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Concepts of sample
space and events
TI 2102 – Probability Theory
[Nama
Rully Tri Dosen]
Cahyono
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Agenda
1. The basic principles of counting.
2. Sample space and events.
3. Relationship between sample space and events.
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Introduction
• A communication system consists of n seemingly identical antennas in
a linear order.
• The system is functional if no two consecutive antennas are defective.
• If m of the n antennas are defective, what is the probability that the
system will be functional?
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Introduction
• In the special case where n = 4 and m = 2.
• Six possible system configurations
0 1 1 0
0 1 0 1
1 0 1 0
0 0 1 1
1 0 0 1
1 1 0 0
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Introduction
0 1 1 0
0 1 0 1
1 0 1 0
0 0 1 1
1 0 0 1
1 1 0 0
• 3 functional, 3 not functional.
• The probability that the system is functional is 3/6 or 0,5.
• In the case of general n and m, how could we calculate the probability?
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Combinatorial analysis
• In any given case, we can count the entire configurations.
• Many problems in probability theory can be solved by counting the
number of ways that things can occur.
• We focus on a study of an effective method for counting the number
of ways that thing can occur.
• Combinatorial analysis is the mathematical theory of counting.
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Definition 3
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Sample space
• An experiment whose outcome is not predictable with certainty.
• The set of all possible outcomes is known.
• The set is know as the sample space, denoted by S.
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Events
• Any subset E of the sample space is known as an event.
• An event is a set consisting of possible outcomes of the experiment.
• If the outcome of the experiment is contained in E, then E has
occurred.
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Example of events
1. In an experiment consists in the determination of the sex of a
newborn child, then S = {g, b}.
• If E = {g}, then E is the event that the child is a girl.
• If F = {b}, then F is the event that the child is a boy.
2. In an experiment consists of flipping two coins, then the sample
space consists of S = {(H, H), (H, T), (T, H), (T, T)}.
• If E = {(H, H), {(H, T)}, then E is the event that a head appears on the first coin.
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Example of events
3. If the outcome of an experiment is the order of finish in a race
among the 7 horses having post positions 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, then
S = {all 7! Permutations of (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)}.
• If E = {all outcomes in S starting with a 3}, then E is the event that horse 3 wins
the race.
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Exercise events
Explain the interpretation of these events
1. In an experiment consists of tossing two dices, if E = {(1, 6), (2, 5),
(3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)}.
2. In an experiment consists of measuring (in hours) the lifetime of a
transistor, if E = {x: 0 ≤ x ≤ 5}.
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Relationship between
sample space and events
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Union
Definition 3.1
The union of two events E and F of a sample space S, denoted by the
new event 𝐸 ∪ 𝐹, is the event containing all outcomes that are either in
E or in F or in both E and F. The event 𝐸 ∪ 𝐹 will occur if either E or F
occurs.
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Example of union
1. In an experiment consists in the determination of the sex of a
newborn child, if event E = {g}, and F = {b} then 𝐸 ∪ 𝐹 = {g, b}.
2. In an experiment consists of flipping two coins, if E = {(H, H), (H, T)}
and F = {(T, H)}, then 𝐸 ∪ 𝐹 = {(H, H), (H, T), (T, H)}.
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Intersection
Definition 3.2
For any two events E and F, then new event EF, is the intersection of E
and F, to consist of all outcomes that are both in E and in F. The event
EF, or E ∩ F will occur only if both E and F occur.
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Example of intersection
• In an experiment consists of flipping two coins
• If E = {(H, H), (H, T), (T, H)} is the event that at least one head occurs.
• If F = {(H, T), (T, H), (T, T)} is the event that at least one tail occurs.
• Then E ∩ F = {(H, T), (T, H)}.
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Mutually exclusive
Definition 3.3
Two events E and F are mutually exclusive or disjoint if E ∩ F = ∅ when
E and F have no elements in common.
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Example of intersection
• In an experiment consists of tossing two dices
• If E = {(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)} is the event that the sum of the
dice is 7.
• If E = {(1, 5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (5, 1)} is the event that the sum of the dice is
6.
• Then E ∩ F = ∅.
• E ∩ F is mutually exclusive.
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Complement
Definition 3.4
For any event E, the new event Ec or E’ is the complement of E, to
consist of all outcomes in the sample space S that are not in E. Ec will
occur if and only if E does not occur.
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Example of complement
• In an experiment consists of tossing two dices
• If E = {(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)} is the event that the sum of the
dice is 7.
• Then Ec will occur when the sum of the dice does not equal to 7.
• Since the experiment must result in some outcome, it follows that Sc = ∅.
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Contained
Definition 3.5
For any two events E and F, if all the outcomes in E are also in F, then E
is contained in F as denoted by E F.
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Thank You
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