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Analyst Presentation - BAL For 13th May 10
Analyst Presentation - BAL For 13th May 10
FY10 TOTAL Total 2Wh's UNITS 3 Wh's Total Units Motorcycles 2,506,791 2,511,643 340,937 2,852,580 FY10 Domestic Total 2Wh's Units 3 Wh's Total Units Motorcycles 1,781,768 1,785,528 176,050 1,961,578 FY10 Export Total 2Wh's Units 3 Wh's Total Units Motorcycles 725,023 726,115 164,887 891,002
FY09 1,907,853 1,919,625 274,529 2,194,154 FY09 1,276,470 1,286,162 135,473 1,421,635 FY09 631,383 633,463 139,056 772,519
Gr. 31% 31% 24% 30% Gr. 40% 39% 30% 38% Gr. 15% 15% 19% 15%
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Market share for motorcycles in domestic market improved from 21% in H1 / FY10 to 27% in H2 / FY10
Ot her exp end it ur e Qt r Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 F ull year % 9.5 8.1 6.7 5.3 7.2
FY09
MOTORCYCLES
INDEX
Industry Analysis and Projections Category Projections Bajaj Performance Brand Strategy New Initiatives and Outlook for the Yr 2010-11
Yearly Total
8446591
8,000,000
7091545
7,000,000
6201389
6,000,000
6544649
6805366
5217995
5,000,000
4,000,000
4312751 3756409
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
46%
7000000
7340417
40%
6586443
6000000
30%
5000000
23%
20%
4000000
3898751 3396409
3000000
2537061
2000000
1%
0%
1733147 1396895
1000000 -10%
-13%
-20% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Volume
Growth
Y-O-Y
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Yearly Total
10,476,596 (13%)
9,259,922 (14%)
8000000
6000000
5,826,816
4000000
3,898,751 3,396,409
2000000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
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Consumer Confidence
55% are Rural
Crop Production (expected was 260 MT vs Actual near to 230 MT) MSP (Major Crops Y-O-Y)
Sugarcane (33% hike) Paddy (11%) Wheat (8%)
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CATEGORY PROJECTIONS
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61%
60%
64%
55%
59% 59%
56%
65%
Commuter Deluxe
49% 48%
52%
44%
40%
44%
Commuter Standard
20%
19% 16%
6% 2%
0% FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03
8%
8%
9%
Sports
FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11
Commuter Std
Commuter Deluxe
Sports
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440961
400000
300000
286476 234738 179196 129166 208899 199079 214524 172275 117391 102713 4036 109109 17987 26901 32698 43663 55568 209422
271616
200000
Commuter Standard 150622 120184 59500 67714 Sports 118263 108544 102449 128896
100000
0 FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11
Commuter Std
Commuter Deluxe
Sports
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BAJAJ PERFORMANCE
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OVERALL (MA)
Overall
750000 35.0%
31% 30%
600000
30% 551467
29% 487008
611679
30.0%
23.0%
450000
24%
24% 22%
25.0%
20.0%
306293
300000 15.0%
235916
150000
10.0%
120807
145578
173242 106369
148479
5.0%
Industry
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44%
200000
40%
41%
33%
150000
30%
117391 109109
100000
102713
50000
35506
0 FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 Industry FY 2005-06 BAL FY 2006-07 MS% FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
5% 0%
19
400000
390892
20%
300000
208899
200000
11% 199079
234738
10%
9%
179196 10% 7%
100000
5%
11867
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 Industry FY 2005-06 BAL FY 2006-07 MS% FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
0%
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SPORTS (MA)
Sports
150000 100%
93%
90%
85%
80%
72% 102447
100000
71%
46%
40% 30%
50000
46607
20% 10% 0%
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PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
90.0% 80.0%
76%
70.0%
76%
Discover + Pulsar
60.0%
62% 54%
59% 58%
50.0%
46%
40.0%
Platina + CT 100
24%
30.0%
24%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0% FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 Discover + Pulsar FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
Platina + CT100
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BRAND STRATEGY
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Commuter
Share of the Market Target Group Geography Available Offerings 83% of the Market Middle age, Middle class Semi-Urban , Rural Frugal, utility and value offerings
Sports
17% of the Market
Youth Mainly urban Premium, stylish and feature rich bikes with loads of excitement value
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BRAND STRATEGY
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Bajaj Idea
To upgrade the commuters to experience Bigger & Sportier bikes.
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Upgrade 1 : Feature upgradation Discover 100 Upgrade 2 : Experience upgradation Discover 150
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VOLUME
MONTH
6 Lacs Discovers sold in record time of 250 days. The Fastest growing bike ever.
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Attains new milestone in April 10 Discover becomes The 2nd largest selling brand
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And now.
