Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Graham Dwyer
Making Sense of Natural Disasters
Graham Dwyer
Making Sense of
Natural Disasters
The Learning Vacuum of Bushfire Public Inquiries
Graham Dwyer
Centre for Social Impact
Swinburne University of Technology
Melbourne, VIC, Australia
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Foreword
Disasters affecting humans are not new but they are occurring more often.
This may be to do with the size of the population of homo sapiens upon the
planet but it may be something to do with the planet itself. In a world of
climate change and a wide acceptance that human actions and reactions
contribute to the Anthropocene, disasters in the twenty-first century
threaten more human life and living standards in more and more places.
Given this, what might we learn about how to organize against them?
Graham Dwyer offers in this book a way forward to enrich our under-
standing. Dwyer has concentrated upon emergency management practi-
tioners and those communities facing extreme events, especially bush fires.
His approach is based upon research in the state of Victoria in Australia
but is germane to our understanding of disaster management in many
nations, in both hemispheres. He shows that the organization of human-
ity, both in the face of such disasters and the planning that goes into
preparation for them, relies upon a process of ‘sense-making’ whereby
extraordinary conditions are fitted into everyday, ordinary frameworks
that are meant to be formal, robust, and pre-planned to deal with such
extreme conditions. Dwyer points out, however, that emotions are height-
ened in such extraordinary circumstances and formal, linear systems rarely
conceptualise this element as a matter of great consequence. Indeed, the
deliberations of Public Inquiries seek to remove emotion from their think-
ing almost altogether and to concentrate upon rationality and the alloca-
tion of blame within a legal framework of cause and effect. By ignoring the
role of human emotions in extreme circumstances, says Dwyer, Public
Inquiries offer little that is new to human understanding. Dwyer’s
v
vi FOREWORD
provocative research suggests that Public Inquiries must consider the role
of ‘emotion’ within their very ‘rational’ frameworks. Without this new
dimension, humanity faces a ‘learning vacuum’ with mortal consequences
for many.
Graham Dwyer’s book, for this reader, relates back to a tension deep
within human history, yet is in order to understand our future upon a
changing planet. In ancient Greece, the Apollonian strand of thinking
emphasised rationality and the power of thought. Apollo was the sun God
and appealed to logic, prudence and illumination. On the other hand,
Dionysus was the God of wine and dance and is associated with chaos and
irrationality. His worship appealed to those who wished to celebrate the
emotions and instincts. Some have seen this quarrel acting at the level of
the human brain where the Apollonian resides in the higher cortex,
whereas the Dionysian is to be found in the ‘reptilian’ and ‘limbic’ brains
still possessed by the human anatomy. This tension in worldviews seems
very relevant to this reader in understanding Making Sense of Natural
Disasters. Dwyer wishes for immediately experienced ‘emotions’ to be
admitted into Public Inquiries despite their legal focus being upon long,
drawn out cerebration, seeking allocation and apportionment of responsi-
bility. It is this other, fully embodied worldview of those facing extreme
danger on the front line that he offers. He leads the reader to see the value
in our understanding of a world in which, one might argue, the pre-
eminence of legal-rational bureaucracy has created a runaway monster of
climate change ready to devour the world as we humans know it. And in
such threats to life and limb is it any surprise that sense-making might well
include the spontaneous reaction of our own viscera?
Making Sense of Natural Disasters is thus a book for today, not only for
the women and men who face the consequences of a hotter, drier world
almost every day but for us all. Emergency workers protect us, of course,
but in order to do so they must protect themselves, using not only plan-
ning in the seminar room but ‘out there’ with a mind that is fully embod-
ied in the face of terrifying conditions. Graham Dwyer has done these
emergency workers a great service in rendering the world more complex
yet more understandable, as well as those who plan for disasters, those
who seek to control events afterwards, and all of us who are beholden to
them. His readers will appreciate his subtlety and erudition in so doing.
vii
viii PREFACE
The scene that confronted me when I first saw Strathewen was—it was inde-
scribable. There literally wasn’t anything that wasn’t burnt, that wasn’t
destroyed … We came over the hill and the young chap that was driving for
me, he saw his parents’ house fully enveloped in flames … it was very diffi-
cult. I got further up Chads Creek Road … and I met a resident on the road
and he said, ‘There’s a body up there’. I went up and there was a chap I had
known for 40 years dead in the middle of the oval. (Mr. David McGahy,
captain of the Arthurs Creek CFA brigade, describing his observation when
PREFACE ix
References
Griffiths, T. (2010). An unnatural disaster: Remembering and forgetting bushfire.
