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The Economics of Chocolate
The Economics of
Chocolate

Edited by
Mara P. Squicciarini and Johan Swinnen

1
3
Great Clarendon Street, Oxford, OX2 6DP,
United Kingdom
Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford.
It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship,
and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford is a registered trade mark of
Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries
© the various contributors 2016
Chapter 3 © Routledge Publications, 2000
The moral rights of the authors have been asserted
First Edition published in 2016
Impression: 1
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in
a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the
prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted
by law, by licence or under terms agreed with the appropriate reprographics
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above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the
address above
You must not circulate this work in any other form
and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer
Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press
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Printed in Great Britain by
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Acknowledgements

To some extent, working and living in Belgium means the idea of producing a
book on the economics of chocolate comes naturally. However, our work was also
inspired by the rapidly growing field of the economics of wine, another luxury
product, and the economics of beer, another Belgian specialty with sometimes
surprisingly similar economic characteristics as chocolate.
A precursor to the book was a conference on the economics of chocolate for
which economists and other social scientists from all over the world gathered in
Leuven and Brussels in September 2012. The combination of listening to chocolate
economics and tasting specialties was inspiring. The conference provided inputs
and raw material for this book. Several of the chapters in this book are based on
presentations at the conference. These chapters are complemented by contribu-
tions from experienced researchers in this field, drawing upon their earlier work on
the economics and history of chocolate, and new research which was inspired by
our project.
The chapters in this book demonstrate that ‘the economics of chocolate’ covers
a vast set of issues. The various contributions cover history and economic devel-
opment, demand and supply, trade and investment, geography and scale econ-
omies, psychology and politics, technology and innovation, health and nutrition,
quantity and quality, industrial organization and competition, taxation and regu-
lation, and so on. This not only makes the chocolate market an interesting sector
to study in itself but also yields important general economic insights.
Many people contributed to the process of what ultimately resulted in this book.
First and foremost, Di Mo—then in Leuven and now at Stanford (and always
somewhere in China doing experiments)—played a crucial role in developing
the idea of the conference and the book, and it was only her total dedication to
the field experiments with poor children in the rural areas of China (and Stanford
Rural Education Action Program’s (REAP’s) insistence on total commitment)
which prevented her from co-editing this volume. But she still managed to
co-author two excellent chapters.
The members of the local organization committee of the conference (Paola
Corsinovi, Giulia Meloni, Astrid Sneyers, and Anneleen Vandeplas) did a wonder-
ful job in helping to plan and organize the conference and the social events
surrounding it. Also, the members of the international scientific committee were
enthusiastic supporters of the conference and the follow-up work.
Oxford University Press responded enthusiastically to the proposal to publish
this book and it has been a pleasure working with them in this process. Elfriede
Acknowledgements

Lecossois provided much appreciated and excellent assistance in the editorial

process.
The Research Council of the University of Leuven (Methusalem Project) and the
Flemish Scientific Research Foundation (FWO) provided financial support for the
research for several of the book chapters. Stanford University’s Centre for Food
Security and the Environment provided a great place to test ideas and to hide from
emails and phones to concentrate on writing and editing. Finally, thanks to the
Piazza guys for the wonderful music and service during our editorial meetings.
Mara P. Squicciarini
Johan Swinnen
Leuven, 30 April 2015.

vi
Contents

List of Figures xi
List of Tables xv
Notes on Contributors xix
From Cocoa to Chocolate: Process, Products, and Agents xxv

1. The Economics of Chocolate: Introduction and Overview 1

Mara P. Squicciarini and Johan Swinnen

Part I. History
2. A Brief Economic History of Chocolate 11
Eline Poelmans and Johan Swinnen

3. Chocolate Consumption from the Sixteenth Century

to the Great Chocolate Boom 43
William G. Clarence-Smith
4. From Small Chocolatiers to Multinationals to Sustainable
Sourcing: A Historical Review of the Swiss Chocolate Industry 71
Ingrid Fromm
5. From Pralines to Multinationals: The Economic History
of Belgian Chocolates 88
Maria Garrone, Hannah Pieters, and Johan Swinnen

Part II. Consumption

6. Chocolate Consumption, Manufacturing, and Quality
in Europe and North America 119
Heike C. Alberts and Julie Cidell
7. Nutritional and Health Effects of Chocolate 134
Stefania Moramarco and Loreto Nemi
8. Health Nudges: How Behavioural Engineering Can Reduce
Chocolate Consumption 157
Sabrina Bruyneel and Siegfried Dewitte
Contents

9. Chocolate Brands and Preferences of Chinese Consumers 170

Di Mo, Scott Rozelle, and Linxiu Zhang
10. Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Fair Trade Chocolate 180
Pieter Vlaeminck, Jana Vandoren, and Liesbet Vranken

Part III. Governance and Industrial Organization

11. Sustaining Supplies in Smallholder-Dominated Value Chains:
Corporate Governance of the Global Cocoa Sector 195
Niels Fold and Jeff Neilson
12. Beyond Fair Trade: Why are Mainstream Chocolate Companies
Pursuing Social and Economic Sustainability in Cocoa Sourcing? 213
Stephanie Barrientos
13. Policy Reform and Supply Chain Governance: Insights from Ghana,
Côte d’Ivoire, and Ecuador 228
Sietze Vellema, Anna Laven, Giel Ton, and Sander Muilerman
14. Chocolate Brands’ Communication of CSR in Germany 247
Nina Langen and Monika Hartmann

15. Chocolate Regulations 268

Giulia Meloni and Johan Swinnen

Part IV. Markets and Prices

16. The Dynamics of the World Cocoa Price 307
Christopher L. Gilbert
17. Concentration and Price Transmission in the Cocoa–Chocolate
Chain 339
Catherine Araujo Bonjean and Jean-François Brun
18. Belgian Chocolate Exports: Quality and Reputation
versus Increased Competition 363
Filip Abraham, Zuzanna Studnicka, and Jan Van Hove

Part V. New Chocolate Markets

19. The Burgeoning Chocolate Market in China 383
Fan Li and Di Mo

20. Hot Chocolate in the Cold: The Economics and Politics of

Chocolate in the Former Soviet Union 400
Saule Burkitbayeva and Koen Deconinck

viii
 Contents

21. Too Hot to Handle: The Explosive Growth of Chocolate

in India 419
Emma Janssen and Olivia Riera

22. Back to the Roots: Growth in Cocoa and Chocolate

Consumption in Africa 439
Seneshaw Tamru and Johan Swinnen

Index 457

ix
List of Figures

2.1 World production of cocoa beans (1900–2010), by region in 1000

metric tons 21
2.2 Historical real cocoa prices, 1850–2013, in $ per ton (2013 values) 23
2.3 Chocolate consumption per capita in selected countries 2000 and
2010 (in kg per capita per year) 38
5.1 Imports and exports of chocolate in volumes and values 90
5.2 Index of real chocolate price and real GDP per capita in Belgium
(1980 = 100), 1947–2013 93
5.3 Production of Belgian chocolate in volume (1965–2013) 94
5.4 Top five export destinations of Belgium chocolate in values (1993–2013) 95
5.5 Exports to the EU new member states entering in 2004 in values 96
5.6 Exports to European countries and countries outside Europe in values
(1993–2013) 97
5.7 Production of Belgian chocolate by product category in percentage
of total production volumes (1970–2013) 98
5.8 Export of Belgian chocolate by product category in percentage of total
export values and volumes in 2013 99
5.9 Distribution of companies and jobs by size for the chocolate industry
Q1 2014 102
9.1 Percentage of participants that ranked Chinese domestic milk chocolate
as the best-tasting or the worst-tasting chocolate in Experiment 1 173
9.2 Percentage of participants that ranked foreign-branded milk chocolate/
produced in China as the best-tasting or the worst-tasting chocolate in
Experiment 1 175
9.3 Percentage of participants that ranked imported milk chocolate as the
best-tasting or the worst-tasting chocolate in Experiment 1 176
9.4 Percentage of participants that ranked imported truffles as the
best-tasting or the worst-tasting chocolate in Experiment 2 177
10.1 Consumers’ estimated WTP for a (bio-)FT label and four bundles
of FT characteristics (€/100g) 188
15.1 British import duties on cocoa beans for consumption, 1803–53
(British pence per pound, not deflated) 271
15.2 Cocoa nominal rate of assistance (%), 1960–2010 (three-year moving
average) 273
List of Figures

