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CAPITOLUL 11

POLITICI FINANCIARE (BUGETARE)


N MODELUL SIMPLIFICAT AL LUI KEYNES
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unice -

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LQIOXHQ D

FHUHULL

DXWRQRPH

DVXSUD

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astfel nct efectele politicilor bazate pe cerere sunt optimiste,


eficacitatea acestor politLFL
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-o economie pentru care sunt acceptate

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6XQW

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GH

ond ale acestui model,

GH HFRQRPLD UHDO 

lipsa componentei monetare

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vQFkW

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GH

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JOREDO

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IXQF LLORU

GH

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DO

DJHQ LORU

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DO

DJHQ LORU

consumatori

DFFHSWDUHD

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GH

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venit prin intermediul unoU


GHSHQGHQ

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GH

WLS

vQFOLQD LH

FDUH VH H[WLQGH L DVXSUD SURGXVXOXL ILQDO

m = C/ V sau m = PF/var.exo.,
unde:
P

SDUDPHWUX GH WLS vQFOLQD LH


RSHUDWRU GH YDULD LH

C = consum
V = venit
PF = produs final
YDUH[R

YDULDELO

H[RJHQ

FRQVXP DXWRQRP LQYHVWL LH FKHOWXLHOL

guvernamentale, deficite bugetare etc.).

11.1. Modelul economiei nchise


0RGHOXO

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vQFKLVH

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HVWH

FD IDFWRU

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11.1.1. 0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH vQ FRQGL

LL

GH QRQLQWHUYHQ LH

ModHOXO
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11.1.1.1. 0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH FX QRQLQWHUYHQ


L LQYHVWL LL H[RJ

LH

ene

Structura modelului include:


IXQF LD GH FRQVXP FD IXQF LH GH FRPSRUWDPHQW DO DJHQWXOXL

consumator:
C = c Y + C0, cu c =
C = consumul

&

(i)

(1.1)

Y = produsul final
C0 = consumul autonom
c = vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
(ii) IXQF LD

VSUH FRQVXP F

(0,1)

GH LQYHVWL LL GHQXPLUH RDUHFXP SUHWHQ LRDV  DYkQG vQ

YHGHUH LSRWH]D F

LQYHVWL LLOH VXQW GDWH H[RJHQ DGLF

QX GHSLQG

de nici una din variabilele modelului


(1.2)

I = I0
,

LQYHVWL LL
YROXPXO GDW DO LQYHVWL LLORU

I0

(iii) HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX


Y = C + I,

(1.3)

vQ FDUH < HVWH LQWHUSUHWDW FD FHUHUH JOREDO  UHVSHFWLY FD WRWDOXO

cheltuielLORU

SHQWUX FRQVXP LDU & L , FD RIHUW

GH EXQXUL GH

FRQVXP UHVSHFWLY GH EXQXUL GH LQYHVWL LH


'LQ

FHOH

WUHL

HFXD LL

UH]XOW

QLYHOXO

GH

HFKLOLEUX

DO

SURGXVXOXL ILQDO UHVSHFWLY DO YHQLWXULORU DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL

Y* =
FDUH

HVWH

QLYHOXO

1
1
C0 +
I0 ,
1 c
1 c

GHSHQGHQW

DXWRQRPGDW

GH
DO

vQFOLQD LD

(1.4)
PDUJLQDO

VSUH

FRQVXP

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5HOD LD

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IDFWRUL HVWH GLUHFW 

GH

vQWUH

dintre cei trei

(Y*)c > 0,

(Y*)Co > 0,

(Y*)Io > 0.

)DFWRUXO GH FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF


FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ

(1.4.1)

HVWH LQYHVWL LD vQ OHJ WXU

XQ SDUDPHWUX GH WLS vQFOLQD LH

FX

- multiplicatorul

VLPSOX DO LQYHVWL LLORU


<
,

1
1c

9DULD LD

(1.5)

FRQVXPXOXL

VH

GHWHUPLQ

GLQ

IXQF LD

GH

comportament:
C = cY =

c
I0
1 c

0XOWLSOLFDWRUXO

(1.6)

VLPSOX

DO

LQYHVWL LLORU

IDSWXO F

VXSUDXQLWDU FHHD FH VHPQLILF

HVWH

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OD

IHO

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1/0

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este

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I , deoarece invesWL

LD

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al produsului final.

LSRWH]D

QHVLPXOWDQHLW

LL

HIRUWXOXL

LQYHVWL LRQDO

SUHVXSXQH

UH]XOWDWXO LQYHVWL LHL HVWH XOWHULRU HIHFWX ULL DFHVWHLD Q DFHVW FD]
RSHUDWRUXO

GH

sporuri: 1/0

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HVWH

GHILQLW

GLIHULW

SHQWUX

FHOH

GRX

2/1 pentru sporul

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de produs final. n acest caz ar fi, teoretic, posibil ca 2/1Y <


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UD LRQDOLW

H[FOXV SH VHDPD LSRWH]HL XQDQLP DFFHSWDWH F

LL L HVWH

(0,1).

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YDORDUHD OXL SRDWH IL VXE VDX VXSUDXQLWDU  GXS
vQFOLQD LD

-c),

FkW GH PDUH HVWH

spre consum:

c (0;0,5) c (1 c) (0;1)

c [0,5;1) c (1 c) [1; )

11.1.1.2. 0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH FX QRQLQWHUYHQ


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LH

SULQ SURGXVXO ILQDO

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R IXQF LH GH LQYHVWL LH GHILQLW

cu a = , ,

I = a Y + I0,

HQGRJHQ

(2.1)

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HVWH

vQFOLQD LD

LQYHVWL LH PDUJLQDO

PDUJLQDO

VSUH

LQYHVWL LL

SDUDPHWUX

GH

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unitate a produsului final.


'LQ

DFHVWH

WUHL

UHOD LL

UH]XOW

QLYHOXO

GH

HFKLOLEUX

DO

produsului final:
Y* =
vQ

FDUH VH

YH]L

direFW

UHOD LD

1
1
C0 +
I0,
1 c a
1 c a
S VWUHD]
 

(2.2)

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OD

FDUH

VH

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OHJ WXU

GH

GH

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VSUH LQYHVWL LL

(Y *)a > 0
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FD]XO 

(2.2.1)
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multiplicaWRUXO H[WLQV DO LQYHVWL LLORU


Y
1
=
I 0 1 c a
9DULD LD

(2.3)

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VH

GHWHUPLQ

GLQ

IXQF LD

GH

comportament:
C=cY=

1
I0
1 c a

0XOWLSOLFDWRUXO

H[WLQV

DO

(2.4)
LQYHVWL LLORU

DUH

YDORUL

PDL

PDUL

dect cel simplu, deoarece a0,1 vQ FRQIRUPLWDWH FX UHOD LD GH RUGLQH


vQWUH

SURGXVXO

ILQDO

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LQYHVWL LL

vQWU R

HFRQRPLH

vQFKLV

FX

LL LQYHVWL LD QX SRDWH FUHWH FX PD

i mult dect

a crescut produsul final. De aceea, avem (1- c - a) < (1 - c), astfel


nct 1/(1 - c - a) > 1/(1 - c).
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GHWHUPLQ

vQ PDUH P VXU

de echLOLEUX

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VSRULWH

re

VSUH FRQVXP

FRQVXPH PDL PXOW vQ VSHUDQ D XQHL


vQ

YLLWRU

L

vQ

FRQVHFLQ

XQRU

venituri (implicit a unui consum) mai mari.

11.1.2. Modelul economiei QFKLVH vQ FRQGL

LL

GH LQWHUYHQ LH
0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH VWDWXO DUH
RDWLWXGLQH LQWHUYHQ LRQLVW

SUHVXSXQH DOWHUQDWLYH SULYLQG YDULDELOHOH

GH LQWHUYHQ LH $FHVWHD VXQW YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH L DQXPH

G - cheltuielile publice pentru EXQXUL L VHUYLFLL


T - impozitele
R - WUDQVIHUXULOH H[HFXWDWH GH VWDW FD GH H[HPSOX VXEYHQ LLOH
Tn- impozitele nete
Prin cheltuielile publice pot fi formulate politici bugetare
sau politici ale cheltuielilor publice; prin impozite pot fi formulate
politici fiscale.
Variabilele bugetare pot fi exogene sau pot fi determinate
GH

QLYHOXO

SURGXVXOXL

ILQDO

FHHD

FH

GHILQHWH

DOWHUQDWLYH

SHQWUX

PRGHOXO PHQ LRQDW

11.1.2.1. 0RGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH FX LQWHUYHQ

LD VWDWXOXL

L YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH H[RJHQH

Structura modelului include:


(i)

HFXD LD YHQLWXOXL QHW VDX GLVSRQLELO L D LPSR]LWHORU QHWH

Yn = Y - Tn

(3.1.1)

Tn = T - R

(3.1.2)

(ii) IXQF LD

GH FRQVXP GHILQLW

vQ UDSRUW F

u venitul (produsul final)

net, Yn:
C = c Yn + C0
DVWIHO vQFkW GDF

(3.2)

LQHP VHDPD GH  L   DYHP

C = c(Y - T + R) + C0

(3.2.1)

(iii) HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX


Y=C+I+G
(iv) IXQF LLOH

GH

(3.3)

LQYHVWL LL

FKHOWXLHOLORU

JXYHUQDPHQWDOH

LPSR]LWHORU L D WUDQVIHUXULORU FDUH vQ FD]XO VWXGLDW YDULDELOH


EXJHWDUH H[RJHQH VXQW YDORUL GDWH DOH DFHVWRU YDULDELOH DGLF

exprimate independent de nivelul produsului final:


I = I0;

G = G0; T = T0;

R = R0

3H ED]D UHOD LLORU  L 

(3.4-3.7)
 VH RE LQH P ULPHD

de echilibru a produsului final:


Y* =

1
c
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 ) 1 c (T0 R 0 )
1 c

&UHWHUHD HFRQRPLF

HVWH VWLPXODW

DWkW SULQ LQYHVWL LL FkW L

SULQ YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH ,PSDFWXO ORU HVWH vQV

(3.8)

GLIHUHQ LDW

LQYHVWL LLOH L FKHOWXLHOLOH JXYHUQDPHQWDOH DX LPSDFW GH DFHHDL

putere L DQXPH  -c);

LPSR]LWHOH L WUDQVIHUXULOH DX LPSDFW GH DFHHDL


GDU

GH

VHQVXUL

GLIHULWH

HFRQRPLF  WUDQVIHUXULOH

puterea SULPHORU GRX


GRX

LPSR]LWHOH

- R DPSOLILF

putere, c/(1-c),

GLPLQXHD]

FUHWHUHD

YDULDELOH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW D FHORUODOWH

vQ FRPSDUD LD FX LPSR]LWHOH VH LD vQ FRQVLGHUDUH YDORDUHD

absoluW

1/(1-c) > c/(1-c)

(3.81)

Impactul negativ al impozitelor apare ca rezultat al


GLPLQX ULL YHQLWXULORU QHWH GLVSRQLELOH DOH DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL L
LPSOLFLW DO LQFDSDFLW

LL ORU GH D L P UL FRQVXPXO 3H ED]D IXQF LHL

GH FRQVXP L D YDORULL GH HFKLOLEUX D YHQLWXOXL VH RE LQH FRQVXPXO


GH HFKLOLEUX L DQXPH

C* =

GLQ FDUH UH]XOW


vQV

c
1
C 0 ,
I 0 + G 0 (T0 R 0 ) +
1 c
1 c
F

IDFWRULL DX DFHHDL

LPSR]LWHOH DF LRQHD]

(3.9)

putere de multiplicare, c/(1-c),

LQYHUV Q ILJXUD  VH SUH]LQW

VFKHPD

GH IXQF LRQDUH D HFRQRPLHL SRWULYLW DFHVWXL PRGHO


3DUWLFXODULW

LOH FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH vQ DVWIHO GH FRQGL LL DX

fost formulate de economistul M. Haavelmo sub forma unei


WHRUHPH FDUH vL SRDUW
FX

IXQF LH

GH

QXPHOH L FDUH VWLSXOHD]

FRQVXP

OLQHDU

ILVFDOLWDWH

UHSDUWL LD YHQLWXOXL R LQYHVWL LH FRQVWDQW


PDVHL

EXJHWDUH

QHVFKLPEDW

P UHWH

YHQLWXO

YHQLWXO

GLVSRQLELO

YHQLWXULOH

WHRUHPHL

EXJHWXOXL

P ULPH DGLF

FkW

OXL
L

ntr-o economie

FDUH

QX

PRGLILF

L R FUHWHUH HFKLYDOHQW
FX

mul, independent de

FRQVX

+DDYHOPR
FKHOWXLHOLOH

P ULPH

FH

QD LRQDO

P ULPHD vQFOLQD LHL PDUJLQDOH VSUH FRQVXP


3RWULYLW

ODV

.
GDF

VH

DFHVWXLD

PDMRUHD]
FX

YDULD LD VROGXOXL EXJHWXOXL HVWH QXO  DWXQFL

DWkW

DFHHDL

- cu toate

DSDUHQW HIHFWXO FRQMXJDW DO H[SDQVLXQLL JHQHUDWH SULQ FKHOWXLHOL L

a restrngerii generate prin venituri este nul -

VH SURGXFH WRWXL R

FUHWHUH D YHQLWXOXL QD LRQDO

Yn

R sau

Yn

I sau

C
S

)LJ  0HFDQLVPXO FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH GXS

economiei nchise cu intervHQ

PRGHOXO

LD VWDWXOXL

L YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH H[RJHQH

(VWLPDUHD P ULPLL DFHVWHL FUHWHUL UH]XOW


FDUH VH FRQVLGHU

Y* =
FHHD FH DWHVW

GLQ UHOD LD  vQ

C0 = I0 = R0 = 0, iar G0 = T0

UH]XOW 

1
c
G 0
G 0 = G 0 = T0 ,
1 c
1 c
FUHWHUHD YDORULL GH HFKLOLEUX D YHQLWXOXL FX DFHODL

cuantum cu care s-au modificat cheltuielile bugetare, respectiv


veniturile bugetare.
$FHVW
HFKLOLEUDW ID

UH]XOWDW

FRQWUD]LFH

GH YROXPXO DFWLYLW

WH]D
LL WH]

QHXWUDOLW
OLEHUDO

LL

EXJH

SRWULYLW F UHLD

H[WLQGHUHD LQWHUYHQ LHL VWDWXOXL vQ HFRQRPLH VH UHSHUFXWHD]

asupra dinamismului economiei.

tului

QHJDWLY

FD]XO

vQ

FDUH

transferurile bugetare

YDULD LLOH

GH

P ULPH

HJDO

L OD YHQLWXULOH EXJHWDUH DGLF

YDULD LD FHORUODO L LQGLFDWRUL ILLQG QXO

se produce o compensare perfecW

VH

SURGXF

OD

R0 = T0,

C0 = I0 = G0 = 0), atunci

D FHORU GRX

HIHFWH H[SDQVLRQLVW

SULQ YDULD LD WUDQVIHUXULORU L GHSUHVLY SULQ YDULD LD YHQLWXULORU  DVWIHO


vQFkW YHQLWXO QX PDL FUHWH &RQIRUP UHOD LHL  

Y* =

c
(T0 R 0 ) = 0
1 c

3RWULYLW DFHVWXL PRGHO  L 

au efHFW

H[SDQVLRQLVW

vQ

P VXUD

vQ

-3.7) politicile bugetare

FDUH

JHQHUHD]

FUHWHUHD

FKHOWXLHOLORU EXJHWDUH L GH DVHPHQHD vQ P VXUD vQ FDUH JHQHUHD]


R FUHWHUH D WUDQVIHUXULORU EXJHWDUH PDL PDUH GHFkW D YHQLWXULORU

bugetare. n caz contrar, aceste politici au efect depresiv.

11.1.2.2. ModelXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH FX LQWHUYHQ

LD VWDWXOXL

L YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH GHWHUPLQDWH SULQ SURGXVXO ILQDO


Q

DFHVW

PRGHO

EXJHWXO

GHSLQGH

GH

FXDQWXPXO

DFWLYLW

LL

VRFLDOH UHVSHFWLY DO SURGXVXOXL ILQDO YHQLWXOXL QD LRQDO  6H DFFHSW


F

YDULD LD vQWU

-un sens a

DFHVWXLD GHWHUPLQ

YDULD LD vQ DFHODL VHQV

a veniturilor bugetare, dar n sens contrar a cheltuielilor bugetare,


LQFOXVLY D WUDQVIHUXULORU Q FHHD FH SULYHWH XOWLPHOH GRX
PRWLYD LD HVWH GDW

YDULDELOH

GH GHJUHYDUHD EXJHWXOXL GH XQHOH FKHOWXLHOL FDUH

sXQW

SUHOXDWH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL SULYD L FD UH]XOWDW DO FUHWHULL

YHQLWXULORU ORU FRQVHFXWLY FUHWHULL YHQLWXOXL QD LRQDO


1H YRP UHIHUL vQWkL OD YDULDQWD GH PRGHO FH SUHVXSXQH F

numai veniturile bugetului sunt dependente de produsul final,


urmnd ca aSRL

DERUG P L YDULDQWD vQ FDUH WRDWH YDULDELOHOH

bugetare sunt dependente de venit.


A. Venitul bugetului dependent de produsul final
Q DFHDVW
UHOD LD



DVHPHQHD

YDULDQW
L

HFXD LD

FRQVWDQ D

WUDQVIHUXULORU

GH PRGHO VH S VWUHD]
GH

HFKLOLEUX

LQYHVWL LLORU

FRQIRUP

 

 

FKHOWXLHOLORU



 

IXQF LD GH FRQVXP
VH

S VWUHD] 

JXYHUQDPHQWDOH
6XSOLPHQWDU

de
L

DSDUH

T = tY+T0, cu

IXQF LD YHQLWXULORU EXJHWDUH

> 0

(4.1)

Q FDUH W HVWH UDWD LPSXQHULL YHQLWXOXL L W = 0,1.