History Australia, 6(2), 35.1–35.2.
Parliament of Victoria. (1939). Report of the royal commission to inquire into the
causes of and measures taken to prevent the bush fires of January, 1939, and to
protect life and property, and the measures taken to prevent bush fires in Victoria
and protect life and property in the event of future bush fires 1939, Parliamentary
paper (Victoria. Parliament); T. Rider, Acting Government Printer, Melbourne.
Acknowledgements
xi
xii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
1 Introduction 1
1.1 What Happens After Disasters? 5
1.2 Structure of the Book 8
References 10
2 Learning as Sensemaking 15
2.1 What Is Sensemaking? 18
2.2 Equivocality and Sensemaking 23
2.3 What Happens After Disaster and Public Inquiry
Sensemaking? 28
2.4 Sensemaking and Emotion 30
2.5 Conclusion 33
References 34
xiii
xiv CONTENTS
References117
Index133
List of Figures
xv
List of Tables
xvii
CHAPTER 1
Introduction
Recent history has provoked a high level of concern over the earth’s natu-
ral environment and the extreme events, grand challenges and wicked
problems surrounding natural hazards (Dwyer, 2021b; Gephart, 2021).
Higher temperatures, intensifying wind speeds and rain deficits are being
attributed to climate change, and are subsequently prompting floods,
droughts and bushfires which are increasingly endangering the lives of
but a low probability of occurring, meaning that they interact with actors,
systems, processes, procedures and routines in the organizational environ-
ment in a manner that is often rapid and unpredictable (Landgraf &
Officer, 2016; Thatcher et al., 2015; Kruke & Olsen, 2005; Weick, 1988,
1999). Such scenarios create a high cognitive load (Sweller, 1994), as
individuals’ ability to understand and manage what is occurring begins to
diminish in the face of escalating danger. Individuals move between emo-
tional states such as anxiety, panic, fear and stress as they seek to take
meaningful action to ameliorate the emerging danger and avoid significant
losses and damage to communities. Such disasters also have an emotional
impact on individuals who work in emergency management organizations,
who may experience feelings of regret, shame and sadness after these
events because of a perception created by media commentaries and public
inquiries that their actions were unable to ameliorate the harmful effects
of disaster (Dwyer, 2021a; Dwyer et al., 2021). Risk management and
capacity-building focused on integrating climate change into hazard miti-
gation planning offer the potential to ameliorate the harmful effects of
natural disasters (Stults, 2017; Buergelt & Paton, 2014). However, this
book shows that there are challenges with achieving an integrated approach
to hazard mitigation through deliberative forums such as public inquiries.
I show that, despite the fact that they span 80 years of learning and signifi-
cant innovation in Victoria, public inquiries as a sensemaking device have
given rise to a learning vacuum, insofar as there is little new that emerges
from their deliberation.
The focus of this book is the way in which emergency management
organizations and the organizational actors that comprise them make
sense of and learn from the paradoxes, predicaments and problems which
arise from disasters. I do so by examining four case studies of bushfires and
the public inquiries that were held after them in the state of Victoria,
Australia. Its unique combination of landscape, climate and vegetation
makes Victoria one of the most fire-prone areas in the world. Consequently,
and not surprisingly, Victoria has had a long history of bushfires (Griffiths,
2010). Four such bushfires continue to live in the collective memory of
Victorians and are the focus of my study: the Black Friday fires of 1939;
the Ash Wednesday fires of 1983; the Black Saturday fires of 2009; and the
Black Summer fires of 2019. In each case, the organizations responsible
for managing these fires faced surprising, overwhelming and novel situa-
tions that, despite their experience with bushfires, were difficult to manage
4 G. DWYER
and gave rise to widespread damages and losses – leading to close examina-
tion by subsequent public inquiries.
