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COMPANY NAME
2014 2015 2016 2017
Supporting scehdules
Period
Payment
interest Exp
Principal Repayment
Residual debt (Remaining Principal)
Period
Payment
interest Exp
Principal Repayment
Remaining Principal
FORECASTED
2019A
0.36
0.22
0.09
0.92
1.27
51.47
7.09
27.76
13.15
11.66
31.29
4.06
90.00
12.14
30.06
273.81
1.33
(51.62)
15%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0.21
0.21
0.37
2.68
0.72
s
2024F
5,245,213
(4,565,108)
680,105
13%
(188,894)
12,954
504,165
(190,482)
(50,711)
262,971
(11,043)
(241)
3,349
66,332
321,369
(72,308)
249,061
(10)
249,051
2024F
93,399
56,554
179,320
563,954
893,227
2,530,683
294,799
2,308
11
2,827,801
3,721,028
1,058,033
464,089
46,886
107,737
44,383
13,903
12,774
1,747,805
49,598
338,826
388,424
2,136,229
757,479
302,574
524,716
1,584,769
30
1,584,799
3,721,028
2025F
49,598
($49,598)
$0
2025F
($55,426)
$5,828
($49,598)
$0
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A
Revenue Analysis
Economy Analysis
GDP Growth Rate 4.372 4.347 4.077 5.314
Inflation Rate 11.30% 13.60% 29.70% 14.30%
Interest Rate
exchange rate $
Industry analysis
Capacity 69,900.00 69,900.00 73,900.00 87,100.00
Production 54,100.00 56,449.00 55,000.00 51,700.00
Uitilaization Rate 77% 81% 74% 59%
Company analysis
Sales 2,256,646 2,350,034 2,647,337 3,274,706
Capacity 5,000.00 5,000.00 5,000.00 5,000.00
Production 4,271.00 4,040.00 4,114.00 4,461.00
Capacity utilization (%) 85% 81% 82% 89%
COGS analysis
COGS 1,504,468.00 1,449,317.00 2,028,474.00 2,571,404.00
Cost/TON 352.25 358.74 493.07 576.42
2018A Forecasted
3.45% 4%
0.00% 0%
0.28% 0%
2.33% 2.33%
2019A Forcasted
3.24 3.94
13.60 12.48
- 0.06
22.60 45.09
97.74 84.59
30.02 37.11
1.49 3.75
2.36% 2.36%
Valuation
2020 2021
50000
WACC 2020
Current price 3.4
Outstanding shares 378,739
Market Cap 1,287,713
CAPM
RF (RISK FREE) 11.96%
Cost of debt 9%
After tax - cost of debt 7%
WACC 18%
FORECASTED
Industry Data:
Assumptions :
Real estate sector growth % 2.50% 3.80% 5% 5.80%
GDP per Capita Growth % 1.60% 2.60% 3% 3%
Total Investments Growth % 8.90% 11.40% 16.80% 17.90%
7%
83,800.00
6.90%
4%
19.50%