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B. Yes, the data are consistent with V.O. Key's retrospective evaluation hypothesis. The better
people thought the economy did in the year prior to the election, the higher percentage votes
for Hillary Clinton. (Wording may vary.)
C. No, the data do not support the loss aversion theory. The “punishment” for a worsening
economy is not greater than the “reward” for the economy doing well. For example, the loss
for the economy doing somewhat worse for Hillary Clinton, compared to about the same, is
25.4% (25.5–50.9) while the increase for the economy doing somewhat better is 33.9%
(84.8–50.9). (Wording may vary.)
Syntax for solution
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=Who_2016 BY better_worse_past_econ
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COUNT COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
2.
A.
B. Yes, the data do support the Pew findings. All partisans – Democrats, Independents, and
Republicans – placed the Republicans at practically the same conservative position on the
liberal-conservative scale (the mean placements varied between 4.76 and 5.59). However,
the placement of the Democrats varied widely: Republicans placed Democrats well
toward the liberal side (1.69). Independents and Democrats placed the Democrat Party
slightly left of center (3.06–3.36 range). (Wording may vary.)
Syntax for solution
3.
A. According to the hypothesis, as the values of polviews increase (get more conservative), mean
values of femrole should decrease (get more traditional).
B.
GRAPH
/LINE(SIMPLE)=MEAN(femrole) BY polviews.
4.
A.
Med.
34.7% 32.1% 30.5% 22.3% 31.5%
Egalitarianism
High
32.8% 36.4% 39.0% 52.2% 37.6%
Egalitarianism
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=egalit_3 BY educ4
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
GRAPH
/BAR(SIMPLE)=PIN(3 3)(egalit_3) BY educ4.
5.
A.
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=fepol BY intsex
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=fefam BY intsex
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
GRAPH
/BAR(SIMPLE)=PIN(2 2)(fepol) BY intsex.
6.
A.
B. Which state is the outlier in the Northeast? Pennsylvania. Which two states are outliers in the
West? Utah and Idaho.
C. No, as measured by the interquartile range, Southern states are more spread out – that is, have
more variation in prolife opinions compared to states in the Midwest. This is clear from a visual
comparison of the IQR in the box plot. (Wording may vary.)
D. Yes, ignoring their outliers, the Northeastern states are more cohesive in their prolife opinions
than are the Western states. The difference isn’t huge, but comparing the IQR in the box plot,
one sees the IQR for states in the Northeast is smaller than the IQR for states in the West.
(Wording may vary.)
7.
A. The intercept of line may vary but it should be horizontal line.
B. The intercept of line may vary but it should be upward sloping line (the x-axis is in order of
more restrictive to less restrictive gun laws).
C.
Total 15.43 50
GRAPH
/BAR(SIMPLE)=MEAN(suicide_rate) BY Gun_rank3.
8.
A. democracies (most stable), presidential democracies, dictatorships (least stable).
B. The box plot supports ranking parliamentary democracies as the most stable because the
median value of durable is the highest for parliamentary democracies. (Wording may vary.)
C. The box plot does not clearly show that presidential democracies are the second most stable
form of government. The two longest lasting government in the world are both presidential
democracies, but the median duration of presidential democracies is comparable to the median
duration of dictatorships (the median for presidential democracies is slightly higher, 10.5 versus
8 for dictatorships). In fact, the 75% quartile of dictatorship duration is higher than the 75%
quartile of presidential democracies duration. (Wording may vary.)
D.
9.
A. Scholar 1’s hypothesis: In a comparison of democracies, those having single-member districts
will have fewer political parties.
B. (Wording may vary.) Scholar 2’s hypothesis: In a comparison of countries, those with greater
heterogeneity will have more political parties compared to those with less heterogeneity.
C.
Note: The numeric codes for district_size3 and frac_eth3 aren’t in the order shown in the tables
so students need to be careful about copying results into the right table cells.
D. Scholar 1’s hypothesis is supported by the analysis, but Scholar 2’s hypothesis is not
supported by the analysis.
E. 68.2% of countries with single-member districts have only 1–3 political parties while
countries with multi-member districts tend to have more political parties. 37.5% of countries
that average 2–5 members per district have 1–3 political parties and just 13.8% of countries with
6 or more members per district have only 1–3 political parties.
Countries with high heterogeneity appear to have fewer effective political parties compared to
those with less heterogeneity. 42.9% of countries with high heterogeneity have just 1–3 political
parties while the comparable percentage drops to 33.3% in countries with medium heterogeneity
and 35.3% in countries with low heterogeneity. (Wording may vary.)
Syntax for solution
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=enpp3_democ BY district_size3
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
CROSSTABS
/TABLES=enpp3_democ BY frac_eth3
/FORMAT=AVALUE TABLES
/CELLS=COLUMN
/COUNT ROUND CELL.
Solution Manual for An IBM SPSS Companion to Political Analysis, 6th Edition, Philip H. Poll