This book reflects on the ways that emergency management organiza-
tions understood and acted following these bushfire disasters. We know
from the existing literature that such sensemaking occurs as individuals
seek to understand a situation that is rapidly and unpredictably unfolding
(Dwyer, 2021b). Often, because of the nature of a disaster, this initial
attempt at understanding fails, as Weick (1993) famously showed in the
rapid onset of wildfire at Mann Gulch in 1939. This had fateful conse-
quences as firefighters failed to make sense of what was happening. A long
list of other studies has shown how problems with sensemaking and the
failure to generate plausible meanings about what may be unfolding can
lead to or exacerbate disasters (Brown, 2000, 2004; Gephart, 1984, 1993,
2007; Turner, 1976; Vaughan, 2006; Weick, 1990, 1993, 2010).
We also know that, in order to make sense of what happened during a
disaster, and how and why it occurred, governments will usually commis-
sion a public inquiry (e.g. see Gephart, 1984, 1993; Gephart et al., 1990;
Elliot & McGuiness, 2002; Lalonde, 2007). Studies of such inquiries have
shown that they often identify how people’s behaviour in emergency situ-
ations is frequently a contributing factor to the disaster – because they
failed to make sense of it at the time (Leveson et al., 2009; Perrow, 1981,
1983; Vaughan, 1990, 2006). They also show that the inquiry itself
involves a retrospective form of sensemaking around what happened dur-
ing the disaster (Boudes & Laroche, 2009; Colville et al., 2013; Brown &
Jones, 2000; Brown, 2000, 2004, 2005; Gephart, 1984, 1993, 1997).
This has been no different in a Victorian context, where public inquiries
have been used to make sense of bushfires since 1939 (Dwyer & Hardy,
2016; Dwyer et al., 2021).
There is, then, a rich body of literature about sensemaking, both during
a disaster and afterward when an inquiry takes place. However, there is less
work on learning and how it occurs. We know little in terms of how the
individuals, groups and organizations charged with responding to the
public inquiries make sense of their recommendations after commissioners
have concluded their deliberations (Dwyer, 2021a). Moreover, recent
work has even called for new ways of conducting public review processes
which seek to foster new cultures of learning within emergency manage-
ment organizations (Dwyer, 2021a; Dwyer et al., 2021). This, then, is a
key focus of this book: How should public review processes be conducted
after major bushfires? By exploring this question, I provide an evidence
1 INTRODUCTION 5
Note
1. The methods, findings and analysis pertaining to Chaps. 3 and 4 have been
updated from the author’s previously published work, which has been
appropriately referenced.
10 G. DWYER
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14 G. DWYER
C URIOUSLY enough, some plants put on a hairy coat for just the
opposite reason from the one which makes life everlasting
clothe itself in that fashion. Life everlasting fears lest its leaves throw
off their water, or perspire too quickly.
Down by the stream that runs through the meadow grow great
clusters of the pink-flowered steeple bush. If you look at the lower
sides of the leaves of the steeple bush, you see that they are very
woolly. As this wool is not between the sun and the leaf blade, it
cannot be meant to protect the leaves from the heat of the sun; and
indeed in this wet meadow, close to the river, never mind how quickly
the leaves throw off their water, the roots can have no difficulty in
finding close by more than enough to make good the loss. No, the
fact is that these leaves need to throw off water very freely indeed to
make room for the ever-fresh supply that is pushing up the stem, and
their woolly covering is intended to help them do this very thing. Its
object is to aid perspiration. In swampy places the moisture rises
every night from the wet ground, and settles on the plants about. The
little mouths on the under surfaces of the leaves of the steeple bush
would soon be clogged with the moisture rising from below, if they
were not protected in some way; and if they became so clogged,
they could not throw off the water with which the whole plant is
charged. Thus, by having this thick coat of hair, the water that
otherwise would cling to the outer surface of the leaf blade is kept at
a distance from the little mouths, and these are not interrupted in the
performance of a duty so necessary to the health of the plant.