16.1 Real cocoa prices (2013 values), 1850 2013 311

16.2 Grindings impulse response function 315
16.3 World GDP impulse response function 315
16.4 Crop impulse response function 316
16.5 Price impulse response function 317
16.6 Cocoa production for three leading producers, 1960/61 to 2012/13 319
16.7 African and non-African cocoa exports, 1850–1914 321
16.8 Projected cocoa prices, 2015–30 322
16.A1 Nominal US dollar cocoa prices, 1913 2013 326
16.A2 Nominal US dollar cocoa prices, 1876–1915 327
16.A3 Cocoa production and consumption, 1929 30 to 2012 333
17.1 World price of cocoa beans and political events in the Côte d’Ivoire
(US$/MT) 343
17.2 World cocoa price and producer price in Cote d’Ivoire (USD/kg) 347
17.3 Cocoa ratios 352
17.4 Processor gross margin (USD/MT) 353
17.5 World cocoa price, farm-gate price, and retail tablet price (euros) 356
17.6 Real price of cocoa beans (euros/kg) and tablet (euros/100g) 357
17.7 The adjustment speed of the chocolate price 359
18.1 Value of exports by destination 368
18.2 Value of exports by destination, excluding Europe 368
18.3 Kaplan–Meier survival functions 371
19.1 Market size of confectionery industry in China 384
19.2 Per head chocolate confectionery consumption (kg) by country, 2007 386
19.3 Chocolate confectionery sales in East Asia 386
19.4 Average per capita disposable income in urban and rural China 388
19.5 Growth rates of China’s chocolate imports and total consumption 390
19.6 China’s chocolate imports from 1995 to 2012 391
19.7 China’s per capita expenditure on sugar and confectionery 393
19.8 Per cent of retail of chocolate tablets by type 394
19.9 Main source countries importing chocolate to China 395
20.1 Imports of cocoa beans in the USSR and Russia, 1903 2012
(in thousand tons) 402
20.2 Confectionary production in the USSR and Russia, 1928 2012
(in thousand tons) 403
20.3 Production of chocolate in the USSR and Russia, 1932 2009
(in thousand tons) 404
20.4 Confectionary market in Russia, 1990 2010 (in thousand tons) 405
20.5 Imports of main cocoa materials in Russia, 2001 13 (in thousand tons) 407

xii
 List of Figures

20.6 Imports and exports of chocolate in Russia, 2001 13 (in thousand tons) 408
20.7 Russian chocolate confectionary market index volume and value,
1999 2013 409
20.8 Chocolate consumption per capita in selected countries, 2011
(in kg per year) 411
21.1 Average daily international cocoa prices US$, deflated to 2009
(1977 2007) 421
21.2 Inward FDI stock in India (billion US$) (1980 2013) 423
21.3 Average growth (year on year) of chocolate consumption in selected
countries (2001 05, 2006 09, 2010 13) 425
21.4 Chocolate consumption in selected countries (2013) 426
21.5 Chocolate confectionary market index volume and value (2000 = 100)
(2000 13) 427
21.6 Contribution of distinct chocolate categories to total sales value
(2000, 2012) 428
21.7 Trade of chocolate in India (million US$) (2000 13) 429
21.8 Trade composition of raw materials in India (‘000 tonnes) (2000,
2005, 2010, 2012) 430
21.9 Cocoa production, yields, and area indices (2000 = 100) (2000 13) 430
21.10 Sales of chocolate confectionery by category (2008, 2013) 433
21.11 Sales of chocolate in urban and rural areas (2000, 2005, 2010, 2014) 434
21.12 Sales of chocolate confectionery by modern and traditional retailers
(2000, 2005, 2010, 2013) 435
22.1 Trends in cocoa production (1961 2013) 441
22.2 Share of chocolate confectioneries (of volume sales) by region
(2000 13) 443
22.3 Growth of GDP by region (2000–13) 447
22.4 Correlation of growth of chocolate consumption and growth of GDP
in Africa, China, and India (2000 11: 2000 = 100) 448
22.5 Per capita chocolate consumption (kg/person) and per capita GDP
(USD/person) in Africa, China, and India (2000 11) 448
22.6 Correlation of growth of chocolate consumption and growth of GDP
(2000 11: 2000 = 100) by country 449
22.7 Per capita chocolate consumption (kg/person) and per capita GDP
(USD/person) (2000 11) by country 450

xiii
List of Tables

From Cocoa to Chocolate: Process, Products, and Agents xxv

2.1 Regional production of cocoa beans (1900–2010), in % of world
production 23
2.2 The largest cocoa-producing countries, 1900–2012, in tons and in %
of world’s total production 24
2.3 Grindings by region as percentage of world total (1975–2010) 26
2.4 The largest cocoa grinding countries in 1975 and 2010 (shares in % of
world’s total grindings) 27
2.5 Net exports of cocoa beans and intermediate cocoa products, 1961
and 2011 (in million US$) 27
2.6 The largest cocoa trading companies in 2011 (in % of West and
Central Africa’s total cocoa trade) 30
2.7 The largest cocoa grinders in 2008 (in % of world’s total cocoa
grindings) 31
2.8 The largest chocolate manufacturers in 2013 (company shares in %
of world’s total production) 32
2.9 Chocolate confectionary retail consumption (in million tons and
million US$), between 2000 and 2013 34
2.10 Chocolate confectionary retail consumption by region (in 1000 tons
and million US$) and their respective shares of total volume/value
in 2000 and 2013 35
2.11 The largest chocolate confectionary countries’ retail consumption
(in 1000 tons and million US$) and their respective shares of total
volume/value in 2000 and 2013 36
2.12 Chocolate confectionary consumption in kg/capita by region 37
2.13 Chocolate confectionary consumption in kg/capita in some selected
countries 38
4.1 Top ten global confectionery companies 76
4.2 Comparison of the Swiss chocolate industry 80
5.1 Average annual growth rates of export volumes and values (1950–2013) 95
5.2 Overview of key large chocolate companies of Belgian origin 100
7.1 Energy and macronutrients of the main types of chocolate 137
List of Tables

10.1 Attributes and attribute levels in the CE with an FT label and the
CE with FT characteristics 185
11.1 World cocoa production (four-year average, 2010–13) 198
11.2 Estimated cocoa grindings of major countries (2012/13 data) 199
11.3 Apparent cocoa consumption (2012/13 data) 200
11.4 In-house sustainability programmes in the cocoa sector 206
12.1 Top five confectionary companies by net sales 2013 217
13.1 Policy reforms and governance in the cocoa sector in Cote d’Ivoire 230
13.2 Policy reforms and governance in the cocoa sector in Ghana 235
13.3 Policy reforms and governance in the cocoa sector in Ecuador 239
14.1 Business participation in the United Nations Global Compact (2015) 253
14.2 2013 CSR reports differentiated by sector and assurance level 255
14.3 Characterization of CSR communication 257
14.4 Number of chocolate bars sold in the market with and without
CSR labels 259
14.5 Unweighted average price (€) of chocolate bars sold in the market
with and without CSR labels 260
14.6 Chocolate bars with CSR labels in conventional retail stores 261
15.1 Legal cocoa and chocolate compositions and the inclusion of
vegetable fats 278
15.2 Composition of chocolate defined by law (%) (min.) 281
15.3 EEC/EU members’ position on the use of CBEs in chocolate 289
16.1 Descriptive statistics 312
16.2 Estimated price elasticities 313
16.3 Cocoa cycles, 1927–2013 318
16.A1 Cocoa prices, 1850–2013 328
16.A2 Production, consumption (grindings), and closing stocks 334
16.A3 Production in major cocoa-producing countries (000 tons) 336
17.1 Production of cocoa beans 342
17.2 Main cocoa purchasers in Côte d’Ivoire (%) 345
17.3 Grinding capacity in Côte d’Ivoire 346
17.4 Cocoa producer price in Côte d’Ivoire as a share of the world
bean price 347
17.5 Grinding of cocoa beans by country 2009–12 350
17.6 Correlation coefficients (1980–2010) 353
17.7 Top 10 global confectionery companies by net confectionery sales
value in 2013 354
17.A1 The cocoa–chocolate chain 362
18.1 Characteristics of Belgian firms exporting chocolate 366
18.2 Number of spells 370

xvi
 List of Tables

18.3 Average length of trade spells 371

18.4 Estimations results 374
18.A1 List of chocolate products (CN8 classification) 379
19.1 Confectionery sales and growth rate in China (US$ millions) 387
19.2 Market share of China’s chocolate producers 389
19.3 Market share of top 12 chocolate brands in China from 2008 to 2013 390
19.4 Market share by distribution channels of confectionery in China,
2010 and 2013 397
20.1 Production of confectionary products by Soviet Republics 1940–87
(in thousand tons) 404
20.2 Top ten origin country of Russian chocolate imports, 2013
(% of imports by volume) 409
20.3 Top ten destination country for Russian chocolate exports, 2013
(% of exports by volume) 410
20.4 Russian chocolate confectionary market, 1999–2013 411
20.5 Russian chocolate confectionary market shares in 2001
(% by total sales value) 412
20.6 Russian chocolate confectionary market shares in 2013
(% of total sales value) 412
21.1 Company shares of chocolate confectionery (% of retail value) 422
21.2 Sales of chocolate tablets by type (% of retail value breakdown) 434
22.1 Cocoa consumption (grinding) by region (2005–13) 442
22.2 Growth of chocolate consumption by region (2000–13) 443
22.3 Growth of chocolate imports (2000–11) 445
22.4 Shares of international companies in African chocolate confectioneries
(% value 2014) 452

xvii
Notes on Contributors

Filip Abraham is Professor of International Economics at University of Leuven (KU Leuven)