3H ED]D UHOD LLORU   

-    L  VH RE LQH

nivelul de echilibru al produsului final:

Y* =

1 c(1 t )

(C

&UHWHUHD HFRQRPLF

+ I0 + G0 )

1 c(1 t )

HVWH VWLPXODW

(T

R 0 ) (4.2)

DWkW SULQ LQYHVWL LL FkW L

SULQ YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH ,PSDFWXO ORU HVWH vQV

GLIHUHQ LDW

LQYHVWL LLOH L FKHOWXLHOLOH JXYHUQDPHQWDOH DX LPSDFW GH DFHHDL


SXWHUH L DQXPH  

- c (1 - t));

LPSR]LWHOH L WUDQVIHUXULOH DX LPSDFW GH DFHLDL SXWHUH

c/(1 - c (1 - t)), dar de sensuri difHULWH LPSR]LWHOH GLPLQXHD]


FUHWHUHD HFRQRPLF  vQ WLPS FH WUDQVIHUXULOH R DPSOLILF 

FD

SDUDPHWUL

PDUJLQDO

GH

VSUH

FUHWHUH

FRQVXP

DF LRQHD]
FD

vQ

QX

QXPDL

YDULDQWHOH

vQFOLQD LD

SUHFHGHQWH

DOH

PRGHOHORU GH FUHWHUH  FL L UDWD LPSXQHULL

puterea priPHORU GRX


GRX

YDULDELOH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW D FHORUODOWH

vQ FRPSDUD LD FX LPSR]LWHOH VH DUH vQ YHGHUH YDORDUHD

DEVROXW 

1/(1 - c (1 - t)) > c/(1 - c (1 - t))

HIHFWHOH

JHQHUDWH

variabLOHOH
DEVROXW

SULQ

YDULDELOHOH

(4.2.1)
,

*

UHVSHFWLY

SULQ

L 5 VXQW PDL PLFL vQ FD]XO OXL 7 vQ YDORDUH

GHFkW

vQ

PRGHOHOH

SUHFHGHQWH

GHRDUHFH

PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO HVWH FRUHFWDW OD QXPLWRU FX R YDORDUH SR]LWLY


VXEXQLWDU  

- t) (0,1); evident, rata impunerii, t, nu poate fi

VXSUDXQLWDU 

1/(1 - c) > 1/(1 - c (1 - t))

(4.2.2)

c/(1 - c) > c/(1 - c (1 - t))

(4.2.3)

'LPLQXDUHD PXOWLSOLFDWRUXOXL vQ FD]XO DFHVWXL PRGHO ID


FHO

SUHFHGHQW

YHQLWXULORU

VH

GLQ

SULQ

H[SOLF

FDX]

WHPSHUDUHDGHVFXUDMDUHD

SDUWH

ORU

HVWH

SUHOXDW

GH

FUHWHULL
OD

EXJHW

Fenomenul este cunoscut sub numele de fuga veniturilor.


2

SDUWLFXODULWDWH

PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO

subunitDU

SHQWUX

GXS

SUDJ UH]XOW

FXP

LQWHUHVDQW

LPSR]LWH

PRGHOXOXL

WUDQVIHUXUL

2c 1
> t , respectiv
c

SRDWH

HVWH

IL

VXSUD

F
VDX

2c 1
< t . Din acest
c

F  SHQWUX D DYHD XQ LPSDFW VXSUDXQLWDU DO LPSR]LWHORU

L WUDQVIHUXULORU vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO


PLF

VDX HJDO

VSUH FRQVXP QX SRDWH IL PDL

FX  GHRDUHFH SHQWUX F

0,5 avem (2c - 1)/c 0, n

timp ce rata impunerii t (0,1). Pentru valoarea prag c = 0,5


UH]XOW



DVWIHO

vQFkW

PRGHOXO

GHJHQHUHD] 

vQWUXFkW

YHQLWXULORU EXJHWDUH  VH UHGXFH OD R FRQVWDQW  7

IXQF LD

T0 DGLF

OD

cazul impozitelor exogene.


3UDJXO PHQ LRQDW PDL VXV HVWH HFKLYDOHQW FX F

> 1/(2 - t),

respectiv c < 1/(2 - t).


3H

ED]D

IXQF LHL

GH

FRQVXP

YDORULL

GH

HFKLOLEUX

YHQLWXOXL VH RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO FRQVXPXOXL L DQXPH

C* =

1
c(1 t )
C0 +
(I + G 0 )
1 c(1 t )
1 c(1 t ) 0

c
(T R 0 )
1 c(1 t ) 0

0HFDQLVPXO

GH

(4.3)

DF LXQH

IDFWRULORU

EXJHWDUL

DVXSUD

Yn

produsului final este prezentat n figura 52.

a) politica cheltuielilor bugetare

Yn

S
C

b) politica transferurilor

Yn

c)

T0

S
C

SROLWLFD ILVFDO

FiJ  0HFDQLVPXO FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH GXS

PRGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH FX

LQWHUYHQ LD VWDWXOXL L LPSR]LWHOH GHSHQGHQWH GH YHQLWXO QD LRQDO

7HRUHPD OXL +DDYHOPR SRDWH IL SXV

vQ HYLGHQ

YDULD LD FKHOWXLHOLORU EXJHWDUH L D

DFHVWXL PRGHO 3UHVXSXQkQG F

YHQLWXULORU EXJHWDUH HVWH GH DFHHDL P ULPH

G0 = T0 L F

D LD FHORUODOWH YDULDELOH HVWH QXO  DWXQFL UH]XOW

Y* =
FHHD FH DUDW

L vQ FD]XO

YDUL

GLQ UHOD LD  

1 c
1 c
T0 ,
G 0
1 c( t )
1
1 c( t )
1
F

VH SURGXFH R H[SDQVLXQH D

venitului, dar efectul

marginal este mai mic dect n modelul precedent, deoarece


multiplicatorul acestui model este mai mic dect al celui precedent
(vezi (4.2.2.)).
B. Toate variabilele bugetare dependente de produsul final
0RGHOXO

GH

FUHWHUH $

VH FRPSOHWHD]

FX

UHOD LL

SULYLQG GHSHQGHQ D GH SURGXVXO ILQDO DO WUDQVIHUXULORU L DO FKHOWX

ielilor bugetare:
(i)

IXQF LD WUDQVIHUXULORU

R = R0 - r Y, cu RY < 0 ,
XQGH U HVWH vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

(5.1)

VSUH WUDQVIHUXUL L U

(0,1)

(ii) IXQF LD FKHOWXLHOLORU EXJHWDUH


G = G0 -g Y, cu GY<0,
XQGH J HVWH vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

g(0,1).

(5.2)
VSUH FKHOWXLHOL JXYHUQDPHQWDOH L

3H ED]D UHOD LLORU   


RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLO

Y* =

-      L  VH

ibru al produsului final:

1
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 ) 1 c(1 ct r) + g (T0 R 0 )
1 c(1 t r ) + g
(5.3)
,PSDFWXO DVXSUD FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH HVWH VLPLODU FHOXL GLQ

YDULDQWD $ DWkW vQ FH SULYHWH SXWHUHD PXOWLSOLFDWLY

D YDULDELOHORU

SULQ FDUH VWDWXO SRDWH LQWHUYHQL FkW L vQ FH SULYHWH UDSRUWXO GH

ordine ntre aceste puteri


WRULORU HVWH PDL PLF

PXOWLSOLFDWLYH

0 ULPHD

PXOWLSOLFD

GHFkW vQ YDULDQWD $

1/(1 - c (1 - t)) > 1/(1 - c (1 - t - r) + g)


c/(1 - c (1 - t)) > c/(1 - c (1 - t - r) + g),
GHRDUHFH
DEVROXW

FRPSRQHQWD
L

PDUJLQDO

vQ

SOXV

QHJDWLY
DSDUH

QXPLWRUXOXL

FRPSRQHQW

FUHWH

DGLWLY 

vQ

SULQ

YDORDUH

vQFOLQD LD

VSUH FKHOWXLHOL JXYHUQDPHQWDOH 0HFDQLVPXO GH DF LXQH D

factorilor bugetari asupra produsului final este prezentat n figura 53.


0RGHOHOH

FDUH

LDX

vQ

FRQVLGHUDUH

LQWHUYHQ LD

VWDWXOXL

vQ

SURFHVXO FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH DX vQ YHGHUH HIHFWXO LQGXV GH FUHWHUHD


FHUHULL

JOREDOH

WRFPDL

FD

UH]XOWDW

DO

SR]L LHL

LQWHUYHQ LRQLVWH

statului prin politici bugetare. Eficacitatea acestor politici este mai


PDUH vQ FD]XO YDULDELOHORU EXJHWDUH H[RJHQH L PDL WHPSHUDW

vQ

cazul definirii lor ca dependente de produsul final. Astfel, pentru o

vQFOLQD LH PDUJLQDO

VSUH FRQVXP GH  L R UDW

D LPSXQHU

ii de

0,25, valorile multiplicatorilor (3.8.1), respectiv (4.2.1) sunt:

SHQWUX LQYHVWL LL L FKHOWXLHOL JXYHUQDPHQWDOH  vQ PRGHOXO






vQ

PRGHOXO

$

DGLF

vQ

UDSRUW

GH

2,42/1

SHQWUX LPSR]LWH L WUDQVIHUXUL  vQ PRGHOXO  L 

n modelul 11.1.2.2.A
)D

GH

UHDOLWDWHD

HFRQRPLF

GLIHULWHORU

HFRQRPLL

VWDELOL]DWH DFHWL PXOWLSOLFDWRUL VXQW UHODWLY PDUL FX DWkW PDL PXOW


FHL GLQ FODVD   3ULQFLSDOHOH H[SOLFD LL DOH DFHVWHL VXSUDHVWLP UL
D HILFLHQ HL SROLWLFLORU EXJHWDUH UH]LG

vQ IDSWXO F

VH IDFH DEVWUDF LH

GH SLD D H[WHUQ  GH SLD D ILQDQFLDU PRQHWDU  GH EORFDMHOH RIHUWHL FD

HIHFW DO FRPSRUWDPHQWXOXL DJHQ LORU SURGXF WRUL L GH IRUPXODUHD


FHUHULL QX QXPDL VXE LPSHULXO UD LRQDOLW
VXELHFWLY 

a) politica cheltuielilor bugetare

Yn

G0

unor fDFWRUL GH QDWXU

LL HFRQRPLFH GDU L DO

Yn

R0

Yn

c)

T0

b) politica transferurilor
C

SROLWLFD ILVFDO

)LJ  0HFDQLVPXO FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH GXS

PRGHOXO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH

FX LQWHUYHQ LD VWDWXOXL L FX WRDWH YDULDELOHOH EXJHWDUH GHSHQGHQWH


GH YHQLWXO QD LRQDO

11.2. Modelul economiei deschise

Modelul economiei deschise ia n considerare participarea


DJHQ LORU
VHUYLFLL
PRQHWDU

HFRQRPLFL
L

IDFH

vQ

OD

VFKLPEXULOH

FRQWLQXDUH

LQWHUQD LRQDOH

DEVWUDF LH

GH

GH

SLD D

EXQXUL

ILQDQFLDU

DWkW LQWHUQ  FkW L H[WHUQ  &D XUPDUH VH SURGXFH R

modificare a echilibrului macroeconomic.

