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23/10/2018

Questions

• Apakah yang sedang terjadi di wilayah


Indonesia sehingga akhir-akhir ini sering
terjadi gempa?
Lessons Learned dari Gempa Lombok dan • Bagaimana potensi kejadian gempa di masa
Sulawesi Tengah: Implikasi untuk Jawa Barat
mendatang?
Sri WIDIYANTORO#,*, A.D. Nugraha, M. Ridwan, • Seberapa besar potensi kerusakan yang akan
Zulfakriza, P. Supendi, S. Rosalia
ditimbulkan, khususnya di kota-kota besar
#Dekan dan Guru Besar FTTM, ITB

*Ketua Pokja Seismologi, Tim Nasional Peta Sumber


akibat gempa mendatang?
dan Bahaya Gempa

Aula Timur, ITB, 23 Oktober 2018

Regional earthquakes (1964 – 2005)


Outline and seismographic stations

• Rentetan gempa Lombok Juli-Agustus 2018


• Gempa dan tsunami Donggala-Palu (Sulawesi
Tengah) 28 September 2018
• Implikasi untuk Jawa Barat
• Beberapa langkah antisipasi yang diperlukan

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Rentetan gempa Lombok Data BMKG (Dimas Salomo)


Juli-Agustus 2018

Data USGS

Gempa dan Tsunami Donggala-Palu


Sebelum relokasi hiposenter
28 September 2018

Data BMKG Gusman et al. (in prep.)

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Setelah relokasi hiposenter

Natawidjaja dkk. (2017)

Courtesy of R. Hall (2018)


Widiyantoro dkk. (2017)

P-wave tomographic model


USGS Data (Widiyantoro, 2018)

Palu

ak135 (%)

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Gempa Lebak M 6,1


23 Januari 2018
sebagai gentle
reminder

Historical Earthquakes

While no earthquakes have caused


widespread damage in West Java since 1699
before the 20th century, large events 1780
impacting Jakarta (then Batavia) occurred 1834
in the 18th and 19th centuries.

January 5, 1699
Wide damage area extending from W Java to
Sumatra: M=8, intraslab.
January 22, 1780
Felt throughout Java, most damage in Jakarta:
Inferred MMIs and
M=7 on Baribis Fault.
population per
October 10 1834 100mX100m grid.
Felt as far as Central Java and Sumatra: M=7
on Baribis Fault.

http://puskim.pu.go.id/informasi/buku-
peta-gempa-2017/

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"It’s all down to


rigorous building
codes, Hazard 2500y (2010) http://Puskim.pu.go.id/w
p-
evacuation content/uploads/2017/P
eta-Sumber-dan-Bahaya-

simulations and, Gempa-Indonesia-


2017.pdf

above all,
preparation" Hazard 2500y (2017)

Create a Disaster Preparedness Plan for your


house or place of work. Know what you and
How to Prepare for an Earthquake your family are going to do before the
earthquake happens. Form your plan together
and go over it on a regular basis. The most
important first step is understanding what to
• https://www.wikihow.com/Prepare-for-an- do the moment an earthquake hits. This plan
needs to: Identify the best places for cover in
Earthquake your building. Under sturdy desks and tables
and inside strong interior door frames are
good places. If there is no other cover, lay on
the floor next to an interior wall and protect
your head and neck. Stay away from large
furniture, mirrors, external walls and windows,
kitchen cabinets, and anything heavy that isn't
bolted down.
Teach everyone how to signal for help if
trapped. Rescuers searching collapsed
buildings will be listening for sounds, so try
knocking three times repeatedly or blow an
emergency whistle if you have access to one.
Practice until it is second nature. Practice this
plan often -- you only have a few seconds to
make adjustments in a real earthquake.

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Ministry of Civil Defence (NZ)

• If an earthquake is long or
strong, get gone!
Terima Kasih

https://www.civildefence.govt.nz

Supplementary Material
Bedrock depth and Vs30 maps
(Ridwan et al., in prep.)

