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This study proposes a human reliability evaluation that enables facility-related variables to be integrated in human error
possibility for use in statistical clinical studies of chemical industries. We provide a strategy for demonstrating the
importance of human characteristics as an accident cause, as well as existing human error possibility assessment
methodologies and its shortcomings in including economic factors that affect them. Design flaws, skills, protocols,
awareness, emergency preparedness, leadership changes in the manufacturing method, crisis preparation, damage
assessment, climatic circumstances, and operational burden, are all instances of such variables. Every component's risk is
measured, and the risk level is determined by combining risks. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the need of
taking human error into account whenever doing quantitative risk assessments. A case study of a Bhopal Gas Tragedy
was used to test the suggested technique.
Keywords: Bhopal Gas Tragedy and Maxcred II, Event tree analysis
Significance:
For instance if any company has a production of medicines and if the machine is not working properly and the
combination is made by the human then this is not a human error because the machine has failed to work. If the
machine was working and the employee made a change in the composition by himself and changed the packaging
then it is human error which can have an adverse effect on the human life.
Introduction:
There are various reasons for the tragedy:
● The GOI and the activists blame the UCIL for not following the safety norms and regulations. Since the
time the building up and planning was followed no proper functioning was maintained which made this
incident happen,
● The raw materials like the pipelines and valves were not cleaned and maintained by the company which
had an adverse effect,
● Despite having three tanks for shortage of gases worth 30 tons each the particular tank from which the gas
leaked contained 42 tons which makes it clear that the company had no rules and regulations towards the
project,
● 40 tons were directly escaped into the atmosphere which made it dangerous for the individuals to breathe in
and out.
● There were three safety devices provided for the project- a refrigeration system, a vent gas scrubber and the
flare tower. But all these three requirements were turned off during that time.
● After the leakage the information to the police and local residents was provided very late which led to a
massive change in the death rates and injury rates.
Quantitative techniques can be best defined as the tool and technique which helps in the decision making process
and is based on quantitative data analyses and quantification of policies and programmes.
Event tree analysis (ETA): The approach of ETA is used to examine the processes and circumstances
that led to a prospective mishap. It is a method of statistical inference. It is analysed on the basis of the
activities and factors that lead up to the incident. This is analysed using a graphical conceptual
framework. The human operator's and safety program's reactions to the incident are often considered.
Research Methodology: It allows for accident cloning and damage incurred by the use of potential estimation of the
damage. The software can be utilised to meet the following factors:
Forecasting accidents: This is an important factor. Identifying the probable problems and working towards rectifying
the scenarios leading to accidents must be speculated with actions ready to counteract such challenges. Analysing
the consequences: The next step is to analyse and to provide feedback for future safety and improve disaster
management techniques
This tragedy took place because of UCC’s decision where the team did not take up the responsibilities and neglected
the rules and regulations. The UCC knew that this project had an environmental risk in India but still no rules and
regulations were followed. They neglected the requirements which India wanted for the development and success of
the project but it exploited the local governments by providing them with financial incentives and to keep this silent.