11.2.1. &RQH[LXQL UHODWLYH OD FRPHU

XO H[WHULRU

Modelul economiei deschise presupune definirea variabiOHORU GH FRPHU

H[WHULRU L D UHOD LHL ORU FX SURGXVXO ILQDO

11.2.1.1. 'HSHQGHQ

D FRPHU

H[WHULRU

- DFWLYLWDWH LQWHUQ

&RPHU XO H[WHULRU HVWH UHSUH]HQWDW SULQ LQGLFDWRULL YROXPXO


H[SRUWXOXL ; L YROXPXO LPSRUWXOXL 0  FD L SULQ VROGXO EDODQ HL

comerciale

(B).

LQWHULRDU

HFRQRPLHL

Indicatorul

reprezentativ

QD LRQDOH

U PkQH

pentru activitatea

SURGXVXO

ILQDO

YHQLWXO

QD LRQDO  FD L PRGHOHOH HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH


5HIHULWRU OD FHUHUHD JOREDO

L RIHUWD JOREDO 

H[SRUWXO HVWH R GHVWLQD LH SHQWUX SURGXVXO LQWHUQ L GH DFHHD VH

include vQ FHUHUHD GH SURGXVH QD LRQDOH

LPSRUWXO HVWH R UHVXUV

SHQWUX LQGXVWULD LPSRUWDWRDUH SHQWUX

DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL FH IXQF LRQHD]

vQ FDGUXO HL L GH DFHHD VH

LQFOXGH vQ RIHUW 
5HOD LD GH HFKLOLEUX SHQWUX R HFRQRPLH GHVFKLV
ID

VH PRGLILF

GH FHD D XQHL HFRQRPLL vQFKLVH YH]L UHOD LD   ILLQG GH

forma:
Y + M = C + I + G + X,

(6.1)

vQ FDUH PHPEUXO VWkQJ HVWH vQ HOHV FD FHUHUH SH SLD D QD LRQDO

(Y -FHUHUH GH SURGXVH QD LRQDOH L 0 - cerere de produse de import),


LDU PHPEUXO GUHSW HVWH vQ HOHV FD RIHUW

D SLH HL QD LRQDOH &

de bunuri pentru consumul privat, I LQYHVWL LL *

RIHUW

LQWHUQ

- RIHUW

RIHUW

GH

SHQWUX

GH EXQXUL SHQWUX FRQVXPXO JXYHUQDPHQWDO L ;

GH EXQXUL SHQWUX H[SRUW  6H SRDWH DVWIHO IRU


FHUHUHD

EXQXUL

- RIHUW

VDWLVI FXW

SH

VHDPD

EXQXULORU

maliza cererea
SURGXVH

SULQ

DFWLYLWDWHD LQWHULRDU 

D=C+I+G+X-M

(6.2)

'HSHQGHQ D GLQWUH FRPHU XO H[WHULRU L DFWLYLWDWHD LQWHULRDU


HVWH UHSUH]HQWDW

SULQ IXQF LD GH H[SRUW L IXQF LD GH LPSRUW

([SRUWXO FRUHVSXQGH XQHL FHUHUL IRUPXODWH vQ H[WHULRU L GH

aceea, este determinat (ntr-R P

VXU

UHODWLY PDUH GH IDFWRUL H[WHUQL

HFRQRPLHL QD LRQDOH FXP VXQW FRQMXQFWXUD SLH HL PRQGLDOH VWDUHD

economiilor partenere, cursul de schimb, politicile comerciale ale


partenerilor etc. Din acest motiv exportul este considerat exogen
PRGHOXOXL L QX HVWH LQWURGXV SULQWU R IXQF LH SURSULX ]LV

GHSHQGHQW

DGLF

IDFWRULDO  FL SULQWU R FRQVWDQW 

(6.3)

X = X0

Importul corespunde unei cereri formulate n interior, este


DGUHVDW

IXUQL]RULORU

H[WHUQL

HVHQ LDO GH FDSDFLWDWHD GH SODW

HVWH

FRQVLGHUDW

GHSLQGH

D EHQHILFLDULORU DGLF

vQ

PRG

GH YHQLWXULOH

HFRQRPLHL

QD LRQDOH

GHSHQGHQ D

DFHVWXLD

'H

GH

SULQ vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

DFHHD

YHQLWXO

IXQF LD

QD LRQDO

VSUH LPSRUW

0XO LPHD IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ


GRW ULL

UDSRUWXULOH

FX

vQWUH

IDFWRUL

SUH XULOH

VFKLPE SROLWLFD FRPHUFLDO

GH

GHSHQGHQ

H[SULP

IRUPDOL]DW

m (0,1 ).

(6.4)

SHQWUX LPSRUW LQFOXGH L

SURGXF LH

LQWHUQH

LPSRUW

- m:

M = m Y + M0, cu M Y > 0
P VXUD

GH

FHOH

HFRQRPLHL
H[WHUQH

QD LRQDOH

FXUVXULOH

GH

ULL LPSRUWDWRDUH  D P G GDU DD

FXP DP SUHFL]DW YHQLWXO QD LRQDO U PkQH GHWHUPLQDQW Q FRQGL LLOH


FUHWHULL

YHQLWXOXL

QD LRQDO

YD

FUHWH

LPSRUWXO

FD

HIHFW

DO

GLYHUVLILF ULL L FUHWHULL H[LJHQ HORU FDOLWDWLYH DOH FHUHULL LQWHUQH FD


L DO FDSDFLW
'LQ

LL VSRULWH GH SODW 
IXQF LD

GH

LPSRUW

VH

SRDWH

GHWHUPLQD

HODVWLFLWDWHD

acestuia n raport cX YHQLWXO QD LRQDO

E M /Y =
unde m

M / M M / Y
=
= m / m,
Y / Y
M/Y

(6.4.1)

HVWH SRQGHUHD LPSRUWXOXL vQ SURGXVXO ILQDO LQWHULRU QXPLW

UDWD LPSRUWXOXL vQ UDSRUW FX YHQLWXO QD LRQDO 


'LQ  VH RE LQH

m = m EM/Y,

(6.4.2)

GLQ

FDUH

UH]XOW

UDSRUWXO

GLUHFW

vQWUH

vQFOLQD LD

PDUJLQDO

VSUH

LPSRUW SH GH R SDUWH L UDWD LPSRUWXOXL L HODVWLFLWDWHD DFHVWXLD SH


GH DOW

SDUWH  $FHDVW

GHSHQGHQ

GLUHFW

FRQGXFH OD LQWHUHV

ante

LQWHUSUHW UL HFRQRPLFH

(i)

R UDW

vQ FUHWHUH D LPSRUWXOXL VHPQLILF

GHVFKLV

VSUH

SLD D

PRQGLDO 

vQ

HFRQRPLHL VSUH H[WHULRU DPSOLILF


P UHWH vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

HODVWLFLWDWHD

LPSRUWXOXL

vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

FRQVHFLQ

GHVFKLGHUHD

UDWD LPSRUWXOXL L LPSOLFLW

VSUH LPSRUW

(ii) elaVWLFLWDWHD LPSRUWXOXL HVWH LQYHUV


RIHUWHL FX FkW RIHUWD LQWHUQ

R HFRQRPLH WRW PDL

vQ UDSRUW FX FRPSHWLWLYLWDWHD

HVWH PDL SX LQ FRPSHWLWLY  FX DWkW

HVWH

PDL

PDUH

L

vQ

FRQVHFLQ

VSUH LPSRUW FUHWH

11.2.1.2. 'HSHQGHQ

D GH FRQMXQFWXU

D VROGXOXL EDODQ HL

comerciale
3RUQLQG GH OD FHOH GRX

IXQF LL GH H[SRUW L GH LPSRUW  VH

GHILQHWH R IXQF LH D VROGXOXL EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH

B = X - M = X 0 - m Y - M 0 ,

(6.5)

vQ FDUH VH SRDWH HYLGHQ LD H[SRUWXO QHW DXWRQRP ;0


6H

REVHUY

DFHVW

VROG

HVWH

SURGXVXO ILQDO L FX vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO

- M0.

GHVFUHVF WRU
VSUH LPSRUW

vQ

UDSRUW

FX

'LQ

DFHVW

PRWLY

HFRQRPLLOH

QD LRQDOH

vQ

H[SDQVLXQH

DX

WHQGLQ D GH D L GLPLQXD DFHVW VROG GHRDUHFH LPSRUWXULOH LQGXF R

WHQGLQ

GH

FUHWHUH

HFRQRPLF 

$VWIHO

GHRDUHFH

UHOD LD

LPSRUW

SURGXV ILQDO  HVWH GLUHFW  OD R FUHWHUH D LPSRUWXOXL DUH ORF R


FUHWHUH D

SURGXVXOXL

ILQDO

LQWHULRU

FUHWHUH vQ

LPSRUWXULORU 'HRDUHFH UHOD LD LPSRUW VROG EDODQ

FRPHUFLDO

este inverV

 DFHVWD GLQ XUP

FRQWLQXDUH D


VH UHGXFH ,QYHUV UHFHVLXQLOH FRQGXF

la ameliorarea respectivului sold.


