Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cutoff 3% 121
Number of Returns COUNTIF MULTIPLE COUNIFS
over Cutoff CUTOFF
COUNIFS
DATA TABLE SUMPRODUCT
Number of MAXIMAL
CUTOFF Returns over MAX
RETURN
Cutoff
MINIMAL
RETURN MIN
121
0% AVERAGE
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
DATE PRICE RETURN
>5%
155
12.52%
-14.60%
-0.014%
DATA TABLE
YEAR DAVERAGE
2018
2019
2020
2021
USING DATA TABLE TO GRAPH A FUNCTION
f(x) = 3x2 - 2x - 15
x 3
f(x) 6
DATA TABLE
x f(x)
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
BASIC STATISTICAL FUNCTION
deviation squared deviation
Observation X Y deviation
x-X (x-X)^2 y-Y
1 35.3 10.98 -21.36 456.2496 1.696
2 29.7 11.13 -26.96 726.8416 1.846
3 30.8 12.51 -25.86 668.7396 3.226
4 58.8 8.4 2.14 4.5796 -0.884
5 61.4 9.27 4.74 22.4676 -0.014
6 71.3 8.73 14.64 214.3296 -0.554
7 74.4 6.36 17.74 314.7076 -2.924
8 76.7 8.5 20.04 401.6016 -0.784
9 70.7 7.82 14.04 197.1216 -1.464
10 57.5 9.14 0.84 0.7056 -0.144
3007.344
N=10 POPULATION VARP 300.7344 VARP
N-1=9 SAMPLE VARS 334.14933333 VARS
STDP 17.34 STDP
STDS 18.28 STDS
STDP 17.34 STDP
STDS 18.28 STDS
X Y
Average 56.66 9.28
Sample Variance 334.15 3.2342
độ chênh lệch giữa các giá 334.15 3.2342
trị thực và giá trị TB
18.28
Population Standard 17.34
Deviation
squared
deviation
(y-Y)^2
2.876
3.408
10.407
0.781
Chart Title
0.000 14
0.307
8.550 12
0.615 f(x) = − 0.0890308524731457 x + 14.3284881011284
R² = 0.818932722782823
2.143 10
0.021
8
29.108
2.9108
6
3.2342
1.706 4
1.798
1.706 2
1.798
0
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Regression
INTERCEPT 14.3285
( tung độ )
Regression
SLOPE ( hệ -0.0890
số gốc )
Regression R 0.8189
SQUARED
Regression
LINEST SLOPE
-0.0890308525
LINEST Regression
INTERCEPT
14.3284881011
LINEST 0.81893272278
COMPUTING COVARIANCE & CORRELATION & REGRESSION
Date MCD WEN Covariance
1-Aug-05 4.01% -8.97%
1-Sep-05 3.14% -4.30%
3-Oct-05 -5.78% 3.42%
1-Nov-05 8.89% 8.71%
1-Dec-05 -0.36% 8.44% Correlation
3-Jan-06 3.76% 6.47%
1-Feb-06 -0.29% -1.52%
1-Mar-06 -1.60% 6.97%
Regression
3-Apr-06 0.62% -0.45% INTERCEPT
Regression
1-May-06 -4.14% -2.20% SLOPE
Regression
R SQUARED
1-Jun-06 1.29% -3.35%
3-Jul-06 5.20% 3.17%
1-Aug-06 1.41% 6.29%
1-Sep-06 8.61% 4.74%
2-Oct-06 6.90% 9.76%
1-Nov-06 2.53% -5.79%
1-Dec-06 5.47% 1.59%
3-Jan-07 0.05% 2.58%
1-Feb-07 -1.50% -5.51%
1-Mar-07 3.07% -2.38%
2-Apr-07 6.92% 18.61%
1-May-07 4.59% 6.57%
1-Jun-07 0.41% -8.80%
1-Jul-07 3.37% 1.11%
Observation X1 X2 Y
1 35.3 81.2 10.98 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2 29.7 22.5 11.13
3 30.8 77.3 12.51 Regression Statistics
4 58.8 34.8 8.4 Multiple R 0.9589486055394
5 61.4 55.1 9.27 R Square 0.9195824280659
6 71.3 124.8 8.73 Adjusted R Square 0.8966059789418
7 74.4 18.5 6.36 Standard Error 0.5782750191087
8 76.7 234.6 8.5 Observations 10
9 70.7 22.5 7.82
10 57.5 123.3 9.14 ANOVA
df
Regression 2
Residual 7
Total 9
Coefficients
Intercept 14.170544581864
X Variable 1 -0.098674278091
X Variable 2 0.0088640827432
SS MS F Significance F
26.767426015924 13.38371301 40.02282612 0.000147
2.3408139840758 0.334401998
29.10824
Howie Howie
Jack Jack
