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TranLamMyKim 63132189 63MARKT1
TranLamMyKim 63132189 63MARKT1
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- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
15.16666666667 - - - -
15.33333333333 15.28571428571 - - -
15.41666666667 15.5 15.4375 - -
15.66666666667 15.5 15.5625 15.5 -
15.75 15.64285714286 15.5 15.55555556 15.5
15.83333333333 15.78571428571 15.6875 15.55555556 15.6
0.657928849018 0.621879967419 0.3890593624 0.258597038 0.360555
15.91666666667 15.78571428571 15.75 15.66666667 15.55
Tuần Khối Lượng ( Tấn )
T Y a=0,1 a=0,2 a=0,3 a=0,4 a=0,5
1 15 - - - - -
2 16 15 15 15 15 15
3 14.5 15.1 15.2 15.3 15.4 15.5
4 15 15.04 15.06 15.06 15.04 15
5 15.5 15.036 15.048 15.042 15.024 15
6 15 15.0824 15.1384 15.1794 15.2144 15.25
7 16 15.0742 15.1107 15.1256 15.1286 15.125
8 16.5 15.1667 15.2886 15.3879 15.4772 15.5625
9 16 15.3001 15.5309 15.7215 15.8863 16.0313
10 15.5 15.3701 15.6247 15.8051 15.9318 16.0156
11 16 15.3831 15.5998 15.7136 15.7591 15.7578
12 15.5 15.4448 15.6798 15.7995 15.8554 15.8789
RMSE 0.6815 0.63271 0.62006 0.62328 0.63433
13 15.95 15.9 15.85 15.8 15.75
a=0,6 a=0,7 a=0,8 a=0,9
- - - -
15 15 15 15
15.6 15.7 15.8 15.9
14.94 14.86 14.76 14.64
14.976 14.958 14.952 14.964
15.29 15.337 15.3904 15.4464
15.116 15.101 15.0781 15.0446
15.646 15.73 15.8156 15.9045
16.159 16.269 16.3631 16.4404
16.063 16.081 16.0726 16.044
15.725 15.674 15.6145 15.5544
15.89 15.902 15.9229 15.9554
0.6503 0.6705 0.69451 0.72234
15.7 15.65 15.6 15.55
Tuần Khối Lượng ( Tấn )
T Y F
1 15 15.3352
2 16 15.1032
3 14.5 15.0488
4 15 15.1288
5 15.5 15.3
6 15 15.5192
7 16 15.7432
8 16.5 15.9288
9 16 16.0328
10 15.5 16.012
11 16 15.8232
12 15.5 15.4232
RMSE 0.431715647156783
13 15.4232
14 13.8168
15 12.524
16 10.8472
17 8.74320000000001
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.465515931657414
R Square 0.21670508262687
Adjusted R Square 0.138375590889558
Standard Error 0.540466215043762
Observations 12
ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 0.8081293706294 0.808129370629371
Residual 10 2.9210372960373 0.29210372960373
Total 11 3.7291666666667
16.5
16 − 0.00718725718725711x⁴x³−+0.00860771173270824
f(x) = 5.46328671327359E-05 0.132034632034631 x²x³− +0.577561327561321
0.144248980186449x x²
+ 15.7878787878788
− 0.616319444444344 x + 15.82196969696
f(x)
R² ==0.400808688518186
15.0444172678701
0.0751748251748252
0.400733344867423 exp(
x +0.00490321632976585
15.0530303030303 x )
f(x) 0.220888499911347
R² ==0.216705082626871
−0.346280822231451 ln(x)x²+ +14.9649009108605
0.00811688311688312 0.180694305694306 x + 14.8068181818182
0.202066148795533
R² = 0.240284854809995
15.5
15
14.5
14
13.5
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
F Significance F
2.7665835411 0.1272284080699
10 12 14
Tuần Khối lượng ( Tấn ) Dự báo bình quân k=2
T Y
1 15 -
2 16 -
3 14.5 15.5
4 15 15.25
5 15.5 14.75
6 15 15.25
7 16 15.25
8 16.5 15.5
9 16 16.25
10 15.5 16.25
11 16 15.75
12 15.5 15.75
RMSE 0.258597
Dự báo hamsomu a=0,3 Dự báo hàm xu thế
y=-0,0072x^3+0,132x^2-0,5776x+15,788
- 15.3352
15 15.1032
15.3 15.0488
15.06 15.1288
15.042 15.3
15.1794 15.5192
15.12558 15.7432
15.387906 15.9288
15.7215342 16.0328
15.80507394 16.012
15.713551758 15.8232
15.7994862306 15.4232
0.6201 0.431715647