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THE CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM When do you use these formulae?

Central Limit Theorem states that the sampling


distribution of the mean approaches a normal
distribution, as the sample size increases. Regardless
of the initial shape of the population distribution, if
samples of size n are randomly selected from a
Illustrative Example:
population, the sampling distribution of the sampling
means will approach a normal distribution as the 1. Assume that the variable is normally distributed, the
sample size n gets larger. average time it takes a group of senior high school
students to complete a certain examination is 46.2
The standard error of the mean measures the degree
minutes while the standard deviation is 8 minutes.
of accuracy of the sample mean (𝑥̅ ) as an estimate of What is the probability that a randomly selected senior
the population mean (). It is also known as the high school students will complete the examination in
standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the less than 43 minutes? Does it seem reasonable that a
sampling mean, denoted by 𝑥̅ . senior high school student would finish the
examination in less than 43 minutes?
a. If 50 randomly selected senior high school students
take the examination, what is the probability that the
mean time it takes the group to complete the test will
be less than 43 minutes? Does it seem reasonable that
the mean of the 50 senior high school students could
be less than 43 minutes?
Introductory Activity
Direction: Read the problems below then write your Solution (1):
answer on a separate paper. S1: Identify the parts of the problem.
1. Determine the standard error of the mean for each of Given:  = 46.2 𝑚𝑖ns.; 𝜎 = 8 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑠.; 𝑋̅ = 43 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑠.
the following sample size n given the population Find: 𝑃(𝑋̅ < 43)
standard deviation of 30. Round off your answer to the S2: Find the z-score. (We’ll use the original z-score
nearest hundredths. formula in finding the probability for the population.)
a. 𝑛 = 5
b. 𝑛 = 12
c. 𝑛 = 28
d. 𝑛 = 35
e. 𝑛 = 40 𝑃(𝑋̅ < 43) = 𝑃(z < -.40)
S3: Draw the normal curve and plot the z-score and its
2. Analyze the answers obtained in item number 1. corresponding area. Then, shade the part that you’re
What can you say about the relationship of the sample looking for.
size and the standard error?
3. How does this relationship affect the distribution?
4. When do we obtain a good estimate of the mean?
5. When do we say that the mean is a poor estimate?

Central Limit Theorem is important because it teaches


researchers to use a limited sample to make intelligent S4: Use the z-table to look up the score you
and accurate conclusions about a greater population. It calculated.
also justifies the use of normal curve methods for a
𝑃(z < -.40)= z = -0.40 = 0.3446
wide range of problems.
=34.46%
Furthermore, it justifies the use of the formula
 The probability that a randomly selected senior high
when computing for the probability that 𝑋̅ will take a
school student will complete the examination in less
value within a given range in the sampling distribution
than 43 minutes is 34.46%. Yes, it is reasonable to
of 𝑋̅.
finish the exam in less than 43 minutes since the
where: 𝑿̅ = is the sample mean probability is more than 1.
µ = population mean,
σ = population standard deviation
n = sample size
Solution (1a):
S1: Identify the parts of the problem.
Given:  = 46.2 𝑚𝑖ns.; 𝜎 = 8 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑠.; 𝑋̅ = 43 𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑠.
n= 50 students
Find: 𝑃(𝑋̅ < 43)
S2: Find the z-score. (We’ll use the z-score formula in
finding the probability when given a sample.)

S3: Draw the normal curve and plot the z-score and its
corresponding area. Then, shade the part that you’re
looking for.

S4: Use the z-table to look up the score you


calculated.

𝑃(z < -2.83)= z = -2.83 = 0.0023


=0.23%

 The probability that a randomly selected 50 senior


high school students will complete the examination in
less than 43 minutes is 0.23%. No, it’s not reasonable
since the probability is less than 1.

Application:
1. In a study of the life expectancy of 400 people in a
certain geographic region, the mean age at death was
70 years, and the standard deviation was 5.1 years. If a
sample of 50 people from this region is selected, what
is the probability that the mean life expectancy will be
less than 68 years?

2. The average public elementary school has 468


students with a standard deviation of 87. If a random
sample of 38 public elementary schools is selected,
what is the probability that the number of students
enrolled is between 445 and 485?

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