20

An Assessment of Conductor Casing Design in Relation to a

Titled of Offshore Monopod Fixed Platform

͞^ƚƌĂƚĞŐŝZĞǀŽůƵƐŝŽŶĞƌWĞŶŐĞŵďĂŶŐĂŶ>ĂƉĂŶŐĂŶ͕dĞŬŶŽůŽŐŝĚĂŶ<ĞďŝũĂŬĂŶDŝŐĂƐ'ƵŶĂ
DĞŶŝŶŐŬĂƚŬĂŶ<ĞƚĂŚĂŶĂŶŶĞƌŐŝĂůĂŵZĂŶŐŬĂ<ĞƚĂŚĂŶĂŶEĂƐŝŽŶĂů͟

Development Scenario Selection in Marginal Offshore Gas Field with Case

Study of Dry Gas Field in East Java, Indonesia
 ͞^ƚƌĂƚĞŐŝZĞǀŽůƵƐŝŽŶĞƌWĞŶŐĞŵďĂŶŐĂŶ>ĂƉĂŶŐĂŶ͕dĞŬŶŽůŽŐŝĚĂŶ<ĞďŝũĂŬĂŶDŝŐĂƐ'ƵŶĂ
DĞŶŝŶŐŬĂƚŬĂŶ<ĞƚĂŚĂŶĂŶŶĞƌŐŝĂůĂŵZĂŶŐŬĂ<ĞƚĂŚĂŶĂŶEĂƐŝŽŶĂů͟

$Q$VVHVVPHQWRI&RQGXFWRU&DVLQJ'HVLJQLQ5HODWLRQWRD7LWOHGRI
2IIVKRUH0RQRSRG)L[HG3ODWIRUP

(UZLQGR7DQMXQJ
3UHPLHU2LO

$EVWUDFW
5HIHU WR VHYHUDO VRXUFHV RI 61, $3, &DQDGD QRU 86 5HJXODWLRQV DQ RYHUDOO GHILQLWLRQ RI
FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ LV QRW RQO\ GHVLJQHG DV D ODUJH SLSH WR VXSSRUW WKH ZHOO ZHOOKHDG DQG
FRPSOHWLRQ HTXLSPHQW DQG KROH VWDELOLW\ IRU LQLWLDO GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ EXW DOVR DV D FRQGXLW
SLSHWRDOORZFLUFXODWLRQRIGULOOLQJFXWWLQJWRVXUIDFH,QPRVWSUDFWLFHRIGULOOLQJWKURXJKDQ
RIIVKRUHIL[HGSODWIRUPFRQGXFWRUSLSHLVVHWE\GULYLQJZLWKKDPPHUZKHUHWKHGHSWKLVVHW
ZKHQHYHUEORZSHUIRRW %3) RIGULYLQJKDVUHDFKHGRIKDPPHUFDSDFLW\RUWKHIRUFH
RIKDPPHUKDVUHDFKHGRIFRQGXFWRUVWUHQJWK7KLVSUDFWLFHGRHVQRWDVVHVVIRUPDWLRQ
LQWHJULW\ EHORZ FRQGXFWRU SLSH WR DVVXUH VWURQJ HQRXJK WR VXSSRUW FLUFXODWLRQ RI GULOOLQJ
FXWWLQJWKURXJKRXWVXUIDFHGULOOLQJVHFWLRQRSHUDWLRQRUQRWEXWKDYHDVVXUHG DVDFRPSHWHQW
URFNWRVXSSRUWGULOOLQJRSHUDWLRQXQWLOSURGXFWLRQOLIH3UDFWLFDOO\DUHTXLUHPHQWRIIRUPDWLRQ
LQWHJULW\EHORZFRQGXFWRUFDVLQJVKRHWRDOORZFLUFXODWLRQLVQRWDQXOWLPDWHFULWHULRQWREH
DFKLHYHG IRU GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ XQOHVV LIDQ\ VKDOORZ JDV ULVN IURP WKH JHRSK\VLFDO VXUYH\
UHVXOW,QUHODWLRQWRFRPPRQIL[HGSODWIRUPFRQGLWLRQFRQGXFWRUFDVLQJIRUDZHOOVKDOOEH
GHVLJQHGLQGHSHQGHQWO\IURPWKHSODWIRUPVWUXFWXUDOLQWHJULW\+RZHYHUDFDVHIRU0RQRSRG
)L[HG3ODWIRUPSRVLWLRQRIFRQGXFWRUGHSWKKDVWDNHQFULWLFDOLPSDFWWRWKHSODWIRUPLQWHJULW\
GXULQJ GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ &RQGXFWRU VKDOO EH VHW GHHSHU HQRXJK WR FDVH ZHDN IRUPDWLRQ WR
DVVXUH QR ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ GXULQJ GULOOLQJ DV WKH ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ ZLOO REVWUXFW IRUPDWLRQ
LQWHJULW\ WKDW KROG WKH PRQRSRG¶V VWUXFWXUH 7KH LPSDFW RI ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ WRWKHVWUXFWXUDO
SLSH RI 0RQRSRG ZDV RXWVWDQGLQJ DQG DEQRUPDO RU QHYHU KDSSHQ LQ WKH SDVW IRU VLPLODU
GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ 7KLV SDSHU FRQWDLQV FRPSUHKHQVLYH GLVFXVVLRQ RI FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ
UHTXLUHPHQWIRUWKHVDIHVWDQGWKHPRVWHFRQRPLFGULOOLQJRSHUDWLRQXQWLOHQGRISURGXFWLRQ
OLIHZLWKRXWMHRSDUGL]LQJIL[HGPRQRSRGSODWIRUPLQWHJULW\DQGUHJXODWLRQFRPSOLDQFHIURP
YDULRXV UHIHUHQFH RI FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ UHTXLUHPHQW DOVR ZLOO GHEULHI GULOOLQJ ORDGV
FRQVLGHUDWLRQLQH[LVWLQJGHVLJQLQJPHWKRGRI0RQRSRG)L[HG3ODWIRUPDQGUHFRPPHQGDWLRQ
RUURRPLPSURYHPHQWIURPGULOOLQJRSHUDWLRQVLGHIRUIXWXUHGHVLJQLQJPHWKRGRI0RQRSRG
)L[HG3ODWIRUPWRDQWLFLSDWHVKDOORZHUFRQGXFWRUFDVLQJVHWWLQJGHSWKIRUGULOOLQJ

