GH
GHSHQGHQ
H[SULP
IRUPDOL]DW
m (0,1 ).
(6.4)
SURGXF LH
LQWHUQH
LPSRUW
- m:
M = m Y + M0, cu M Y > 0
P VXUD
GH
FHOH
HFRQRPLHL
H[WHUQH
QD LRQDOH
FXUVXULOH
GH
YHQLWXOXL
QD LRQDO
YD
FUHWH
LPSRUWXO
FD
HIHFW
DO
LL VSRULWH GH SODW
IXQF LD
GH
LPSRUW
VH
SRDWH
GHWHUPLQD
HODVWLFLWDWHD
E M /Y =
unde m
M / M M / Y
=
= m / m,
Y / Y
M/Y
(6.4.1)
m = m EM/Y,
(6.4.2)
GLQ
FDUH
UH]XOW
UDSRUWXO
GLUHFW
vQWUH
vQFOLQD LD
PDUJLQDO
VSUH
SDUWH $FHDVW
GHSHQGHQ
GLUHFW
FRQGXFH OD LQWHUHV
ante
LQWHUSUHW UL HFRQRPLFH
(i)
R UDW
GHVFKLV
VSUH
SLD D
PRQGLDO
vQ
HODVWLFLWDWHD
LPSRUWXOXL
vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
FRQVHFLQ
GHVFKLGHUHD
VSUH LPSRUW
vQ UDSRUW FX FRPSHWLWLYLWDWHD
HVWH
PDL
PDUH
L
vQ
FRQVHFLQ
11.2.1.2. 'HSHQGHQ
D GH FRQMXQFWXU
D VROGXOXL EDODQ HL
comerciale
3RUQLQG GH OD FHOH GRX
B = X - M = X 0 - m Y - M 0 ,
(6.5)
REVHUY
DFHVW
VROG
HVWH
- M0.
GHVFUHVF WRU
VSUH LPSRUW
vQ
UDSRUW
FX
'LQ
DFHVW
PRWLY
HFRQRPLLOH
QD LRQDOH
vQ
H[SDQVLXQH
DX
WHQGLQ
GH
FUHWHUH
HFRQRPLF
$VWIHO
GHRDUHFH
UHOD LD
LPSRUW
SURGXVXOXL
ILQDO
LQWHULRU
FUHWHUH vQ
FRPHUFLDO
este inverV
FRQWLQXDUH D
QD LRQDOH
capitalurilor,
GLVSRQLELOLW
vQ
SDUWLFLSDUHD
dinamica
masei
OD
SLD D
LQWHUQD LRQDO
monetare,
dinamica
ratei dobnzii.
De exemplu, ntr-R
FRPHUFLDOH SURGXV
JHQHUHD]
PRQHWDU
FD U
UHFHVLXQH
VROGXOXL
EDODQ HL
FUHWHUHD
ILJXUD
rezervei
valutare
fluxului de
soldului
ba
comerciale
cursului
monedei
Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii pe
$
%#
Reducerea
cererii de
credit
&
%#
disponibil.
"
ofertei de
"
ofertei de
credit
disponibil.
monetare
Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii la
depozite
"
depunerilor
economici
Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii la
credite
comerciale
11.2.1.3. 5HVWULF
,QWURGXFHUHD DFWLYLW
LL FRPHUFLDOH H[WHUQH
LL GH FRPHU
H[WHULRU vQ PRGHOXO GH
FUHWHUH SHUPLWH FD vQ DQXPLWH FRQGL LL UHVSHFWLY SH ED]D DFFHSW ULL
XQRU
LSRWH]H
SULYLQG
XQLL
LQGLFDWRUL
HFRQRPLFL
VH
IRUPXOH]H
UL
$VWIHO
GLQ
UHOD LD
SRDWH
IL
GHWHUPLQDW
H[SUHVLD
scrie:
M = f(Y)
L GUHSW XUPDUH
Y = [f]-1(M),
DGLF
Y=
1
(M M 0 )
m
(6.6.1)
VROGXO EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH HVWH GDW
Y=
1
(X M 0 B0 )
m 0
n ipoteza n care B0
(6.6.2)
DGLF
Y=
1
(X M 0 )
m 0
(6.6.3)
0RGHOXO
HFRQRPLHL
GHVFKLVH
I U
HFRQRPLD VWXGLDW
LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H
HVWH DFWLY
SH SLD D
L IRUPDOL]DW
ULL vQ FDX]
0RGHOXO SUH]LQW
LQYHVWL LL L GH FRPHU
YDULDQWH GXS
H[WH
YDULDQW
GH
PRGHO
SUHVXSXQH
LQWHUYHQ LRQLVPXO
ID
WRWXL R
,0
YH]L
), impozitelor
;0
).