and Professor at the Vlerick Business School. He teaches courses on international economics
and international business. His research is mainly focused on the impact of international
trade on the performance of countries and the strategies of countries.
Heike C. Alberts has a PhD in Geography from the University of Minnesota. She is an
Associate Professor of Geography at the University of Wisconsin Oshkosh. Her research
focuses on international migration and urban development, but she also has a long-standing
interest in chocolate. Together with Julie L. Cidell she published articles about chocolate
quality in Europe and North America in Geoforum and Geography. She also published an
article about how to teach human geography with chocolate examples in the Journal of
Geography.
Catherine Araujo Bonjean holds a PhD in Economics. She is a permanent CNRS (Centre
National de la Recherche Scientifique) researcher and works at Centre d'Etudes et de
Recherches sur le Développement International (CERDI), a research centre in development
economics at the University of Auvergne (UdA) in Clermont-Ferrand (France). Her main
fields of research are: commodity markets, agricultural and food policies, household behav-
iour and family economics. She has published numerous papers in international academic
journals, and has worked as an expert on agricultural trade and development in West Africa
for international organizations such as the World Bank and the Food and Agriculture Organ-
ization (FAO).
Stephanie Barrientos is Professor of Global Development in the School of Environment,
Education and Development at the University of Manchester. She has published extensively
on gender, trade and labour standards, corporate social responsibility, and ethical trade. She
coordinated research for Cadbury’s Mapping Sustainable Cocoa Production in Ghana and India,
which informed the formation of the Cadbury Cocoa Partnership, and subsequently the
Mondelez Cocoa Life programme, as well as Cadbury’s move towards Fairtrade in 2009. She
currently holds a Leverhulme Major Fellowship (2013–16), allowing her to research a book
on work, gender, and global value chains (GVCs).
Jean-François Brun is Associate Professor of Economics at CERDI—UdA, France. He is the
co-director of a Master’s degree on Public Finance in Developing Economies at the School
of Economics (UdA). His research focuses on public finance in developing economies and
on prices of raw materials. He has published numerous papers in international academic
journals and is a consultant for international organizations such as the International Monetary
Fund (IMF), World Bank, European Commission, and the African Development Bank (AfDB).
Sabrina Bruyneel holds a Master’s degree in Psychology (2003) and a PhD in Applied
Economics (2006) from the University of Leuven. She is Assistant Professor of Marketing
and Chair of the Behavioral Engineering Research Group at the University of Leuven. She
studies consumer decision-making at the intersection of psychology and economics. Her
Notes on Contributors

primary research focus is on self-control and dynamic processes underlying self-control

issues.
Saule Burkitbayeva is a PhD student at LICOS (University of Leuven). She holds a Master’s
degree in Agricultural Economics from University of Saskatchewan, Canada, and previously
worked for the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the Ministry of Agri-
culture in Kazakhstan.
Julie Cidell is an Associate Professor of Geography and Geographic Information Science
(GIS) at the University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign. Her main research areas are urban
sustainability and transportation/mobilities, but she retains a keen interest in the geograph-
ies of food, including chocolate and the production of sweets in North America
William G. Clarence-Smith is Professor of the Economic History of Asia and Africa at the
School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London. He has written Cocoa
and Chocolate, 1765–1914 (2000), and edited Cocoa Pioneer Fronts since 1800: The Role of
Smallholders, Planters and Merchants (1996). With Steven Topik, he also edited The Global
Coffee Economy in Africa, Asia and Latin America, 1500–1989 (2003). He also works on the
history of diasporas, slavery, sexuality, transport, and livestock. He is chief editor of the
Journal of Global History.
Koen Deconinck is an Affiliated Researcher at LICOS (University of Leuven). He holds a PhD
in Economics from the University of Leuven, and was previously an Agricultural Policy
Analyst at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). His
research has been published in leading international journals. He is co-author of the book
Quality Standards, Value Chains, and International Development (forthcoming).
Siegfried Dewitte obtained his PhD in Psychology (University of Leuven) in 2000. He is a
Professor of Marketing and researcher at the behavioural engineering research group at
University of Leuven. He studies consumer self-control and cultural evolution. He blends
theories and methods from marketing, psychology, evolutionary biology, and economics
with a grain of philosophy.
Niels Fold is Professor in Development Geography at the University of Copenhagen. His
research addresses the relationship between economic–geographic globalization processes
and local responses, primarily examined through the analytical lens of GVCs. He is particu-
larly interested in settlement development and rural–urban relations in rural areas charac-
terized by mono-production. He has worked on cocoa sector restructuring in Ghana on and
off for the last 15 years.
Ingrid Fromm is a Research Associate in International Agriculture at the Bern University of
Applied Sciences, School of Agricultural, Forest and Food Sciences in Zollikofen, Switzerland.
She holds a PhD in Development Economics from the University of Leipzig, Germany, a
Master’s degree in Small Business Promotion and Training from the University of Leipzig, and
a Bachelor’s degree in Agriculture (Ing. Agr.) from Zamorano University in Honduras. Her
area of expertise is value chain research, particularly the cocoa and coffee industries in Latin
America and Africa.
Maria Garrone is a PhD candidate in Economics at LICOS, University of Leuven. Prior to
working at LICOS, she worked as economic consultant in Brussels, specializing in European
Union (EU) agri-food policy and economic analysis. She holds an MSc in Development
Economics from SOAS, University of London. Her research focuses on agricultural and food
economics.
Christopher L. Gilbert is Adjunct Professor at the School of Advanced International Studies
(SAIS) Bologna Center, Johns Hopkins University. He has degrees from Oxford and the

xx
 Notes on Contributors

London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). His previous university positions
were at the University of Trento (Italy), the Free University (Amsterdam), London (both
Queen Mary and Birkbeck), and Oxford and Bristol universities. He has consulted extensively
for international organizations on commodity futures markets, agricultural, energy and
metals markets, food security issues, and financial econometrics.
Monika Hartmann is Professor in Agricultural and Food Market Research at the Institute
for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, Germany. Prior to this, she was
professor at the University of Halle, Germany, and at the Leibniz Institute of Agricultural
Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO) (Halle, Germany). From 2008 to 2011
Monika was president of the European Association of Agricultural Economics (EAAE).
Currently she is chairman of the International Advisory Board at the Wageningen School
of Social Sciences, vice-chair of the International Center for Food Chain and Network
Research (FoodNetCenter) at the University of Bonn, as well as a co-editor of Agribusiness:
An International Journal.
Emma Janssen is a PhD researcher at LICOS. Before joining LICOS, she worked as an intern
for The Young Foundation in London and as a research assistant for both the Overseas
Development Institute (ODI) and for the Association of ASIA Scholars. Emma holds an MSc
in Development Studies from SOAS and an MSc in Economics from University of Leuven. As
part of her PhD, she is studying the value chains in the dairy sector of Punjab, India. Her
research interests include agricultural economics as well as environmental and food security
issues.
Nina Langen is Assistant Professor at the Department of Agricultural and Food Market
Research at the Institute for Food and Resource Economics (ILR), University of Bonn, Germany.
She has a PhD from the University of Bonn. Her expertise is analysing determinants of
consumer (ethical and food waste) behaviour and purchase decision-making. Dr Langen is
founding member of the German Speaking Network for the Prevention of Food Waste and
member of the FoodNetCenter at the University of Bonn.
Anna Laven is a senior advisor at the Royal Tropical Institute (KIT), the Netherlands. She
works in the field of sustainable economic development and gender, and on gender main-
streaming of the World Cocoa Foundation’s Cocoa Livelihood Programme. Anna obtained
her PhD in Social Sciences at the University of Amsterdam (UvA). Her research focuses on
governance processes and opportunities for small-scale cocoa farmers in the Ghana value
chain.
Fan Li is a PhD student studying Economics at LICOS, University of Leuven. His main
research interests focus on promoting the development of rural education in China, in
cooperation with Rural Education Action Program (co-founded by Stanford and the Chinese
Academy of Sciences), the Centre for China Agricultural Policy (CCAP), and the Centre for
Experimental Economics in Education (CEEE) in China.
Giulia Meloni is a PhD candidate at LICOS, University of Leuven. She holds a Master’s degree
in Advanced Economics from the University of Leuven and a Bachelor’s degree in Economics
from Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali ‘Guido Carli’ (LUISS University),
Rome. She was previously a consultant at the European Commission and the United Nations.
She has published on political economy, European agriculture, institutional reform, and
wine history.
Di Mo is a postdoctoral fellow at Stanford University and University of Leuven. She is also a
researcher at REAP in the Freeman Spogli Institute (FSI) at Stanford University. She received
her BA from Zhejiang University, and MA and PhD from University of Leuven. Her research

xxi
Notes on Contributors

focuses on rural education and health in China, and on the food market in China, including
chocolate products.
Stefania Moramarco is a PhD researcher in Nursing Science and Public Health at University
of Rome Tor Vergata. She holds a Bachelor’s degree in Dietetic from Università Cattolica del
Sacro Cuore and a Master’s in Human Nutrition Sciences from Tor Vergata University. She
worked as a nutritional counsellor for the Italian Cancer League (LILT), focusing on the
prevention on health diseases with a nutritional approach, and as a nutritionist in
community-based therapeutic programmes in Zambia.
Sander Muilerman is a social scientist based in Ghana, employed by the International
Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA), performing qualitative and mixed method research
within cocoa-based farming systems in Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Nigeria. Sander
has an MA degree in Cultural Anthropology and Development Sociology from Leiden Univer-
sity and received an additional Bachelor’s degree in Marketing and Management. He is
currently pursuing a PhD at Wageningen University and the African Studies Centre in Leiden.
Jeff Neilson is a Senior Lecturer in Economic Geography at the University of Sydney, with
research interests in rural development across Southeast Asia. He is particularly interested in
how processes of rural change are being affected by new modes of engagement with GVCs.
Jeff has undertaken field research on the Indonesian cocoa industry since 2004, and he
collaborates with the Indonesian Coffee and Cocoa Research Institute, the Indonesian
Cocoa Sustainability Partnership, and Hasanuddin University.
Loreto Nemi is a dietitian and nutritionist working for a private medical centre promoting
nutrition rehabilitation. He organizes courses on nutrition education for schools and private
associations. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Dietetic from Università Cattolica del Sacro
Cuore and a Master’s in Human Nutrition Sciences from University of Rome Tor Vergata. He
currently runs a blog about diet and wellness, relating nutritional sciences to practical
solutions for healthy living.
Hannah Pieters is a PhD researcher at LICOS. She holds an MSc in Research in Economics
from the University of Leuven. As part of her PhD, she is involved in an international
research project on food and nutrition security (FoodSecure). Her research focuses on agri-
cultural value chain analysis, the political economy of food price volatility, and food security
and poverty issues.
Eline Poelmans is Assistant Professor in International Economics at the Faculty of Econom-
ics and Business (Campus Brussels) of the University of Leuven. She obtained Master’s
degrees in Economics, in History, and in International Relations, and she holds a PhD, all
from the University of Leuven. She specializes in economic history, the economics of food,
and international economics.
Olivia Riera is a senior researcher and lecturer at LICOS. Previously she worked on micro-
finance projects in New Delhi (India) and Cape Verde, on extensive data collection in India
(Karnataka) and Ethiopia, and as research analyst at the World Bank (Brussels office). She has
a PhD from the University of Leuven and an MSc in Advanced Economics from the Univer-
sity of Louvain-la-Neuve. Her research interests include microfinance and labour market
outcomes, biofuels, food security and poverty, and agricultural market performance.
Scott Rozelle holds the Helen Farnsworth Senior Professorship at Stanford University and is
Senior Fellow and Professor in the Food Security and Environment Program at the Shoren-
stein Asia-Pacific Center, FSI for International Studies. He holds a PhD from Cornell Univer-
sity. Dr Rozelle’s research focuses on agricultural policy, rural resources, and poverty,
education, and health in China. Dr Rozelle is the co-director of REAP.

