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Sales Price Mileage

Cars
(in 1,000 units) (in lakh rupees) (Km/ltr)

Rocinante 1 171.877 6.1 15.8


Rocinante 2 139.796 6.1 12.1
Rocinante 3 178.947 9.9 17
Rocinante 4 140.022 5.8 11.6
Rocinante 5 186.476 10 17.2
Rocinante 6 192.123 6.5 17.6
Rocinante 7 175.085 5.5 16
Rocinante 8 146.882 8.4 13
Rocinante 9 202.847 6.6 19.3
Rocinante 10 149.933 8.8 13.3
Rocinante 11 171.579 9.5 15.8
Rocinante 12 201.512 9.2 19.2
Rocinante 13 142.604 8.1 11.7
Rocinante 14 135.158 5.4 11.2
Rocinante 15 107.322 5.6 7.8
Rocinante 16 199.699 6.3 19

Rocinante 17 202.875 5.8 19.7

Rocinante 18 204.406 7.7 19.5


Rocinante 19 107.331 7.2 7.5
Rocinante 20 190.345 8.4 18.1
Rocinante 21 108.419 8.4 7.9
Rocinante 22 150.249 5.7 12.6
Rocinante 23 155.882 5.5 12.9

Rocinante 24 100.98 8.4 7.6


Rocinante 25 182.679 5.6 16.7
Rocinante 26 166.752 9.9 15.5
Rocinante 27 121.561 6.2 9.5
Rocinante 28 174.256 9.9 16.3
Rocinante 29 119.018 6.5 9.1
Rocinante 30 169.842 7.1 15.3
Rocinante 31 198.311 9.6 19.1
Rocinante 32 204.875 5.8 19.4
Rocinante 33 119.561 6.2 9.4
Rocinante 34 203.875 5.9 19.4
Rocinante 35 118.561 6.1 9.4
Rocinante 36 227.89722612547 7 22

Profitability @ 7 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 600000
Price of car 700000
1 Profit margin 100000 per unit
Predicted sales 227897.22612547 Units
22789722612.547 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2278.97 Crore Rupees

Profitability @ 8 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 600000
Price of car 800000
2 Profit margin 200000 per unit
Predicted sales 227102.19968459 Units
45420439936.918 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
4542.04 Crore Rupees

Initial Price Increase price Difference


3 Sales 227897.23 227102.20 -795.03
Profitability 2278.97 4542.04 2263.07

Only Significance
All variables variables Trend
4
0.996 0.996
R Square 0.0%
Adjusted R square 0.995 0.995 0.0%
Top
speed
(Km/hr) Regression 1 with all variables
168.2
149.6 Regression Statistics
173.4 Multiple R 0.997881
170.6 R Square 0.995766
175 Adjusted R Square 0.995356
173.1 Standard Error 2.307792
184.6 Observations 35
175.7
166.7 ANOVA
175.4 df SS
150.9 Regression 3 38827.61801874
140.5 Residual 31 165.1029544056
150.2 Total 34 38992.72097314
146.2
151.2 Coefficients Standard Error
143.2 Intercept 50.72313 5.292102884708
Price
178.9 (in lakh rupees) -0.795026 0.254333076043

Mileage
168.2 (Km/ltr) 8.306331 0.100181306819
164.7 Top speed (Km/hr) -0.018573 0.030558235449
182.7
165.7
137 Regression Coefficients
173.9 Bo ( Intercept) 50.72313

165.1 B1 (Price) -0.795026


gression Calculation

160.1 B2 (Mileage) 8.306331


155.6 B3 (Top Speed) 0
155.4 TOP speed doesn’t have significant relationship with Rocinante model
161.9
146.8 Variables
149.5 X1 (Price) 7 8
2
146.5 X2 (Mileage) 22
178.9 X3 (Top Speed) 140
175.4
175.9 Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
165.4 3 Y ( Sales) 227.8972 in 1000 units
Multipple Regression
3
140 Prediction Y ( Sales) 227897.2 units

