Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2557
National Library of Thailand Cataloging in Publication Data
.
-- : .-- :
, 2557.
114 .
1. ----. I. .
382.959304
ISBN 978-974-466-724-3
1 2557
--:
[5703-141/400]
10330
. 0-2215-3612, 0-2218-3563, 0-2218-3549-50
http://www.cuprint.chula.ac.th
(Russia/
Eastern Europe Watch)
(public diplomacy)
(emerging markets)
3
..
..
Russia / Eastern Europe Watch
1 :
2
--:
31
65
1.
(Russia/Eastern
Europe Watch)
(1)
(2) Visegrd Group
(3)
-
(4)
(5)
1980
()
ii
(semidemocracy) Nations in Transit 2012 Freedom House
(
1)1
1
iii
(hybrid
regimes)
1: ( .. 2012)
(Consolidated Democracies)
(1.00-2.99)
1.89
1.93
2.11
2.14
2.18
2.29
2.50
2.86
(Semi-Consolidated Democracies)
(3.00-3.99)
3.14
3.43
3.61
3.64
3.82
3.89
iv
1: ( .. 2012) ()
(Hybrid Regimes) (4.00-4.99)
(Semi-Consolidated
Authoritarian Regimes) (5.00-5.99)
(Consolidated Authoritarian
Regimes) (6.00-7.00)
4.14
4.36
4.82
4.82
4.89
5.18
5.39
6.00
6.18
6.18
6.54
6.57
6.68
6.93
6.93
: 1 7 1
7
: Freedom House (2012)
emerging markets/ economies
( 2)
2
2
,
:
, ,
(.), 2551; ,
-
(), ,
, 2552.
2: (2012)
GDP
GDP
GDP
()
()
()
()
()
()
3.4
12,700
8.5
29
22
51,416
1.8
12,660
2.5
46
46
2,970
-1.3
18,130
1.5
78
73
10,581
2
17,180
1.4
96
91
3,658
-1.7
12,370
3.1
95
87
8,494
-2.5
22,810
0.3
76
71
-10
0.4
8,150
5.2
40
45
2,557
0.8
6,870
2.2
67
70
2,046
-2
13,290
2.1
43
43
1,275
-1.7
5,280
5.5
38
54
2,700
-
-0.7
4,650
1.8
44
67
633
0.5
6,940
2.3
40
66
558
-0.3
4,700
0.4
53
76
325
0.3
3,500
7.9
51
59
7,207
6.4
2,250
0.3
44
84
169
1.5
6,530
74.8
82
77
1,442
4.5
6,030
-0.7
51
23
5,293
7.1
3,720
-1.6
24
49
489
6
3,280
1.3
38
58
788
2.2
10,830
6.8
26
32
12,555
: World Development Indicators database, available at http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/country-profiles
()
143.53
38.54
10.51
5.41
9.94
2.06
21.33
7.3
4.27
7.22
3.83
0.62
2.11
45.59
3.56
9.46
9.3
2.97
4.51
74
vi
vii
(3)
(public diplomacy)
(4)
soft diplomacy
viii
2.
?
3 (1)
(2)
(3)
ix
-
-
- ( -)
(
)
-
(
) ()
-
(economic liberalization/ openness)
-
- (stakeholders)
- ()
-
( )
-
-
(
)
-
- ()
-
(
(soft power) (smart power)
)
xi
3:
1.
-
-
-
()
-
2.
3.
(proceedings)
(policy recommendation)
3.
(1) (2)
(3)
5
xii
(1)
(2)
(2.1) IMF,
World Bank, CIA, Eurostat
(2.2) (
)
(2.3)
(3)
(4)
(5) (proceedings)
(policy
recommendation)
xiii
4.