Y* =
1
c
C0 + I 0 + G 0 + (X 0 M 0 ) +
(T R 0 )
1 c + m
1 c + m 0
(6.7.1)
C* =
c
c(1 + m )
I 0 + G 0 + (X 0 M 0 ) +
(T R 0 ) +
1 c + m
1 c + m 0
1+ m
C
1 c + m 0
(6.7.2)
0XOWLSOLFDWRULL
1/(1 -
F P L F
SDUWLFXODULW
FH FRQGL LRQHD]
FUHWHUHD HFRQRPLF
F P L VH FDUDFWHUL]HD]
VXQW
L
(6.8.1)
(6.8.2)
S VWUHD]
JUXSDUHD
LQYHVWL LLOH
SXWHUH
FKHOWXLHOLOH
FUHWHUH
putere de
LPSR]LWHOH
GH
DEVROXW SH GH DOW
IDFWRULORU
JXYHUQDPHQWDOH
HFRQRPLF
F URU
LQIOXHQ
PDL
HVWH
SH
GH
R
SDUWH
FX
WUDQVIHUXULOH
PDUH
GH
LQIOXHQ
FRQVLGHUDW
vQ
YDORDUH
PDL PLF
DSDU
DO L
GRL
LPSRUWXULOH
IDFWRUL
F URU
GH
FUHWHUH
putere
HVWH
(6.8.3)
HFRQRPLF
VLPLODU
FX
H[SRUWXULOH
D
LQYHVWL LLORU
VWUXFWXULL
DFHVWRU
PXOWLSOLFDWRUL
SXQH
vQ
HYLGHQ
FXP F
YDULDELOH V
GHRDUHFH
DOWIHO
LQDFFHSWDELO
UH]XOW
SHQWUX
YDORDUH
QHJDWLY
spre coQVXP
> 0,5,
SXWHUQLF
DUH OD ED]
R vQFOLQD LH PDUJLQDO
FRQVXP
FHUHULL
L
LPSOLFLW
RIHUWHL
IDSW
FH
PRWLYHD]
LL
economice.
(ii) SHQWUX
YDORDUHD
invHVWL LLORU
SUDJ
FKHOWXLHOLORU
P
UH]XOW
PXOWLSOLFDWRULL
JXYHUQDPHQWDOH
LL DGLF
H[SRUWXOXL
P PXOWLSOLFDWRULL LPSR]LWHORU
FX
vQFOLQD LD
PDUJLQDO
VSUH
FRQVXP
DGLF
YHQLWXO
HVWH
LQYHVWL LL
GH
PXOWLSOLFDWRU
LPSRUWDQW
R
YDORDUH
GH
3UHVXSXQkQG
UHODWLY
P ULPH
vQFOLQD LH
IUHFYHQW
SHQWUX
L FHO DO HFRQRPLHL
PDUJLQDO
LQYHVWL LL
UH]XOW
VSUH
XQ
FKHOWXLHOL
GH vQ FHO DO
2 FRPSDUD LH LQWHUHVDQW
modelului
modele:
1/(1 - c (1 - t)) a 1/(1 - c + m),
(6.9.1)
ceea ce revine la
1-c+c ta1-c+m
sau
ctam
'DF
PXOWLSOLFDWLY
D FKHOWXLHOLORU
> c
D FKHOWXLHOLORU
WUDQVIHUXUL
LPSR]LWH
DO
F URU
LPSDFW
HVWH
FXP P
YDULDQW
GH
PRGHO
SUHVXSXQH
GH
DVHPHQHD
GH GHSHQGHQ D GH SURGXVXO
IXQF LD LPSR]LWHORU
vezi 4.1)
PDFURHFRQRPLF
VH
RE LQ
YDORULOH
GH
HFXD LD
HFKLOLEUX
Y* =
=
1
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 + X 0 M 0 c(T0 R 0 ))
1 c( t r ) a + g + m
1
(7.1)
DO
C* =
c(1 a + g + m )
1 a + g + m
C0
1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m
1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m
(T0 R 0 ) +
c(1 t r )
