School MALAPAY HIGH SCHOOL Grade Level 11

Detailed Lesson Teacher MARICRIS L. MAQUIÑANA Subject STATISTICS AND

Plan PROBABILITY
Time and Date: MAY 22, 2023 Quarter 4

I. OBJECTIVES
The learners demonstrate understanding of key concepts of estimation of population mean
A. Content Standards
and population proportion.
B. Performance The learner is able to estimate the population mean and population proportion to make
Standards sound inferences in real life problem in different disciplines.
C. Learning Compute for the confidence interval estimate of the population proportion
Competencies/
Objectives (LC Solves problems involving confidence interval estimation of the population
Codes) proportion.
II. CONTENT Estimating Population Proportion (ᵖ) for Large Sample Size.
III.
LEARNING
RESOURCES
A. References
1. Teacher’s Guide
Pages
2. Learner’s Materials
Pages
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY for Senior High School Ricardo B.
Banigon JR Maita G. Camilon
3. Textbook Pages
Catalina B. Manalo Pages 70-
73
4. Additional
Materials from
Learning resource
(LR) Portal
B. Other Learning
Resources
IV. Student’s Activity
PROCEDURE Teacher’s Activity
S
A. Reviewing
Previous Lesson or What is the formula used in estimating The formula used is
Presenting New
population mean ( μ ¿ when
Lesson
σ is unknown∨when n<¿ 30?

+B. Establishing a
Purpose for the Activity: Scramble Word, Give my word and
Lesson arrange my word to complete my world
1.NOITROPORP
2.GNITAMITSE 1.PROPORTION
3.ECNEDIFNOC 2.ESTIMATING
4.RAEGL LPEASM 3.CONFIDENCE
5.NOITALUPOP PPOOORRTIN 4.LARGE SAMPLE
5.POPULATION PROPORTION
C. Presenting Sometimes, we are concerned with portions of
Examples/Instances the population that share common characteristics.
of the Lesson What portion of the population are senior
citizens? What percent of all the rabbit are male?
How many percent of the population have IQs
greater than 120? These are some of the
questions which require population proportion
(p). In this chapter, we will be dealing with the
estimate of population proportion p using large
sample size(n≥ 30 ¿ .
Estimating population proportion using small
size is not included in introductory statistics
course. Estimating population proportion is
similar to estimating population mean. When the
 sample proportion ^p
(pronounce as p-hat) is computed from a large
sample n, then the interval estimate of the
population proportion p at a certain α can be
computed as:
Where

^p=sample proportion
q^ = 1- ^p
n = sample size
zα / 2 =z value that leaves an area of α /2

from the formula, is called margin of error

D. Discussing New As in estimating population mean for large

Concepts and sample size, the following table is used.
Practicing New Confidenc
Skills#1 e Level or
(1-
α ¿ 100 % 90 95 97 98 99
% % % % %
zα /2 1.64 1.96 2.17 2.33 2.58
Since:
Example 1: Compute the 90% confidence ^p=0.65 ,then q^ =0.35 ,¿ the table , for 90 % level ,
interval estimate of p given the following: zα /2=1.64
^p=0.65∧n=50.

0.65- 1.64
√
( 0.65 )( 0.35 )
50

√(
¿ p<0.65+1.64 0.65 0.35
)(
50
)

0.65- 1.64(0.07)
¿ p<0.65+1.64 (0.07)

0.65-0.11¿ p<0.65+0.11
0.54¿ p<0.76
Example 2:
A biologist wants to estimate the proportion of
male rats. He collected 60 rats from the rice field
and found that 38% are males. Compute the 95% From the problem n=60 and ^p= 38%
confidence interval estimate of the proportion of or 0.38, hence q
^ = 0.62. for 95%
male rats. confidence level, zα /2 =1.96, thus

0.38- 1.96
√
( 0.38 )( 0.62 )
60

√
(
¿ p<0.38+1.96 0.38 0.62
60
)( )

0.38-1.96 (0.06)
¿ p<0.38+1.96 (0.06)

0.38- 0.12 ¿ p<0.38+0.12

0.26 ¿ p<0.50
E. Discussing New
Concepts and
Practicing New
Skills#2

F. Developing Direction: Compute the interval estimate for p 1.Since: ^p=0.3 ,then q
^ =0.7 , 95%
Mastery given the level of confidence, sample proportion level, zα /2=1.96
(Leads To ^p, and sample size n. (by pair)
Formative 1.Confidence Level= 95%, ^p=0.3, n=30
Assessment 3) 2.Confidence Level = 90%, ^p=0.8, n=50

√
3. Confidence Level = 98%, ^p=0.6, n=35 ( 0.3 )( 0.7 )
0.3- 1.96
4. Confidence Level = 99%, ^p=0.5, n=70 30
5. Confidence Level = 90%, ^p=0.15, n=55

√
( )( )
¿ p<0.3+1.96 0.3 0.7
0.3-1.96 (0.08)
30

¿ p<0.3+1.96 (0.08)

0.3- 0.16 ¿ p<0.3+0.16

0.14 ¿ p<0.46

2.Since: ^p=0.8 ,then q

^ =0.2 , 90%

level, zα /2=1.64

0.8- 1.64
√
( 0.8 )( 0.2 )
50

√
( )( )
¿ p<0.8+1.64 0.8 0.2
0.8-1.64 (0.06)
50

¿ p<0.8+1.64 (0.06)

0.8- 0.32 ¿ p<0.8+0.32

0.48< p<1.12

3. Since: ^p=0.6 ,then q

^ =0.4 98%
level, zα /2=2.33

0.6- 2.33
√
( 0.6 )( 0.4 )
35

√
( )( )
¿ p<0.6+2.33 0.6 0.4
0.6-2.33 (0.20)
35

¿ p<0.6+2.33 (0.08)

