‫ﻣﺴﺘﻮى‪ :‬اﻟﺴﻨﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺳﻠﻚ اﻟﺒﺎﻛﺎﻟﻮرﻳﺎ‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ‪:‬‬ ‫· ﺷﻌﺒﺔ اﻟﺘﻌﻠﯿﻢ اﻷﺻﯿﻞ‪ :‬ﻣﺴﻠﻚ اﻟﻌﻠﻮم اﻟﺸﺮﻋﯿﺔ و ﻣﺴﻠﻚ‬ ‫أﻛﺎدﻳﻤﯿﺔ‬

‫ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫اﻟﺠﮫﺔ‬
‫اﻟﻠﻐﺔ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﯿﺔ‬
‫ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ‬ ‫اﻟﺸﺮﻗﯿﺔ‬
‫ﺷﻌﺒﺔ اﻵداب و اﻟﻌﻠﻮم اﻹﻧﺴﺎﻧﯿﺔ‪ :‬ﻣﺴﻠﻚ اﻵداب و ﻣﺴﻠﻚ‬
‫اﻟﻌﻠﻮم اﻹﻧﺴﺎﻧﯿﺔ‬
‫‪1‬ﺗﻤﺎرﯾﻦ ﺑﺤﻠﻮل‪ :‬اﻟﺤﺴﺎب اﻟﻌﺪدي‬
‫اﻟﻣﺎدة‪ :‬اﻟرﯾﺎﺿﯾﺎت‬
‫ﺗﻤﺎرﯾﻦ ﺑﺤﻠﻮل ﻓﻲ درس اﻻﺣﺘﻤﺎﻻت‬
‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:1‬ﻧﺬﻛﺮ أن ﻟﻘﻄﻌﺔ ﻧﻘﺪﯾﺔ وﺟﮭﯿﻦ ‪ P :‬و ‪F‬‬
‫ﻧﺮﻣﻲ ﻗﻄﻌﺔ ﻧﻘﺪﯾﺔ ﻣﺮة واﺣﺪة‬
‫‪(1‬ﺣﺪد ﻛﻮن اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ ؟‬
‫‪(2‬ﺣﺪد رﺋﯿﺴﻲ اﻟﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ‪W‬‬

‫أﺟﻮﺑﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫‪ (1‬ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻟﺤﺼﻮل ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ P :‬أو ‪F‬‬
‫‪ F‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﺧﺮى‬ ‫‪ P‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ و‬
‫اذن ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ إﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺘﯿﻦ ﻓﻘﻂ اذن ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ھﻲ ‪W = { P; F } :‬‬

‫اذن‪) card ( W ) = 2 :‬إﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺘﯿﻦ ﻓﻘﻂ(ﺗﻘﺮأ رﺋﯿﺴﻲ اﻟﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ‪W‬‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:2‬ﻧﺮﻣﻲ ﻗﻄﻌﺔ ﻧﻘﺪﯾﺔ ﻣﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﺘﺎﻟﯿﺘﯿﻦ‬

‫‪(1‬ﺣﺪد ﻛﻮن اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ ؟‬
‫‪(2‬ﺣﺪد رﺋﯿﺴﻲ اﻟﻤﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ‪W‬‬

‫أﺟﻮﺑﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫‪(1‬ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻟﺤﺼﻮل ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ PP :‬أو ‪ FF‬أو ‪ FP‬أو ‪ PF‬اذن‪ PP :‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ و ‪ FF‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﺧﺮى‬
‫‪ (2‬اذن ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ ‪ 4‬اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻓﻘﻂ اذن ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ھﻲ ‪W = { PP; FF ; PF ; FP} :‬‬

‫وﻟﺪﯾﻨﺎ ‪ 4) card ( W ) = 4 :‬اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻓﻘﻂ(‬

‫ﯾﻤﻜﻦ ﻟﻨﺎ اﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎل ﺷﺠﺮة اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻟﻠﺒﺤﺚ ﻋﻦ ﻛﻞ اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫اﻟﺮﻣﯿﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ اﻟﺮﻣﯿﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪ card ( W ) = 2 ´ 2 = 4‬ﻣﺒﺪأ اﻟﺠﺬاء‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ : 3‬ﻧﺮﻣﻲ ﻗﻄﻌﺔ ﻧﻘﺪﯾﺔ ﺛﻼث ﻣﺮات ﻣﺘﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ‬