0RGLILFDUHD VW ULL VROGXOXL EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH DUH HIHFWH SH
SODQ ILQDQFLDU YDOXWDU vQ UH]HUYD YDOXWDU  vQ FXUVXO GH VFKLPE DO
PRQHGHL

QD LRQDOH

capitalurilor,
GLVSRQLELOLW

vQ

SDUWLFLSDUHD

dinamica

masei

OD

SLD D

LQWHUQD LRQDO

monetare,

dinamica

LORU E QHWL DOH SRSXOD LHL L DOH E QFLORU vQ GLQDPLFD

ratei dobnzii.
De exemplu, ntr-R
FRPHUFLDOH SURGXV
JHQHUHD]
PRQHWDU

FD U

UHFHVLXQH

VROGXOXL

EDODQ HL

ezultat al mecanismului prezentat mai sus,

HIHFWH vQ ODQ  SkQ


LQWHUQ

FUHWHUHD

ILJXUD  

OD YDULD LD UDWHL GREkQ]LL SH SLD D








rezervei
valutare



fluxului de

soldului
ba
comerciale

cursului
monedei

Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii pe


$


%#

Reducerea
cererii de
credit





&

%#

disponibil.

"

ofertei de

"

Fig. 54 Efecte financiar-PRQHWDUH DOH YDULD




ofertei de
credit

disponibil.
monetare

Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii la
depozite

"

depunerilor

economici

Reducerea
ratei
dobnzii la
credite

LHL VROGXOXL EDODQ HL

comerciale

11.2.1.3. 5HVWULF
,QWURGXFHUHD DFWLYLW

LL FRPHUFLDOH H[WHUQH

LL GH FRPHU

H[WHULRU vQ PRGHOXO GH

FUHWHUH SHUPLWH FD vQ DQXPLWH FRQGL LL UHVSHFWLY SH ED]D DFFHSW ULL
XQRU

LSRWH]H

SULYLQG

XQLL

LQGLFDWRUL

HFRQRPLFL

VH

IRUPXOH]H

FRQFOX]LL UHFRPDQG UL RULHQW UL UHVWULF LL SULYLQG FRPHU XO H[WHULRU


DO XQHL

UL

$VWIHO

GLQ

UHOD LD



SURGXVXOXL ILQDO FD IXQF LH LQYHUV

import-produs final printr-R

SRDWH

IL

GHWHUPLQDW

H[SUHVLD

D LPSRUWXOXL IRUPDOL] P UHOD LD

IXQF LH I DVWIHO vQFkW UHOD LD  VH

scrie:
M = f(Y)
L GUHSW XUPDUH

Y = [f]-1(M),
DGLF

Y=

1
(M M 0 )
m

9RP IRUPXOD LSRWH]D F

(6.6.1)
VROGXO EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH HVWH GDW

fie B. Determinarea produsului final se poate face pornind de la


UHOD LD  GLQ FDUH VH GHWHUPLQ  GXS

DFHODL SURFHGHX R DOW

exprHVLH D DFHOXLDL SURGXV ILQDO

Y=

1
(X M 0 B0 )
m 0

n ipoteza n care B0

(6.6.2)
 DGLF

DUD QX VH SRDWH vQGDWRUD SH

SLD D PRQGLDO  DWXQFL P ULPHD SURGXVXOXL ILQDO HVWH

Y=

1
(X M 0 )
m 0

(6.6.3)

11.2.2. 0RGHOXO NH\QHVLVW DO HFRQRPLHL GHVFKLVH I

FRQVLGHUDUHD LQWHUGHSHQGHQ HORU LQWHUQD LRQDOH

0RGHOXO

HFRQRPLHL

LQWHUQD LRQDOH SUHVXSXQH F

GHVFKLVH

I U

HFRQRPLD VWXGLDW

LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H
HVWH DFWLY

PRQGLDO  GDU OHJ WXUD GLQWUH HOH HVWH FXDQWLILFDW

SH SLD D

L IRUPDOL]DW

numai din punctul de vedere al respectivei economii. Aceasta


vQVHDPQ

VXQW HYLGHQ LDWH FDQWLWDWLY QXPDL H[SRUWXO L LPSRUWXO

ULL vQ FDX] 
0RGHOXO SUH]LQW
LQYHVWL LL L GH FRPHU

YDULDQWH GXS

FXP YDULDELOHOH EXJHWDUH GH

H[WH

rior sunt sau nu considerate exogen.

11.2.2.1. Modelul economiei deschise cu variabile exogene


$FHDVW

YDULDQW

GH

PRGHO

SUHVXSXQH

LQWHUYHQ LRQLVPXO

VWDWDO SULQ YDULDELOH EXJHWDUH FRQVLGHUDWH H[RJHQH ([LVW


QXDQ

ID

WRWXL R

GH SUHFHGHQWHOH PRGHOH LQWHUYHQ LRQLVWH SULQ IDSWXO F

SULQ SROLWLFD YDPDO  VWDWXO SRDWH LQIOXHQ D HFKLOLEUXO HFRQRPLF L


SULQ LPSDFWXO DVXSUD vQFOLQD LHL PDUJLQDOH VSUH LPSRUWXUL

n structura modelului se includ:

IXQF LD GH FRQVXP YH]L  

IXQF LD GH LPSRUW YH]L  

UHOD LD GH HFKLOLEUX SHQWUX R HFRQRPLH GHVFKLV

SUHFXP L YDORULOH H[RJHQH DOH LQYHVWL LLORU ,

,0

YH]L  

), impozitelor

(T = T0), cheltuielilor guvernamentale (G = G0), transferurilor


(R = R0 L H[SRUWXULORU ;

;0

).

Valorile de echilibru pentru


&  VH GHWHUPLQ

Y* =

SURGXVXO ILQDO <  L FRQVXP

SH ED]D DFHVWRU UHOD LL ILLQG

1
c
C0 + I 0 + G 0 + (X 0 M 0 ) +
(T R 0 )
1 c + m
1 c + m 0

(6.7.1)

C* =

c
c(1 + m )
I 0 + G 0 + (X 0 M 0 ) +
(T R 0 ) +
1 c + m
1 c + m 0

1+ m
C
1 c + m 0

(6.7.2)

0XOWLSOLFDWRULL

1/(1 -

F  P L F 

SDUWLFXODULW

FH FRQGL LRQHD]

FUHWHUHD HFRQRPLF

F  P L VH FDUDFWHUL]HD]

VXQW

SULQ XUP WRDUHOH

L

sunt mai mici dect n modelul economiei nchise:

1/(1 - c + m) < 1/(1 - c)

(6.8.1)

c/(1 - c + m) < c/(1 - c)

(6.8.2)

S VWUHD]

JUXSDUHD

LQYHVWL LLOH

SXWHUH

FKHOWXLHOLOH
FUHWHUH

putere de
LPSR]LWHOH

GH

DEVROXW  SH GH DOW

IDFWRULORU

JXYHUQDPHQWDOH

HFRQRPLF

F URU

LQIOXHQ

PDL
HVWH

SH

GH
R

SDUWH

FX

WUDQVIHUXULOH

PDUH

GH

LQIOXHQ

FRQVLGHUDW

vQ

YDORDUH

SDUWH FX SXWHUH GH FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF

PDL PLF 

1/(1 - c + m) > c/(1 - c + m)

DSDU

DO L

GRL

LPSRUWXULOH

IDFWRUL

F URU

GH

FUHWHUH

putere

HVWH

(6.8.3)
HFRQRPLF 
VLPLODU

FX

H[SRUWXULOH
D

LQYHVWL LLORU

respectiv cheltuielilor guvernamentale.


$QDOL]D

VWUXFWXULL

DFHVWRU

PXOWLSOLFDWRUL

SXQH

vQ

HYLGHQ

cteva praguri L FD]XUL SDUWLFXODUH LQWHUHVDQWe:


(i)

PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO LPSR]LWHORU L WUDQVIHUXULORU SRDWH IL VXSUD VDX


VXEXQLWDU GXS

FXP F

> (1 + m)/2 sau c < (1 + m)/2, echivalent

cu m < 2c - 1, respectiv m > 2c - 1; n plus, pentru ca impactul


FHORU GRX

YDULDELOH V

GHRDUHFH

DOWIHO

LQDFFHSWDELO

ILH VXSUDXQLWDU HVWH QHFHVDU FD F

UH]XOW

SHQWUX

YDORDUH

QHJDWLY 

DYkQG vQ YHGHUH FRQ LQXWXO HFRQRPLF DO DFHVWXL

LQGLFDWRU &D L vQ FD]XO PRGHOXOXL $ VH REVHUY


FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF

spre coQVXP

> 0,5,

SXWHUQLF

DUH OD ED]

R vQFOLQD LH PDUJLQDO

UHODWLY ULGLFDW  FHHD FH SUHVXSXQH VXV LQHUHD SULQ

FRQVXP

FHUHULL

L

LPSOLFLW

RIHUWHL

IDSW

FH

PRWLYHD]

L LPSOLFLW D GLPHQVLXQLL DFWLYLW

FUHWHUHD DFHVWHLD GLQ XUP

LL

economice.
(ii) SHQWUX

YDORDUHD

invHVWL LLORU

SUDJ

FKHOWXLHOLORU

P

UH]XOW

PXOWLSOLFDWRULL

JXYHUQDPHQWDOH

LPSRUWXOXL VXQW GH P ULPHD XQLW

LL DGLF

H[SRUWXOXL

YHQLWXO FUHWH H[DFW

FX VSRUXO LQGLFDWRULORU PHQ LRQD L

(iii) SHQWUX DFHHDL YDORDUH SUDJ F

P PXOWLSOLFDWRULL LPSR]LWHORU

FRQVLGHUDW vQ YDORDUH DEVROXW L WUDQVIHUXULORU VXQW GH DFHHDL


P ULPH

FX

vQFOLQD LD

PDUJLQDO

VSUH

FRQVXP

DGLF

YHQLWXO

FUHWH FX XQ FXDQWXP GHSLQ]kQG QX QXPDL GH VSRUXO YDULDELOHORU


vQ FDX]  FL L GH P ULPHD vQFOLQD LHL PDUJLQDOH VSUH FRQVXP

Decalajul de putere ntre acest model


vQFKLVH

HVWH

LQYHVWL LL

GH

PXOWLSOLFDWRU

LPSRUWDQW
R

YDORDUH

GH

3UHVXSXQkQG
UHODWLY

P ULPH



vQFOLQD LH

IUHFYHQW 
SHQWUX

L FHO DO HFRQRPLHL

PDUJLQDO


LQYHVWL LL

JXYHUQDPHQWDOH vQ PRGHOXO HFRQRPLHL GHVFKLVH ID

UH]XOW

VSUH
XQ

FKHOWXLHOL

GH  vQ FHO DO

HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH UHVSHFWLY GH  SHQWUX LPSR]LWH L WUDQVIHUXUL vQ