.H\ZRUGV 'ULOOLQJ WKURXJKRXW 0RQRSRG )L[HG 3ODWIRUP &RQGXFWRU 6HWWLQJ 'HSWK LQ
0RQRSRG)L[HG3ODWIRUP0RQRSRG)L[HG3ODWIRUP'HVLJQ&RQVLGHUDWLRQ

PRQRSRG'LVWDQFHFHQWHUWRFHQWHUEHWZHHQ
 ,QWURGXFWLRQ
´&DLVVRQWRWKHRXWHUZHOOVORWVLVDERXW
3DUWLFXODU 2IIVKRUH 0RQRSRG 3ODWIRUP LQ
 IHHW 'ULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ VKDOO XWLOL]H WKH
WKLV SDSHU LV VKRZQ LQ )LJXUH 7KH
ZHOOVORWVLQWKHPRQRSRGSODWIRUP/RFDWLRQ
PRQRSRGVWUXFWXUHKDVD´FDLVVRQDQG[
RIZHOOVORWLVSDUWRIWKHPRQRSRG SODWIRUP
´ SLOH %\ GHVLJQ RI PRQRSRG SODWIRUP
GHVLJQ  &RQGXFWRU FDVLQJ ZLOO WKHQ EH
ORFDWLRQ RI ZHOOV VORW DUH LQVLGH RI ´
LQVWDOOHG LQ WKH VDLG ZHOO VORWV SULRU WR VSXG
FDLVVRQDQGRXWVLGHRI´FDLVVRQ7KHZHOOV
GULOOLQJ DFWLYLW\ 7KHVH FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ DUH
LQVLGH ´FDLVVRQ FRXOG EH LQ RU LQ
LQGHSHQGHQWO\RUQRWIL[HGO\FRQQHFWHGWRWKH
RU HYHQ  ZHOO ZHOOKHDG GHVLJQ DQG IRU WKH
ZHOO VORW )RU ZHOO VORWV ORFDWLRQ RXWVLGHWKH
RXWHU VLGH FDQ EH    HWF ZHOO VORWV
GHSHQGLQJ RQ WKH GHVLJQ PRQRSRG VL]H ´ &DLVVRQ WKH FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ PXVW
IUHHO\PRYHE\WKHHQYLURQPHQWDOZLQGVHD
QRUPDOO\ PRUH ZHOO VORWV ELJJHU WKH
FXUUHQWHWFLQVWHDGRISHUPDQHQWO\WLHGXSWR