Observation X Y
1 35.3 10.98
2
Regression
SLOPE
29.7 11.13
3 30.8 12.51
4
Regression
R SQUARED
58.8 8.4
5 61.4 9.27
6 71.3 8.73
7 74.4 6.36
8 76.7 8.5
9 70.7 7.82
10 57.5 9.14
SLOPE-β INTERCEPT
COL 1 COL 2
LINEST OUTPUT
Regression
INTERCEPT
Observation X1 X2 Y PREDICTED Y
1 35.3 81.2 10.98
2 29.7 22.5 11.13
3 30.8 77.3 12.51
4 58.8 34.8 8.4
5 61.4 55.1 9.27
6 71.3 124.8 8.73
7 74.4 18.5 6.36
8 76.7 234.6 8.5
9 70.7 22.5 7.82
10 57.5 123.3 9.14
Regression
SLOPE
Regression R
SQUARED
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.958949
R Square 0.919582
Adjusted R Squ 0.896606
Standard Error 0.578275
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 26.76743 13.3837130079621 40.02282612 0.000147478376
Residual 7 2.340814 0.33440199772511
Total 9 29.10824
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 14.17054 0.627107 22.5966853285795 8.41516E-08 12.68767163438
X Variable 1 -0.098674 0.011037 -8.9405244898368 4.45359E-05 -0.1247720301
X Variable 2 0.008864 0.002995 2.95991879000461 0.021107491 0.001782731358
X2-β2 X1-β1 INTERCEPT
COL 1 COL 2 COL 3
LINEST OUTPUT
0.008864
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
15.65342 12.68767 15.65342
-0.072577 -0.124772 -0.072577
0.015945 0.001783 0.015945
DATE() BSR YEAR()
DATE DATE PRICE RETURN YEAR MONTH DAY WEEKNUM WEEKDAY
20180301 3/1/2018 31.3 2018 3 1 Err:504 5
CUTOFF
Mon Thứ Hai 3/31/2018 19
3%
DATA TABLE
YEAR DAVERAGE
2018
2019
2020
2021
X Y
deviation Squared deviation (x-
Year Sales
x-X X)^2
2010 2100 2010 4040100
2011 2415 2011 4044121
2012 2777 2012 4048144
2013 3194 2013 4052169
2014 3673 2014 4056196
2015 4224 2015 4060225
2016 4857 2016 4064256
2017 5586 2017 4068289
2018 6424 2018 4072324
2019 7388 2019 4076361
2020 8496 2020 4080400
2021 ? 0
44662585
POPULATION VARP 22110.190594
SAMPLE VARS 22121.141654
STDP 148.69496
STDS 148.73178
STDP 148.69496
STDS 148.73178
YEAR x
SALES y
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.981806909299231
R Square 0.963944807147709
Adjusted R Squa 0.959938674608565
Standard Error 422.774433016143
Observations 11
ANOVA
df
Regression 1
Residual 9
Total 10
Coefficients
Intercept -1255294.31818182
X Variable 1 625.281818181818
CÁCH 2:
Regression INTERCEPT (
tung độ )
Regression SLOPE ( hệ
số gốc )
Regression R SQUARED
CÁCH 4:
TREND
FORECAST
Chart Title
9000
2021 8000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
SS MS F Significance F
43007508.7363636 43007509 240.6173 8.42639907E-08
1608643.99090909 178738.2
44616152.7272727
-1255294.3182
625.2818
0.9639
8400.23636363633
8400.23636363637
5454547
Chart Title
9000
8000
7000
f(x) = 562.709090909091 x + 807.472727272727
6000 R² = 0.963945673809418
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CÁCH 2:
Regression INTERCEPT ( tung độ ) -1129675.0909
Regression SLOPE ( hệ số gốc ) 562.7091
Regression R SQUARED 0.9639
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.981807350659699
R Square 0.963945673809418
Adjusted R Square 0.95993963756602
Standard Error 380.462127291312
Observations 11
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 34830567.30909 34830567