This same habit of coating its lower leaf surfaces with hair, you
notice in the speckled or swamp alder, a shrub which grows also in
wet places, and therefore runs the same risk of having its leaf
mouths clogged with water.
So when you see only the upper surface of a leaf covered with
hair, you can guess that the object of the plant is to prevent too much
perspiration; but when you see only its lower side clothed in this
same way, you can guess that the plant fears too little perspiration.
Sometimes you find a plant with leaves which have a coating of
what looks almost like dust on one or both of their surfaces. This
dust we call “bloom.” We see it in apples and grapes, as well as on
leaves. It is made up of a waxy material which is put forth by the
plant just as it puts forth hair. This bloom the plant uses also as a
help to free perspiration. By thus clothing its leaves it shields the little
mouths from water clogging; and so you can be sure that the little
mouths have not been filled with water, and thus prevented from
doing their work.
The cabbage leaf has mouths on both of its surfaces, and so both
sides are covered with this protecting bloom. If you dip a cabbage
leaf in water and then shake it, the drops roll off and leave it quite
dry.
PRICKLES AND POISON
H AVE you ever seen a leaf like the one in this picture (Fig. 152)?
It is shaped something like a pitcher; and the plant on which it
grows has been named the “pitcher plant.”
Fig. 152
The pitcher plant lives in low, wet place, such as the shaded
swamp, or the marsh down by the lake.
On account of its curious leaves it is brought to the cities, and is
sold on the street corners or at the florists’.
In June comes the great flower of the pitcher plant. Sometimes
this is a dull red; again it is a delicate pink or perhaps a light green;
and it has faint, pleasant fragrance.
Next June I hope that some of you children will find these beautiful
flowers and these curious leaves.
Why should a leaf be shaped like a pitcher, do you suppose?
These leaves are not only pitcher-like in shape, but also in their
way of holding water; for if you succeed in discovering a settlement
of pitcher plants, you will find that nearly every pitcher is partly filled
with rain water. Usually this water is far from clear. It appears to hold
the remains of drowned insects; and sometimes the odor arising
from a collection of these pitcher plants is not exactly pleasant.
Perhaps you wonder how it happens that dead insects are found
in every one of these pitchers; and possibly you will be surprised to
learn that apparently these curious leaves are built for the express
purpose of capturing insects.
It is easy to understand that these odd leaves are not so well fitted
as more simple ones to cook the plant’s food in the sun, or to take
carbon from the air; but if they are unfitted to provide and prepare
ordinary food, possibly they are designed to secure food that is
extraordinary.
It seems likely that the pitcher plant is not content to live, like other
plants, upon the simple food that is taken in from the earth and from
the air. We are led to believe that it wishes something more
substantial; that it needs a meat diet; and that to secure this, it
teaches its leaves to capture flies and insects in order that it may
suck in their juices.
These leaves are veined in a curious and striking fashion. The
bright-colored veins may convince the insects of the presence of the
sweet nectar in which they delight. At all events, in some way they
are tempted to enter the hollow leaf; and, once they have crawled or
tumbled down its slippery inner surface, they find it impossible to
crawl back again, owing to the stiff hairs, pointing downward, which
line the upper part of the pitcher.
Even if they have wings, it is difficult for them to fly upward in so
straight a line as would be necessary to effect their escape.
When tired out in their efforts to get out of this cruel trap, they fall
into the water at the bottom of the pitcher, and are drowned. Their
bodies decay and dissolve; and it is thought that this solution is
taken in by the leaf, and turned over to the plant as food.
It is just the old, sad story of the spider and the fly, you see, only
now it is the pitcher and the fly.
But be sure to examine one of these pitchers if you possibly can,
and then you will understand better how the whole thing is managed.