Prosiding Simposium IATMI 2018 233

WKHPRQRSRGSODWIRUPDQGIRUWKHZHOOVORWV QRW GHVLJQHG IRU SUHVVXUH FRQWDLQPHQW
LQVLGH´&DLVVRQPXVWEHFHPHQWHGJURXWO\ EXW XSRQ FRPSOHWLRQ RI WKH ZHOO LW PLJKW
DW FRXSOH IHHW EHORZ WKH ´ &DLVVRQ 7KH KDYH D FDVLQJ KHDG WKHUHIRUH LW FDQ EH
´ DQG [´ SLOHV DUH SLOHG RU GULYHQ E\ FDSDEOH RI FRQWDLQLQJ ORZ DQQXOXV
+DPPHU WKHUHIRUH WKH VRLO RU IRUPDWLRQ SUHVVXUHV )RU VXEVHD DQG K\EULG ZHOOV
VXEVXUIDFH VXUURXQGLQJ WKH &DLVVRQ DQG WKH WKH ORZSUHVVXUH VXEVHD ZHOOKHDG LV
3LOHV LV WKH RQH ZKR KROGLQJ WKH VWUXFWXUH QRUPDOO\ LQVWDOOHG RQ WKLV FDVLQJ VWULQJ
ZKLFK FDQ EH LOXVWUDWHG DV SODWIRUP 6RXUFH $3, 53  DQG ,62 
IRXQGDWLRQ $V WKH SUR[LPLW\ RI WKH ZHOO  3HWUROHXP DQG QDWXUDO JDV
VORWV WR WKH &DLVVRQ DQG SLOHV LV UHODWLYHO\ LQGXVWULHV ± :HOO LQWHJULW\ ± 3DUW  /LIH
FORVH WKHQ HIIHFW RI GULOOLQJ K\GUDXOLF FDQ F\FOH JRYHUQDQFH )LUVW (GLWLRQ 0DUFK
LPSDFW VRLO LQWHJULW\ VXUURXQGLQJ &DLVVRQ *OREDO6WDQGDUGV
DQG3LOHV:KHQHYHUWKHVRLOFDQQRWKROGWKH
 &RQGXFWRU&DVLQJPHDQVWKHFDVLQJWKDWLV
&DLVVRQDQG3LOHVDQ\PRUHWKHQWKHSODWIRUP
LQVWDOOHG LQ D ZHOO WR IDFLOLWDWH GULOOLQJ RI
ZLOOOHDQWLOW
WKH KROH IRU WKH VXUIDFH FDVLQJ WXEDJH
 LQLWLDO  6RXUFH &DQDGD 2LO DQG *DV
'ULOOLQJ DQG 3URGXFWLRQ 5HJXODWLRQV
 %DVLF7KHRU\
625 )HEUXDU\
)ROORZLQJ DUH VHYHUDO UHIHUHQFHV RI
5HJXODWLRQV
&RQGXFWRU6WUXNWXUDO&DVLQJ'HILQLWLRQ7KLV
FRQGXFWRUVWUXNWXUDO FDVLQJ LV IRU GULOOLQJ )URP WKHVH VHYHUDO UHIHUHQFHV LW FDQ EH
3UDFWLFDOO\ WKH FRQGXFWRU VKDOO QRW DWWDFK FRQFOXGHG WKDW WKH WKHRU\ RI FRQGXFWRU
SHUPDQHQWO\ WR WKH PRQRSRG VWUXFWXUH FDVLQJIRUGULOOLQJLVDFRQGXLWSLSHWKDWFDQ
ZKLFKQRUPDOO\EHUHPLQGHGE\WKH3ODWIRUP EH GULYHQSLOOHG RU UXQQLQJ LQWR WKH GULOOHG
6WUXFWXUDO (QJLQHHULQJ 7HDP 7KH LGHD LV KROH WR FHUWDLQ GHSWK XQWLO UHDFK FRPSHWHQW
EHFDXVHWKHFRQGXFWRUZHOOGLGQRWFRXQWLQWR IRUPDWLRQ WKDW FDQ VXSSRUW D VWDELOL]H ZHOO