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Rs 50,787/Rs 44,800/Rs 48,250 /Rs 46,000/Elect. Start + Alloy Elect. Start + Alloy Elect. Start + Alloy Elect. Start + Alloy wheel + Disc wheel + Disc wheel + Drum wheel + Disc brake brake brake brake
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Up the Benchmark
Fastest Indian : Top Speed 145 km/hr Pulsar Stunt Mania
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PULSAR VOLUME
70000
65002
60000
63353 61687
52022
50000
55022 49437
41663
40000
35328
30000
38194 24233
20000
10000
0 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10
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MAJOR INITIATIVES
Actions 1. New Products Discover 100 Pulsar 135 LS Platina 125 Discover 150 2. Quality Oil Frequency Reduction (From 5000 Km to 10000 Km) Service Frequency Reduction (From 2500 Km to 5000 Km) 3. Network Dealers Expansion (10% increase) Secondary network Quality up gradation (RSOs to ASCs) 4. Brand Twin Brand Strategy
2009-10 a a a
2010-11
a a a a a a a a
Pulsar
a a a
a a a
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Discover 5. Customer Finance (Direct Cash Collection) 850 ASCs offer DCC model
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Growth at 13%
CAGR Drivers GDP growth, Hub & Spoke model, Poor public transport, Replacement triggered by availability of alt. fuel
No of Veh (Lacs)
6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 Cargo Pass 2.50 2.54 2.99 1.44 1.96 5.36 3.33 3.50 3.97 2.33 3.05 2.94 2.34
4Wh 45%
3Wh 55%
Passenger Growth at 15% CAGR Primarily a rural people mover Long trip distance
Cargo Growth at 30% CAGR Versatile vehicle suitable for both intra and inter city
45%
55%
81%
19%
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Rural
Diesel
11%
Cargo
Diesel/ CNG
Marginal presence
-6%
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In city
Non - AC AC
Rs / Km
Call Taxi
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
Auto rickshaws offer an economical transportation to people They make a good value proposition to all stake holders
Attractiveness to operators/users Attractiveness to transport and city planners Attractiveness to Environmentalists
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In city (cont)
Opportunities
Heavy traffic congestion on city roads. Greater realization of the need for sectoral reforms among policy planners. Growth of population Growth of cities Resource limitation in expanding bus fleet and/ or providing other means of mass transport. CNG availability in more cities towns leading to a huge replacement/Fresh demand.
BAL Plans
Set & raise industry standards of excellence in products, service, quality and innovation Wider product range RE 145 family, RE 205 family (07 products) Investment in technology development and emission management --- GDI, CNG and LPG versions optimized for use with alternate fuels and not merely tuned to run on alternate fuels Cutting down on dead weight further by optimized engineering and use of alternate materials.
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12
RE 445 L Ape
Jeeps Magic
RE 445 L
10 8 6 RE 445 D Ape Magic RE 445 M Ape
RE 145/205 <10
<20
30 Trip Distance
40
>60
Small 3WH are used for distances < 10 KMs & upto 8 passengers Larger 3+1 3WH are used upto 30 KMs lead & upto 12 passengers Magic/jeeps is for longer leads (40 60 Kms)
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS
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Rural Passenger
In suburban and rural areas 3W are primarily used as substitutes for buses. They thrive because of very poor public transport (Poor Frequency Impatience?) and on shorter trip distances. They carry from 6-15 passengers. Availability of passenger per trip decreasing as population of 3w increasing They compete with host of substitute products doing the same thing i.e. act as substitute for buses eg. jeeps etc. Success here in future would depend on providing a vehicle with right space for, keeping costs low, best fuel efficiency reasonable revenue to give highest earnings under the given operating conditions.
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Rural (cont)
Opportunities
Inability of State Governments to provide the required number of buses Lack of political will to privatize public transport and free up fares Increasing number of three wheelers on these routes bringing down load availability from 10-12 to 6-8 people for 80% of the trips. Lack of connectivity from villages to highways leading to a need for feeder vehicles.
BAL Plan
Use the RE equity to gain leading market share over a two year time frame. Developed and launched LPG/CNG versions of RE445M products to be ready when environmental concerns spread to upcountry markets.
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Beginning FY 11 we will building the brand RE so customers start associating it with MORE of all they seek. New CI
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AN IDEA WHICH PROVIDED MOBILITY TO INDIA WILL NOW ALSO GREEN INDIA!!
CLEAN MACHINE
THANK YOU
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS
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International Business
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Volume Trends
1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 Volumes
CAGR-38%
500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2002-03 MCY CV TTL 53,366 40,875 94,241 2003-04 90,210 65,797 156,007 2004-05 130,949 65,767 196,716 2005-06 174,923 75,447 250,370 2006-07 301,775 140,645 442,420 2007-08 482,030 136,315 618,345 2008-09 633,463 139,056 772,519 2009-10 726,115 164,887 891,002
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FY 10 Performance
Region Wise Product Wise
38%
25%
Addressed Markets
Region Wise Competition Wise
6% 18% 37%
AFRICA Middle East LA
18%
15%
20% 19%
67%
Asia
Defend high shares. Drive growth through penetration in Bangladesh Indonesia : rejig portfolio with Pulsar 135. Reposition Pulsar brand.
Latam
Focus on Pulsar and Discover brands Selectively strengthen routes to market
Invest in last point capability Develop strategies for larger new markets
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Thank you
No part of this presentation is to be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for any distribution without prior written approval from Bajaj Auto Limited, Mumbai-Pune Road, Akurdi, Pune-411 035, India. Certain part of this presentation describing estimates, objectives and projections may be a forward looking statement within the meaning of applicable laws and regulations. Actual results might differ materially from those either expressed or implied. This material was used by Bajaj Auto Limited during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.
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