PRGHOXO HFRQRPLHL GHVFKLVH ID
DGLF

XQ UDSRUW GH RUGLQH GH 

GH  vQ FHO DO HFRQRPLHL vQFKLVH

2 FRPSDUD LH LQWHUHVDQW

modelului

VH SRDWH IDFH vQWUH PXOWLSOLFDWRULL

vQFKLV FX LQWHUYHQ LD VWDWXOXL SULQ LPSR]LWH GHSHQGHQWH

GH SURGXVXO ILQDO $ L PRGHOXO HFRQRPLHL GHVFKLVH FX

variabile bugetare exogene (11.2.2.1). n acest sens este de


FRPSDUDW PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO FKHOWXLHOLORU JXYHUQDPHQWDOH GLQ FHOH GRX

modele:
1/(1 - c (1 - t)) a 1/(1 - c + m),

(6.9.1)

ceea ce revine la
1-c+c ta1-c+m
sau
ctam
'DF

< c t atunci puterea

PXOWLSOLFDWLY

D FKHOWXLHOLORU

guvernamentale este mai mare n modelul economiei deschise,


DGLF

1/(1 - c (1 - t)) < 1/(1 - c + m),


LDU GDF

> c

W DWXQFL SXWHUHD PXOWLSOLFDWLY

D FKHOWXLHOLORU

guvernamentale este mai mare n modelul economiei nchise.


3HQWUX

WUDQVIHUXUL

LPSR]LWH

DO

F URU

LPSDFW

HVWH

FRQVLGHUDW vQ YDORDUH DEVROXW UDSRUWXULOH GH RUGLQH vQWUH FHOH GRX


PRGHOH VH S VWUHD]

FD PDL VXV GXS

FXP P

< c t sau m > c t.

11.2.2.2. Modelul economiei deschise cu variabile dependente


de produsul final
$FHDVW

YDULDQW

GH

PRGHO

LQWHUYHQ LRQLVPXO VWDWDO FRQGL LRQDW vQV

SUHVXSXQH

GH

DVHPHQHD

GH GHSHQGHQ D GH SURGXVXO

final a variabilelor bugetare. n structura modelului se includ:

IXQF LD GH FRQVXP YH]L 

IXQF LD GH LPSRUW YH]L 

IXQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL YH]L 

IXQF LD FKHOWXLHOLORU JXYHUQDPHQWDOH YH]L 

IXQF LD LPSR]LWHORU

IXQF LD WUDQVIHUXULORU EXJHWDUH YH]L 

HFXD LD HFKLOLEUXOXL PDFURHFRQRPLF YH]L 

UHVWULF LD GH H[SRUW YH]L 

vezi 4.1)

) FkQG VXEVWLWX LD YDULDELOHORU vQ HFXD LD GH EDODQ


HFKLOLEUXOXL

PDFURHFRQRPLF

VH

RE LQ

YDORULOH

GH

HFXD LD

HFKLOLEUX

SURGXVXOXL ILQDO L FRQVXPXOXL

Y* =
=

1
(C 0 + I 0 + G 0 + X 0 M 0 c(T0 R 0 ))
1 c( t r ) a + g + m
1

(7.1)

DO

C* =

c(1 a + g + m )
1 a + g + m
C0

1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m
1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m

(T0 R 0 ) +

c(1 t r )
(I + G 0 + X 0 M 0 )
1 c(1 t r ) a + g + m 0
(7.2)

3HQWUX LQYHVWL LL FKHOWXLHOL JXYHUQDPHQWDOH H[SRUW L LPSRUW


DO F UXL LPSDFW HVWH FRQVLGHUDW vQ YDORDUH DEVROXW PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO

are valoarea 1/(1 - c (1 - t - r) - D  J  P  LDU SHQWUX WUDQVIHUXUL L


LPSR]LWH

DO

F UXL

LPSDFW

HVWH

FRQVLGHUDW

vQ

YDORDUH

PXOWLSOLFDWRUXO DUH DFHHDL YDORDUH GDU PXOWLSOLFDW


0XOWLSOLFDWRULL VXQW GH SXWHUH PDL PLF

DEVROXW

FX F
GHFkW

vQ FD]XO

economiei nchise, deoarece apare fenomenul fugii n importuri,


DGLF

D WUDQVIHUXOXL GH YHQLW LQW

HIHFWXDWH GH HFRQRPLD LQYHVWLJDW

ern spre exterior prin importurile


SULQ PRGHO

11.2.3. Modelul keynesist al economiei deschise


FX LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H LQWHUQD LRQDOH

0RGHOXO

HFRQRPLHL

GHVFKLVH DD FXP D IRVW SUH]HQWDW vQ

FDSLWROHOH  L  DERUGHD]

studiate ntr-R

PDQLHU

IRDUWH

FRPHU XO H[WHULRU DO HFRQRPLHL

JHQHUDO

SURQXQ DW

XQLODWHUDO 

ntruct exteriorul este figurat doar ca o reflexie a economiei n


FDX] 

GDF

DFHDVWD

GLQ

XUP

H[SRUW

beneficiari (consumatori) externL


H[LVW

LDU

vQVHDPQ
GDF

H[LVW

LPSRUW

QLWH

vQVHDPQ

QLWH IXUQL]RUL SURGXF WRUL H[WHUQL 3UREOHPD F

L SHQWUX

DFHWL H[WHUQL WUHEXLH UHDOL]DWH QLWH FRQGL LL GH HFKLOLEUX QX HVWH


UHIOHFWDW

vQ PRGHOHOH SUH]HQWDWH

0RGHOXO

intHUQD LRQDOH
VFKLPEXULOH
JHQHUHD]

HFRQRPLHL

vL

GHVFKLVH

SURSXQH

GHWHUPLQH

FRPHUFLDOH

H[WHUQH

DVXSUD SURGXVXOXL

ILQDO

FX

FRQVHFLQ HOH

SROLWLFLOH

L GH

LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H

GH

SH

FDUH

LQYHVWLJD LH

OH

DVHPHQHD LPSDFWXO ORU

asupra echilibrului economic.


n cazul cel mai general, interdependen HOH
VSHFLILFH

HFRQRPLHL

FUHWHUHHFKLOLEUX

QD LRQDOH

WUHEXLH

LQYHVWLJDWH

LQWURGXVH

SHQWUX

SULQWU

LQWHUQD LRQDOH

-un model de

ILHFDUH

GLQ

SDUWHQHULL

H[WHUQL DL DFHVWHLD FHHD FH DU P UL PXOW GLPHQVLXQLOH PRGHOXOXL


JUDGXO V X GH FRPSOH[LWDWH L GLILFXOW

LO

e de rezolvare.

0RGHOXO SUH]HQWDW vQ FRQWLQXDUH VH ED]HD]

SH GRX

LSRWH]H

simplificatoare:
(i)

LSRWH]D OXL .H\QHV SRWULYLW F UHLD VXQW DFFHSWD L GRL SDUWHQHUL


HFRQRPLD

LQYHVWLJDW

SULQ

PRGHO

SDUWHQHUXO

exteriorul/restul lumii - partenerul B; corHVSXQ]

WRU DFHVWHL

LSRWH]H

H[SRUWXO

SDUWHQHUXOXL

VH

UHJ VHWH

vQ

WRWDOLWDWH

vQ

FXP H[SRUWXULOH OXL % VH UHJ VHVF

LPSRUWXO SDUWHQHUXOXL % GXS

n totalitate n importurile lui A; restul lumii constituie din


punctul de vedere al teoriei sistemelor, al tHRULHL PRGHO

ULL L DO

FRQFHSWHORU FLEHUQHWLFLL HFRQRPLFH R FXWLH QHDJU EODFN ER[


D

F UHL

VWUXFWXU

UHOHYDQWH

LQYHVWLJD LD

SHQWUX

DEVWUDF LH

GH

PHFDQLVP

HOH

FRPSRUWDPHQWXO ID

FHHD

LQWHUQ

HIHFWXDW 

FH

VH

DOW

HFRQRPLH

QXDQ HD]

LD

IXQF LRQDUH
DVWIHO

vQ

GH HFRQRPLD QD LRQDO

(ii) LSRWH]D OXL - /HFDLOORQ SRWULYLW F


R

GH

QD LRQDO 

n considHUDUH DFHVWHL

VXQW

VH

IDFH

FRQVLGHUDUH

este

RELHFW

UHLD H[WHULRUXO HVWH WUDWDW FD

$FHDVW

DEVWUDF LD PHQ LRQDW

vQFkW

QX

LSRWH]

GLPLQXHD]

PDL VXV SULQ IDSWXO F

D GRXD HFRQRPLL QD LRQDOH GRX

L VH LDX
IXQF LL

GH FRPSRUWDPHQW IXQF LD GH FRQVXP L IXQF LD GH LPSRUW GH


IRUPD  L UHVSHFWLY  
7RW
VWDWXOXL

FD

GHFL

LSRWH]H
D

VLPSOLILFDWRUH

YDULDELOHORU

EXJHWDUH

LQYHVWL LLORU SHQWUX FDUH VH DFFHSW


YDULDELOHOH GH

VWDUH

DOH

SXWHP
L

FRQVLGHUD

FDUDFWHUXO

exogen al

R YDORDUH GDW  QHGHSHQGHQW

GH

PRGHOXOXL Q DFHVWH FRQGL LL HFXD LD GH

HFKLOLEUX PDFURHFRQRPLF HVWH GH IRUPD   vQ FDUH vQV


DSDUH YDULDELOD EXJHWDU

DEVHQ D

*

QX PDL

n structura modelului keynesist al economiei deschise cu


LQWHUGHSHQGHQ H LQWHUQD LRQDOH VH LQFOXG WUHL PRGXOH XQXO SHQWUX
DUD $ L XQXO SHQWUX
GRL

SDUWHQHUL

DGLF

DUD % SUHFXP L UHOD LLOH GH OHJ WXU


UHOD LLOH

FRPHUFLDOH

UHFLSURFH

vQWUH FHL

JUXSDWH

modelul L):
modulul A:

IXQF LD GH FRQVXP

&$

IXQF LD GH LPSRUW

0$

HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX

<$

LQYHVWL LD H[RJHQ

,$

F$

YA + CA0

P$

(8.1)

YA + MA0

&$  ,$  ;$

- MA

,$0

(8.2)
(8.3)
(8.4)

modulul B:

IXQF LD GH FRQVXP

&%

IXQF LD GH LPSRUW

0%

HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX

LQYHVWL LD H[RJHQ

<%
,%

F%

YB + CB0

P%

YB + MB0

&%  ,%  ;%
,%0

(8.5)

- MB

(8.6)
(8.7)
(8.8)

modulul L:

H[SRUWXO

ULL $

;$

0%

LPSRUWXO

ULL %

0$

;%




vQ

11.2.3.1. Conexiunea ntre produsul final al celor doi parteneri


Determinarea nivelului de echilibru al produsului final al
ILHF UXL

SDUWHQHU

VH IDFH SH

ED]D

HFXD LHL

VDOH

GH HFKLOLEUX L D

IXQF LLORU VDOH GH FRPSRUWDPHQW 3HQWUX SDUWHQHUXO $ UH]XOW 

YA* =

CA 0 + IA 0 + XA MA 0
1 cA + mA

vQ FDUH IDFHP VXEVWLWX LD 


PDUJLQDO

- F$

(9.1)

V$ XQGH V$ UHSUH]LQW

vQFOLQD LD

VSUH HFRQRPLL vQ HFRQRPLD SDUWHQHUXOXL $ RE LQHP

YA* =

CA 0 + IA 0 + XA MA 0
sA + mA

Q DFHDVW

(9.2)

UHOD LH H[SOLFLW P H[SRUWXULOH OXL $ SULQ  L

  DGLF

XA = MB = mb YB + MB0
L RE LQHP

YA* =

CA 0 + IA 0 + mB YB + MB0 MA 0
sA + mA

(9.3)

n mod similar avem pentru partenerul B:

YB* =

CB0 + IB0 + mA YA + MA 0 MB0


sB + mB

3ULQ VXEVWLWX LD UHFLSURF


OXL <$ vQ  RE LQHP

D OXL <% vQ  L

(9.4)
respectiv, a

YA* =
=

(sB + mB)(CA 0 + IA 0 ) + mB(CB0 + IB0 ) + sB( MB0 MA 0 )


(sA + mA )(sB + mB) mA mB
(9.5)

YB* =
=

(sA + mA )(CB0 + IB0 ) + mA(CA 0 + IA 0 ) + sA( MA 0 MB0 )


(sA + mA )(sB + mB) mA mB
(9.6)
$PSORDUHD

vQFOLQD LLOH
DXWRQRPH

LQWHUGHSHQGHQ HORU

PDUJLQDOH
DOH

VSUH

YDULDELOHORU

FRQVXP

GH

VWDUH

HVWH

GHWHUPLQDW

LPSRUWXUL

FRQVXP

GH

GH

QLYHOHOH

LPSRUWXUL

GH

P ULPHD H[RJHQ D LQYHVWL LLORU

Este intHUHVDQW
IDFWRULORU GH LQIOXHQ

GH

VHPQDODW SRVLELOLWDWHD XQHL

 FXP VXQW

FHUHUHD DXWRQRP

WRWDO

partenerului

(CA0+IA0),

UHJUXS UL D

GH EXQXUL GH FRQVXP L GH LQYHVWL LL D

respectiv

a partenerului

(CB0+IB0);
soldul importurilor autonome reciproce: MB0-MA0 (pentru
SDUWHQHUXO $ L 0$0
3H

ED]D

-MB0 (pentru partenerul B).

UHOD LLORU



 

DFHVWH

acceptate, n anumite limite, ca export autonom net.

VROGXUL

SRW

IL

 (IHFWHOH VWLPXO

ULL SULQ LQYHVWL LL

Conexiunile propuse de acest model conduc la un efect de


LQYHVWLJD LL FRQYHUJHQW QXPLW HIHFW GH UHWXU FDUH JHQHUHD]

VLQFURQL]DUH D GLQDPLFLL HFRQRPLHL FHORU GRL SDUWHQHUL $VWIHO GDF


vQ HFRQRPLD SDUWHQHUXOXL $ FUHVF LQYHVWL LLOH vQ DQXO  ID


DGLF

,$0

>IA01, atunci,

YA2>YA1 SUHVXSXQkQG F
FD

XUPDUH

FRQIRUP

vQ

echilibru (8.7), YB2>YB1.


HFRQRPLF

LQIOXHQ HD]
FUHWHUH

HFXD LHL

HFKLOLEUX

GH

LPSRUW

ILQH

SRWULYLW

$FHDVWD

VWDUHD

 

0$

FHOHLODOWH

vQVHDPQ

GLQDPLFD

>MA1

F 

XQXLD

vQ

GLQ

SH D FHOXLODOW vQ DFHODL VHQV SUHFXP L F

HFRQRPLF

OD

XQXO

GLQ

SDUWHQHUL

celuilalt, stimulndu-i crHWHUHD HFRQRPLF


9RP

GH

SXQH

vQ

 

WR L FHLODO L WHUPHQL U PkQ QHPRGLILFD L

IXQF LHL

(8.10) avem XB2>XB1

SDUWHQHULDW

SRWULYLW

GH DQXO

HYLGHQ

vQ

VH

GLQ

HFXD LHL

GH

FRQGL LL

GH

SDUWHQHUL

XQ HIRUW GH

U VIUkQJH

DVXSUD

FRQWLQXDUH

HIHFWXO

XQXL

HIRUW

LQYHVWL LRQDO LQWHUQ OD SDUWHQHUXO $ SUHFXP L DO XQHL SURPRY UL D


LQYHVWL LLORU vQ UHVWXO OXPLL

A. Mecanismul producerii la ambii parteneri a unui efect de


FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF

SH VHDPD HIRUWXOXL LQYHVWL LRQDO OD XQXO GLQWUH HL

D IRVW SUH]HQWDW PDL VXV &RQWLQXkQG UD LRQDPHQWXO GH OD HIHFWXO


SULPDU LQGXV GH OD $ VSUH % DGLF

GH OD <%

YB1

VH REVHUY

DSDUH XQ HIHFW GH RUGLQXO GRL FUHWHUHD SURGXVXOXL ILQDO DO OXL %

antreneaz

R FUHWHUH D LPSRUWXULORU VDOH FRQIRUP  L GH DLFL R

FUHWHUH D OXL ;$ FRQIRUP   FD XUPDUH YD FUHWH <$ FRQIRUP


  &UHWHUHD FRQWLQX

vQ YDOXUL VXFFHVLYH SH ED]D DFHOXLDL

UD LRQDPHQW $SDUH XQ LU LQILQLW GH FUHWHUL DOH OXL <$ L <%

, care

FRQGXF OD LPDJLQHD XQXL LQGLFDWRU GH WLS WRWDO DD FXP D IRVW


DPLQWLW vQ FDSLWROXO  UHOD LD  
(YLGHQ LHUHD DFHVWXL HIHFW HVWH vQOHVQLW

GH H[SUHVLD P ULPLL

GH HFKLOLEUX D SURGXVXOXL ILQDO DO FHORU GRL SDUWHQHUL  L  

n care vom cRQVLGHUD

FRQVWDQ L

UHVWXO

IDFWRULORU

HIRUWXO

LQYHVWL LRQDO L vQ JHQHUDO YDULD LD LQYHVWL LLORU VDX D RULF UXL DOW
IDFWRU vO H[SULP P SULQ RSHUDWRUXO GH YDULD LH DYHP

YA =

IA 0 + mB YB
sA + mA

(10.1)

YB =

mA YA
sB + mB

(10.2)

)DFHP REVHUYD LD F

vQ  QX

-l putem considera constant

pe YB, deoarece, potrivit mecanismului deja descris mai sus, acesta


YDULD]

RGDW

FX LQYHVWL LLOH SDUWHQHUXOXL $

Substituim YB din (10.1) cu


VHSDU P GLQ QRX <$ DYHP

YDORDUHD

OXL

GLQ



YA =
GLQ

FDUH

VH

sB + mB
IA 0 ,
sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

RE LQH

YDORDUHD

HILFLHQ HL

PDUJLQDOH

(10.3)
D

LQYHVWL LLORU

HIHFWXDWH GH SDUWHQHUXO $ DVXSUD SURSULHL FUHWHUL HFRQRPLFH

YA
sB + mB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
'DF

YRP

VXEVWLWXL



vQ

(10.4)

 

RE LQHP

YDORDUHD

HILFLHQ HL PDUJLQDOH D LQYHVWL LLORU HIHFWXDWH GH SDUWHQHUXO $ DVXSUD


FUHWHULL HFRQRPLFH D SDUWHQHUXOXL V X %

mA
YB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
3ULQ LQWHUPHGLXO UHOD LLORU GH OHJ WXU
 L  SRDWH IL GHWHUPLQDW