Equation when car Price increase by 1 lakh


4 Y (Sales) 227.1022 in 1000 units
Y ( Sales) 227102.2 units

Regression 2 with only significant variables


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997855
R Square 0.995715
Adjusted R Square 0.995448
Standard Error 2.284939
Observations 35

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 2 38825.65067461

Trend Residual 32 167.070298528


-0.4% Total 34 38992.72097314
50%
Coefficients Standard Error
Intercept 47.77996 2.113441420507
Price
(in lakh rupees) -0.782925 0.251041783158
Mileage
(Km/ltr) 8.294466 0.097287931073

Regression Coefficients
Bo ( Intercept) 47.77996
1
B1 (Price) -0.782925
B2 (Mileage) 8.294466

Variables
2 X1 (Price) 7
X2 (Mileage) 22

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
3 Y ( Sales) 224.7777 in 1000 units
Y ( Sales) 224777.7 units
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R
Standard E
Observatio

MS F Significance F ANOVA
12942.5393395791 2430.112 0.00
5.32590175501867 Regression
Residual
Total
t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
9.58468274035523 0.00 39.92981 61.51644 39.92981 61.51644 Coefficients

-3.12592625876236 0.00 -1.313742 -0.276311 -1.313742 -0.276311 Intercept

Price
(in lakh
82.9129840301932 0.00 8.10201 8.510652 8.10201 8.510652 rupees)
-0.607776061671793 0.55 -0.080896 0.043751 -0.080896 0.043751

n Calculation to verify RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
1
2
tionship with Rocinante model sales P vaue (0.55 > 0.05) Significance value 3
4
5
(1 lakh price increase) 6
7
8
9
10
11
Simple regression Calcula
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
MS F Significance F 30
19412.8253373074 3718.258 1.29E-38 31
32
33
5.2209468290004 34
35

t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Upper 95.0%
22.6076595052896 0.00 43.47502 52.0849 43.47502 52.0849

-3.1187052522431 0.00 -1.294281 -0.27157 -1.294281 -0.27157

85.2568906128974 0.00 8.096297 8.492636 8.096297 8.492636


SUMMARY OUTPUT
Price
Regression Statistics (in lakh rupees) Line Fit Plot
0.149882

(in 1,000 units)


300 Sales
0.022465 200 (in 1,000 units)
-0.007158 100 Predicted Sales
0 (in 1,000 units)

Sales
33.98608 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
35 Price
(in lakh rupees)

df SS MS F Significance F
1 875.9592 875.9592 0.758371 0.39013
33 38116.76 1155.053
34 38992.72

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%

138.0301 27.20783 5.073174 1.487E-05 82.67531 193.3848 82.67531 193.3848

3.195064 3.668923 0.870845 0.39013 -4.269416 10.65954 -4.269416 10.65954

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Predicted
Sales
(in 1,000
units) Residuals
157.52 14.35704
157.52 -17.72396
169.6612 9.285803
156.5614 -16.53944
169.9807 16.4953
158.798 33.32502
155.6029 19.48208
164.8686 -17.9866
159.1175 43.72951
166.1466 -16.21363
168.3832 3.195828
167.4247 34.08735
163.9101 -21.30608
155.2834 -20.12541
155.9224 -48.60042
158.159 41.54003
156.5614 46.31356
162.6321 41.77394
161.0345 -53.70353
164.8686 25.4764
164.8686 -56.4496
156.2419 -5.99293
155.6029 0.279083
164.8686 -63.8886
155.9224 26.75658
169.6612 -2.909197
157.8395 -36.27846
169.6612 4.594803
158.798 -39.77998
160.715 9.126981
168.7027 29.60832
156.5614 48.31356
157.8395 -38.27846
156.8809 46.99406
157.52 -38.95896
Cars Sales Price Top speed
(in 1,000 units) (in lakh rupees) (Km/hr)
Marengo 1 20.896 42.5 199.4
Marengo 2 31.048 36 235.2
Marengo 3 29.904 54.7 240.8
Marengo 4 28.792 42.7 232.5
Marengo 5 16.776 44.9 188.8
Marengo 6 18.928 35.5 184.2
Marengo 7 22.776 51.3 207.7
Marengo 8 36.824 30.4 249.5
Marengo 9 22.216 38.4 175.8
Marengo 10 35.456 32.2 245.6
Marengo 11 28.576 59.4 223.3
Marengo 12 33.648 50.8 240
Marengo 13 33.44 57.5 250
Marengo 14 34.912 44.6 247.4
Marengo 15 24.016 34.6 192
Marengo 16 20.992 56.4 201.2
Marengo 17 21.696 41.4 193.3

