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MOUNT KENYA UNIVERSITY

BHU2102: CLIMATOLOGY
ASSIGMENT.

COURSE TITLE: CLIMATOLOGY.

COURSE UNIT : BHU2102

1. Examine the relevance of the climate models in climate studies.


Climatic models has a great importance in the field of climate studies, offering valuable insights
into the workings of our planets climate system. These models also plays an important role in
understanding and predicting climate patterns and their future trends. Therefore the following
are ways in which climatic models are relevant to climate studies.

 Agriculture and food security: Through these models, it helps to understand future
climate conditions which assists in planning agricultural practices, optimizing crop yield
and addressing food security challenges within the changing climatic patterns. For
instance now in our country the government is urging people to store enough food for
the case of the expected onset of the El Nino rains in the mid of this October month.

 Detecting climate variability: Climatic models can help identify and understand
natural climate variations and patterns, such as El Nino and La Nina. An example for
this case is the steps and the preparations in which both the National and the county
governments are taking to combat the el Nino rains which is predicted to start at the
mid of this October month. This therefore will help the people avoid the damages
which will be associated with El Niño rains. Thanks to this prediction models.

 It helps in prediction of future climate. Through the combination of the past and
present properly, climatic models helps us to make projections of the future climate
change. This is therefore achieved through incorporation of various ways such as
greenhouse gas emission and other factors which therefore can provide estimates of
how the climate may change in the coming centuries.

 It helps in assessing uncertainties. Climatic models are also used to show


uncertainties in climate projections therefore the models helps the scientists to
estimate the range of possible future climate outcomes. This information may also
allow for evaluation of the potential risks associated with climate change. This
therefore will help to reduce the damages which is brought by the climatic changes.

 Exploring the impacts of climate change: Climate models enables scientists to assess
the potential impacts of climate change on various sectors. This includes: agriculture,
water resources and human health. Therefore through this models the scientists are in
a position to minimize risks and maximize durability.

 It helps in scenario analysis: Climate models involves exploring and assessing different
possible future outcomes or scenarios by changing specific input variables. This
therefore helps in the imaging of the future climate based on knowledge of the past
climate to give assumptions of the future. This enables policy makers to make
informed decisions and develop strategies on different climate scenarios.

 Climate models are also important tools for improving our understanding of climate
behavior on seasonal and annual time scales: Models helps to investigate or show the
degree to which observed climate changes may be due to natural variability, human
activities or combining the two.

 Helps in understanding how Earths system naturally function through understanding


past, present and future climate: This information when combined with climate
models, it allows us to determine how both natural and man-made influences have
and will impact changes in our climate. These predictions and results therefore can
suggest how to mitigate the worst effects of climate change.

 Public health planning: Climatic models aid in predicting the spread and intensity of
diseases influenced by climate factors, enabling proactive public health planning and
response strategies. This therefore helps to curb this spread of diseases.
 Climate models also helps in conservation efforts: This is achieved through simulation
of the effects of different environmental scenarios, climatic models helps to identify
areas of ecological vulnerability, aiding in the formulation of conservation plans and
the protection of vulnerable ecosystems.

 Energy planning: These models also helps in offering valuable insights into the
renewable energy potential, allowing for efficient planning and production of clean
energy infrastructure.
In summary, climatic models are relevant in climate studies as they enable the prediction
of future climate, deepen our understanding of climate dynamics, assess climate
variability, analyze different scenarios and evaluate climate change impacts. They
therefore acts as an important tool to provide knowledge to the complex nature of the
Earth’s climate system.

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