(10.5)
GLQWUH FHL GRL SDUWHQHUL

LQIOXHQ D LQYHVWL LLORU DVXSUD

EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH D HFRQRPLHL LQYHVWLJDWH SULQ PRGHO SDUWHQHUXO


$  )LH %$ EDODQ D FRPHUFLDO

SH ED]D UHOD LHL  vQ FDUH VH

ULL $ ([SUHVLD HL VH GHWHUPLQ


LQH VHDPD GH UHOD LD GH OHJ WXU

 L VH VXEVWLWXLH LPSRUWXO FHORU GRL SDUWHQHUL FRQIRUP  L

(8.6); avem:
BA = mB YB + MB0 mA YA MA 0
,PSDFWXO

LQYHVWL LLORU

introduce prin operatoruO

DVXSUD

EDODQ HL

(10.6)
FRPHUFLDOH

VH

GH YDULD LH vQ SULPXO SDV VH RE LQH GLQ

  YDULD LD EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH vQ UDSRUW FX YDULD LD SURGXVXOXL

ILQDO DO ILHF UXLD GLQ FHL GRL SDUWHQHUL <$ L

YB; n al doilea pas se

IDFH VXEVWLWX LD OXL <$ FRQIRUP  L VLPLODU D OXL

YB conform

 

PDUJLQDO

vQ

DO

WUHLOHD

SDV

VH

GHWHUPLQ

HILFLHQ D

LQYHVWL LLORU vQ UDSRUW FX VROGXO EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH

BA
mA sB
=
IA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

B.
SH

VHDPD

0HFDQLVPXO FH JHQHUHD]
LQYHVWL LLORU

HVWH

(10.7)

HIHFWXO GH FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF

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XQ

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GH

SDUWHQHUXO % VH UHJ VHWH vQWU R FUHWHUH HFRQRPLF

$

,QVLVWHQ D

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HIHFWHORU

SDUWHQHUXO $ HVWH PRWLYDW

GH

FUHWHUH

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OD

D SDUWHQHUXOXL

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fapt obiectul de studiu/iQYHVWLJDUH DO PRGHOXOXL SUH]HQWDW 3H GH DOW


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vQ

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OXPLL

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GH

FUHWHUH

HFRQRPLF

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DU 

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FL

GRDU

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L GH FRQVWUXF LH D PRGHOXOXL
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SUH]HQWDW OD SXQFWXO $ RE LQHP

YDULD LD SURGXVXOXL ILQDO DO ILHF UXLD GLQWUH SDUWHQHUL SH VHDPD


VSRUXOXL GH LQYHVWL LL OD SDUWHQHUXO %

YB =

IB0 + mA YA
sB + mB

(11.1)

YA =

mB YB
sB + mB

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

(11.2)

D LQYHVWL LLORU HIHFWXDWH GH SDUWHQHUXO % vQ

raport cu produsul final al celor doi parteneri:


YA
mB
=
IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
YB
sA + mA
=
IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

(11.3)

(11.4)

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

D LQYHVWL LLORU HIHFWXDWH GH SDUWHQHUXO % vQ

UDSRUW FX VROGXO EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH D OXL $

BA
sA mB
=
IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
(IHFWXO
FRPHUFLDOH

LQYHVWL LRQDO

OXL

HVWH

WRWDO

GDW

GH

(,7
VXPD

(11.5)

DVXSUD

VROGXOXL

HILFLHQ HORU

EDODQ HL

PDUJLQDOH

DOH

LQYHVWL LLORU vQ UDSRUW FX DFHVW VROG

EIT =

BA BA
sA mB mA sB
(11.6)
+
=
IA 0 IB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

'HVSUH DFHVW HIHFW VH SRDWH VSXQH F

componenta negatiY

L

FD

DWDUH

OLPLWDW

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SDUWHQHUL

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FDUH

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DO

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LQYHVWHWH

vQFOLQD LLORU

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FL

VH

GLVWULEXLH

PDUJLQDOH VSUH LPSRUW L

vQWUH
VSUH

conVXP
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DPSOX

VDX

FRPHUFLDOH
H[WHULRU

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PDL
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V$

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F$ L V%

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XQ HIHFW

GH

ILQDO

FRPHU XO

DO

ILHF UXL

partener, dar n sens contrar, ceea ce conduce spre o limitare a


GH]HFKLOLEUHORU H[WHUQH PHFDQLVPXO DFHVWHL OLPLW UL HVWH SUH]HQWDW
vQ SDUDJUDIXO FH XUPHD] 

11.2.3.3. (IHFWHOH VWLPXO

ULL SULQ FRPHU XO H[WHULRU

/LPLWDUHD GH]HFKLOLEUHORU H[WHUQH SH FDUH OH VXSRUW


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LQWHUSDUWHQHUL

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SURGXVXO

LPSRUWXULORU OXL $ DQWUHQHD]


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L

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UHGXFHUHD SURGXF LHL VDOH L FUHWHUHD


FXP UHGXFHUHD LPSRUWXULORU OX

i A duce

OD UHGXFHUHD SURGXF LHL SDUWHQHUXOXL %


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SULQ LPSRUWXUL

deoarece exporturile le-DP FRQVLGHUDW SULQ LSRWH]HOH LQL LDOH FD ILLQG


exogene) se produce prin propriile importuri sau prin cele ale
partenerului.
A. 9RP DQDOL]D vQWkL HIHFWXO FUHWHULL LPSRUWXULORU QD LRQDOH
HIHFW LQGXV SULQ LPSRUWXULOH DXWRQRPH DGLF

D FRPSRQHQWHL 0$0

GLQ IXQF LD GH LPSRUW   1X QH SXWHP UHIHUL OD IXQF LD GH LPSRUW


vQ DQVDPEOXO HL GHRDUHFH DFHDVWD SUHVXSXQH FUHWHUHD LPSRU
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turilor

FUHWHUH

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vQVHDPQ

diminuare a produsului final (FRQIRUP

SHQWUX

UHOD LHL

QXPDL

DUD

 

$FHDVWD

FRQGXFH OD GHWHULRUDUHD VROGXOXL EDODQ HL VDOH FRPHUFLDOH


3H GH DOW

SDUWH GLPLQXDUHD LPSRUWXULORU OXL $ vQWUH GRX

PRPHQWH VXFFHVLYH vQVHDPQ

FRQIRUP 

;%

<XB1, de

unde (conform (8.7)) YB2<YB1, apoi (conform (8.6)) MB2<MB1,


apoi (conform (8.9)) XA2<XA1, apoi (conform (8.3)) YA2<YA1
vQ

VIkULW

FRQIRUP



0$

<MA1

DGLF

WHQGLQ

L
GH

GLPLQXDUH D LPSRUWXULORU XQ LU GH LPSRUWXUL GLQ FH vQ FH PDL PLFL


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comerciale.

Din expresia nivelelor de echilibru ale produselor finale (9.3


L   SULQ YDULD LD H[FOXVLY D LPSRUWXULORU

ULL $ RE LQHP

YA =

mB YB MA 0
sA + mA

(12.1)

YB =

mA YA + MA 0
sB + mB

(12.2)

L SULQWU XQ SURFHGHX VLPLODU FHOXL GHVFULV OD LQYHVWL LL GHWHUPLQ P

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

D LPSRUWXULORU

ULL $ vQ UDSRUW FX SURGXVXO

ILQDO DO ILHF UXLD GLQWUH SDUWHQHUL

YA
sB
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
YB
sA
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

(12.3)

(12.4)

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

D LPSRUWXULORU

ULL $ vQ UDSRUW FX VROGXO

EDODQ HL VDOH FRPHUFLDOH

BA
sA sB
=
MA 0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

B.

9RP

DQDOL]D

vQ

(12.5)

ILQDO

HIHFWXO

FUHWHULL

importurilorrestului lumii. Procednd similar, vom remarca nti


F

FUHWHUH

LPSRUWXOXL

importu-ULORU

DXWRQRPH

FRPHUFLDOH D

ULL $ OLPLWDW

UHVWXOXL

JHQHUHD]
vQV

SDUWHQHUXOXL L FUHWHULL FHOXL DO


FHOXL

GHVFULV

vQ

SDUDJUDIXO

OXPLL
R

SH

VHDPD

DPHOLRUDUH

FUHWHULL
EDODQ HL

GH UHGXFHUHD SURGXVXOXL ILQDO DO


ULL $ SULQWU

SUHFHGHQW 

-un mecanism similar


0 ULPHD

LPSDFWXOXL

importurilor restului lumii se poate determina pornind de la


UHOD LLOH  L  FD vQ SDUDJUDIXO SUHFHGHQW GDU VHPQDO P R
FDOH PDL OHVQLFLRDV

XWLOL]kQG UHOD LLOH  L   'DF

vQ DFHVWH

UHOD LL LQWURGXFHP RSHUDWRUXO GH YDULD LH

RE LQHP VXQW FRQVWDQ L

DO L IDFWRUL GHFkW LPSRUWXO 

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

D LPSRUWXULORU UHVWXOXL OXPLL vQ UDSRUW FX

SURGXVXO ILQDO DO ILHF UXLD GLQWUH SDUWHQHUL

YA
sB
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB
YB
sA
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

(13.1)

(13.2)

HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO

D LPSRUWXULORU UHVWXOXL OXPLL vQ UDSRUW FX

VROGXO EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH D

ULL $

BA
sA sB
=
MB0 sA sB + sA mB + mA sB

Efectul total al importurilor asupUD


DVXSUD EDODQ HL FRPHUFLDOH D
YDULD LHL
HIHFWXO

LPSRUWXULORU
HVWH

QXO

acestor efecte.

FHHD

SURGXVHORU

ULL $ VH GHWHUPLQ

ILHF UXLD
FH

(13.3)

GLQWUH

FRQILUP

vQVXPkQG HIHFWHOH

SDUWHQHUL

DILUPD LLOH

ILQDOH

VH

REVHUY

SULYLQG

OLPLWDUHD

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