(I + G 0 + X 0 M 0 )
1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m 0
(7.2)
DO
F UXL
LPSDFW
HVWH
FRQVLGHUDW
vQ
YDORDUH
DEVROXW
FX F
GHFkW
vQ FD]XO
0RGHOXO
HFRQRPLHL
studiate ntr-R
PDQLHU
IRDUWH
JHQHUDO
SURQXQ DW
XQLODWHUDO
GDF
DFHDVWD
GLQ
XUP
H[SRUW
LDU
vQVHDPQ
GDF
H[LVW
LPSRUW
QLWH
vQVHDPQ
L SHQWUX
vQ PRGHOHOH SUH]HQWDWH
0RGHOXO
intHUQD LRQDOH
VFKLPEXULOH
JHQHUHD]
HFRQRPLHL
vL
GHVFKLVH
SURSXQH
GHWHUPLQH
FRPHUFLDOH
H[WHUQH
DVXSUD SURGXVXOXL
ILQDO
FX
FRQVHFLQ HOH
SROLWLFLOH
L GH
LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H
GH
SH
FDUH
LQYHVWLJD LH
OH
HFRQRPLHL
FUHWHUHHFKLOLEUX
QD LRQDOH
WUHEXLH
LQYHVWLJDWH
LQWURGXVH
SHQWUX
SULQWU
LQWHUQD LRQDOH
-un model de
ILHFDUH
GLQ
SDUWHQHULL
LO
e de rezolvare.
SH GRX
LSRWH]H
simplificatoare:
(i)
LQYHVWLJDW
SULQ
PRGHO
SDUWHQHUXO
WRU DFHVWHL
LSRWH]H
H[SRUWXO
SDUWHQHUXOXL
VH
UHJ VHWH
vQ
WRWDOLWDWH
vQ
ULL L DO
F UHL
VWUXFWXU
UHOHYDQWH
LQYHVWLJD LD
SHQWUX
DEVWUDF LH
GH
PHFDQLVP
HOH
FRPSRUWDPHQWXO ID
FHHD
LQWHUQ
HIHFWXDW
FH
VH
DOW
HFRQRPLH
QXDQ HD]
LD
IXQF LRQDUH
DVWIHO
vQ
GH HFRQRPLD QD LRQDO
GH
QD LRQDO
n considHUDUH DFHVWHL
VXQW
VH
IDFH
FRQVLGHUDUH
este
RELHFW
$FHDVW
vQFkW
QX
LSRWH]
GLPLQXHD]
L VH LDX
IXQF LL
FD
GHFL
LSRWH]H
D
VLPSOLILFDWRUH
YDULDELOHORU
EXJHWDUH
VWDUH
DOH
SXWHP
L
FRQVLGHUD
FDUDFWHUXO
exogen al
GH
DEVHQ D
*
QX PDL
SDUWHQHUL
DGLF
FRPHUFLDOH
UHFLSURFH
vQWUH FHL
JUXSDWH
modelul L):
modulul A:
IXQF LD GH FRQVXP
&$
IXQF LD GH LPSRUW
0$
HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX
<$
LQYHVWL LD H[RJHQ
,$
F$
YA + CA0
P$
(8.1)
YA + MA0
&$ ,$ ;$
- MA
,$0
(8.2)
(8.3)
(8.4)
modulul B:
IXQF LD GH FRQVXP
&%
IXQF LD GH LPSRUW
0%
HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX
LQYHVWL LD H[RJHQ
<%
,%
F%
YB + CB0
P%
YB + MB0
&% ,% ;%
,%0
(8.5)
- MB
(8.6)
(8.7)
(8.8)
modulul L:
H[SRUWXO
ULL $
;$
0%
LPSRUWXO
ULL %
0$
;%
vQ
SDUWHQHU
VH IDFH SH
ED]D
HFXD LHL
VDOH
GH HFKLOLEUX L D
YA* =
CA 0 + IA 0 + XA MA 0
1 cA + mA
- F$
(9.1)
vQFOLQD LD
YA* =