OLIH ORDG WR WKH SODWIRUP LH WR SUHYHQW WKURXJKRXW GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ $OVR
JLYLQJ SHUPDQHQW ORDG WR WKH SODWIRUP FRQGXFWRUFDVLQJRQO\GHVLJQWRDFFRPRGDWH
VWUXFWXUH LQWHJULW\  ,Q GULOOLQJ EDVLF WKHRU\ ORZ SUHVVXUH LH VKDOORZ JDV NLFN  EXW FDQ
DQG SUDFWLFH SODWIRUP VWUXFWXUDO LQWHJULW\ LV QRWKDQGOHZHOOFRQWUROVLWXDWLRQ
DOVR QRW SDUW RI GULOOLQJ HQJLQHHULQJ GHVLJQ $ERYH UHIHUHQFHV FRYHUV FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ FRQGXFWRU LQWHJULW\VHFXULW\ LWVHOI EXW GRHV
 Struktural Casing = casing yang harus QRW FRYHU WKH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ IRU SODWIRUP
diletakkan dengan tumbukan, jetting, atau VWUXFWXUDOLQWHJULW\
pemboran hingga kedalaman minimum, 
untuk menahan formasi yang tidak
kompak dan untuk mendapatkan  0HWKRGRORJ\
kestabilan lubang selama operasi 3UDFWLFDOO\ LQ GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ FRQGXFWRU
pemboran, kecuali sumur di dasar laut FDVLQJ VKDOO KDYH HQRXJK VWUHQJWK WR KDQGOH
jika struktural casing dipasang dengan di KDPPHULQJ ORDG ORZ SUHVVXUH FRQWDLQPHQW
bor maka harus di semen yang cukup ZKHQHYHU DQ\ JDV WUDS IURP VKDOORZ JDV RU
mengisi seluruh ruang annulus hingga FKDQQHOOLQJ IURP RWKHU ]RQHV DOVR WHQVLOH
mudline/permukaan. 6RXUFH61,  VWUHQJWK WR KDQGOH YHUWLFDO ORDG RI ZHOO
 ODWHVWYHUVLRQ FRQVWUXFWLRQWKDWLQVWDOOLQVLGHWKHFRQGXFWRU
 &RQGXFWRU &DVLQJ LV D FRPSRQHQW WKDW WKHUHIRUH WKH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ WR FDOFXODWH DQG
SURYLGHV VWUXFWXUDO VXSSRUW IRU WKH ZHOO RUGRDVVHVVPHQWRILPSDFWGULOOLQJK\GUDXOLF
ZHOOKHDG DQG FRPSOHWLRQ HTXLSPHQW DQG WR VRLOFOD\ VXUURXQGLQJ WKH FRQGXFWRU DQG
RIWHQ XVHG IRU KROH VWDELOLW\ IRU LQLWLDO IXUWKHU PRUH WR WKH SODWIRUP VWUXFWXUDO
GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQV 7KLV FDVLQJ VWULQJ LV LQWHJULW\LVQHYHUEHHQDYDLODEOH