(ends) (means)
(strategy)
(the calculated
relationship of ends and means) 3
(1)
(states in transit)
3
xiv
(hybrid system)
(semi-democracy)
(semi-liberalism)
(laggards)
4
Ivan T. Berend, From the Soviet Bloc to the European Union: The
Economic and Social Transformation of Central and Eastern Europe since
1973 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2009); Jan Drahokoupil,
Globalization and the State in Central and Eastern Europe (London and
New York: Routledge, 2009).
xv
(informality)
(2)
(resource-abundant countries)
(export-oriented countries)
(3)
(overlapping and intense domestic challenges and conflicts)
(transnational
issues)
(4)
(a search for international recognition)
xvi
(5)
(norms promoters)
(norms dissenters)
smart power 5
Joseph S. Nye, Jr. Harvard
(hard power) (soft power)
(preferred
outcomes)
5
Joseph S. Nye, Jr., The Future of Power (New York: Public Affairs, 2011).
xvii
(1) (network diplomacy)
xviii
(2) (informal diplomacy)
Vladimir Putin Siloviki
(Silovarch)
KGB
(St. Petersburger)
6
Putin Yuri Kovalchuk
xix
(3) (leader-to-leader diplomacy)
(4) (integrated diplomacy)
xx
(5) (non-normative diplomacy)
(norms promoters)
(norms dissenters)
(6) (public diplomacy)
5.
xxi
( 4)
(1)
( 2556)
(2) - 1
( 2556)
(3)
1 ( 2556)
4:
1.
2.
3.
4.
(proceedings)
2556
2556
2556
2557
xxii
(proceedings)
()
(policy recommendation)
300
( 5)
5:
(input)
(output)
-
-
(policy outcome)
-
1
:
1.
(The Balkans)
(Southeast Europe: SEE)
(Western Balkans: WB)
1 2
1
17 2008
( 2013)
106
193
54.9
23 (
)
2013
--:
60 ( ..
2012)
4
(EU)
(Western Balkans)
(NATO)
7
(WTO)
2.
--:
1989
4
1989-1990
COMECON (Council for Mutual
Economic Assistance: CMEA)
1991 5
(
)
10
1990
--:
5
(1991) (1990-1991)
(1992-95) (1998-99) (2001)
()
(delayed
capitalism)
--:
(early reformers)
(late reformers)
( )
2000-2001
3 State Union
of Serbia and Montenegro 4 2003
2006
2008
2001
(EU)
(2004)
(2007) (2013)
--:
()
2000
3.
2001
4
Richard Whitman, and Ana Juncos, Stasis in Status: Relations with the
Wider Europe, Journal of Common Market Studies, Vol. 51 (2013), p. 156.
--:
( )
(
) 5
2000
(1)
(2)
1990
6
5
6
--:
1: GDP ()
1992 (IMF)
pyramid schemes
1997 1999 Ivan T. Berend, From
Soviet Bloc to the European Union (Cambridge: Cambridge University
Press, 2009), pp. 80-81.
--:
() ( )
currency board 8
2:
Lek (
)
1992- Lek
1992-1996 BiH Dinar, new BiH Dinar,
1990-1991
10
--:
2:
()
1992-1995
Macedonian Dinar
: Uvalic 2010, 6.
(4) 2001
( )
--:
11
9
3: GDP ()
12
--:
4: GDP ()
--:
13
2000
14
--:
5: ()
5
()
(27.4) (15.2) (13.7) (10.6) (10.6)
(19.7) (18) (14.1) (11.2) (9.6)
--:
15
(7)
1999
(Stabilization and Association Process: SAP)
9 2001
29 2001
12 2006
15 2007
29 2008
16 2008
1 2004
1 2005
1 2009
16
--:
4.
4.1
Pan-European Corridor
: Durres Strait of Otranto
: Varna Burgas
:
Rijeka
:
(transportation corridor)
--:
17
: Koper
: Constanta
1 10
2
( Pan-European
Corridor IV )
(Pan-European Corridor VII)
Rotterdam 3,400
20
18
--:
4.2
:
:
:
:
:
:
: ()
--:
19
4.3
98
20
--:
--:
21
:
(Flat Rate)
22
--:
:
80
--:
23
4.4 -
78
2012 129
156 176
181 184 186
24
--:
8: - ()
:
:
--:
25
:
:
:
:
26
--:
:
2556
:
:
--:
27
5.