‫‪(1‬أرﺳﻢ ﺷﺠﺮة اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪(2‬ﺣﺪد ﻛﻮن اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ‪ W‬وﺣﺪد ) ‪card ( W‬‬
‫اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ ‪(1 :‬ﯾﻤﻜﻦ اﻟﺤﺼﻮل ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ PPP :‬أو ‪ FFF‬أو ‪......‬‬
‫‪ PPP‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ و ‪ FFF‬ھﻲ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ أﺧﺮى و ‪........‬‬
‫ﺷﺠﺮة اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ (2‬اذن ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ ‪ 8‬اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت اذن ﻓﻀﺎء اﻻﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ھﻮ ‪:‬‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬

 (‫ اﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت ﻓﻘﻂ‬8) card ( W ) = 8 W = {PPP; PPF ; PFP; PFF ; FPP; FPF ; FFP ; FFF }
‫و‬
‫اﻟﺮﻣﯿﺔ اﻷوﻟﻰ اﻟﺮﻣﯿﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻧﯿﺔ اﻟﺮﻣﯿﺔ اﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ‬
2 2 2

: ‫ اﻟﺨﻄﺎطﺔ ﺟﺎﻧﺒﮫ ﺗﺒﯿﻦ ﺗﻮزﯾﻊ ﺗﻼﻣﯿﺬ أﺣﺪ اﻷﻗﺴﺎم ﺣﺴﺐ اﻟﻤﻤﺎرﺳﺔ اﻟﺮﯾﺎﺿﯿﺔ‬:4‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‬

‫ ﯾﻤﺎرﺳﻮن ﻛﺮة اﻟﻘﺪم‬A ‫اﻟﻔﺌﺔ‬

‫ ﯾﻤﺎرﺳﻮن ﻛﺮة اﻟﯿﺪ‬B ‫اﻟﻔﺌﺔ‬
‫ ﯾﻤﺎرﺳﻮن ﻛﺮة اﻟﺴﻠﺔ‬C ‫اﻟﻔﺌﺔ‬
‫ﻧﺨﺘﺎر ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ اﺣﺪ اﻟﺘﻼﻣﯿﺬ ﻣﻦ ھﺬا اﻟﻘﺴﻢ‬
‫ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﻔﺼﯿﻞ‬A È C ‫ و‬A Ç C ‫ و‬A È B ‫ و‬A Ç B ‫ و‬C ‫ و‬A ‫ و‬W ‫ و‬C ‫ و‬B ‫ و‬A ‫(أﻛﺘﺐ‬1
P ( C ) ‫ و‬P ( A ) ‫ و‬P ( A È C ) ‫ و‬P ( A Ç C ) ‫ و‬P ( A È B ) ‫ و‬P ( A Ç B ) ‫ و‬P ( C ) ‫ و‬P ( B ) ‫ و‬P ( A ) : ‫(أﺣﺴﺐ‬2

( ) ( )
p C ‫ و‬1 - p ( C ) ‫ و ﻗﺎرن‬p A ‫ و‬1 - p ( A ) :‫(ﻗﺎرن‬3
P ( A È B ) = P ( A) + P ( B ) - P ( A Ç B ) : ‫(ﺗﺤﻘﻖ أن‬4
P ( A È C ) = P ( A ) + P ( C ) : ‫(ﺗﺤﻘﻖ أن‬5
W = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; g ; h; i; j ; m} C = {i ; j ; m} B = {e; f ; g ; h} A = {a; b; c; d ; e; f } (1:‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‬
A Ç C = Æ A È B = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; g; h} A Ç B = {e; f } C ={a;b;c; d; e; f ; g; h} A = { g ; h; i; j; m}
A È C = {a; b; c; d ; e; f ; i; j; m}
Card ( AÈ B) 8 ‫و‬ Card ( A Ç B) 2 CardC 3 ‫و‬ CardA 6 (2
p (C ) = p ( A) =
CardB 4
p ( AÈB) = = p ( A Ç B) = = = p ( B) = = =
CardW 11 CardW 11 Card W 11 Card W 11 Card W 11
Card ( A È C ) 9 ‫و‬ Card ( A Ç C ) 0
( )
p C =
CardC 8 ‫و‬
=
Card W 11
p A = ( )
Card A 5
=
Card W 11
p(AÈC) =
Card W
=
11
p( AÇC) =
Card W
= =0
11