234 Prosiding Simposium IATMI 2018

7KHUH LV D VFRSH RI GULOOLQJ HQJLQHHULQJ
FRQVLGHUDWLRQ WR DVVXUH HQRXJK IRUPDWLRQ
VWUHQJWK WR VXSSRUW FRQGXFWRU DW LWV OHYHO LQ
DOO SRVVLEOH ZRUNLQJ SURGXFWLRQ ORDGV LH
DVVHVV IRUPDWLRQ EHORZ WKH FRQGXFWRU LQ
SUHYHQWLQJ DW ZHDN IRUPDWLRQ WKDW FDQ
LQWURGXFH WR LQGXFHG SUHVVXUH ORVVORVV
FLUFXODWLRQ WKHQ FDXVLQJ FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ
OHYHO GRZQ  EXW WKH IRFXV RI WKH VFRSH LV
RQO\WRLWVZHOOFRQGXFWRULQWHJULW\QRWFRYHU
SODWIRUPVWUXFWXUDOLQWHJULW\
'ULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ WHDP KDV FRQVLGHUHG WKH
ORFDO DQG FRPPRQ SUDFWLFHV WR GHVLJQ WKH
ZHOOLQFOXGLQJVHWWLQJFRQGXFWRUFDVLQJ
'ULYHDELOLW\ DQDO\VLV VRPHWLPHV LV UHTXLUHG
WR PLQLPL]H VXUSULVH RI DQWLFLSDWHG QXPEHU
MRLQWV RI FDVLQJ DQG DQWLFLSDWHG +DPPHU¶V
VSHFLILFDWLRQ :KHUHYHU WKH GHSWK FDQ QRW
H[DFWO\ EH NQRZQ DW IURQW (VWLPDWHG GHSWK
WR SUHSDUH QXPEHU MRLQWV RI FDVLQJ VKDOO EH
FRQVLGHUHGIURPRIIVHWZHOOV
6,0236 EHWZHHQ DOO SDUWLHV DUH UHDG\ DW
IURQWSULRUWRVSXGWKHZHOO$OOSRVVLEOHULVNV
VKDOO EH GHFODUHG E\ DOO SDUWLHV WR 'ULOOLQJ
2SHUDWLRQ7HDP
6WUXFWXUDO GHVLJQ FRQVLGHUDWLRQ RI RIIVKRUH
PRQRSRG SODWIRUP LQFOXGLQJ OLPLWDWLRQ RU
VHQVLWLYLW\ ERXQGDULHV VKDOO EH FRXQWHG DQG
GHFODUHG WR DOO SDUWLHV WKDW ZLOO ZRUN LQ WKH
SODWIRUP

 &DVH6WXG\DQG'LVFXVVLRQ
7KHSDUWLFXODURIIVKRUHPRQRSRGSODWIRUPLQ
)LJXUHLVWLWOHGGXULQJGULOOLQJRSHUDWLRQLQ
VXUIDFH KROH VHFWLRQ 2QH RI WKH VXVSHFWHG
UHDVRQ LV DFFXPXODWLRQ RI WRWDO IOXLG WKDW
VSUHDG LQWR IRUPDWLRQ VXUURXQGLQJ WKH ZHOO
GXH WR ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ GULOOLQJ 7KH ORVV
FLUFXODWLRQ GULOOLQJ LWVHOI LV VXVSHFWHG GXH WR
VHWWLQJ FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ ZDV WRR VKDOORZ LQ
ZHDN IRUPDWLRQ 7KH VSUHDGLQJ IOXLG KDV
VXVSHFWHG GLVWXUE VXUURXQGLQJ FOD\ LQWHJULW\
WKDWKROGWKHVWUXFWXUDORISODWIRUP
7KHFRQGXFWRUVFDVLQJLWVHOIZDVVWDEOHOHYHO
GLG QRW FKDQJH QRW WLWOHGOHDQHG WKH
LQWHJULW\ ZDV DOVR JRRG LH QR FROODSVH QR
EXUVW QR FURRNHG  DQG FHPHQW LQWHJULW\ RI
Prosiding Simposium IATMI 2018
ZHOO FRQVWUXFWLRQ LQVLGH WKH FRQGXFWRU ZDV
DOVR QR LPSDFW LH QR VXVWDLQHG DQQXOXV
SUHVVXUH 
7KH FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ ZDV GULYHQSLOOHG E\
KDPPHU XQWLO UHIXVDO GHSWK 7KH VKRH RI
FRQGXFWRU ZDV VKDOORZHU WKDQ WKH &DLVVRQ
GHSWKRIPRQRSRGVWUXFWXUDOSODWIRUP
$Q DQWLFLSDWHG QXPEHU MRLQWV RI FRQGXFWRU
FDVLQJ ZHUH UHDG\ RQERDUG WR JHW UHIXVDO
GHSWK
3ODWIURP VWUXFWXUDO LQWHJULW\ RI PRQRSRG
UHOLHV RQ &DLVVRQ DQG 3LOHV ZLWK WKH
VXUURXQGLQJ VRLO VWUHQJWK WR KROG WKHP
ZKHQHYHU WKH VRLO LV GLVWXUEHG WKH LQWHJULW\
RIVWUXFWXUDOZLOOUHGXFH
)DFWVRIFRQGLWLRQ
 5HIHUULQJ WR SUDFWLFHV DQG VWDQGDUG
GHVLJQ RI RIIVKRUH PRQRSRG
SODWIRUP VWUXFWXUDOHQJLQHHULQJ WHDP
GRHV QRW FRQVLGHU LPSDFW RI GULOOLQJ
K\GUDXOLFWRWKH&DLVVRQDQG3LOHV
 $V PRQRSRG SODWIRUPDQG FRQGXFWRU
FDVLQJ DUH QRW FRQQHFWHG WKHUHIRUH
FRPPRQO\ERWKRIWKHPDUHVHSDUDWHG
GHVLJQDQGEXVLQHVVSURFHVV
 1R OLPLWDWLRQ QRU SRWHQWLDO ULVNV ZDV
GHFODUHG IURP DQ\ UHODWHG SDUWLHV WR
GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ WHDP DERXW
VHQVLWLYLW\ GHVLJQ RI PRQRSRG
SODWIRUP DQG DQ\ ERXQGDULHV
OLPLWDWLRQIRUGULOOLQJRSHUDWLRQ
 6KDOORZ KD]DUG DQDO\VLV KDV EHHQ
FRQGXFWHGGXULQJGULOOLQJ SUHSDUDWLRQ
ZLWKUHVXOWQRJDVH[LVWDQFH
 $OO VLPLODU WRWDO ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ LQ
SUHYLRXVGULOOLQJZHOOFDPSDLJQZHUH
QRWWUHDWHGDQGFRQWLQXHEOLQGGULOOLQJ
E\NHHSKROHIXOOZLWKVHDZDWHU