Marengo 18 17.832 53.7 202


Marengo 19 25.624 44.8 208.9

Marengo 20 21.92 32.4 176.9


Marengo 21 24.792 40.9 218.2
Marengo 22 22.256 44.1 190
Marengo 23 15.488 46.6 176.8

Marengo 24 21.64 31.4 178.9


Marengo 25 23.264 54.7 192.3
Marengo 26 19.328 37.9 184.1
Marengo 27 27.216 52.9 240.3
Marengo 28 23.096 42.7 192.1
Marengo 29 17.824 54.9 199
Marengo 30 19.144 44 181.1
Marengo 31 21.6 42.2 181.2
Marengo 32 25.26484928299 41 210

Profitability @ 41 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 3300000

1
Price of car 4100000
1 Profit margin 800000 per unit
Predicted sales 25264.84928299 Units
20211879426.39 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2021.19 Crore Rupees

Profitability @ 42 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 3300000
Price of car 4200000
2 Profit margin 900000 per unit
Predicted sales 25078.12111087 Units
22570308999.78 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2257.03 Crore Rupees

Initial Price Increase price Difference


Sales 25264.85 25078.12 -186.73
3

Profitability 2021.19 2257.03 235.84

Only Significance
All variables variables Trend
4 R Square 0.86 0.86 0%
Adjusted R square 0.85 0.85
0.6%
Mileage
(Km/ltr) Regression 1 with all variables
9.3 SUMMARY OUTPUT
9.7
16.6 Regression Statistics
11.7 Multiple R 0.9290251332
13.7 R Square 0.8630876981
9.6 Adjusted R Square 0.85
13.7 Standard Error 2.3067303951
12.6 Observations 31
16.2
9.6 ANOVA
11.3 df
13.6 Regression 3
13.5 Residual 27
11.1 Total 30
14.1
13.4 Coefficients
12.8 Intercept -13.447648888

Price
16 (in lakh rupees) -0.1867281721
12.7 Top speed (Km/hr) 0.220801682
Mileage
13.6 (Km/ltr) 0.041301187
11.6
11.4
16.3 Regression Coefficients

1
14.5 Bo ( Intercept) -13.447648888
14.3 B1 (Price) -0.1867281721
9.4 B2 (Top Speed) 0.220801682
gression Calculation

15.3 B3 (Mileage) 0
15 Mileage doesn’t have significant relationship with Marengo mod
13.5
11.8 Variables
9.3 X1 (Price) 41
2
15 Prediction X2 (Top Speed) 210
X3 (Mileage) 15

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
3 Y ( Sales) 25.264849283
MultipleRegression
3
Y ( Sales) 25264.849283

Equation when car Price increase by 1 lakh


4 Y (Sales) 25.078121111
Y ( Sales) 25078.121111

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9289161042
R Square 0.8628851287
Adjusted R Square 0.85
Standard Error 2.2668393795
Observations 31

Trend ANOVA
-0.7% df

10.4% Regression 2
Residual 28
Total 30

Coefficients
Intercept -12.970131362
Price
(in lakh rupees) -0.1824738202
Top speed (Km/hr) 0.2201398904

Regression Coefficients
Bo ( Intercept) -12.970131362
1
B1 (Price) -0.1824738202
B2 (Top Speed) 0.2201398904