(
Constanta Koper
Rijeka ) ( Pan-European Corridor)
FDI GDP
3 (1)
(2) ()
(3)
28
--:
6.
11
11 Christopher
--:
29
--:
9 .. 2556
13.00-16.00 .
9 2556
(Russia/Eastern Europe Watch)
1. 3
1.1
32
--:
1.2
-- :
1.3
NATO
1.4
2008
--:
33
1.5
JAT Yugoslavia
2.
2.1 Russia/
Eastern Europe Watch
Western Balkans
(
)
Pan-European Corridor
34
--:
()
1990
5
()
2001
--:
35
4
2004 2007 2013
EU
EU
(1)
?
(2)
(3)
2.2 .
:
?
36
--:
?
-
3
(census)
--:
37
200,000-300,000 100
10 100
1 1999
11
Slobodan Milosevic 1990
EU
38
--:
1993-1995
2
2 1991-1992
2
1991-1992
--:
39
2.3
:
2 EU (Europeanization)
US (Americanization) EU US
EU
Hobbesian
EU Western Balkan
Europeanization
Convergence Criteria
Europeanization
Europeanization
Stabilization and Association
Process
40
--:
Stabilization and Association Process
2007-2013 Instrumental Pre-accession Assistance (IPA)
EU
people-to-people contract
60 35 EU
EU EU
WTO
EU
EU
Partnership
EU
EU
(one way)
--:
41
US
NATO
burden sharing
EU
78 2012 129
156 176
181 184 186
-
(emerging market)
complementary
(state-owned enterprises)
42
--:
(weak governance)
WTO EU
(FDI)
FDI
(Image problem)
2.4 : FDI
1990
FDI
--:
43
2001
45 31
28 23
44
--:
2.5 : demandsupply
(land locked)
paper work
access
(privatization) EU
--:
45
transaction
3.
3.1 (
): 78
Market share 0.016
62 15
46
--:
WTO 4
2000
2003 2012
SWOT
(trade agreement)
FTA
Joint trade
FTA EU
EU EU
3.2 (BOI):
FTA
: FTA
2
--:
47
:
:
80-90
8
10
19
EU 6.5 GDP
2-3
2-3
:
Priority
Priority
48
--:
: EU
1
Europeanization
3.3 :
sector
3.4 (
):
--:
49
Business
matching distributor
SMEs
priority
EU EU
.
Greenfield investment
50
--:
G2G
two way
win-win
win
EU
CLMV
: G2G
(Account trade)
3.5 ():
2
2
--:
51
IFC ADP
.
4
EU
EU
3.6 :
(
Exim Bank)
3.7 :
EU
52
--:
3 (1)
(2)
(3)
--:
53
3.8 ( 1 ):
EU
2020
EU SAA(Stabilization and Association
Agreements)
IPR
EU
EU
EU EU
(Engagement) EU
.
EU
54
--:
EU Trans European
Network
convertibility
EU
EU EU-Thai FTA
SMEs
Europeanization
EU 2004, 2007 2013
--:
55
3.9 (
):
30
:
... :
56
--:
3.10 (
): SMEs
Proactive
10-15
B2B Matching
3.11 :
SMEs
SMEs Proactive Business Matching
pre-work
working team
:
business matching
Matching
--:
57
:
Matching
3.12 :
4 (
)
30-40
UN
58
--:
3.13 ( 3 ):
road show
. profile
Spring Festival
--:
59
B2B
(Podgorica)
Partner
connection
connection
connection
60
--:
:
renew
3.14 :
(Medical tourism)
(MOU)
MOU
2 2 2
--:
61
4.
4.1 :
(1)
(2)
(Network Diplomacy)
governance
Network diplomacy
(3)
62
--:
G2G B2B
Medical tourism
(4)
FDI GDP
--:
63
EU
(5)
EU 2004
(6)
3 -
64
--:
28
***************
14 2556
(The Balkans)
(Southeast Europe: SEE)
1990
78 .. 2012
129 156
176 181 184
186
66
--:
3 (1)
(2) ()
(3)
--:
67
1.
2.
3.
68
--:
4.
(one-stop service center)