xxii
 Notes on Contributors

Zuzanna Studnicka is a postdoctoral researcher in international trade at the University of

Leuven. She has a PhD in Economics from the University of Leuven, an Advanced Studies
Certificate from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, and a Master’s degree in Inter-
national and Development Economics from the Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University. Her
research interests are international trade and development economics.
Seneshaw Tamru is currently working on his PhD in Development Economics and Food
Security at the Centre for Institutions and Economic Performance (LICOS) at the University
of Leuven. Before he joined LICOS in September 2013, he worked at the International Food
Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and at the Ethiopian Development Research Institute
(EDRI). His research focuses on agricultural production, consumption behaviour, marketing,
price analyses, and value chain analysis in Ethiopia. He has published several articles in peer-
reviewed journals.
Giel Ton graduated as an agricultural economist at Wageningen University, the Netherlands.
He worked with local farmers’ associations in Nicaragua and for the national coordinating
platform of economic farmer organizations in Bolivia. Since 2006, he has worked as a senior
researcher at LEI Wageningen UR. He is involved in a diversity of research projects, focusing
on innovation grants, contract farming, collective marketing arrangements, certification
programmes, and agricultural value chains.
Jan Van Hove is an international trade economist at the University of Leuven and a Visiting
Professor at the Université Libre de Bruxelles. He teaches courses on European integration
and international economics. His research is mainly focused on empirical aspects of trade
phenomena. Currently he is the chair of the International Network for Economic Research
(INFER) and director for economic research at the Leuven Centre for Irish Studies.
Jana Vandoren works for the European Investment Bank on agricultural projects and rural
development worldwide. She has a Master’s degree in Agricultural Economics and Food
Policy from the University of Leuven. Previously, she undertook an internship in FAO and
worked as representative of the Belgian government in policy discussions with FAO, the World
Food Programme (WFP), and the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
Sietze Vellema is a University Lecturer at the Knowledge, Technology and Innovation Group
at Wageningen University, the Netherlands. His research focuses on partnerships, certifica-
tion, and institutional arrangements in value chains, both globally and locally organized. He
contributes to methodological debates about integrative research and impact evaluation.
Pieter Vlaeminck is a doctoral researcher at the Division of Bioeconomics, Department of
Earth and Environmental Sciences at the University of Leuven. He has a Master’s degree in
Economics and a Master-After-Master’s degree in Financial Economics, both from the Uni-
versity of Leuven. His research focuses on the ex-ante assessments of different policy instru-
ments on consumer behaviour.
Liesbet Vranken is Assistant Professor at the Division of Bioeconomics, Department of Earth
and Environmental Sciences at the University of Leuven. She has a Master’s degree in
Agricultural Sciences and a PhD in Economics, both from the University of Leuven. Her
research focuses on sustainable food consumption and production, sustainable use of natural
resources (particularly land resources), and the behaviour of food consumers.
Linxiu Zhang is a Professor and deputy director at CCAP, Chinese Academy of Sciences
(CAS). She is a co-director of REAP. She obtained her PhD from Reading University. She has
published numerous papers and policy-relevant studies on rural development in China,
particularly on poverty alleviation, labour market development, public investments, and
the economics of rural education and health care.

xxiii
Notes on Contributors

Editors

Mara P. Squicciarini is a Senior Economist at the LICOS-Centre for Institutions and Eco-
nomic Performance at the University of Leuven and a Visiting Scholar at the Department of
Economics at Northwestern University. She holds a PhD from the University of Leuven and
has also been visiting researcher at Stanford University and at the Anderson School of Business
at UCLA. Her research has appeared in journals such as Science, Nature, and The Quarterly Journal
of Economics and has been profiled in media outlets such as The Economist, The Globe and Mail,
and Freakonomics.

Johan Swinnen is Professor of Economics and Director of the LICOS- Centre for Institutions
and Economic Performance at the University of Leuven; a Visiting Scholar at the Centre for
Food Security and the Environment at Stanford University; and President of the International
Association of Agricultural Economists and of The Beeronomics Society. He has published
widely on global food security, political economy, institutional reform, trade, global value
chains, and product standards. His books include Quality Standards, Value Chains and Inter-
national Development (Cambridge University Press, 2015), Political Power and Economic Policy
(Cambridge University Press, 2011), The Economics of Beer (Oxford University Press, 2011), and
From Marx and Mao to the Market (Oxford Univ Press, 2006).

xxiv
From Cocoa to Chocolate: Process,
Products, and Agents
Process Process Description
Harvesting During the harvest seasons,
cocoa pods are collected and
opened up to expose the
beans.
Cleaning, Once the beans have been
fermenting removed from the pods, they
and drying are cleaned (to remove all
extraneous material) and
fermented for 3–7 days. Then,
the beans are dried (usually in
the sun) packed into sacks and
sold to intermediaries or
delivered to the grinder’s
plant.
Roasting and The beans are roasted.
alkalization Depending on the preferences,
this can happen with the shell
intact, or without the shell
(roasting only the nib).
Nibs are alkalized usually with
potassium or sodium
carbonate to develop the
flavor and colour.
Grinding The nibs are ground into a
paste, called cocoa liquor. The
temperature and degree of
grinding varies according to
the type of nib used and the
product required.
Pressing The cocoa liquor is pressed to
divide the liquor into cocoa
butter and cocoa cakes. The
cocoa cake can be sold as such
or pulverized into cocoa
powder.
Mixing Cocoa liquor is mixed with
cocoa butter, sugar and (for
Products Agents
Cocoa pods: the leathery oval Farmers
pod (fruit) of the cocoa tree.
A typical pod contains
between 20 and 50 beans.
Cocoa beans: seed of the
cocoa tree, contained in the
cocoa pods.
Nibs: Inside of the cocoa bean. Cocoa
A winnowing machine is used processors
to remove the shells from the
beans to leave just the cocoa
nibs. This can happen before
or after the roasting process.
Cocoa liquor (or cocoa
mass): the fluid mass
produced by grinding the
cocoa nibs.
Cocoa butter: fat extracted by
pressing the cocoa liquor
Cocoa cakes (or cocoa
solids): solid mass (no-fat
cocoa material) extracted by
pressing the cocoa liquor
Cocoa powder: powder
obtained by pulverizing the
cocoa cakes
Couverture: Intermediate Chocolate
chocolate product, produced
(continued )
From Cocoa to Chocolate: Process, Products, and Agents

Continued

Process Process Description Products Agents

milk chocolate) powdered after the mixing and conching manufacturers

milk. The proportions of the process used to make final
different ingredients depend chocolate products (Couverture)
on the type of chocolate being
made.
Conching The mixture is then placed into
conches to knead it and
smooth it. The conching
affects the flavor and texture of
the chocolate. The resulting
liquid mixture is called
couverture. The couverture is
sold in liquid form or in blocks
after cooling
Chocolate Chocolate manufacturers, Final chocolate products: Chocolate
(and dairies, or bakers buy the chocolate bars, truffles, manufacturers
confectionary) couverture to make the final bonbons, confectionaries, etc. (and food
production chocolate products: chocolate industry)
bars, bonbons, truffles,
confectionaries etc.

Source: Worldcocoafoundation.org (last accessed 6 September 2015) and Chapter 17.

xxvi
1

The Economics of Chocolate

Introduction and Overview

Mara P. Squicciarini and Johan Swinnen

The title of this book is The Economics of Chocolate, but we should start by pointing
out that this book is about more than economics in the narrow sense of the word.
The book addresses many issues that are of interest to economists and most
chapters use economic concepts and frameworks to analyse developments in the
production, trade, and consumption of chocolate. However, many of the contri-
butions in this volume cover fields such as geography, history, political science,
psychology, nutrition, and so on. In fact, several of the contributors would not
identify themselves as economists.
That said, the economic aspects of the cocoa–chocolate value chain is the major
theme running through the book (and the publishers at Oxford University Press
thought the chosen title was by far the best among the alternatives that we
suggested). We hope that the book makes a contribution in a rapidly changing
field. While there is quite a lot of literature on economic aspects of cocoa produc-
tion, markets, and trade, there is less on chocolate markets and consumption, and
how they are related. In addition, much is changing in this field, as new consumer
standards are being imposed with major implications for cocoa farmers. The value
chains have undergone tremendous changes in recent years. We hope that this
book can contribute by addressing some of the emerging issues as well as by
presenting them within a global and historical perspective.
The book is organized in five parts, and we briefly summarize here key insights
from the various sections and chapters.