Variables
2 X1 (Price) 41
X2 (Top Speed) 210

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
3 Y ( Sales) 25.777819003
Y ( Sales) 25777.819003
SS MS F Significance F
905.669817745 301.8899 56.73551 0.00
143.667138126 5.321005
1049.336955871

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%


4.453794028933 -3.019369 0.01 -22.58608 -4.309218 -22.58608 -4.309218

0.055438363262 -3.368212 0.00 -0.300478 -0.072978 -0.300478 -0.072978


0.017223150084 12.82005 0.00 0.185463 0.256141 0.185463 0.256141

0.206640301103 0.19987 0.84 -0.38269 0.465292 -0.38269 0.465292

ion Calculation to verify

ant relationship with Marengo model sales as P vaue (0.84 >0.05) Significance value

42 (1 lakh price increase)

in 1000 units
Simple regression Calcul
units

ease by 1 lakh
in 1000 units
units

SS MS F Significance F

905.4572542455 452.7286 88.10417 8.302E-13


143.8797016254 5.138561
1049.336955871

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%


3.693759763763 -3.511363 0.00 -20.53646 -5.403807 -20.53646 -5.403807

0.050303979958 -3.627423 0.00 -0.285517 -0.079431 -0.285517 -0.079431


0.016609587414 13.25378 0.00 0.186117 0.254163 0.186117 0.254163

in 1000 units
units
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics Price


Multiple R 0.051686 (in lakh rupees) L
R Square 0.002671

(in 1,000 units)


40
Adjusted R-0.031719
20
Standard E 6.007276
0

Sales
Observatio 31 25 30 35 40 45 50 5
Price
ANOVA (in lakh rupees)
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2.803277 2.803277 0.07768 0.782444
Residual 29 1046.534 36.08737
Total 30 1049.337

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 26.18769 5.87515 4.457365 0.000114 14.17166 38.20372 14.17166 38.20372

Price
(in lakh
rupees) -0.03625 0.130063 -0.278712 0.782444 -0.302259 0.229759 -0.302259 0.229759

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Predicted
Sales
(in 1,000
Observation units) Residuals
1 24.64706 -3.751057
2 24.88268 6.165317
3 24.2048 5.699195
4 24.63981 4.152193
5 24.56006 -7.784056
6 24.90081 -5.972808
7 24.32806 -1.552055
8 25.08568 11.73832
9 24.79568 -2.579683
10 25.02043 10.43557
11 24.03443 4.541571
12 24.34618 9.30182
13 24.1033 9.336696
14 24.57093 10.34107
15 24.93343 -0.917433
16 24.14318 -3.151179
17 24.68693 -2.990932
18 24.24105 -6.409055
19 24.56368 1.060319
20 25.01318 -3.093184
21 24.70506 0.086943
22 24.58906 -2.333057
23 24.49843 -9.010431
24 25.04943 -3.409434
25 24.2048 -0.940805
26 24.81381 -5.485808
27 24.27005 2.945945
28 24.63981 -1.543807
29 24.19755 -6.373555
30 24.59268 -5.448682
31 24.65793 -3.057932
Price
(in lakh rupees) Line Fit Plot
(in 1,000 units)

40 Sales
(in 1,000 units)
20 Predicted Sales
0 (in 1,000 units)
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Price
(in lakh rupees)

Upper 95.0%
Profitability In crores
Profitability Rocinante 36 2279.0
Marengo 32 2021.2

Sales Fig Initial Price Increased price Difference


After Price increase Rocinante 36 227897.2 227102.2 -795.0
Marengo 32 25264.8 25078.1 -186.7

Rocinante 36 All variables Only Significanc


R Square 0.996 0.996
Adjusted R square 0.995 0.995

Marengo 32 All variables Only Significanc


R Square 0.863 0.863
Adjusted R square 0.848 0.853
Trend
-0.4%
-0.7%

Trend
0.000
0.000

Trend
0.000
0.006

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