Residual 9 1302762.872727 144751.4
Total 10 36133330.18182
CÁCH 4:
TREND 7,559.98
FORECAST 7,559.98
2017 2018 2019 2020
F Significance F
240.6233 8.42548457E-08
Chart Title
350,000
300,000
f(x) = − 0.240216928966397 x + 353669.927690345
250,000 R² = 0.0149169839610495
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
240,000 245,000 250,000 255,000 260,000 265,000 270,000 275,000 280,000 285,000
CÁCH 2
Regression INTERCEPT $ 353,669.93
( tung độ )
Regression SLOPE ( hệ số
gốc ) -0.2402
CÁCH 3
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.122135105358985
R Square 0.0149169839610504
Adjusted R Square -0.125809161187371
Standard Error 23849.844416472
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 60294449 60294449 0.106 0.754261
Residual 7 3.98E+09 5.69E+08
Total 8 4.04E+09
Significance F
8000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
CÁCH 2
Regression INTERCEPT
( tung độ ) 0.369543
Regression SLOPE ( hệ số
0.8999
gốc )
Regression R SQUARED 1.0000
CÁCH 3:
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99999996794851
R Square 0.999999935897021
Adjusted R Square 0.999999928774467
Standard Error 0.507308159845853
Observations 11
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 36133328 36133328 1.4E+08 1.106E-33
Residual 9 2.316254 0.257362
Total 10 36133330
TRENDS $ 9,449.62
FORECAST $ 9,449.62
00 9000
Significance F
Y X1 X2 X3
733,300.00 3,089.00 76,200.00 283,500.00
750,900.00 3,503.00 79,400.00 274,500.00
747,600.00 3,817.00 77,000.00 268,000.00
727,600.00 3,870.00 74,000.00 265,700.00
694,400.00 3,706.00 64,400.00 259,600.00
702,600.00 3,851.00 63,100.00 256,800.00
714,000.00 4,170.00 66,300.00 259,300.00
717,630.00 4,378.00 62,900.00 263,400.00
750,000.00 5,000.00 66,700.00 273,100.00
CÁCH 2
X1 X2 X3
Regression
INTERCEPT ( tung 712,050.71 564,492.40 250,605.05
độ )
Regression SLOPE
( hệ số gốc ) 3.6619 2.3136 1.7815
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.979373585101845
R Square 0.959172619195241
Adjusted R Square 0.918345238390481
Standard Error 5957.10343789964
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS
Regression 4 3334844030.07621
Residual 4 141948325.479343
Total 8 3476792355.55555
B4 B3 B2
0.89925949885186 0.875423371269329 3.24579752147683
0.959172619195241
BÌNH PHUONG1
n lượng lương thực (X3) sản lượng thép (X4). Hãy ước lượng các tham số của hàm hồi quy mẫu biết rằng Y và X có
X4
15,844.00 y = -2086.8x + 736882
19,835.00
800,000.00
21,797.00
24,759.00 700,000.00
28,093.00 600,000.00
31,121.00 500,000.00
32,759.00
400,000.00
34,556.00
36,788.00 300,000.00
f(x) = − 168
200,000.00 R² = 0.284
100,000.00
-
1 2
cách 4:
X4 TRENDS 561,411.51
753,331.15
FORECASTS
-0.9853
0.1149
MS F Significance F
833711007.519053 23.4933664685 0.004865
35487081.3698357
B1 INCEPT
19.4048996690712 164589.9312136
ẫu biết rằng Y và X có
CÁCH 1:
Chart Title
800,000.00
700,000.00
600,000.00
500,000.00
400,000.00
300,000.00
f(x) = − 1686.66666666667 x + 275533.333333333
200,000.00 R² = 0.284788218544225
100,000.00 Y Linear (Y) Linear (Y)
- X1 Linear (X1) X2
1 2 X3 3 4 (X3) 5
Linear 6
X4 7 8 9
0
1.45 1.50 1.