History

Cocoa and chocolate have a long history in (what is now) Central America but a
relatively short history in the rest of the world. For thousands of years, tribes and
Introduction

empires in Central America produced cocoa and consumed drinks based on it. It
was only when the Spanish arrived in those regions in the fifteenth and sixteenth
centuries that the rest of the world learned about it. Initially, cocoa production
remained in the original production regions. With the local population decimated
by war and imported diseases, slave labour was brought in from Africa. As the
popularity of chocolate grew in Europe and North America, production spread to
other parts of Latin America, and to Asia and Africa, to satisfy increasing demand.
Interestingly, cocoa only arrived in West Africa in the late nineteenth century. But
by the 1960s West Africa dominated global cocoa production. These changes are
documented by Eline Poelmans and Johan Swinnen in Chapter 2.
At the same time as cocoa production spread to Asia and Africa, consumption
increased rapidly in Europe and North America. The Industrial Revolution raised
incomes of the poor, while its scientific innovations turned chocolate from a drink
for the wealthy to a food of energy for the masses. In addition, the temperance
movement supported chocolate as a substitute for alcoholic beverages. As a result
of these forces, demand grew rapidly at the end of the nineteenth and in the early
twentieth century: The ‘Great Chocolate Boom’ as Clarence-Smith (Chapter 3)
refers to it.
While chocolate is now a popular food in Western countries—and its consump-
tion is sharply increasing in several emerging markets—over the centuries different
countries specialized in the production of different types of chocolate. European
countries, for instance, established a tradition of high-quality chocolate produc-
tion. Among them, Switzerland and Belgium represent two interesting examples.
Switzerland can boast an old and prestigious tradition of chocolate manufactur-
ing. In Chapter 4 Ingrid Fromm analyses the history and developments of the
Swiss chocolate industry, starting from a tradition of small craftsmen. The industry
survived periods of crises and consolidated in the late nineteenth and early twen-
tieth century. The chapter discusses how small-scale businesses are now facing
strong competition from large multinationals but are able to remain well estab-
lished in their market niche, with consumers appreciating artisanal production
and willing to pay higher prices for it. The chapter ends by explaining how the
Swiss chocolate industry has responded to concerns for ‘socially responsible con-
sumption’, and analyses the different transparency and corporate social responsi-
bility (CSR) activities that the main Swiss companies are implementing.
‘Belgian chocolates’ are now world famous. Pralines and truffles and other
chocolate delicacies originate from Belgium, but this small country also hosts
one of the largest multinationals in cocoa processing and production of intermedi-
ate chocolate products. As Maria Garrone and her colleagues explain in Chapter 5,
these are relatively recent developments. It was only after 1960 that Belgium
became a major chocolate exporter. Since then, its ‘Belgian chocolates’ have
conquered the world. However, at the same time the world has taken over many
Belgian chocolate companies. Most are now owned by international holdings—
and a sizeable amount of ‘Belgian chocolate’ is produced elsewhere. This, and
growing counterfeiting with increasing demand, has induced attempts to protect
and regulate the ‘Belgian chocolate’ label.

2
Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
 Set sua pro nullo pondere verba ferunt:
Quicquid in exemplis ibi dixit ab aure recessit,
Et magis in facinus credula turba fuit.
Tunc resonat murmur ingensque tumultus ad
horam
1010 Tollitur, et multum sedicionis habet:
Litibus agreditur virtutes plebs viciorum,
Conturbatque sacrum sordida turba forum:
Bella mouet cum fraude fides, cum crimine virtus,
Cum pietate scelus, cum racione furor:
Affectus de corde pios non suscipit hospes
Impietas, mentem deserit exul amor.
Scit deus hos homines siluestres igne perhenni
Dignos et reprobos a racione vagos.
O dolor in gestis, O gesta
n e p h a n d a d o l o r i s !236
Sunt magis hec baratri quam
1020 malefacta viri.
Non fuit humanum scelus hoc,
quod demon agendum
Duxit ab inferno tam violenter
humo.
Plebs furit in tanto, Cristi quod
amore relicto
Turba rudis patrem nescit habere deum.
Deficit hic virtus, viciorum copia surgit,
Et quem deseruit hec, rapit illa locum:
Inde cadit bonitas, pietas perit, omnis honestas
Exulat, atque fugam consulit omne bonum:
Hinc amor et requies, pax et concordia mentis,
1030 Spesque fidesque suas deseruere domos:
Sobrietatis amans modus et moderacio rerum
Et pudor a longe constituere moram:
Transtulit ad sedem paciencia se meliorem,
Mens humilis sequitur eius vbique comes:
Agmine virtutum sublato surgit in illum
Plebs inimica, manus impia, turba grauis.
 Undique concursus ingens conuentus, ad istum
Conflictum mortis plurima turba ruit:
Qui simul astabant spectantes vltima cause
1040 Longius, ex illis vnus et alter ait,
‘Hic reus est mortis, sentencia sit capitalis,
Sit cruor in nobis inque perhenne suus.’
Verbaque dicuntur dictis contraria verbis,
Mutua vox tandem garrula dampnat eum.
Presulis in mortem, violatis numinis aris,
Prosiliunt hostes, et latus omne tenent:
Clamant carnifices nulla pietate miserti,
‘Hic manibus nostris interimendus erit.’
Impositis manibus collum cum falce secabant,
1050 Nulla fides Cristi iura veretur ibi;
Ipse tamen facinus pacienter sustulit omne,
Cum mala tanta ferat, ipse quietus erat.
Non ignorat eos malediccio debita Cristi,
Qui cum sint membra, sic coluere caput.
Quatuor in mortem spirarunt federa Thome,
Simonis et centum mille dedere necem:
De vita Thome rex motus corde dolebat,
Simonis extremum rex dolet atque diem:
Ira fuit regis mors Thome, mors set ab omni
1060 Vulgari furia Simonis acta fuit:
Disparilis causa manet et mors vna duobus,
Inmerito patitur iustus vterque tamen.
Illeso collo gladiis periit caput vnum,
Quod magis acceptum suscipit ara dei;
Alterius capite sano fert vulnera collum,
Cuius erat medio passio facta foro:
Miles precipue reus est in sanguine Thome,
Simonis inque necem rusticus arma dedit:
Ecclesiam Cristi proceres qui non timuerunt,
1070 Martirii Thome causa fuere necis;
Iusticie regni seruile genusque repugnans237
Simonis extremum causat in vrbe diem:
Corruit in gremio matris Thomas, medioque
 Natorum turba Simon in ense cadit:
Thomam rex potuit saluasse, set illa potestas
Simonis ad vitam regia posse caret:
Vlta fuit Thome mors, et nunc vlcio mortis238
Simonis ante fores cotidiana grauat.
Fecerat exiguas iam sol altissimus vmbras,
1080 Fitque die media sanguine tinctus Ephot:
Candida sic paciens collum percussa securi
Victima purpureo sanguine pulsat humum.
Qui pater est anime, viduatur corporis expers,
Pastor et a pecude cesus abhorret agros:
Qui custos anime fuerat, custode carebat,
Huncque necant nati, quos colit ipse pater.
Qui fuerat crucifer que patrum Primas in honore,
Hic magis abiectus et cruciatus erat:
Qui fuerat doctor legum, sine lege peribat,
1090 Cesus et atteritur pastor ab ore gregis.
Ante diem moritur sine culpis et sine causa,
Quo tam natura quam Deus ambo dolent:
Sit licet ex falsa seruorum lege subactus,
Liber perpetuas ambulat ipse vias.
Fortitudo quidem virtus, licet exteriora
Perdidit, affirmat interiora deo;
Temperiesque sibi, quicquid furor egerit extra,
Interius patitur simplicitate sua.
Tollitur a mundo quamuis sapiencia, virtus
1100 Prouidet in celo cum sapiente locum:
Obruta iusticia quamuis videatur, ad astra
Se leuat et summum permanet ante deum.
Viuere fecerunt quem mortificare putarunt,
Quem tollunt mundo, non potuere deo.
O probra transacto quis tempore talia nouit,239
Que necis in speculo presulis acta patent?
Multa per ante bona communia fecerat vltro,240
Sponteque pro meritis vulgus abhorret eum.
Tale patrasse malum non norunt Nestoris anni,
1110 Fitque magis mira res, quia raro cadit.
 Non michi tam grauia sunt que prius acta fuerunt,
Set magis ad presens cogniciora grauant;
Nam quod adesse meo iam vidi tempore
dampnum
Horrida maioris facta doloris habet.
O quid agit vicium de longo continuatum,
Hoc docet in vulgo res patefacta modo.
Hii sunt credo Chaÿm peiores, hic nisi tantum241
Occidit fratrem, set pater iste fuit.
Nescio quis laudem facinus per tale meretur,
1120 Hoc scio quod crimen diruta Troia sinit:
Iste iuuat quod et ille facit, consentit et alter,
Vt malus et peior pessimus inde forent:
Iura volunt quod homo facinus qui mittit, et alter
Qui consentit ei, sint in agone pares.
O tibi commissos vrbs que lapidare prophetas
Audes, quo doleas est tibi causa satis.
Agrestes tamen hoc facinus specialius omni
Plebe dabant furie, dum mala prima mouent.
O maledicta manus caput abscisum ferientis!
1130 Culpa fit horribilis, pena perhennis erit.
O qui tale deo crimen prohibente parasti,
Perfide, qua pena, qua nece dignus eris?
O furor insane, gens rustica, plebs violenta,
Quam tua fraus sceleris est super omne scelus!
Dic qua fronte potes discrimina tanta patrare;
Equiperat fraudem, perfida, nemo tuam.242
Huc properate senes, huc florida confluat etas,
Cernite que sceleris rusticus arma tulit.
Tundite pectus, fundite fletus, plangite funus,
1140 Cuius inaudita mors perhibetur ita:
Vtque salire solet mutulati cauda colubri,243
Palpitat et moritur qui solet esse caput.
Mors etenim sacris fuit, heu! furiosior aris,
Et minor a pecude presulis extat honor.
Venturi memores estote, que temporis huius
Casus inauditus instruat omne solum:
 Exemplo caueant qui spiritualia seruant,
Ne simul officium det sibi terra suum.
Que Cassandra solet predicere more prophete,
1150 Eueniunt vrbi pondere valde graui.
Hec manus alma dei mala permittendo sinebat,
Que tamen inde fuit causa scit ipse deus.
Insolita cuncti tali de morte stupebant,
Saltem quos racio stringit amore dei.
Non Heleno potuit Priamus succurrere, Regis
Imperii set eo tempore iura silent;
Rex tamen vt sciuit quod sic fuit ordine rerum,
Plangit et hinc doluit cordis amore sui:
Rex doluit factum, nec habet quo frangere
fatum,244
1160 Iura nec ecclesie debita ferre sacre.245
Ante sacras vidi proiecta cadauera postes,
Nec locus est in quo desinit esse nephas.