)RUPDWLRQ SURSHUWLHV LQ VKDOORZ GHSWK
ZLWKLQRSHQKROHLQWHUYDORI´VXUIDFH
VHFWLRQ  LV PDMRUO\ VRIW FOD\ DQG HDV\ WR
GLVSHUH ZLWK DQ\ IOXLGGULOOLQJ PXG
0LQLPXP IORZ UDWH LQ K\GUDXOLF GULOOLQJ
LV UHTXLUHG WR OLIW XS WKH GULOOHG FXWWLQJ
SURSHUO\ WR WKH VXUIDFH )DLOXUH WR GR VR
ZLOOOHDGWRSLSHVWXFN
235
 )RUPDWLRQ VWUHQJWK LQ VKDOORZ VHFWLRQ LV
DOVR FDQ QRW EH WHVWHGFRQYHQWLRQDOO\ E\
GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ 7KH FRQVLGHUDWLRQ LV
GXH WR ZHDNQHVV RI WKH VWUHQWJK DQG QR
HQRXJK FRPSDFWLRQ RI WKH IRUPDWLRQ
)DLOXUHWRFRQWUROWKHLPSDFWRIIRUPDWLRQ
WHVW E\ GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ ZLOO FDXVH
XQGHUJURXQG EORZ RXW ZKLFK SRVVLEOH
OHDGWRVKULQNLQJRISODWIRUPDQGMDFNXS
ULJ
 ORVVHV
 &RQFOXVLRQ
 %DVHGRQVKDOORZKD]DUGDVVHVVPHQW
QR VLJQLILFDQW JHRKD]DUG GXULQJ
GULOOLQJVXUIDFHKROHVHFWLRQLQ RIIVHW
ZHOOV
 /RVVFLUFXODWLRQKD]DUGZDVQ¶WIRXQG
LQ VKDOORZ KD]DUG DVVHVVPHQW DQG
RIIVHWZHOOVGULOOLQJKLVWRU\
 'ULOOLQJ VXUIDFH VHFWLRQ KDV WR EH
GULOOHG LQ VKRUW WLPH PDQQHU GXH WR
WLPH VHQVLWLYH IRUPDWLRQ DQG ZDWHU
FRQWHQW VHQVLWLYH PLQHUDO FOD\ FRXOG
OHDGWRVWXFNSLSH
 0XG FROXPQ DV WKH SULPDU\ EDUULHU
 5HFRPPHQGDWLRQ
PDNHVWKHSULRULW\WRNHHSKROHIXOOLV
WKH XOWLPDWH WDUJHW WR SUHVHUYH VDIHW\
RIWKHKROH
 %OLQGGULOOLQJDQGNHHSKROHIXOOZLWK
VHD ZDWHU GXULQJ ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ LQ
VXUIDFH VHFWLRQ ZHUH DFFRUGLQJ WR
'ULOOLQJ2SHUDWLRQ0DQXDO '20 
 7KLVEOLQGGULOOLQJDQGNHHSKROHIXOO
LV VWDQGDUG DQG FRPPRQ VWUDWHJ\
ZKHQHYHU ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ RFFXUH LQ
VKDOORZGHSWK
 /RVV WUHDWPHQW E\ PL[LQJ /&0 RU
SXPSLQJFHPHQWFDQQRWEHGRQHGXH
WRORVVUDWHZDVYHU\VHYHUHWRWDOORVV
&RPSOH[ FRQGLWLRQ RI WRWDO ORVV UDWH
DQG WRR VKDOORZ RI GULOOLQJ GHSWK RI