CA 0 + IA 0 + XA MA 0
sA + mA
Q DFHDVW
(9.2)
DGLF
XA = MB = mb YB + MB0
L RE LQHP
YA* =
CA 0 + IA 0 + mB YB + MB0 MA 0
sA + mA
(9.3)
YB* =
(9.4)
respectiv, a
YA* =
=
YB* =
=
vQFOLQD LLOH
DXWRQRPH
LQWHUGHSHQGHQ HORU
PDUJLQDOH
DOH
VSUH
YDULDELOHORU
FRQVXP
GH
VWDUH
HVWH
GHWHUPLQDW
LPSRUWXUL
FRQVXP
GH
GH
QLYHOHOH
LPSRUWXUL
GH
Este intHUHVDQW
IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ
GH
FXP VXQW
FHUHUHD DXWRQRP
WRWDO
partenerului
(CA0+IA0),
UHJUXS UL D
respectiv
a partenerului
(CB0+IB0);
soldul importurilor autonome reciproce: MB0-MA0 (pentru
SDUWHQHUXO $ L 0$0
3H
ED]D
UHOD LLORU
DFHVWH
VROGXUL
SRW
IL
DGLF
,$0
>IA01, atunci,
YA2>YA1 SUHVXSXQkQG F
FD
XUPDUH
FRQIRUP
vQ
LQIOXHQ HD]
FUHWHUH
HFXD LHL
HFKLOLEUX
GH
LPSRUW
ILQH
SRWULYLW
$FHDVWD
VWDUHD
0$
FHOHLODOWH
vQVHDPQ
GLQDPLFD
>MA1
F
XQXLD
vQ
GLQ
HFRQRPLF
OD
XQXO
GLQ
SDUWHQHUL
GH
SXQH
vQ
IXQF LHL
SDUWHQHULDW
SRWULYLW
GH DQXO
HYLGHQ
vQ
VH
GLQ
HFXD LHL
GH
FRQGL LL
GH
SDUWHQHUL
XQ HIRUW GH
U VIUkQJH
DVXSUD
FRQWLQXDUH
HIHFWXO
XQXL
HIRUW
GH OD <%
YB1
VH REVHUY
antreneaz
, care
GH H[SUHVLD P ULPLL
FRQVWDQ L
UHVWXO
IDFWRULORU
HIRUWXO
LQYHVWL LRQDO L vQ JHQHUDO YDULD LD LQYHVWL LLORU VDX D RULF UXL DOW
IDFWRU vO H[SULP P SULQ RSHUDWRUXO GH YDULD LH DYHP
YA =
IA 0 + mB YB
sA + mA
(10.1)
YB =
mA YA
sB + mB
(10.2)
)DFHP REVHUYD LD F
vQ QX
RGDW
YDORDUHD
OXL
GLQ
YA =
GLQ
FDUH
VH
sB + mB
IA 0 ,
sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
RE LQH
YDORDUHD
HILFLHQ HL
PDUJLQDOH
(10.3)
D
LQYHVWL LLORU
YA
sB + mB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
'DF
YRP
VXEVWLWXL
vQ
(10.4)
RE LQHP
YDORDUHD
mA
YB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
3ULQ LQWHUPHGLXO UHOD LLORU GH OHJ WXU
L SRDWH IL GHWHUPLQDW
(10.5)
GLQWUH FHL GRL SDUWHQHUL
(8.6); avem:
BA = mB YB + MB0 mA YA MA 0
,PSDFWXO
LQYHVWL LLORU
DVXSUD
EDODQ HL
(10.6)
FRPHUFLDOH
VH
YB conform
PDUJLQDO
vQ
DO
WUHLOHD
SDV
VH
GHWHUPLQ
HILFLHQ D
BA
mA sB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
B.