The leaf in this picture (Fig. 153), for it is a leaf, you cannot find in
our North American swamps. It grows on a plant called Nepenthes, a
plant which lives in hot countries far from the United States.
Fig. 153
The leaf in the picture is full grown, and all ready for its work of
trapping animals. Before it was old enough to do this, the lid which is
now lifted was laid nicely across the opening to the pocket, and so
prevented any unseasonable visits.
Sometimes these pockets are so large as to be able to hold and to
hide from sight a pigeon. They are gayly colored, and the rim around
their border is covered with a sugary, tempting juice. So you can
guess that the animals in search of nectar are not slow in accepting
the invitation offered by color and sweets, and that some of these
are imprudent enough to venture across the sticky edge. In this
event they are pretty sure to lose their footing on the slippery inner
surface of the pocket, and to fall into the watery liquid with which it is
filled. Even if they do not slip immediately, their efforts to crawl back
over the rim are defeated by a row of teeth such as you see in the
picture.
The liquid at the bottom of the leaf is not rain water, as in the
pitcher plant. It is given out by the leaf itself; and it contains an acid
which dissolves the animals’ bodies, so that their more nourishing
parts can easily be taken in by certain little cells which line the lower
part of the pocket, and which have been brought up to this work.
Fig. 154
The next picture (Fig. 154) shows you a water plant. It is called the
“bladderwort,” because of the little bags or bladders which you see
growing from the branches under water. The little bladders are traps
set for water animals, which swim into them in their wish, perhaps, to
escape some enemy. But they are quite unable to swim out again;
for the door into the bladder is transparent, and looks like an open
entrance with a nice hiding place beyond. It opens easily from the
outside, but is so arranged that it will not open from within. So when
the poor little animal hurriedly swims into what seems to it a cozy
resting spot, and draws a long breath of relief at getting safe inside, it
is hopelessly caught, and must slowly starve to death, for there is no
chance of escape. It may live for nearly a week in this prison; but at
last it dies. Its body decays, and is taken in as food by the cells set
apart for that purpose.
Strangely enough, though we ourselves do not hesitate to kill
animals for food, and sometimes, I am sorry to say, for nothing but
amusement, we give a little shiver of disgust when we find these
plants doing the same thing. Some lines that came out in one of the
magazines a few years ago express this feeling:—
Fig. 155
You see that the upper, rounded part of the leaf is divided by a rib
into two halves. From the edges of these rounded halves run out a
number of long, sharp teeth; and three stout bristles stand out from
the central part of each half. When an insect alights upon this
horrible leaf, the two halves come suddenly together, and the teeth
which fringe their edges are locked into one another like the fingers
of clasped hands.
The poor body that is caught in this cruel trap is crushed to pieces.
Certain cells in the leaf then send out an acid in which it is dissolved,
and other cells swallow the solution.
After this performance the leaf remains closed for from one to
three weeks. When finally it reopens, the insect’s body has
disappeared, and the trap is set and ready for another victim.
The next picture (Fig. 156) shows you a little plant which is very
common in our swamps,—so common that some of you ought to find
it without difficulty next summer, and try upon it some experiments of
your own.
Fig. 156
But the ants and flies do not take these drops for dew. They
believe them to be the sweet nectar for which they long, and they
climb or light upon the leaves in this belief.
And then what happens?
The next two pictures will show you (Figs. 158, 159).
Fig. 158
Fig. 159
The red hairs close slowly but surely over the insect whose legs
are already caught and held fast by the sticky drops it mistook for
nectar, and they hold it imprisoned till it dies and its juices are
sucked in by the leaf.
I should like you to satisfy yourselves that these leaves act in the
way I have described. But a bit of fresh meat will excite the red hairs
to do their work quite as well as an insect, and I hope in your
experiments you will be merciful as well as inquiring.
So you see that the little sundew is quite as cruel in its way as the
other insect-eating plants. But its gentle looks seem to have
deceived the poet Swinburne, who wonders how and what these
little plants feel, whether like ourselves they love life and air and
sunshine.