Hic tractat vlterius secundum visionem

sompnii de diuersa persecucione et occisione,
quas in dicta ciuitate quodammodo absque vlla
protunc246 defensione furie supradicte,
prodolor! faciebant, et qualiter huiusmodi247
fama vicinas perterruit ciuitates.

Quique magis celebres fuerant hoc tempore

Capm. xv.
ciues,
Sicut oues mortis procubuere manu.
Corpora missa neci nullo de more feruntur,
Immo iacent patulis vndique spersa viis:
Et quod nulla viris, rabies, monumenta manerent,
Mortua membratim corpora scissa terit:
Corpora cesorum muris suspensa reponunt,
1170 Brutaque brutorum more sepulta negant.248
Horrida plaga fuit dum sanguine terra madescit,
Fons vbicumque tumet, sanguinitate rubet:
 Mors furit in foribus, mors pulsat ad ostia iuris,249
Viuere siue mori rusticus ipse iubet.
Quicquid erat forte manibus succumbit eorum,
Vrbs que summa fuit, cede repressa ruit:
Turribus euersis inuenta cibaria vastant,
Omnia diripiunt que meliora sciunt.
Fit nouus ergo dolor, fit planctus, luctus invndat,
1180 Deuiat a cultu regis iniqus homo:
Annos per centum veteres quos duxerat etas,
Flebant de casu quem dedit vna dies.
Plus quam piscis aquam rabies cupit ipsa
cruorem,
Pacis in auxilium nec miserere iuuat:
Pro nato genitor si verba precancia dixit,
Corruit ex verbo cesus vterque simul:
Si veniam peteres, fleres et ad hoc maris vndas,
Non tamen hee lacryme pondera vocis habent.
Tunc magis indomitas ardescit vulgus in iras,
1190 Vt rediat pietas nil valuere preces:250
Consumptis precibus furiens violencior extat
Rusticus, et peius quod valet ipse facit.
Sic nec aper media silua tam seuus in ira
Fulmineo rapidos conrotat ore canes;
Quin cicius verbo, furiis quod dixeris, vno
Sensisses lesum in caput arma tuum.
Confusum tanto subite terrore ruine,
Vix genus ingenuum scit genus esse suum.
Diffugit ingenuus, vagat, et nec menibus vrbis251
1200 Aut nemorum latebris fert loca tuta satis:
Mille domos adiit sortem repetendo salutis,
Set potuit nullo ferre quieta loco:
Nunc huc, nunc illuc, quasi mocio nubis aquose,
Se mouet ingenuus, fit neque firma salus:
Vir cubat in puteis, latebras magis optat Auerni,
Quam periturus erat, dum latitare queat.252
A siluis silue, set ab aruis arua timescunt,
 Vrbs et ab vrbe, locus nescit habere loca.
Quam subito positas aspergit sanguine mensas253
1210 Ille furor, cuius horruit acta deus!
Spersaque sanguineis maduerunt pabula guttis,
Nec locus aut thalamus dat loca salua viris.254
Tunc nisi sub centro res aut super ethera nulla
Salua potest fieri proprietate loci.
Aduena preda fuit, quam rusticus inchola mortis
Morsibus exagitans ensis in ore terit.
O dolor in sponsa mortis cum viderit ensem,
Quo caderet sponsus, nec fuit ipse reus!
Occupat amplexu lacrimasque per oscula siccat,
1220 ‘O pariter celi summa petamus,’ ait:
Accipiunt lacrymas spersi per colla capilli,
Oraque singultu concuciente sonant.
Sic magis orbatas quam sepe rigare maritis
Femineas vidi corde dolente genas;
Sepe manus stringi, dirumpere sepeque crines,
Vngues et propriam dilaniare cutem.
Qui tamen est omnis auctor feritatis, ob ipsos
Gaudia fert luctus et magis auget eos;
Monstraque sic hominum calido de sanguine
gaudent,
1230 Quod nichil impietas de pietate sapit.

Sperserat ambiguas huius vaga fama per vrbes

Rumoris sonitum, cordaque firma mouet;
Euentuque graui recitatur publica clades,
Nec de fortuna quo cadet ipse sapit.
Sic magis ecce viros perterruit impius ensis,
Cuius non redimunt aurea dona manum:
Vrget amara sitis, que torrida viscera torquet,
Dum timor exsiccat pectoris antra viri:
Inuictumque virum potuit quem nullus ab ante
1240 Vincere, tunc vicit de grauitate pauor:
Ymber vt ipse cruor rubefactaque sanguine
tellus255
 Tunc magis audacis interiora mouet.
Set tamen vt curet morbum lex nulla medetur,256
Nec sibi pre manibus quis properauit opem:
Auxilium nullus rebus prestabat amaris,
Lance suam reputat quisque tenere necem:
Est inmota manus procerum nec temporis obstat
Ire, set paciens sustulit omne malum:
Nulla potentis erat hominis tunc salua potestas,
1250 Deprimit immo suum cauda maligna caput:
Tunc sua cuique domus homini funesta videtur,
Nec fuit a mortis vlcere certus homo.
In nimio tinxit elatos sanguine cultros,
Dum sua ruralis rusticus arma gerit:
Parcere nec pueris vult impius aut mulieri,
Vastat cunctorum res, loca, iura, forum.
Nemo potest veniam sub ea feritate mereri,
Impetus illorum terruit omne solum:
Omnis enim vulgi furiis tunc turba fauebat,
1260 Nec fuit ingenuus vnus vt obstet eis:
Non fuit in toto gladius vel lancea regno
Militis in manibus, quo tueatur opus:
Dum furor excrescit, dum rustica turba tumescit,
Miles vt ambiguus fit magis inde pius.
Milicies cessit paciensque locum dedit ire,
Dum terit improbitas que probitatis erant:
Occupat en talus loca cordis, iuris et error,
Nec medicus morbo quis reputauit opem.
Sic neque nobilium scutum vel lancea
quicquam257
1270 Obstitit, vnde vetus fortificetur honor;
Cassaque iusticia cessat, nec cordis agresti258
Amplius indomiti debita iura tenet.
Spacia nulla sinunt medicamina ferre furori,259
Set furit ebrietas maior ad omne scelus:
Hec mala corripere qui vellent nec potuerunt,
Hii lacrimas animi signa dedere sui:
 Quisque suas lacrymas alto de corde petitas
Edidit, et finem spectat adesse suum.
Lumina que fuerant prius arida letaque risu,
1280 Erumpunt lacrime more fluentis aque;
Qui prius ex nullo casu deflere solebant,
Vt flerent oculos erudiere suos:
Flebat auus flebatque soror flebantque gemelli,
Que videant oculi nil nisi triste ferunt.
Vox fuit ‘Heu! ve! ve!’ sunt, prodolor! omnia luctus,
Omnia solliciti plena timoris erant;
Omnis habens lacrimas, ‘Quis me manet exitus?’
inquit,
Nescius ad mane que sibi sero foret.
‘Fer, precor,’ inquit, ‘opem, nostroque medere
timori,
1290 Egraque sors abeat, o deus!’ omnis ait.
Rusticus ingenuis, ‘Stat magna potencia nobis,’
Dixerat, ‘et vester ammodo cesset honor.’
O genus attonitum gelide formidine mortis,
Quam variata tibi sors dedit ista mali!
Est in thesauris abscondita causa supremis,
Cur ruit ingenuos tanta procella viros.
Pax perit atque quies, animalia namque pusilla
Intrepido corde bella tremenda ferunt:
Que fuerant prede nuper, sibi querere predas
1300 Vidi, set preda nulla resistit eis.
Vidi nam catulos minimos agitare leonem,
Nec loca tuta sibi tunc leopardus habet:
Aspera grex ouium pastori cornua tendunt,
Cordis et effuso sanguine tincta madent:
Postpositaque fide Cristi, furientibus illis,
Ecclesiam reputant atque lupanar idem.
Perfida stulticia tunc temporis omne negauit,
Quod natura sibi vel deus ipse petit:260
Non timet ipsa deum neque mundi iura veretur,
1310 Set statuit licitum criminis omne malum:
Ordine retrogrado sic quilibet ordo recessit,
 Nec status ipse sapit quid sit habere statum.261
Frumenti spicas tribulus vastauit, et ipsas
Cardo supercreuit et viciauit agros.
Loth capitur, pastor rapitur, locus expoliatur,
Et qui cuncta videt secula ceca sinit.
Tunc pro peccatis populi fit pena beatis,
Cunctaque sacra furor esse nephanda putat:
Demonibus homines subici culpis meruerunt,
1320 Tunc quia non hominem nec timuere deum.
Murmurat ex more plebs improba digna dolore,
Murmur et in populo iurgia multa mouet:
Iura sacerdotum presumentes, et honores
Tollentes, iram commeruere dei.
Fulgurat interius dolor huius turbine pestis,
Intonat exterius horrida turba sonis:
Conclamant furie, respondet flebile tellus,
Heu, quod in hoc fient tempore tanta mala!
Leticie facies tunc nulla videtur in vrbe,
1330 Compatitur vultus cordis amara sui:
Nulla quies mentis lese nullumque iuuamen
Extitit, vt sanum tempus habere queat.
Sic amor ecce vetus Troie mutatur in iram,
Cantus et ex planctu victus vbique silet:
In lacrimas risus, in dedecus est honor omnis
Versus, et in nichilum quod fuit ante satis.
Ora rigant fletus, tremit et formidine pectus,
Gaudia que fuerant deuorat ipsa dolor:
Aspiceres alios flentes terraque iacentes,
1340 Quos dolor alterius proprius atque dolet,
Et sua multociens ad celum brachia tendunt,
Si magis ex superis sit medicina malis.
Qui bonus extiterat magis est bonitate remorsus,
Planctus erat celebris, meror vbique nouus.
‘Omnia perdidimus,’ dicunt, quia nullus in vrbe,
Quem status expectat, quicquid honoris habet.
Qui de lege magis florebant tunc sapientes,
Impositis gladiis colla secantur eis:
 Quos magis et furie reputabant esse peritos,
1350 Vulneribus paribus corpora cesa ruunt.
Garrula culpa volat, timidasque perhorruit aures,
Nec sciuit sapiens quid sibi iura valent:
Floruit omne scelus, bonitas perit, egraque iura
Deveniunt, que regens non habet vnde regat.
Hec et plura ferox rabies, que nullus ab ante
Viderat, insolita fecit in vrbe mala:
Vrbes non tantum generaliter, immo per omnem
Iste furor patriam subpeditauit humum.

