LIKELIHOOD SCALE CONSEQUENCE SCALE

(Likelihood of defined consequences)

For ongoing For defined 1 2 3 4 5

activities time activities

A Many times per 99% Significant Significant High High Medium

annum,
continuous chance 1 3 6 10 15

B Once or twice 50% Significant Significant High Medium Low

per annum
chance 2 5 9 14 19

C Once in 5 years 10% Significant High Medium Low Low

chance 4 8 13 18 22

D Once in 15 years 1% High High Medium Low Low

chance 7 12 17 21 24

E Unlikely in life of 0.1% High Medium Low Low Low

mine
chance 11 16 20 23 25
 Financial Impact Non Financial Impact
Actual Loss /
Strategic Goal
BCP Opportunity Loss /
Potential Loss
Deviation from Efficiency (Projected
Cost per ton of coal
Consequence Unscheduled operational stoppage of Current Year's Operating EBITDA Time Over Run on project delivery HR Industrial Environmental Publication / Reputation
mine operation (time)
produced (percentage HR Turnover Health & Safety Regulation Legal Litigation
Level projected Net against total Coal Sales for BUMA Relation Damage Scale
Income (Deviation in a year) deviation from target)
%Realization)

1 Loss > USD 5 M 202,192 ton 10% < Net Income< Deviation
50% of Deviation > 9% of cost 270,994 ton 10% Employee Operational Fatal Event
Large Scale, National/Internatio Operation Criminal
Very High 2,122,070 bcm (946,633) competitors 18,406,768 2,751,514.49 bcm Turnover Stoppage Deathlong term nal scale negative Prohibition accusation
9.00 days pending 58.46 days pending enviro damage publicity against
18.00 shifts pending 117.00 shifts pending that threaten PTDH
2 USD 3 M < Loss < 121,315 ton 5% < Deviation < 25%
10% - 50% of 7% Deviation < 9% 162,596 ton 6.6% Employee Work RWDI & LDI > Large scale, Regional Temporary Accusation
High USD 5 M 1,273,242 bcm (473,316) competitors 14,316,375 1,650,908.69 bcm Turnover<10% Slowdown 20 days short term (province) activity of criminal
5.40 days pending 35.07 days pending enviro damage prohibition made
11.00 shifts pending 71.00 shifts pending off-site against
3 USD 1.5 M< Loss < 60,658 ton 3% < Deviation < 12.5%
5% - 25% of 4% Deviation < 7% 81,298 ton 3% Employee Third Party RWDI & LDI < Small Scale District Written Legal
Medium USD 3 M 636,621 bcm (283,990) competitors 8,180,786 825,454.35 bcm Turnover<6.6% Mediation 20 days enviro damage warning with complaint
2.70 days pending 17.54 days pending off-site sanction against
6.00 shifts pending 36.00 shifts pending PTDH
4 USD 1 M Loss < 40,438 ton 1% < Deviation < <3%12.5% of 2% Deviation < 4% 54,199 ton 0% Employee Grievance Light Injury Significant Local Written Formal
Low USD 1.5 M 424,414 bcm (94,663) competitors 4,090,393 550,302.90 bcm Turnover<3% Employee Enviro warning warning
1.80 days pending 11.69 days pending Activities Damage on without letter is sent
4.00 shifts pending 24.00 shifts pending site only sanction to PTDH
5 Loss < USD 1 M 40,438 ton Deviation< 1% Highest among Deviation < 2% of cost 54,199 ton No Employee Isolated First Aid Minor Enviro No Effect Informal/verbal Verbal
Very Low 424,414 bcm (94,663) competitors 4,090,393 550,302.90 bcm Turnover employee Treatment Impact warning dispute in
1.80 days pending 11.69 days pending dissatisfaction which an
4.00 shifts pending 24.00 shifts pending informal
 Strategic Goal Deviation
Efficiency ( Ratio of
Actual Loss / from Current Year's Cost per ton of coal
ACP Opportunity Loss /
Actual Loss / Opportunity Unscheduled operational stoppage of mine operation
Loss / Potential Loss (time)
projected Net Income
Projected Operating
EBITDA against total Coal
produced (percentage
Consequence Level Potential Loss (Deviation in deviation from target)
Sales a year)
%Realization)
1 Loss > USD 1.3 M 13.8% of EBITDA 70,064 ton 10% < Net Income Deviation Deviation > 9% of cost
< 50% of competitors
Very High 1,292,722.68 411,383 bcm 412,751 3,875,118
10.00 days of coal hauled&waste removal
20.00 Shifts
2 USD 776 k< Loss < 8.3% < EBITDA < 13.8% 42,039 ton 5% < Deviation < 10% 7% Deviation < 9%
25% - 50% of competitors
High USD 1.3 M 775,633.61 246,830 bcm 206,376 3,013,981
6.00 days of coal hauled&waste removal
12.00 Shifts
3 USD 388k < Loss < 4.1% < EBITDA < 8.3% 21,019 ton 3% < Deviation < 5% 12.5% - 25% of 4% Deviation < 7%
Medium USD 776k 387,816.80 123,415 bcm 123,825 competitors 1,722,275
3.00 days of coal hauled&waste removal
6.00 Shifts
4 USD 259k < Loss < 2.8% < EBITDA < 4.1% 14,013 ton 1% < Deviation < 3% 2% Deviation < 4%
< 12.5% of competitors
Low USD 388k 258,544.54 82,277 bcm 41,275 861,137
2.00 days of coal hauled&waste removal
4.00 Shifts
5 Loss < USD 259k EBITDA < 2.8% 14,013 ton Deviation< 1% Highest among Deviation < 2% of cost
Very Low 258,544.54 82,277 bcm 41,275 competitors 861,137
2.00 days of coal hauled&waste removal
4.00 Shifts