( )
p C = 1- p (C ) = 1-
3 8
=
11 11
‫و‬ ( )
p A = 1 - p ( A) = 1 -
6 5
= (3
11 11
6 4 2 8
P( A) + P( B) - P( AÇB) = + - = = P( AÈB) (4
11 11 11 11
6 3 9
P ( A ) + P ( C ) = + = = P ( A È C ) (5
11 11 11
:‫ ﺣﺪﺛﺎن ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻄﺎن ﺑﻨﻔﺲ اﻟﺘﺠﺮﺑﺔ اﻟﻌﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺔ ﺑﺤﯿﺚ‬B ‫ و‬A :5‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‬
. p ( A I B ) = 0,3 ‫ و‬p ( B ) = 0, 4 ‫ و‬p ( A ) = 0, 7
( ) ( )
p ( A U B ) ‫ و‬p B ‫ و‬p A :‫أﺣﺴﺐ‬

( )
p A = 1 - p ( A) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3
:‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‬
( )
p B = 1 - p ( B ) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6
p ( A U B ) = p ( A) + p ( B ) - p ( A I B )
= 0.7 + 0.4 - 0.3 = 0.8

‫ ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬: ‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ‬ 2 http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com

 ‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :6‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء و ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺳﻮداء " ‪N‬‬ ‫و‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء "‪B‬‬
‫و " ﻋﺪم ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺳﻮداء "‪D‬‬ ‫و " ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺣﻤﺮاء "‪R‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪card ( W ) = 10 (1:‬‬
‫وھﻮ ﺑﺒﺴﺎطﺔ ﻋﺪد اﻟﻜﺮات ﻓﻲ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق‬
‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪CardB 5 1‬‬
‫= )‪p(N‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= (2‬‬
‫‪Card W 10‬‬ ‫‪Card W 10 2‬‬

‫= )‪p ( R‬‬
‫‪CardR 2 1‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫و‬
‫‪Card W 10 5‬‬

‫‪ D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ N‬أي ‪D = N‬‬

‫) (‬
‫وﻣﻨﮫ ‪p ( D ) = p N = 1 - p ( N ) = 1 - 0.3 = 0.7‬‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :7‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ أﻗﺮاص ﻣﺮﻗﻤﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫ﻗﺮﺻﺎن ﻣﻨﮭﻢ ﯾﺤﻤﻼن اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪ 1‬و ﺛﻼث أﻗﺮاص ﻣﻨﮭﻢ ﯾﺤﻤﻠﻮن اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪ 2‬و ﺳﺒﻌﺔ أﻗﺮاص ﺗﺤﻤﻞ اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪4‬‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻗﺮﺻﺎ واﺣﺪا‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻗﺮص ﯾﺤﻤﻞ رﻗﻢ زوﺟﻲ "‪C‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻗﺮص ﯾﺤﻤﻞ اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪B " 3‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻗﺮص ﯾﺤﻤﻞ اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪A" 1‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ رﻗﻢ أﺻﻐﺮ ﻣﻦ أو ﯾﺴﺎوي ‪D" 2‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻗﺮص ﻻ ﯾﺤﻤﻞ اﻟﺮﻗﻢ ‪E" 1‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪card ( W ) = 12 (1:‬‬
‫وھﻮ ﺑﺒﺴﺎطﺔ ﻋﺪد اﻷﻗﺮاص ﻓﻲ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق‬
‫‪CardD 5‬‬ ‫‪CardC 10 5‬‬ ‫‪CardA 2 1‬‬ ‫‪CardB 0‬‬
‫= )‪p ( D‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ) ‪p (C‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( A‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 0 (2‬‬
‫‪Card W 12‬‬ ‫‪Card W 12 6‬‬ ‫‪Card W 12 6‬‬ ‫‪Card W 12‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( E ) = p A = 1 - p ( A) = 1 -‬‬
‫‪1 5‬‬
‫وﻣﻨﮫ =‬
‫‪6 6‬‬
‫‪ E‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ A‬أي ‪E = A‬‬