Hic plangit secundum visionem sompnii

quasi in propria persona dolores illorum, qui in
siluis et speluncis pre timore temporis illius
latitando se munierunt.

Hec ita cum vidi, me luridus occupat horror,

Capm. xvi.
1360 Et quasi mortifera stat michi vita mea;
Semper in interius precordia mortis ymago262
Pungit, et vt gladius viscera tota mouet.
Iamque dies medius tenues contraxerat vmbras,
Iamque pari spacio vesper et ortus erat:
Ter quater affligi sociorum corpora terre
Vidi, datque sua mors michi signa mori.
Aspiciens vultus aliorum cede madentes,
De propria timui morte remorsus ego;
Crudelesque manus, orbem sine lumine iuris263
1370 Percipiens dixi, ‘Iam cadit ordo viri’;
Bestia cum regimen hominum rapuisset et arma,
Et quod nulla suis legibus equa forent.
Hoc michi solliciti certissima causa timoris
Extitit et sortis peior origo mee;
Nam quia sic proceres vidi succumbere seruis,
Spes magis in fatis nulla salutis erat.
Est michi rupta domus per eos, quos rupta
gehenna264
 Miserat, vt leges perderet ordo suas:
Sic fugiens abii subite contagia cladis,
1380 Non ausus lese limen adire domus.
Tuncque domum propriam linquens aliena per
arua
Transcurri, que feris saltibus hospes eram.
Morsus ego linguis a dorso sepe ruebar,
Et reus absque meo crimine sepe fui:
Sic reus infelix agor absens, et mea cum sit
Optima, non vllo causa tuente perit.265
Inde ferens lassos aduerso tramite passus,
Quesiui tutam solus habere viam:
Attamen ad tantam rabiem pedibus timor alas
1390 Addidit, et volucris in fugiendo fui.
Sic vagus hic et ibi, quo sors ducebat euntem,
Temptaui varia cum grauitate loca:266
Pes vagat osque silet, oculus stupet et dolet auris,
Cor timet et rigide diriguere come.
Sicut aper, quem turba canum circumsona
terret,267
Territus extrema rebar adire loca.
Ha, quociens certam s u m m e mentitus habere
Horam, proposito que foret apta meo!
Si qua parte michi magis expediens foret ire,
1400 Perstetit in media pes michi sepe via:
Excidit omne decus michi tristi, nulla tuebar
Rura, nec in precio fertilis ortus erat.
Mens agitur, que diu pugnat sentencia mecum,
Quis locus ad vitam fert pociora meam;
Vixque michi credens solo quasi vota momento
Millesies varians corde vagante tuli.
Si loca tuta forent, loca tuta libenter adissem,
Set quo non potui corpore, mente feror;
Cumque domum volui quandoque redire diebus,
1410 Vt me prepediat, occupat hostis iter.
Si progressus eram, caperer ne nocte timebam;
Sic michi de nullo tempore tempus erat:
 Hostis adest dextra, surgit de parteque leua,
Vicinoque metu terret vtrumque latus.
Ha, quociens furiis visis cessi, que sub vmbris
Auris ad extrema semper aperta fuit!
Ha, quociens siluis latui vix ausus in antris,
Desperans sero quid michi mane daret!
Ha, quociens mentem pauor incutit hec michi
dicens,
1420 ‘Quid fugis? hic paruo tempore viuus eris!’268
Ha, quociens fuerat mea mens oblita quid essem,
Dum status anterior posteriora tenet!
Sepius inque die dum sol clarissimus esset,
Nox oculis pauidis venit aborta meis.
Sompnia me terrent veros imitancia casus,
Et vigilant sensus in mea dampna mei:
Sic mea sompniferis liquefiunt pectora curis,
Ignibus appositis vt noua cera solet:
Aut nisi restituar melioris ymagine sompni,
1430 Aspicio patrie tecta relicta mee.
Concaua vallis vbi fuerat nemorosa, per vmbras
Vt lepus obliquas sepe viator eram:
Purus ab arboribus spectabilis vndique campus
Tunc michi pro nullo tempore fidus erat;
Silua vetus densa nulla violata securi
Fit magis ecclesiis tunc michi tuta domus.
Tunc labor insolitus sic me lassauit, vt egros
Vix passus potui ferre vel hic vel ibi:
Sic fugiendo domos proprias mens horruit antra;
1440 Peius vt effugiat, sustinet ipsa malum.
Absque supercilio michi nubis sub tegumento
Copula cum foliis prebuit herba thorum.
Si potui, volui sub eodem cortice condi,
Nulla superficies tunc quia tuta fuit;
Perque dies aliquot latitans, omnemque
tremescens
Ad strepitum, fugi visa pericla cauens.
 Glande famem pellens mixta quoque frondibus
herba
Corpus ego texi, nec manus vna mouet:
Cura dolor menti fuerat, lacrimeque rigantes
1450 In fundo stomachi sunt alimenta quasi.
Tunc cibus herba fuit, tunc latis currere siluis
Impetus est, castra tunc quia nulla iuuant:
Rore meo lacrimisque meis ieiunia paui,
Fert satis ad victum langor in ore meum.
Plura dolens timui tunc temporis, et super omne
Ira dei magni causa timoris erat:
Tristis eram, quia solus, egens solamine, cogor
Tunc magis ignotas vt vagus ire vias:
Sic loca secretos augent secreta dolores,
1460 Vt releuet luctus quisque sodalis abest:
Fert tamen, vt possum mestos depromere
vultus,269
Solus in exilio gaudia magna dolor.
Sic lacrime lacrimis, sic luctus luctibus assunt,
Dum queror, et non est qui medicamen agat;
Pectoribus lacrimeque genis labuntur aborte,
Dum fuerat fati spes inimica michi.
Fine carent lacrime, nisi cum stupor obstitit illis,
Aut similis morti pectora torpor habet:
Tunc pariter lacrimas vocemque introrsus abortas,
1470 Extasis exemplo comprimit ipse metus.
Brachia porrexi tendens ad lumina solis,
Et, quod lingua nequit promere, signa ferunt;
Cumque ferus lacrimas animi siccauerat ardor,
Singultus reliquas clamat habere vices.
Pallidiora gerens exhorruit equoris instar
Multa per interius mens agitata malis;
Discolor in facie macies monstrauerat extra,270
Que magis obtruse mentis ad yma latent:
Nam pauor et terror, trepidoque insania vultu,
1480 Me magis ignotum constituere michi.
Dum mens egra fuit, dolet accio corporis, in quo
 Ossa tegit macies, nec iuuat ora cibus:
Iam michi subducta facies humana videtur,
Pallor et in vultu signa reportat humi;
Sanguis abit mentemque color corpusque
reliquit,271
Pulcrior est et eo terra colore meo.
Sic magis a longo passum quod corpus habebam,
Vix habuit tenuem qua tegat ossa cutem;
Sicque diu pauidus pariter cum mente colorem
1490 Perdideram, que fui sic nouus alter ego.
Vix fuerat quod ego solida me mente recepi,
Dum bona promisit sors michi nulla fidem:
Non michi libertas cuiquam secreta loquendi
Tunc fuit, immo silens os sua verba tenet.
Si michi quem casus socium transduxerat illuc,
Miscuimus lacrimas mestus vterque simul:
Raro fuit quod ego verbis solabar amicis,
Vix quia tunc fidus vnus amicus erat:
Illud erat tempus dubium, quo nullus amicum
1500 Certum certus habet, sicut habere solet.
Qui prius attulerat verum michi semper amorem,
Tunc tamen aduerso tempore cessat amor:
Querebam fratres tunc fidos, non tamen ipsos
Quos suus optaret non genuisse pater.
Memet in insidiis semper locuturus habebam,
Verbaque sum spectans pauca locutus humum:
Tempora cum blandis absumpsi vanaque verbis,
Dum mea sors cuiquam cogerat vlla loqui.
Iram multociens frangit responsio mollis,
1510 Dulcibus ex verbis tunc fuit ipsa salus;
Sepeque cum volui conatus verba proferre,
Torpuerat gelido lingua retenta metu.
Non meus vt querat noua sermo quosque fatigat,
Obstitit auspiciis lingua retenta malis;
Sepe meam mentem volui dixisse, set hosti
Prodere me timui, linguaque tardat ibi.
Heu! miserum tristis fortuna tenaciter vrget,
 Nec venit in fatis mollior hora meis.
Si genus est mortis male viuere, credo quod illo
1520 Tempore vita mea morsque fuere pares.
Sic vbi respexi, nichil est nisi mortis ymago,
Quam reputo nullum tollere posse virum:
Sepe mori volui ne quicquid tale viderem,
Seu quod ab hiis monstris tutus in orbe forem;
Velle mori statui, quia scribitur, ‘Omnia soluit272
Mors et ab instanti liberat ipsa malo.’
‘Fortune,’ dixi, ‘dolor, vndique parce dolenti,
Da michi vel plene viuere siue mori.’
Set michi pro fine spem tantum mortis habebam,
1530 Plusque nec ausus eram limen adire domus.
Murmura tunc subite subeunt habitacula
mentis,273
Talia pro luctu sepeque verba ferunt:
‘O tibi quem presens spectabile non sinit ortus
Cernere, quam melior sors tua sorte mea est!
Heu! mea consueto quia mors nec erit michi lecto,
Depositum nec me qui fleat vllus erit:
Spiritus ipse meus si nunc exibit in auras,
Non positos artus vnget amica manus.
Si tamen impleuit mea sors quos debuit annos,
1540 Et michi viuendi tam cito finis adest,
Ecce, deus, tu scis quia non tua fata recuso;
Dum feris, en pacior que meruisse reor.’
Cumque mei luctus torrens michi maior invndat,
Et magis ex sterili sorte volutus eram,
Ecce Sophia meis compassa doloribus inquit,
‘Siste, precor, lacrimas et pacienter age.
Sic tibi fata volunt non crimina, crede set illud
Quo deus offensus te reparando vocat.
Non merito penam pateris set numinis iram:
1550 Ne timeas, finem nam dolor omnis habet.’
Talibus exemplis aliis quoque rebus vt essem
Absque metu paciens sepe Sophia monet;274
Conscia mensque michi fuerat, culpe licet expers,
 Spes tamen ambigue nulla salutis adest.
Non fuerant artes tanti que numinis iram
A me tollentes tempora leta ferunt.
Tanta mee lasse fuerat discordia mentis,
Quod potui sensus vix retinere meos.
Quid michi tunc animi fuit aut quid debuit esse,
1560 Cum michi rem certam mors neque vita tulit?
Nunc id, nunc aliud, dubitata mente reuolui,
Quo michi nulla quies fit neque leta dies.
Cum fuit in sompnis mea desperacio maior,
Exiguo dixi talia verba sono:
‘Crudeles sompni, cur me tenuistis inermem?
Quin prius instanti morte premendus eram.’
Arguit ergo meos ita mens quam sepe dolores,
‘Quid fles hic paruo tempore,’ dixit, ‘eris.’
Sic tenuant vigiles corpus miserabile cure,
1570 Quas vigili mente sompnia ferre dabant:
Me timor inuasit, stabam sine lumine mestus,
Et color in vultu linquit habere genas:
Attonitus tanto miserarum turbine rerum,
Vt lapis a mente sepe remotus eram.
Mens tamen vt rediit, pariter redie r e dolores,275
Mortem dum menti vita negare nequit:
Sic mortem cupiens timui presagia mortis,
Nec fore quid melius mens michi fida refert.
Verbis planxissem, set viscera plena dolore
1580 Obsistunt, nec eo tempore verba sinunt;
Obice singultu vocis stetit impetus horrens
Aduentum lacrime, lingua refrenat iter.
Est michi vita mori, mors viuere, mors michi vita
Dulcior est, redolet viuere mortis amor:
Solus, inops, expes, vite peneque relictus,
Attendi si que sors mea certa foret.
Talia mira nimis longum narranda per annum,
Que modo vix recolo, tunc paciebar ego.276
Scire meos casus si quis desiderat omnes,
1590 Quo loquar hos finem non breue tempus habet:
 Sic tamen in variis mea lassa doloribus ipse277
Tempora continuans asperiora tuli.