CÁCH 1:
Chart Title
80
70
40
30
20
10
0
1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60 1.65 1.70 1.75 1.80
CÁCH 2
Regression INTERCEPT -31.1958920499867
( tung độ )
Regression SLOPE ( hệ số 56.2765
gốc )
Regression R SQUARED 0.9939
CÁCH 3:
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.996927708839746
R Square 0.993864856652465
Adjusted R Square 0.993251342317711
Standard Error 0.428743562372648
Observations 12
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 297.7816 297.7816 1619.954 2.145E-12
Residual 10 1.83821 0.183821
Total 11 299.6198
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -31.1958920499867 2.258027 -13.81556 7.687E-08 -36.22709
X Variable 1 56.2765222015421 1.398221 40.24865 2.145E-12 53.16109
CÁCH 4:
TRENDS 68.9763
FORECAST 68.9763
1.75 1.80
Significance F
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-26.1647 -36.22709 -26.1647
59.39195 53.16109 59.39195
Nghiên cứu về chi phí chăm sóc (x) năng suất lúa (y) trên 10 thửa ruộng cho ta kết quả:
Biết y có quan hệ tuyến tính với x. Hãy sử dụng các hàm của Excel để dự báo nhanh năng suất ở mức chăm sóc 13 U
Chart Title
16
14
0
10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5
CÁCH 2:
Regression INTERCEPT
( tung độ ) -3.234391761425
CÁCH 3:
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.585055018873826
R Square 0.342289375109453
Adjusted R Square 0.260075546998135
Standard Error 1.36430241091931
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 7.749431 7.749431 4.163404 0.075622
Residual 8 14.89057 1.861321
Total 9 22.64
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -3.23439176142459 7.576532 -0.426896 0.680711 -20.70591
X Variable 1 1.28942287062862 0.631933 2.040442 0.075622 -0.167817
CÁCH 4:
TRENDS 13.53
FORECAST 13.53
12.5 13
Significance F
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
14.23712 -20.70591 14.23712
2.746663 -0.167817 2.746663
Lợi nhuận của doanh nghiệp (y) phụ thuộc và giá thành sản phẩm (x1), chi phí quản ly
(x2), chi phí bán hàng (x3). Dự báo lợi nhuận của doanh nghiệp đạt được khi x1 = 600, x2 =
35, x3 = 25 bằng hàm LINEST như hình sau:
Lợi nhuận y Giá thành xl Chi phí quản Chi phí bán
(tr đồng) (nghìn đồng) lý x2 (tr đồng)
hàng x3 (tr
đồng)
540,000 450,000 30.2 20.3
520,000 520,000 32.1 21.2
541,000 550,000 28.7 22.1
532,000 555,000 28.6 24.1
530,000 525,000 31.2 26.3
560,000 540,000 28.7 24.7
547,000 560,000 29.3 23.5
559,000 575,000 34.1 24.9
592,000 580,000 34.5 24.6
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6098110594
R Square 0.3718695282
Adjusted R Squ -0.005008755
Standard Error 21459.017408
Observations 9
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 1.36E+09 4.54E+08 0.98671 0.469687
Residual 5 2.3E+09 4.6E+08
Total 8 3.67E+09
B3 B2 B1 INCEPT
481.8369199 3321.1215144 0.2042142228 322917.3
Y=204.214*X1+3321.122*X2+481.837*X3+322917.329
X1 600
X2 35
X3 25
Y 573731
Significance F