‫!‪7‬‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :8‬أﺣﺴﺐ ‪ 4! :‬و !‪5‬‬

‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪12‬‬
‫‪ .1‬أﺣﺴﺐ ‪ C 4 :‬و ‪ C 5‬و ‪ C 7‬و‬
‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪7‬‬
‫و‬ ‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫و‬ ‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫‪ .2‬أﺣﺴﺐ ‪:‬‬
‫‪A ´A‬‬ ‫‪ .3‬أﺣﺴﺐ و ﺑﺴﻂ ‪ 10!´ 5! :‬و‬
‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫‪6‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬
‫‪5‬‬
‫!‪6!´ 8‬‬
‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬

‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪(1:‬‬
‫‪ 4! = 4 ´ 3 ´ 2 ´1 = 24‬و ‪5! = 5 ´ 4 ´ 3 ´ 2 ´1 = 120‬‬
‫‪7! = 7 ´ 6 ´ 5 ´ 4 ´ 3 ´ 2 ´1 = 5040‬‬
‫!‪5‬‬ ‫‪5! 5 ´ 4 ´ 3! 5 ´ 4‬‬ ‫!‪4‬‬ ‫‪4! 4 ´ 3 ´ 2! 4 ´ 3‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 10‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 6 (2‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫!‪2!( 5 - 2 )! 2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬ ‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫!‪2!( 4 - 2 ) ! 2!2‬‬ ‫!‪2!2‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬
‫!‪12‬‬ ‫‪12! 12 ´11 ´10 ´ 9! 12 ´ 11´ 10‬‬ ‫!‪7‬‬ ‫‪7! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5 ´ 4! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 35‬‬
‫‪4‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 220‬‬
‫‪3‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪12‬‬
‫!‪3!(12 - 3 ) ! 9!3‬‬ ‫!‪9!3‬‬ ‫!‪3‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪7‬‬
‫!‪4!( 7 - 4 )! 4!3‬‬ ‫!‪4!3‬‬ ‫!‪3‬‬
‫‪= 7 ´ 6 ´ 5 ´ 4 = 840‬‬
‫‪4‬‬
‫‪= 4 ´ 3 = 12‬‬ ‫‪= 5 ´ 4 ´ 3 = 60‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪7‬‬ ‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬ ‫‪(3‬‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬

 ‫‪A ´A‬‬ ‫‪6 ´ 5 ´ 4 ´ 10 ´ 9 ´ 8 ´ 7 5 ´ 4‬‬ ‫‪10!´ 5! 10 ´ 9 ´ 8!´ 5! 10 ´ 9 10 ´ 3 ´ 3 10 ´ 3‬‬
‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪4‬‬
‫‪6‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫و ‪= 20‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 15 (4‬‬
‫‪5‬‬
‫‪10 ´ 9 ´ 8 ´ 7 ´ 6‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫!‪6!´ 8‬‬ ‫!‪6 ´ 5!´ 8‬‬ ‫‪6‬‬ ‫‪3´ 2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪A‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:9‬‬
‫ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺣﻤﺮاء‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻓﻲ آن واﺣﺪ‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺑﯿﻀﺎوﯾﻦ "‪ " B‬ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ "‪R‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬
‫= ‪card ( W ) = C8‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫!‪8‬‬
‫=‬
‫!‪8‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪8 ´ 7 ´ 6! 8 ´ 7‬‬
‫=‬ ‫اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ‪= 28 ( 1:‬‬
‫! ) ‪2!( 8 - 2‬‬ ‫!‪2!6‬‬ ‫!‪2!6‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬
‫‪5! 5 ´ 4 ´ 3! 5 ´ 4‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫!‪5‬‬ ‫‪CardR‬‬ ‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪10‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 10‬‬ ‫= )‪p ( R‬‬ ‫==‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫= ‪== 3‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪(2‬‬
‫‪5‬‬
‫!‪2!( 5 - 2 )! 2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28 28‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28 28‬‬
‫‪CardM‬‬ ‫‪C 2 + C52 3 + 10 13‬‬ ‫ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن أي ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺑﯿﻀﺎوﯾﻦ أو ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ‬
‫= ) ‪p(M‬‬ ‫‪== 3‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28‬‬ ‫‪28‬‬ ‫‪28‬‬
‫) (‬
‫‪p ( D) = p M = 1- p ( M ) = 1-‬‬
‫‪13 15‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪28 28‬‬
‫‪ D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ M‬أي ‪ D = M‬وﻣﻨﮫ‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :10‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺣﻤﺮاء و ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻓﻲ آن واﺣﺪ‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺣﻤﺮاء "‪R‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء " ‪N‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬
‫= ‪C123‬‬ ‫!‪12‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪12! 12 ´ 11´ 10 ´ 9! 12 ´ 11´ 10 6 ´ 2 ´11´ 10‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 220‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪ card ( W ) = C123 (1:‬وﻣﻨﮫ‬
‫!‪3!(12 - 3) ! 3!9‬‬ ‫!‪3!9‬‬ ‫!‪3‬‬ ‫‪6‬‬

‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫‪CardR‬‬ ‫‪C 10 5‬‬ ‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪C3 4‬‬ ‫‪2 1‬‬
‫= )‪p ( R‬‬ ‫= ‪== 5‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p(N‬‬ ‫= ‪== 3‬‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫= ‪== 4‬‬ ‫‪= = (2‬‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28 28 14‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28 28‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28 28 14 7‬‬
‫!‪5‬‬ ‫‪5! 5 ´ 4 ´ 3! 5 ´ 4‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 10‬‬
‫‪3‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫!‪3!( 5 - 3)! 2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬

‫ﺳﺤﺐ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺣﻤﺮاء وواﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء‬
‫‪CardD‬‬ ‫‪C ´ C4 ´ C5 3 ´ 4 ´ 5 15 3‬‬
‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫= )‪p ( D‬‬ ‫‪== 3‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28‬‬ ‫‪220‬‬ ‫‪55 11‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( M ) = p D = 1- p ( D) = 1-‬‬
‫‪3‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪8 2‬‬
‫وﻣﻨﮫ =‬
‫‪11 28 7‬‬
‫‪ M‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ D‬أي ‪M = D‬‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :11‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺣﻤﺮاء و ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻓﻲ آن واﺣﺪ‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺣﻤﺮاء "‪R‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ ﻓﻘﻂ "‪F‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء ﻓﻘﻂ "‪E‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء ﻋﻠﻰ اﻷﻗﻞ "‪G‬‬
‫اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ‪card ( W ) = C 103 (1‬‬

‫= ‪C103‬‬ ‫!‪10‬‬ ‫‪10! 10 ´ 9 ´ 8 ´ 7! 10 ´ 9 ´ 8 5 ´ 2 ´ 3 ´ 3 ´ 8‬‬

‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 120‬‬
‫!‪3!(10 - 3) ! 3!7‬‬ ‫!‪3!7‬‬ ‫‪6‬‬ ‫‪6‬‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪4‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬

 ‫‪=1‬‬ ‫‪C3‬‬
‫‪n‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪n‬‬ ‫ﻷﻧﻨﺎ ﻧﻌﻠﻢ ن ‪:‬‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫= ‪== 3‬‬ ‫‪(2‬‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪120 120‬‬
‫‪n -1‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬

‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪=n‬‬ ‫= )‪p ( R‬‬

‫‪CardR‬‬ ‫‪C‬‬
‫= ‪== 4‬‬
‫‪4‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪1‬‬
‫‪n‬‬ ‫ﻷﻧﻨﺎ ﻧﻌﻠﻢ ن ‪:‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪120 120 30‬‬
‫ﺳﺤﺐ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺣﻤﺮاء ورة واﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء واﺣﺪة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء‬
‫‪CardD‬‬ ‫‪C 1 ´C 41 ´C 31 3 ´ 4 ´ 4 48 2‬‬
‫= )‪p ( D‬‬ ‫‪== 3‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬ ‫‪120 5‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( M ) = p D = 1- p ( D ) = 1-‬‬
‫‪2 3‬‬
‫‪ M‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ D‬أي ‪ M = D‬وﻣﻨﮫ =‬
‫‪5 5‬‬
‫ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء ﻓﻘﻂ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء وﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻏﯿﺮ ﺳﻮداوﯾﻦ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﻣﺴﺤﻮﺑﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺑﯿﻦ اﻷﻟﻮان اﻷﺧﺮى‬
‫‪CardE‬‬ ‫‪C ´C 7 3 ´C 7‬‬
‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫= )‪p( E‬‬ ‫‪== 3‬‬ ‫=‬
‫‪CardW‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬
‫‪3 ´ 21 63 21‬‬ ‫وﻣﻨﮫ‬ ‫!‪7‬‬ ‫‪7! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5! 7 ´ 6‬‬ ‫ﻧﺤﺴﺐ‬
‫= ) ‪p (E‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 21‬‬
‫‪2‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪C 72‬‬
‫‪120 120 40‬‬ ‫‪7‬‬
‫!‪2!( 7 - 2) ! 2!5‬‬ ‫!‪2!5‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬

‫ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ ﻓﻘﻂ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺣﻤﺮاوﯾﻦ وﻛﺮة ﺛﺎﻟﺜﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺑﯿﻦ اﻷﻟﻮان اﻷﺧﺮى‬
‫‪4! 4 ´ 3 ´ 2! 4 ´ 3‬‬ ‫‪C 1 ´C 42 6 ´C 42 6 ´ 6 36‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫= ) ‪ p ( F‬ﻷن ‪= 6 :‬‬
‫!‪4‬‬ ‫‪CardF‬‬
‫= ‪C4‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪== 6‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪2‬‬

‫!‪2!( 4 - 2 ) ! 2!2‬‬ ‫!‪2!2‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬ ‫‪120‬‬ ‫‪120 120 10‬‬

‫اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث " ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء ﻋﻠﻰ اﻷﻗﻞ "‪G‬‬
‫ھﻮ ‪ " :‬ﻋﺪم ﺳﺤﺐ أي ﻛﺮة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء " ‪ G‬ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﻣﻦ ﺑﯿﻦ اﻷﻟﻮان اﻟﻤﺘﺒﻘﯿﺔ‬

‫ﻧﺤﺴﺐ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻟﺤﺪث ‪ G‬اذن ‪ p (G ) = C 7 :‬وﻧﺤﺴﺐ‬

‫‪3‬‬
‫‪C 73‬‬
‫‪120‬‬

‫) (‬
‫= ‪p G‬‬
‫‪35‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪120 24‬‬
‫وﻣﻨﮫ ‪7 :‬‬
‫‪C‬‬
‫‪3‬‬
‫‪7‬‬
‫=‬
‫!‪7‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪7! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5 ´ 4! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5‬‬
‫!‪3!( 7 - 3)! 3!4‬‬
‫=‬
‫!‪3!4‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪3 ´ 2 ´1‬‬
‫‪= 35‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p (G ) = 1 - p G = 1 -‬‬
‫‪7 17‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪24 24‬‬
‫وﻧﻌﻠﻢ ‪ p (G ) + p G = 1 :‬ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ‪:‬‬ ‫) (‬
‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :12‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺳﻮداوﯾﻦ ﻣﺮﻗﻤﺘﯿﻦ ‪ 1‬و ‪2‬‬
‫و ﯾﺤﺘﻮي أﯾﻀﺎ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺻﻔﺮاء ﻣﺮﻗﻤﺔ ‪ 1‬و ‪ 2‬و‪ 3‬و‪4‬و‪5‬‬
‫‪ (1‬ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق‬
‫أﺣﺴﺐ اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻟﺤﺪﺛﯿﻦ اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﯿﻦ ‪:‬‬
‫ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺗﺤﻤﻞ رﻗﻤﺎ ﻓﺮدﯾﺎ " ‪B‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة ﺻﻔﺮاء "‪A‬‬
‫‪(2‬ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ﻓﻲ آن واﺣﺪ‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W2‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W2‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬

‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬

‫" اﻟﺤﺼﻮل ﻋﻠﻰ رﻗﻤﯿﻦ زوﺟﯿﯿﻦ "‪E‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن " ‪M‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺻﻔﺮاوﯾﻦ "‪C‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻔﺘﯿﻦ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪D‬‬
‫اﻷﺟﻮﺑﺔ‪card ( W ) = 7 (1:‬‬
‫وھﻮ ﺑﺒﺴﺎطﺔ ﻋﺪد اﻟﻜﺮات ﻓﻲ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق‬
‫‪CardA 5‬‬ ‫‪CardB 4‬‬
‫= ) ‪p (A‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ) ‪p (B‬‬ ‫‪= (1‬‬
‫‪Card W 7‬‬ ‫‪Card W 7‬‬
‫‪2‬‬
‫‪C 5 10‬‬ ‫!‪7‬‬ ‫!‪7! 7 ´ 6 ´ 5‬‬
‫= ) ‪p (C‬‬
‫‪CardC‬‬
‫==‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ‪ card W2 = C 72‬وﻣﻨﮫ‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= 21 (2‬‬
‫‪Card W2‬‬ ‫‪21 21‬‬ ‫!‪2!( 7 - 2 ) ! 2!5‬‬ ‫!‪2!5‬‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪5‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬

 ‫!‪5‬‬ ‫‪5! 5 ´ 4 ´ 3! 5 ´ 4‬‬
‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫ﻷن ‪= 10‬‬
‫‪2‬‬
‫‪C‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬
‫!‪2!( 5 - 2 ) ! 2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2!3‬‬ ‫!‪2‬‬

‫‪CardE C 32‬‬ ‫‪3 1‬‬ ‫‪CardM C 22 + C 52 1 + 10 11‬‬

‫= ) ‪p (E‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ) ‪p (M‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W2 21 21 7‬‬ ‫‪Card W2‬‬ ‫‪21‬‬ ‫‪21‬‬ ‫‪21‬‬

‫ﺳﺤﺐ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﯾﻌﻨﻲ ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺣﻤﺮاء وواﺣﺪة ﺳﻮداء ﻛﺮة واﺣﺪة ﺑﯿﻀﺎء‬
‫‪CardD‬‬ ‫‪C1 ´ C41 ´ C51 3 ´ 4 ´ 5 15 3‬‬
‫= )‪p ( D‬‬ ‫‪== 3‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪28‬‬ ‫‪220‬‬ ‫‪55 11‬‬
‫‪ M‬و‪ D‬ھﻤﺎ ﺣﺪﺛﯿﻦ ﻣﺘﻀﺎدﯾﻦ اذن ‪:‬‬

‫‪p ( D ) = 1- p ( M ) = 1 -‬‬
‫‪11 21 11 10‬‬
‫= ‪= -‬‬ ‫‪ p ( D ) + p ( M ) = 1‬وﻣﻨﮫ‬
‫‪21 21 21 21‬‬

‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪ :13‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء‬
‫ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ وﺑﺪون إﺣﻼل ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ‪:‬‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺳﻮداوﯾﻦ " ‪N‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺑﯿﻀﺎوﯾﻦ "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪card ( W ) = A72 = 7 ´ 6 = 42 (1:‬‬
‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪A2 4 ´ 3 2 ´ 2 ´ 3 2‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪A2 3 ´ 2 1‬‬
‫= )‪p(N‬‬ ‫= ‪== 4‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫= ‪== 3‬‬ ‫‪= (2‬‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪42 7 ´ 6‬‬ ‫‪7´6‬‬ ‫‪7‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪42 7 ´ 6 7‬‬
‫‪CardM A4 + A3 4 ´ 3 + 3 ´ 2‬‬ ‫‪3´6 3‬‬
‫‪2‬‬ ‫‪2‬‬
‫‪18‬‬
‫= ) ‪p(M‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪42‬‬ ‫‪7´6‬‬ ‫‪7´6 7´6 7‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( D) = p M = 1 - p ( M ) = 1-‬‬
‫‪3 4‬‬
‫‪D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ M‬أي ‪ D = M‬وﻣﻨﮫ =‬
‫‪7 7‬‬
‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:14‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ وﺑﺪون إﺣﻼل ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ‬
‫اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء" ‪N‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﺛﻼث ﻛﺮات ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪card ( W ) = A 93 = 9 ´ 8 ´ 7 = 504 (1:‬‬
‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪A 3 5´ 4´ 3‬‬ ‫‪5´ 4 ´ 3‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬ ‫‪5‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪A 4´3´2 4´3´2‬‬
‫‪3‬‬
‫‪1‬‬ ‫‪1‬‬
‫= ) ‪p( N‬‬ ‫= ‪== 5‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫= ‪== 4‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪= (2‬‬
‫‪CardW‬‬ ‫‪42 9 ´ 8 ´ 7 3 ´ 3 ´ 4 ´ 2 ´ 7 3 ´ 2 ´ 7 42‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪504 9´8´7 3´3´8´7 3´7 21‬‬
‫‪CardM A4 + A5 4´3´ 2 + 5´ 4´ 3 24 + 60 84 1‬‬
‫‪3‬‬ ‫‪3‬‬
‫= ) ‪p(M‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪504‬‬ ‫‪504‬‬ ‫‪504‬‬ ‫‪504 6‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( D ) = p M = 1- p (M ) = 1-‬‬
‫‪1 5‬‬
‫‪D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ M‬أي ‪ D = M‬وﻣﻨﮫ =‬
‫‪6 6‬‬
‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:15‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 3‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ وﺑﺈﺣﻼل‬
‫ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ‪:‬‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺳﻮداوﯾﻦ " ‪N‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺑﯿﻀﺎوﯾﻦ "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪(1:‬‬
‫‪card ( W ) = = 7 ´ 7 = 72 = 49‬‬
‫‪CardM 3 ´ 3 + 4 ´ 4 25‬‬ ‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪4 ´ 4 16‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪3´ 3 9‬‬
‫= ) ‪p(M‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p(N‬‬ ‫==‬ ‫=‬ ‫= )‪p ( B‬‬ ‫==‬ ‫=‬ ‫‪(2‬‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪7´7‬‬ ‫‪49‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪7 ´ 7 49‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪49‬‬ ‫‪49‬‬