Hic eciam secundum visionem sompnii

describit quasi in propria persona278 angustias
varias que contingebant hiis qui tunc pro
securitate optinenda in Turrim Londoniarum se
miserunt, et de ruptura eiusdem turris: figurat
enim dictam turrim similem esse naui prope
voraginem Cille periclitanti.
 Amplius vt vidi quia lex non nouerat orbem,
Capm. xvii.
C r e u i t e t e x variis rumor vbique malis,
En stupor in sompnis magis ac magis inde
timorem
Prouocat, et dubias fert michi sepe vias:
Quid facerem metuens, aut quid michi cercius
esset
Ignorans, oculos sperserat ira meos.
Haud procul aspexi nauem, properansque cucurri,
1600 Sors mea si forte tucior esset ibi;
Ecceque scala michi patuit, qua scansus in altum,
Intraui, que pius dat michi nauta locum.
Ingenui sexus alios conscendere nauem
Vidi quam plures, quos timor omnis habet:
Vix fuit a planta capiti gradus vllus eorum
Qui tunc de stirpe nobilitatis erant,
Quin maris in medio pauidus conscenderat ille
Classem, quo requiem, si foret vlla, petat.
Set quid agant alii, semper michi cura remansit
1610 Vna, quod a furiis tutus abire queam.279
Nauis in ingressu pauida de mente rogaui,
Vt michi det faciles vtilis aura vias:
Quem mare quemque colunt venti, per vota
reclamo,
Vt michi det placidum per mare Cristus iter:
‘Tu michi, stella maris, sis preuia, quo ferar vndis;
Sit tibi cura mei, te duce tutus ero.’
Cum maris vnda procul a litore nos rapuisset,
Nauis et optato flumine carpsit iter,
A furiis terre tunc amplius esse quietum
1620 Me dixi, set in hoc spes mea vana fuit;
Nam mea quando fuit spes maior vt ipse salutem
Consequerer, subito causa doloris adest.
Terribilem picea tectus caligine vultum
Ether ab excelso commouet arma fretis:
Quatuor ora fremunt ventorum sic, quod inermem
 Anchora non poterat vlla iuuare ratem.280
Extra se positus madidis Nothus euolat alis,
Cuius enim gutte dampna furoris agunt:
Quas sibi non poterat terre comprendere virtus,
1630 Pendula celestes libra mouebat aquas;
Sic defrenato voluuntur in equora cursu,
Quo maris vnda nimis aucta subegit humum.
Seuiit in nauem ventis discordibus aura,
Et maris in remos vnda coacta ruit;
Fit fragor, et densi funduntur ab ethere nimbi,
Nauis et est variis exagitata malis.
Nuncia Iunonis varios tumefacta colores
Induit, et vario more refudit aquas:
Nulla set est gutta dulcis quam fuderat, immo
1640 Turpis, amara, rudis, vilis, acerba, grauis;
Nil valet ad gustum liquor hic, qui corda bibentum
Perforat, et quassat viscera tota simul.
O felix, tales qui tunc euaserat ymbres,
Qui sunt Stige magis et Flegetonte graves!
Ipse tamen naui turbatus semper adhesi,
Quam furiens pelagi merserat ira quasi.
Huius aque fluuio bubo natat inter alaudas,
Nat lupus inter oues, inter honesta nephas.
Huius aque subite magis insulcata carina
1650 Forcia que subiit tecta que castra ruit.
Pre nimia rabie timuerunt grandia cete,
Dum magis atque magis aucta fit ira maris.
Ecce cadunt largi resolutis nubibus ymbres,
Aeris et medio fulminis ira tonat;
Inque fretum credas totum descendere celum,
Terruit et terras Iris vbique minis;
Inque plagas celi tumefactus scandit et equor,
Vt si de proprio vellet abire loco.
Sternitur interdum spumisque sonantibus albet,
1660 Et redit in subtus quod fuit ante super;
Et modo cum fuluas ex ymo vertit arenas,
Tincta superficies fulua patebat aquis.281