VXUIDFH KROH RU WRWDO ORVV FLUFXODWLRQ
GHSWK ZDV FDXVLQJ IOXLG OHYHO LQ WKH
KROH GURSSHG VLJQLILFDQWO\ )OXLG
OHYHO GURS ZLOO UHGXFH K\GURVWDWLF
SUHVVXUH WR EDODQFH IRUPDWLRQ
SUHVVXUH VLJQLILFDQWO\ ,I K\GURVWDWLF
SUHVVXUHOHVVWKDQ IRUPDWLRQSUHVVXUH
KDSSHQ JDV IURP IRUPDWLRQ ZLOO
236
LQWDNH WR WKH KROH DQG ZHOO NLFN ZLOO
KDSSHQ,WLVYHU\KLJKULVNDQGFRXOG
OHDG WR GLVDVWHU IRU GULOOLQJ RSHUDWLRQ
LI ZHOO NLFN KDSSHQ LQ VXUIDFH KROH
VHFWLRQ 7KHUHIRUH WKH XOWLPDWH
REMHFWLYH LV WRR NHHS KROH IXOO
ZKHQHYHUWKHORVVHVRFFXU
 %HVLGH WKDW IRUPDWLRQ VWUHQJWK LQ
VKDOORZ GHSWK LV ZLGHO\ NQRZQ FDQ
QRWKROGWKH/&0LQSODFHWRVHDOWKH
 (YHQWKHUHLVQRH[LVWDQFHRIVKDOORZ
JDV IURP VKDOORZ KD]DUG DQDO\VLV
HQVXULQJKROHIXOOZLWKIOXLGPXVWEH
PDLQWDLQHG DOO WKH WLPHV WR SUHVHUYH
ZHOOEDUULHUDQWLFLSDWLQJOHVVSRVVLEOH
RI JDV FKDQQHOOLQJ IURP XQFRQWURO
VRXUFH
 7KH XOWLPDWH REMHFWLYH IRU GULOOLQJ
RSHUDWLRQ LV WR FRQWURO WKH KROH QR
ZHOO FRQWURO  GULOOLQJ SHRSOH
HQYLURPHQWDO QR ZHOO FRQWURO  DQG
DVVHW DOO VXUIDFH HTXLSPHQW RQ WKH
MDFNXSULJDQGSODWIRUP 
 $ W\SLFDO PRQRSRG SODWIRUP GHVLJQ
VKDOO GHILQH PLQLPXP FRQGXFWRU
VHWWLQJGHSWKIRUGULOOLQJDFWLYLW\
 :KHQHYHU FRQGXFWRU FDVLQJ LV VHW
VKDOORZHUWKDQWKH&DLVVRQOLPLWDWLRQ
RI K\GUDXOLF LPSDFW E\ GULOOLQJ
FLUFXODWLRQ VKDOO EH GHFODUHG E\
SODWIRUP VWUXFWXUDO HQJLQHHULQJ WHDP
ZKR XQGHUVWRRG VWUXFWXUDO GHVLJQ
FRQVLGHUDWLRQRISODWIRUPLQWHJULW\
 3URFHGXUH VWUDWHJ\ DQG RSHUDWLRQDO
RI VHWWLQJ FRQGXFWRU LQ WKH PRQRSRG
SODWIRUP VKDOO EH GLVFXVVHG EHWZHHQ
GULOOLQJ WHDP DQG VWUXFWXUDO
HQJLQHHULQJ WHDP DQG RU RWKHU
UHODWLYHV SDUWLHV VHH )LJXUH 
Prosiding Simposium IATMI 2018
 /LVWRI)LJXUHV


)LJXUH2IIVKRUH0RQRSRG3ODWIRUP'HVLJQ

)LJXUH&RQGXFWRU&DVLQJYHUVXV&DLVVRQ

Prosiding Simposium IATMI 2018 237