SH
VHDPD
0HFDQLVPXO FH JHQHUHD]
LQYHVWL LLORU
HVWH
(10.7)
UHIOH[LY
XQ
HIRUW
GH
$
,QVLVWHQ D
DVXSUD
HIHFWHORU
GH
FUHWHUH
SULQ DFHHD F
LQYHVWL LL
OD
D SDUWHQHUXOXL
HFRQRPLF
SHQWUX
vQ
LSRWH]D
HVWH
UHVWXO
OXPLL
HIHFWHOH
GH
FUHWHUH
HFRQRPLF
HFRQRPLH
DU
QHFHVLW
QD LRQDO
FL
GRDU
HQWLWDWH
GHILQLW
GLQ
L GH FRQVWUXF LH D PRGHOXOXL
3H ED]D XQXL UD LRQDPHQW L D XQXL DOJRULWP VLPLODU FHOXL
YB =
IB0 + mA YA
sB + mB
(11.1)
YA =
mB YB
sB + mB
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
(11.2)
(11.3)
(11.4)
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
BA
sA mB
=
IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
(IHFWXO
FRPHUFLDOH
LQYHVWL LRQDO
OXL
HVWH
WRWDO
GDW
GH
(,7
VXPD
(11.5)
DVXSUD
VROGXOXL
HILFLHQ HORU
EDODQ HL
PDUJLQDOH
DOH
EIT =
BA BA
sA mB mA sB
(11.6)
+
=
IA 0 IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
componenta negatiY
L
FD
DWDUH
OLPLWDW
GLQ
DVXSUD
S U LL
MRFXO
FDUH
)RQGXO
HFRQRPLF
DO
LQYHVWHWH
vQFOLQD LLORU
FL
VH
GLVWULEXLH
vQWUH
VSUH
conVXP
PDL
UHDPLQWLP F
DPSOX
VDX
FRPHUFLDOH
H[WHULRU
3H
UHODWLY
PDL
GH
OD
V$
PRGHUDW
DOW
SDUWH
LPSRUWXUL
F$ L V%
DVXSUD
vQV
- F% UH]XOW
GLQDPLFLL
VWLPXOXO
DIHFWHD]
EDODQ HL
VROGXOXL
JHQHUDW
SURGXVXO
XQ HIHFW
GH
ILQDO
FRPHU XO
DO
ILHF UXL
HFRQRPLHL
LQWHUSDUWHQHUL
vQWUH
GHVFKLVH
SURGXVXO
HVWH
ILQDO
UH]XOWDWXO
L
DU
vQ
FRQH[LXQLORU
LPSRUWXUL
FUHWHUHD
i A duce
SULQ LPSRUWXUL
D FRPSRQHQWHL 0$0
DWXQFL
turilor
FUHWHUH
ORU
vQVHDPQ
SHQWUX
UHOD LHL
QXPDL
DUD
$FHDVWD
FRQIRUP
;%
<XB1, de
VIkULW
FRQIRUP
0$
<MA1
DGLF
WHQGLQ
L
GH
comerciale.
ULL $ RE LQHP
YA =
mB YB MA 0
sA + mA
(12.1)
YB =
mA YA + MA 0
sB + mB
(12.2)
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
D LPSRUWXULORU
YA
sB
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
YB
sA
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
(12.3)
(12.4)
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
D LPSRUWXULORU
BA
sA sB
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
B.
9RP
DQDOL]D
vQ
(12.5)
ILQDO
HIHFWXO
FUHWHULL
FUHWHUH
LPSRUWXOXL
importu-ULORU
DXWRQRPH
FRPHUFLDOH D
ULL $ OLPLWDW
UHVWXOXL
JHQHUHD]
vQV
GHVFULV
vQ
SDUDJUDIXO
OXPLL
R
SH
VHDPD
DPHOLRUDUH
FUHWHULL
EDODQ HL
SUHFHGHQW
LPSDFWXOXL
vQ DFHVWH
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
YA
sB
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
YB
sA
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
(13.1)
(13.2)
HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO
ULL $
BA
sA sB
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
LPSRUWXULORU
HVWH
QXO
acestor efecte.
FHHD
SURGXVHORU
ULL $ VH GHWHUPLQ
ILHF UXLD
FH
(13.3)
GLQWUH
FRQILUP
vQVXPkQG HIHFWHOH
SDUWHQHUL
DILUPD LLOH
ILQDOH
VH
REVHUY
SULYLQG
OLPLWDUHD