0.6- 0.17 ¿ p<0.6+ 0.17

 0.43 ¿ p<0.7 7

4. Since: ^p=0.5 ,then q

^ =0.5 99%
level, zα /2=2. 58

0.5- 2.58
√
( 0.5 )( 0.5 )
70

√
( )( )
¿ p<0.5+2.58 0.5 0.5
0.5-2.58 (0.05)
70

¿ p<0.6+2.58 (0.05)

0.5- 0.13 ¿ p<0.5+0.13

0.37 ¿ p<0.63

5. Since: ^p=0.15 ,then q

^ =0.55
90% level, zα /2=1. 64

0.15- 1.64
√
( 0.15 )( 0.85 )
55
(
√
¿ p<0. 15+1.64 0. 1 5 0.8 5
0.15-1.64 (0.04)
)(
55
)

¿ p<0.15+1. 64( 0.04)

0.15- 0.07 ¿ p<0. 15+0.07

0.08 ¿ p<0. 22

G. Finding Let’s say you want to know the percentage of

Practical people in your state that smoke. Polling every
Application of person in the state is not feasible, so you conduct
Concepts and a simple random sample of 1,000 people and ask
Skills in Daily them their smoking preference and determine that
Living 7% of them indicate they smoke.

H. Making
What is the formula used in Estimating
Generalization and The formula used is:
population proportion (p) for large sample size.
Abstractions about
the lesson

I. Evaluating
Learning. Solve the following problems (by group) 1.Since:
^p=60 % ,∨0.6then q^ =0.4 , 95%
1. In a survey participated by 100
college students, it was found that
 60% of them have personal level, zα /2=1.96

√
computers at home. Construct a ( 0.6 )( 0.4 )
95% confidence interval estimate of 0.6- 1.96
100
the true proportion of all college
students who have personal
computers at home.
0.6-1.96 (0.06)
√
( )( )
¿ p<0.6+1.96 0.6 0.4
100

2. Among 80 randomly selected students ¿ p<0.6+1.96 (0.06)

who took mathematics as their major, 60 of
0.6- 0.12 ¿ p<0.6+ 0.12
them are males. Construct a 99% confidence
interval estimate of the true proportion of
0.48 ¿ p<0.72
all students taking up mathematics who are
males.
2.Since: ^p=60∨0.6 , then q
^ =0.4 ,
3. From the record of a weather agency, the
99% level, zα /2=2.58
rain fell for 21 out of the 35 randomly
selected 14th of February. Construct a 90%
confidence interval estimate of the true
proportion all months of February that the
rain will Fall.
0.6- 2.58
√
( 0.6 )( 0.4 )
80

√
4. For every box of Brand Y light bulbs ( )( )
containing 100 pieces, 8 are Defective. ¿ p<0.6+2.58 0.6 0.4
Construct a 98% confidence interval 80
0.6-2.58 (0.05)
estimate of the true Proportion of defective
¿ p<0.6+2.58 (0.05)
light bulbs for all boxes of this brand of
bulbs.
0.6- 0.13 ¿ p<0.6+ 0.13

5. A health agency found than 18% of the 0.47 ¿ p<0.73

200 randomly selected college graduates
smoke. Construct a 95% confidence interval
estimate of the true proportion of all college 3.Since:
graduates who smoke. ^p=21∨0.21 ,then q^ =0.79 , 90%

level, zα /2=1.64

0.21- 1.64
√
( 0.21 )( 0.79 )
80
(
√
¿ p<0.21+ z α /2 0.21 0.79
)(
80
)

0.21-1.64 (0.03)
¿ p<0.21+1.64 (0.03)

0.21- 0.05 ¿ p<0.21+0.05

0.16 ¿ p<0.26

4. Since:
^p=8∨0.08 , then q^ =0.92, 98%
level, zα /2=2.33

0.08- 2.33
√
( 0.08 )( 0.92 )
100
(
√
¿ p<0.08+2.33 0.08 0.92
100
)( )
 0.08-2.33 (0.03)
¿ p<0.08+2.33(0.03)

0.08- 0.07 ¿ p<0.08+0.07

0.01 ¿ p<0.08 0.15

5. Since:
^p=1 8 %∨0.1 8 , then q^ =0.82
95% level, zα /2=1.96

0.18- 1.96
√
( 0.1 8 )( 0.8 2 )
200

√(
¿ p<0.1 8+1.96 0.1 8 0.8 2
2 00
)( )

0.18-1.96 (0.03)
¿ p<0.18+1.96 (0.03)

0.18- 0.06 ¿ p<0.1 8+0.06

0.12 ¿ p<0.24

J. Additional
Remediation or Direction: Compute the interval estimate for p
Activity given the level of confidence, sample proportion
^p, and sample size n. (by pair)
1.Confidence Level= 95%, ^p=0.3, n=30
2.Confidence Level = 90%, ^p=0.8, n=50
3. Confidence Level = 98%, ^p=0.6, n=35
4. Confidence Level = 99%, ^p=0.5, n=70
5. Confidence Level = 90%, ^p=0.15,
n=55

VI.
REMARKS
VII.
REFLECTION
A. No. of learners
who earned 80% in
the evaluation
B. No. of learners
who required
additional activities
for remediation
C. Did the remedial
lessons work?
D. No. of learners
who continue to
require remediation
E. Which of my
teaching strategies
work well? Why
did this work?
F. What difficulties
did I encounter
which my principal
or supervisor can
help me solve?
G. What innovation
or localized
materials did I
used/discover
which I wish to
share with other
teachers?