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I. Objectives:
At the end of the lesson the student should be able to:
a. define theoretical probability.
b. solve problems using theoretical probability formula.
c. value the importance of probability in real life situation.
A. Preliminary Activities
1. Prayer:
- Please stand and kindly lead the prayer Ana.
2. Greetings:
3. Checking of Attendance:
- Secretary Lunas who are absent this morning?
5. Drill:
- Now, at a count of 10 pass your paper into the center - (Students raised their hand)
aisle and pass it forward.
6. Review:
- Based on your assignment, who can recall what was - Yes sir!
our topic last meeting?
- Very good! It is all about Experimental Probability. - Our topic last meeting sir is all
What is experimental Probability? about experimental probability
- Experimental Probability – is
a probability that is determined
on the basis of the results of an
-That’s right! You already mastered the topic very experiment repeated many times.
well.
7. Motivation:
B. Developmental Activities
1. Presentation of topic:
- Our topic for this morning is all about
THEORETICAL PROBABILITY
Words to learn:
2. Discussion:
Formula:
Solution:
- Favorable outcome =6
- total possible outcome = 10
P(E) =
- Very good! Let us give a WOW clap to John. total number of favorable outcome
total number of possible outcome
- Now, let us try another example. I have here a color
wheel. 6 3
P(E) = =
10 5
Solution:
Favorable outcome = 1
Possible outcome= 5
1
P(E) =
5
3. Application
Criteria O S D B
Use The solution was 5 4 3 2
mathematical completely
concepts following all the
mathematical
components
presented in the
task
Accuracy The solution was 5 4 3 2
clear without
mathematical
errors.
Delivery There is a clear 5 4 3 2
explanation in the
solution with
precise and
appropriate
mathematical
terminology.
5 points – 1st
4 points – 2nd
3 points – 3rd
- Time is up!
4. Generalization:
- Yes, also probability exist in real life situation and it Theoretical Probability – it is
is very helpful especially in terms of knowing the used to estimate the probability
weather. PAGASA use very well the probability to of an event when all the
tell us the chances or predict if it will rain or not so outcomes are equal.
that we can prepared ahead of time if there is a
strong storm coming.
- I am right?
- Yes, sir it is very helpful to us
- Now Kindly get ½ crosswise and answer the because learning this kind of
following question. topic gives as more chances to
think critically especially making
decision in life.
- Yes sir!
IV. Evaluation:
Direction: Write this on a ½ crosswise. Solve the probability of an event of the following
question.
1. What is the probability of spinning an odd number?
2. What is the probability of spinning an even number?
3. What is the probability of spinning a number less than 3?
4. A bag contains 6 blue balls, 4 yellow balls, and 2 red balls. What is the theoretical
probability of getting;
a. Blue ball
b. Yellow ball
c. Red ball
V. Assignment:
Direction: Answer this in a ½ crosswise. Solve the probability of an event following based on the figure below.
1. The coach has written the names of each of the tract team member on an index card. She draws randomly from
these cards to choose a student to run a sprint and then replaces the card in the stack.
a. If there are 13 boys and 10 girls on the team, what is the theoretical probability that a girl’s name will be
drawn?
b. If there are 13 boys and 10 girls on the team, what is the theoretical probability that a boy’s name will be
drawn?