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Preparing an Emergency Preparing Your Home to Minimize


Earthquake Kit Damage
• Fasten any large items securely to the walls and floor.
• Prepare disaster supplies in advance, making sure the • Install shatter-safe window films to protect from
entire house knows where to find everything. breaking glass.
• Purchase enough emergency food and water for at least • Place breakable items (bottles, glass, etc.) in closed
three days. cabinets that have latches.
• Buy a solar or manual crank flashlight and radio, or a • Remove or secure hanging objects from above seating
normal flashlight with extra batteries.
and sleeping areas.
• Create a First Aid kit.
• Put together a basic tool kit that can help get out of the
• Check with a professional, your landlord, or the zoning
house in an emergency. board that your house is up-to-date with earthquake
protections.
• Store miscellaneous supplies to make an emergency stay
more comfortable. • Work with your community to find meeting points,
preparedness workshops, and support groups

Practice "drop, cover and hold on"


Learn basic first aid and
until it becomes second nature. In a
cardiopulmonary resuscitation
real earthquake, this is your number
(CPR) or make sure there is at
one defense. Drop to the floor, take
least one person in the house
cover under a sturdy desk or table
knows it. There are resources in
and hold on firmly. Be prepared for
your community to educate you
shaking and falling objects. You
and your family on how to deal
should practice this in every room of
with first aid emergencies. Your
the house, knowing your protected
local Red Cross has monthly
areas no matter where you are when
classes as well that will teach you
an earthquake hits. If you are outside,
the basic skills to deal with most
move into the open, away from
common injuries and situations. If
anything that could fall or collapse
you cannot attend a class,
like telegraph poles and buildings.
purchase basic first aid books and
Drop and cover your head from falling
put them with each stash of
objects. Stay there until the shaking
emergency supplies in the house.
stops.
Having a first aid kit or highly
recommended.

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Decide on a rallying point for your


family for after the earthquake. It
should be away from buildings. Go
over what your family should do in the
event that not everyone makes it to
the rallying point. If you have civil
defense safety meeting points (as Learn how to turn off the
designated by your town), be sure that utilities in your house,
every member of the family knows the especially the gas line. A
location of the one closest to home, broken gas line leaks
school, and work. Identify an out-of- flammable gas into the
area contact person, like an out-of- environment which can lead to
state aunt or uncle, that your family a very dangerous explosion if
can call and get in touch with one untended. You should learn
another. If you can't call each other for how to operate your utilities
some reason, make sure you call them now so that, in the event you
to help coordinate a meet-up. Use FRS smell leaking gas, you can
and GMRS service (GMRS requires a quickly stop the problem.
license by FCC in US) to contact each
other. Phone lines get congested in
disaster. Some FRS and GMRS radio
can send radio waves up to 40 miles!

Write down and share


emergency contact lists. This Try to develop routes and
should include everyone in your methods for getting home
home, office, etc. You need to after an earthquake has
know who must be accounted occurred. There is no way to
for and how to get in touch with know what time of day an
them if they can't be found. In earthquake might strike, you
addition to normal contact may be at work, at school, on a
information, ask each person to bus, or in a train when one
provide and emergency contact strikes. It is highly likely that
as well. You should also include: you will need to know several
Names and numbers of ways to get home since roads
neighbors. and bridges will likely be
Name and number of the obstructed for long periods of
landlord. time. Note any potentially
Important medical information. dangerous structures, like
Emergency numbers for fire, bridges, and figure out a route
medical, police, and insurance. around them if need be.

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Buku PuSGeN (2017)


Donggala-Palu M 7.4
Earthquake
(28/09/2018)

S. Widiyantoro
FTTM – ITB

Widiyantoro dkk. (2017) Natawidjaja dkk. (2017)

Courtesy of Prof. R. Hall (2018)


An image of the fault, offshore and onshore. Onshore
uses SRTM with 30m pixel size, offshore deeper areas has
multibeam bathymetry with 15m pixel size. Straight line
edges are artefacts due to the use of global bathymetry
from satellite gravity with 1 km pixels to fill the areas
between coast and multibeam images.

Very clear trace of the fault offshore just west of the


Sulawesi neck is seen.

The depths of the narrow flat bottomed basins along the


fault are about 1000m so you can see there are very
steep slopes from nearby land. Maximum elevations in
the neck are about 1500m. Distance from the coast to the
deep basins varies from about 6 to 10 km. So not very Courtesy of Dr. Sri Hidayati
surprising that there would be submarine slope failures. (PVMBG, 2018)
Something like that probably initiated the tsunami.

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Courtesy of R. Hall (2018)

Liquefaction

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The Palu-Koro fault ruptures in a


M=7.5 quake in Sulawesi, Indonesia,
triggering a tsunami

Global earthquakes (1964 – 2005)


and seismographic stations

Engdahl et al. (1998); an updated version

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Muhari et al. (2018)


http://temblor.net/earthquake-insights/finding-of-the-unexpected-tsunami-due-to-the-
strike-slip-fault-at-central-sulawesi-indonesia-on-28-september-2018-from-the-
preliminary-field-survey-at-palu-7855/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

Source: USGS

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