Y OU know that in autumn nearly all the leaves fall from the trees.
To be sure, a few trees (such as the pines and hemlocks) and
some plants (such as the laurel and wintergreen and partridge vine)
do hold fast their leaves all winter; but these are so few as compared
with the many plants which lose their leaves, that they hardly count.
Perhaps you never stopped to wonder why most plants get rid of
their leaves before winter comes on; but you feel pretty sure now
that there is some good reason for a habit that is adopted by nearly
all the plants that live in this part of the country.
When we were talking about the way in which leaves defend
themselves from different dangers, we found that evergreen leaves,
the leaves which hold fast to the tree and keep fresh all winter,
manage to keep their water safe inside their cells by wearing a very
thick skin, and by not having too many little leaf mouths. For when a
leaf has a thin skin and a great many mouths, its water leaks away
very quickly. And if many such leaves should remain upon a plant
into the winter, might it not happen that they would let off all its water
at a time when its roots could not find any more in the frozen
ground? And thus might not the leaves kill the plant by draining it
quite dry?
So you can see why it is well for most plants to shed their leaves
before winter comes on and the root’s drinking water is turned into
ice.
But when a plant is about to shed its leaves, it takes care not to
waste the precious food which they hold. This food it draws back into
its stem and roots, laying it away in safe places beneath the buds
which are to burst another year.
It is this action on the part of the plant which changes the color of
the leaves every fall. That material which makes them green is
broken up, and part of it is taken away. That which is left is usually
yellow or brown or reddish, and gives the leaves the beautiful colors
we see in our October woods.
So whenever you see the woods changing color, losing their fresh
green and turning red and yellow, you can be sure that the trees
have begun to prepare for winter. You know that they are stowing
away their food in warmer, safer places than can be supplied by the
delicate leaves. And when all the food has been drawn out of the
leaves, and packed away in the right spots, then the plant finishes a
piece of work it began some time before. This piece of work is the
building-up of a row of little cells just where the leafstalk joins the
stem or branch. When this row is complete, it acts almost like a
knife, loosening the stalk from the stem.
Then the leaf’s life work is over; and with the first breeze, the
empty shell, which is all that is left, breaks away from the parent
plant, and drifts earthward.
Part VI—Flowers
Fig. 160
Fig. 161
Here you have the plan on which the cherry blossom is built (for
flowers, like houses, are built on different plans), and the building
plan of the cherry blossom is one of the simplest of all. So it is well,
before studying more difficult flowers, to feel quite at home with this
one. And you must try to remember first what work each part of the
flower is expected to perform; for you see that the leaves of the
green cup, the pretty white leaves, the pins with dust boxes, and the
pin with a seedbox, have each and all their special task,—a task
which they alone are able to accomplish.
Now, in talking about a flower it is troublesome to use a great
many words where one would answer every purpose, so I will tell
you what these different parts of the flower have been named; and
by taking a little trouble to remember these names, we can save a
good deal of time.
The green cup is called the “calyx.”
“Calyx” is a Greek word meaning “cup.”
The circle of leaves which grow above the green cup or calyx is
called the “corolla.”
“Corolla” comes from a word which means “crown.”
The pins with dust boxes are called “stamens.”
“Stamen” comes from a word meaning “to stand.”
The pin with a seedbox is called the “pistil.”
“Pistil” is another form of the word “pestle.” A pestle is an
instrument used in the drug shops for pounding and mixing
medicines. You might ask to look at one the next time you are sent to
the drug shop, and then you can see for yourselves if it really looks
like its namesake, the pin with a seedbox.
Perhaps at first you may find it a little difficult to bear in mind these
four words with their meanings; but soon they will become quite
easy, and will save you much trouble.
Green cup,—calyx.
Circle of flower leaves,—corolla.
Pins with dust boxes,—stamens.
Pin with seedbox,—pistil.
If you remember the names of these four parts of the flower, how
the different parts look, and what they do, you will have made a good
start in the study of flowers.