‫) (‬
‫‪p ( D ) = p M = 1- p ( M ) = 1 -‬‬
‫‪25 24‬‬
‫=‬
‫‪49 49‬‬
‫‪D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ M‬أي ‪ D = M‬وﻣﻨﮫ‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪6‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬

 ‫ﺗﻤﺮﯾﻦ‪:16‬ﯾﺤﺘﻮي ﺻﻨﺪوق ﻏﯿﺮ ﻛﺎﺷﻒ ﻋﻠﻰ ‪ 4‬ﻛﺮات ﺑﯿﻀﺎء و ‪ 5‬ﻛﺮات ﺳﻮداء ﻧﺴﺤﺐ ﻋﺸﻮاﺋﯿﺎ ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺘﺎﺑﻊ وﺑﺈﺣﻼل‬
‫ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻨﺪوق ‪:‬‬
‫‪ .1‬ﺣﺪد ) ‪ card ( W‬ﺣﯿﺚ ‪ W‬ھﻮ ﻓﻀﺎء اﻹﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺎت‬
‫‪ .2‬ﺣﺪد اﺣﺘﻤﺎل اﻷﺣﺪاث اﻟﺘﺎﻟﯿﺔ ‪:‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺳﻮداوﯾﻦ " ‪N‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﺑﯿﻀﺎوﯾﻦ "‪B‬‬
‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻮن ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ "‪D‬‬ ‫" ﺳﺤﺐ ﻛﺮﺗﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﻧﻔﺲ اﻟﻠﻮن "‪M‬‬
‫اﻟﺠﻮاب‪(1:‬‬
‫‪card ( W ) = = 9 ´ 9 = 92 = 81 (1‬‬
‫‪CardM 4 ´ 4 + 5 ´ 5 16 + 25 41‬‬ ‫‪CardN‬‬ ‫‪5 ´ 5 25‬‬ ‫‪CardB‬‬ ‫‪4 ´ 4 16‬‬
‫= ) ‪p (M‬‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ) ‪p (N‬‬ ‫==‬ ‫=‬ ‫= ) ‪p (B‬‬ ‫==‬ ‫‪= (2‬‬
‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪81‬‬ ‫‪81‬‬ ‫‪81‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪81 81‬‬ ‫‪Card W‬‬ ‫‪81‬‬ ‫‪81‬‬

‫) (‬ ‫= ‪ D‬وﻣﻨﮫ ‪41 40‬‬

‫= ‪p ( D ) = p M =1- p ( M ) =1-‬‬
‫‪81 81‬‬
‫‪D‬ھﻮ اﻟﺤﺪث اﻟﻤﻀﺎد ﻟﻠﺤﺪث ‪ M‬أي ‪M‬‬

‫اﻷﺳﺘﺎذ ‪ :‬ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻲ ﻧﺠﯿﺐ‬ ‫‪7‬‬ ‫‪http:// xyzmath.e-monsite.com‬‬